Insistent-Standard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$397

Unrealized P&L

+$118

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

237

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$360.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$871

Open exposure

$9.09K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-01 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 89% +$345

Other

11% 90% +$48

Tech

0% 75% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	+6,289	$6,000	97¢	$6.1K	+$88	10-03 00:19
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+1,441	$1,419	99¢	$1.4K	+$10	10-29 00:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	+1,025	$1,000	99¢	$1.0K	+$13	09-01 01:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	+287	$280	99¢	$285	+$5	07-18 01:36
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-102	-$101	100¢	$-102	-$1	08-21 00:55
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-102	-$101	100¢	$-101	$0	10-09 04:25
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+33	$14	75¢	$24	+$11	09-29 03:25
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$20	98¢	$20	$0	10-14 23:59
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	10-03 00:22
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$10	96¢	$10	$0	10-29 08:27
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+48	$10	5¢	$3	-$8	07-24 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	3	$12.0K	6,029	6,027	+2	No	+$23	04-20 18:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$12.0K	6,024	6,024	+0	No	+$18	05-23 05:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	21	$11.2K	5,611	5,611	+0	No	+$6	05-27 02:08
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in september 2026	2	$8.0K	4,028	4,028	+0	No	+$24	09-28 04:17
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	3	$6.4K	3,708	2,700	+1,008	No	+$0	01-05 02:27
will bitcoin dip to 71k on september 16 2026	1	$6.3K	6,313	0	+6,313	No	+$13	09-16 23:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 21?	1	$6.3K	6,306	0	+6,306	No	+$6	09-21 00:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	1	$6.3K	6,306	0	+6,306	No	+$6	09-02 00:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10?	2	$6.1K	6,106	0	+6,106	No	+$6	06-10 00:46
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	5	$6.0K	3,015	3,015	+0	No	+$12	09-20 12:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	1	$6.0K	6,289	0	+6,289	open	—	10-03 00:19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	05-28 00:27
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	04-26 00:32
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 14-20?	3	$6.0K	3,015	3,015	+0	No	-$27	09-19 00:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	1	$5.7K	5,713	0	+5,713	No	+$13	09-11 00:11
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	5	$5.1K	5,185	0	+5,185	No	+$56	08-22 11:40
bitcoin above 56k on july 30 2026	1	$5.1K	5,105	0	+5,105	Yes	+$5	07-30 00:12
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$5.0K	2,515	2,515	+0	No	+$8	06-10 00:45
will bitcoin dip to 62k july 20 26 2026	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	No	+$5	07-27 00:10
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	1	$5.0K	5,005	0	+5,005	Yes	+$5	07-29 09:00
will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 22	1	$5.0K	5,010	0	+5,010	No	+$10	07-23 00:10
will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	1	$5.0K	5,007	0	+5,007	No	+$7	09-29 00:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 28?	1	$5.0K	5,026	0	+5,026	No	+$26	07-29 00:21
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 17	1	$5.0K	5,009	0	+5,009	No	+$9	07-18 01:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$5.0K	5,008	0	+5,008	No	+$23	03-09 09:22
Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$4.7K	4,706	0	+4,706	No	+$6	10-01 05:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	3	$4.1K	2,058	2,058	+0	No	+$6	08-31 00:03
will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	9	$4.0K	2,008	2,008	+0	No	+$6	09-28 13:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	2	$4.0K	2,005	2,005	+0	No	+$3	06-23 06:35
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$4.0K	4,020	0	+4,020	No	+$20	02-13 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:58:39	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x9fdf44…
10-29 08:28:31	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x187c70…
10-29 08:27:49	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x24cef2…
10-29 08:27:35	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xd076b8…
10-29 00:11:25	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,304	100¢	$1,300	0x8ea1f6…
10-29 00:11:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,304	100¢	$1,303	0x14c30a…
10-26 06:52:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,304	100¢	$1,300	0xa9cadc…
10-25 06:28:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1,301	100¢	$1,300	0xba447f…
10-24 23:53:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25eb29…
10-24 23:52:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x246439…
10-24 23:52:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 24?	No	BUY	681	100¢	$680	0xcf8658…
10-23 06:41:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,301	100¢	$1,300	0x93cf72…
10-23 00:43:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 22?	No	BUY	851	100¢	$850	0xc685cd…
10-23 00:43:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	460	100¢	$460	0xae82f7…
10-22 08:46:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,303	100¢	$1,300	0x11ada7…
10-22 00:02:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0x74b425…
10-22 00:02:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 21?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x187820…
10-21 05:09:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 21?	No	BUY	1,303	100¢	$1,300	0x61e7b9…
10-20 23:56:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 20?	No	BUY	1,302	100¢	$1,300	0x3046f4…
10-19 06:40:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1,301	100¢	$1,300	0x0b61b8…
10-19 00:05:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 18?	No	BUY	1,307	99¢	$1,300	0x0d1bb9…
10-18 00:05:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 17?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0x99c142…
10-18 00:04:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 18?	No	BUY	941	100¢	$940	0x6af1c0…
10-15 05:10:35	ethereum above 2600 on october 15 2026	No	BUY	802	100¢	$800	0x2fcf84…
10-15 05:10:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 15?	No	BUY	453	100¢	$452	0xcf4078…
10-14 23:59:40	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0xc1bd3c…
10-14 23:59:07	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbcfedd…
10-14 23:58:49	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdd2b38…
10-13 00:12:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x9cfff0…
10-09 04:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x8208cb…
10-09 04:25:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 9?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa65331…
10-09 04:25:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x78a71d…
10-09 04:24:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0xeb7ae2…
10-09 04:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	651	100¢	$650	0x87ae87…
10-08 00:02:46	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x1a7196…
10-03 00:22:11	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8747cc…
10-03 00:21:57	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddc3dc…
10-03 00:19:23	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	6,289	95¢	$6,000	0xbe0422…
10-03 00:17:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x086496…
10-01 05:15:30	Concrete FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,405	100¢	$2,400	0xe84236…
10-01 05:15:08	Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xde7431…
10-01 05:14:57	Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4,006	100¢	$4,000	0x512878…
09-29 03:25:14	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x06044d…
09-29 00:18:26	will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	No	BUY	5,007	100¢	$5,000	0x87828c…
09-29 00:18:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	2,102	100¢	$2,100	0xcfd81f…
09-28 13:46:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2062c5…
09-28 13:28:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	298	100¢	$298	0xae3c53…
09-28 13:19:50	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	908	100¢	$907	0xc4f398…
09-28 12:50:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1e46aa…
09-28 12:46:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x43f492…
09-28 12:36:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x2fec29…
09-28 12:35:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x6260a1…
09-28 07:09:24	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x6ea9bb…
09-28 07:09:02	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x8dfbec…
09-28 07:07:00	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf69103…
09-28 07:04:27	over 1m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x357047…
09-28 07:03:42	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0ce84f…
09-28 04:17:26	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	4,028	100¢	$4,024	0x49cc63…
09-28 04:17:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k in september 2026	No	SELL	383	100¢	$383	0x218a17…
09-28 00:05:27	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x18deb1…
09-28 00:05:03	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	SELL	1,007	100¢	$1,006	0xf40164…
09-28 00:01:41	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5665ce…
09-23 00:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbd62b4…
09-23 00:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x3ca041…
09-23 00:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x626200…
09-22 23:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x77b0af…
09-22 00:33:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	No	BUY	4,028	99¢	$4,000	0xc9aa1d…
09-22 00:33:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2,008	100¢	$2,000	0x194fe3…
09-22 00:28:28	Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x57671d…
09-22 00:28:07	Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xcad0f4…
09-21 00:05:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	6,306	100¢	$6,300	0xc981ec…
09-20 12:42:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x6e51e8…
09-20 12:41:49	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	2,524	100¢	$2,522	0x50bdf0…
09-20 12:39:13	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0x804cc1…
09-19 00:46:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3,354	100¢	$3,350	0xbd9547…
09-19 00:44:42	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 14-20?	No	SELL	2,986	99¢	$2,945	0xe8bef4…
09-18 12:26:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 14-20?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xaf79a4…
09-18 04:03:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x0b6414…
09-18 04:02:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7e050e…
09-17 05:27:51	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	3,015	100¢	$3,000	0x79cfc1…
09-17 05:27:33	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	3,015	100¢	$3,000	0x938d2b…
09-16 23:57:30	will bitcoin dip to 71k on september 16 2026	No	BUY	6,313	100¢	$6,300	0x27ec5c…
09-11 00:11:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	5,713	100¢	$5,700	0x542a88…
09-11 00:11:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 11?	No	BUY	641	100¢	$640	0xebfea4…
09-10 00:32:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	2,452	100¢	$2,450	0xf99e1b…
09-10 00:31:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 10?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0x56e1ec…
09-10 00:31:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 10?	No	BUY	3,205	100¢	$3,200	0x332dae…
09-02 00:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98de15…
09-02 00:40:45	Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x81fab7…
09-02 00:40:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	6,306	100¢	$6,300	0x307f56…
09-01 01:26:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1,025	98¢	$1,000	0xebe3bf…
09-01 01:25:34	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0xee7d28…
08-31 04:37:07	ethereum above 2200 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,006	100¢	$2,000	0xe4da16…
08-31 00:05:25	will bitcoin dip to 72k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	1,864	100¢	$1,860	0x309ddf…
08-31 00:04:30	will ethereum dip to 2200 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x816da3…
08-31 00:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	SELL	2,058	100¢	$2,056	0xa1d586…
08-31 00:02:45	ethereum above 2700 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0xb6acfa…
08-31 00:01:55	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,079	100¢	$1,078	0x79c511…
08-28 23:56:34	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0xb21214…
08-27 07:36:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xbb1c77…