Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$146,036
$2,225 in 24h
Trades
2,354
Unique wallets
625
Liquidity
$46,995
Latest YES mid
90¢
Latest NO mid
10¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-16 02:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.5¢
(top1%: 94% YES on $21.3K
vs crowd: 88% YES on $115.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $27.1K | $5.0K | +$22.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 73 | $38.8K | $4.9K | +$33.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 149 | $18.0K | $3.9K | +$14.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 373 | $17.6K | $573 | +$17.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $20.1K | $1.3K | +$18.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 28 | $8.6K | $4.1K | +$4.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 20 | $5.4K | $796 | +$4.6K |
| Median | 131 | $2.3K | $172 | +$2.1K |
| Below median | 75 | $10.0K | $165 | +$9.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $1.3K | $123 | +$1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $3.0K | $3.3K | $330 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $3.0K | $318 | +$2.7K |
| unranked | 324 | $47.9K | $4.1K | +$43.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +27,066 | $3,027 | $3,029 | 16 | 08-05 18:29 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | No | +24,857 | $2,437 | $2,437 | 25 | 08-13 10:16 |
| Palatable-Comprehension 0x5155…a7dd | Yes | +21,250 | $19,300 | $19,300 | 12 | 07-31 09:31 |
| Measly-Drummer 0x7248…8cb4 | Yes | +20,480 | $18,239 | $18,239 | 6 | 07-31 14:13 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +9,356 | $829 | $829 | 8 | 07-20 00:14 |
| Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | +8,948 | $1,175 | $1,175 | 3 | 08-15 16:33 |
| Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | +8,563 | $7,781 | $7,781 | 16 | 08-01 08:49 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +7,594 | $715 | $1,245 | 16 | 08-12 15:04 |
| Sour-Parsnip 0x3105…1493 | Yes | +5,645 | $5,348 | $6,029 | 7 | 06-14 16:37 |
| Private-Oleo 0xd063…5ccd | No | +4,940 | $259 | $259 | 2 | 07-01 12:41 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +4,183 | $432 | $432 | 8 | 08-13 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | +3,339 | $2,975 | $2,975 | 8 | 08-13 03:37 |
| Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | +3,260 | $2,950 | $3,311 | 58 | 08-16 02:27 |
| Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | No | +3,101 | $299 | $299 | 78 | 08-14 17:01 |
| Inferior-Repayment-Injunction 0x656b…eecc | Yes | +2,230 | $1,973 | $1,973 | 3 | 08-03 08:10 |
| Grand-Marksman 0x9d6d…e803 | Yes | +2,158 | $1,948 | $1,948 | 4 | 07-15 07:14 |
| Forthright-Critic 0xfc1f…222b | No | +1,891 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-15 07:53 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +1,883 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 07-05 02:04 |
| Glamorous-Cloudburst 0x6d66…af0d | Yes | +1,672 | $1,490 | $1,490 | 1 | 08-13 10:15 |
| Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | +1,651 | $200 | $200 | 3 | 08-13 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8556…7e42 | Yes | +1,139 | $1,071 | $2,127 | 15 | 07-05 02:04 |
| Spicy-Academics 0x09ee…90a4 | No | +1,121 | $135 | $135 | 13 | 08-02 09:45 |
| Generous-Solitaire 0x0072…3d75 | Yes | +1,000 | $905 | $905 | 2 | 07-14 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0979…bae6 | No | +976 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-30 16:38 |
| Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | +958 | $85 | $97 | 5 | 08-10 01:24 |
| Profitable-Map 0xd27d…fa96 | No | +803 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-05 11:35 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +731 | $661 | $2,563 | 18 | 08-07 15:07 |
| Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | +698 | $81 | $81 | 11 | 08-10 00:45 |
| Mundane-Crinoline 0x95b1…e3b6 | Yes | +686 | $600 | $600 | 2 | 08-14 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf53e…2728 | Yes | +643 | $575 | $575 | 1 | 08-12 19:24 |
| Zany-Sundae 0x8a17…b2b3 | Yes | +600 | $527 | $527 | 1 | 07-31 15:44 |
| Yellow-Subexpression 0xdd07…e955 | Yes | +561 | $499 | $499 | 1 | 08-04 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xec35…1afb | Yes | +557 | $514 | $890 | 5 | 07-13 08:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf583…f3d6 | Yes | +548 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-20 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xd508…9784 | Yes | +546 | $514 | $514 | 1 | 07-02 06:12 |
| Imperfect-Sugar 0x364e…c657 | Yes | +530 | $498 | $498 | 1 | 06-28 13:13 |
| Bold-Cranky 0xf097…b974 | Yes | +515 | $456 | $456 | 4 | 08-01 17:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfb5…8bd4 | Yes | +500 | $449 | $637 | 6 | 08-12 15:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +498 | $55 | $55 | 8 | 08-10 20:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | +443 | $386 | $4,046 | 71 | 08-15 16:33 |
| Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fe…423a | No | +426 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-30 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | +415 | $390 | $390 | 3 | 07-18 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd46d…d125 | Yes | +400 | $346 | $346 | 1 | 08-12 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x15d0…145f | Yes | +399 | $352 | $1,581 | 12 | 07-13 08:36 |
| Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | +347 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 08-10 00:30 |
| Ashamed-Lathe 0x3f7f…4fd0 | Yes | +338 | $319 | $319 | 1 | 06-02 12:26 |
| Primary-Summer 0x9aaf…f724 | Yes | +320 | $298 | $298 | 3 | 08-02 09:45 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +300 | $282 | $3,403 | 48 | 08-12 15:03 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +291 | $24 | $273 | 39 | 07-25 20:36 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | No | +200 | $16 | $68 | 2 | 08-14 14:45 |
| Orange-Cobbler 0x3bc7…4ea0 | No | +200 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-11 02:35 |
| Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | +184 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-05 02:11 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +160 | $12 | $76 | 5 | 07-26 20:47 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +151 | $12 | $27 | 5 | 07-27 13:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 02:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x34a7…6e8f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x46a26f… |
| 08-16 02:27:28 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x46a26f… |
| 08-15 16:36:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x3b5aed… |
| 08-15 16:36:46 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x3b5aed… |
| 08-15 16:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x22cd…8715 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 87¢ | $174 | 0xde66bc… |
| 08-15 16:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xde66bc… |
| 08-15 16:33:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $131 | 0xde66bc… |
| 08-15 16:33:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xde66bc… |
| 08-15 16:33:51 | Stable-Stadium 0x668f…4c0f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xde66bc… |
| 08-15 16:33:51 | Major-Spatula 0x4d2c…222d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0xde66bc… |
| 08-15 16:33:51 | Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | BUY | 748 | 13¢ | $97 | 0xde66bc… |
| 08-15 14:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x22cd…8715 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x55427e… |
| 08-15 14:30:58 | Calculating-Plugin 0xe71d…7359 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x55427e… |
| 08-15 10:57:33 | (anonymous) 0x22cd…8715 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0xfbe44d… |
| 08-15 10:57:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xfbe44d… |
| 08-15 10:57:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xfbe44d… |
| 08-15 10:54:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x9c1bc3… |
| 08-15 10:54:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x9c1bc3… |
| 08-15 10:54:01 | (anonymous) 0x22cd…8715 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 89¢ | $53 | 0x9c1bc3… |
| 08-14 17:01:46 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xbd5325… |
| 08-14 17:01:46 | Mundane-Crinoline 0x95b1…e3b6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xbd5325… |
| 08-14 17:01:36 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | No | BUY | 200 | 13¢ | $25 | 0x748d75… |
| 08-14 17:01:36 | Mundane-Crinoline 0x95b1…e3b6 | Yes | BUY | 586 | 87¢ | $512 | 0x748d75… |
| 08-14 17:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x1b99…4fa2 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 88¢ | $175 | 0x748d75… |
| 08-14 14:45:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 87¢ | $77 | 0xfe3cd3… |
| 08-14 14:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 87¢ | $77 | 0xfe3cd3… |
| 08-14 14:45:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 87¢ | $77 | 0x0b0284… |
| 08-14 14:45:28 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | BUY | 198 | 87¢ | $173 | 0x0b0284… |
| 08-14 14:45:28 | (anonymous) 0x0e05…c0f0 | Yes | SELL | 487 | 87¢ | $425 | 0x0b0284… |
| 08-14 14:45:28 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | No | SELL | 200 | 13¢ | $26 | 0x0b0284… |
| 08-14 14:40:03 | Spectacular-Robin 0x004f…d6c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x2b9672… |
| 08-14 14:40:03 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x2b9672… |
| 08-14 08:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x34a7…6e8f | Yes | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x6ef7b8… |
| 08-14 08:29:45 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | No | BUY | 114 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x6ef7b8… |
| 08-13 12:19:30 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 450 | 13¢ | $57 | 0x45c0e4… |
| 08-13 12:19:30 | Amazing-Calm 0xee19…dac6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x45c0e4… |
| 08-13 12:19:30 | (anonymous) 0x834f…af2f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x45c0e4… |
| 08-13 12:19:30 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | BUY | 300 | 87¢ | $262 | 0x45c0e4… |
| 08-13 12:17:49 | (anonymous) 0xec63…365b | Yes | BUY | 145 | 88¢ | $127 | 0x5e4a9e… |
| 08-13 12:17:49 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 515 | 12¢ | $62 | 0x5e4a9e… |
| 08-13 12:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b99…4fa2 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 88¢ | $176 | 0x5e4a9e… |
| 08-13 12:17:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x5e4a9e… |
| 08-13 12:17:49 | Mountainous-Ephemera 0xf709…856f | Yes | BUY | 140 | 88¢ | $123 | 0x5e4a9e… |
| 08-13 10:16:00 | Even-Strawberry 0x5c6c…9707 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x574c63… |
| 08-13 10:16:00 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | No | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x574c63… |
| 08-13 10:15:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 122 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xdb2a13… |
| 08-13 10:15:48 | (anonymous) 0xbd91…6262 | No | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xdb2a13… |
| 08-13 10:15:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xdb2a13… |
| 08-13 10:15:48 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | No | BUY | 1,848 | 11¢ | $201 | 0xdb2a13… |
| 08-13 10:15:48 | Glamorous-Cloudburst 0x6d66…af0d | Yes | BUY | 1,672 | 89¢ | $1,490 | 0xdb2a13… |
| 08-13 04:21:52 | Awful-Patience 0x3ffc…83f4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x7ba44c… |
| 08-13 04:21:52 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7ba44c… |
| 08-13 03:37:42 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 1,241 | 10¢ | $127 | 0x203fff… |
| 08-13 03:37:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 116 | 10¢ | $12 | 0x203fff… |
| 08-13 03:37:42 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 1,374 | 90¢ | $1,233 | 0x203fff… |
| 08-13 03:37:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x203fff… |
| 08-13 00:36:10 | (anonymous) 0x9f36…39e4 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 88¢ | $42 | 0x775827… |
| 08-13 00:36:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x775827… |
| 08-13 00:36:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x775827… |
| 08-13 00:36:10 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 88¢ | $16 | 0x775827… |
| 08-13 00:18:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x53b2ba… |
| 08-13 00:18:54 | Sentimental-Harp 0x9d84…70d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x53b2ba… |
| 08-12 19:24:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xb33b41… |
| 08-12 19:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x834f…af2f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xb33b41… |
| 08-12 19:24:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 113 | 11¢ | $12 | 0xfab51c… |
| 08-12 19:24:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xfab51c… |
| 08-12 19:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xfab51c… |
| 08-12 19:24:01 | (anonymous) 0xf53e…2728 | Yes | BUY | 643 | 89¢ | $575 | 0xfab51c… |
| 08-12 19:24:01 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | No | BUY | 400 | 10¢ | $42 | 0xfab51c… |
| 08-12 15:48:55 | (anonymous) 0x834f…af2f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xf320ca… |
| 08-12 15:48:55 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | No | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xf320ca… |
| 08-12 15:48:49 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | No | BUY | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x622381… |
| 08-12 15:48:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x622381… |
| 08-12 15:48:49 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x622381… |
| 08-12 15:41:45 | (anonymous) 0xdfb5…8bd4 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $449 | 0x526112… |
| 08-12 15:41:45 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 400 | 10¢ | $41 | 0x526112… |
| 08-12 15:17:16 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x6e39e0… |
| 08-12 15:17:16 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6e39e0… |
| 08-12 15:17:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x6e39e0… |
| 08-12 15:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xc3156b… |
| 08-12 15:04:16 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc3156b… |
| 08-12 15:04:09 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 900 | 10¢ | $91 | 0xf469de… |
| 08-12 15:04:09 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 900 | 90¢ | $809 | 0xf469de… |
| 08-12 15:04:00 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xcf586f… |
| 08-12 15:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xcf586f… |
| 08-12 15:03:52 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x24f9f3… |
| 08-12 15:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x24f9f3… |
| 08-12 15:03:36 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x5889c9… |
| 08-12 15:03:36 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5889c9… |
| 08-12 15:03:25 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 829 | 12¢ | $104 | 0xd08736… |
| 08-12 15:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 829 | 88¢ | $726 | 0xd08736… |
| 08-12 15:03:16 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 90 | 87¢ | $78 | 0xaa04a4… |
| 08-12 15:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xce37…0501 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 87¢ | $78 | 0xaa04a4… |
| 08-12 15:00:40 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0xc22c29… |
| 08-12 15:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x951d…5aef | Yes | BUY | 16 | 87¢ | $14 | 0xc22c29… |
| 08-12 14:57:01 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 42 | 87¢ | $37 | 0xfaa60c… |
| 08-12 14:57:01 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 80 | 13¢ | $11 | 0xfaa60c… |
| 08-12 14:57:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 122 | 13¢ | $16 | 0xfaa60c… |
| 08-12 14:56:58 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 339 | 14¢ | $46 | 0x7e46b3… |
| 08-12 14:56:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 122 | 13¢ | $17 | 0x7e46b3… |