Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$37,398
$2,225 in 24h
Trades
1,073
Unique wallets
340
Liquidity
$46,995
Latest YES mid
93¢
Latest NO mid
7¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 08:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-62.4¢
(top1%: 32% YES on $30
vs crowd: 94% YES on $22.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $2.3K | $203 | +$2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $6.6K | $272 | +$6.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 80 | $5.5K | $320 | +$5.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 212 | $7.1K | $510 | +$6.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $10 | $20 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $6.8K | $340 | +$6.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $2.0K | $83 | +$1.9K |
| Median | 66 | $960 | $72 | +$888 |
| Below median | 44 | $517 | $118 | +$399 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $353 | $57 | +$296 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $549 | $131 | +$418 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $1.3K | $12 | +$1.3K |
| unranked | 172 | $9.1K | $472 | +$8.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sour-Parsnip 0x3105…1493 | Yes | +5,645 | $5,348 | $6,029 | 7 | 06-14 16:37 |
| Private-Oleo 0xd063…5ccd | No | +4,940 | $259 | $259 | 2 | 07-01 12:41 |
| Forthright-Critic 0xfc1f…222b | No | +1,891 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-15 07:53 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +1,883 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 07-05 02:04 |
| Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | +1,329 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 06-28 12:26 |
| Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | No | +1,223 | $69 | $69 | 34 | 07-05 10:55 |
| Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | +1,223 | $1,153 | $1,514 | 35 | 07-05 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8556…7e42 | Yes | +1,139 | $1,071 | $2,127 | 15 | 07-05 02:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0979…bae6 | No | +976 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-30 16:38 |
| Profitable-Map 0xd27d…fa96 | No | +803 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-05 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd508…9784 | Yes | +546 | $514 | $514 | 1 | 07-02 06:12 |
| Imperfect-Sugar 0x364e…c657 | Yes | +530 | $498 | $498 | 1 | 06-28 13:13 |
| Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fe…423a | No | +426 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-30 07:27 |
| Hopeful-Contour 0x07e4…6c18 | No | +401 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | +400 | $376 | $376 | 1 | 06-28 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1834…4d07 | No | +399 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-11 16:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xec35…1afb | Yes | +357 | $332 | $708 | 4 | 06-19 00:41 |
| Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | +350 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 06:12 |
| Ashamed-Lathe 0x3f7f…4fd0 | Yes | +338 | $319 | $319 | 1 | 06-02 12:26 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +300 | $278 | $1,414 | 27 | 06-30 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xefef…0548 | Yes | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-28 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x149e…4c62 | No | +266 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-24 22:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x86ef…6289 | Yes | +245 | $232 | $232 | 1 | 06-05 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8202…0714 | Yes | +214 | $202 | $202 | 1 | 06-02 12:37 |
| Primary-Summer 0x9aaf…f724 | Yes | +200 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 06-11 01:44 |
| Orange-Cobbler 0x3bc7…4ea0 | No | +200 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-11 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3fa…06d7 | Yes | +195 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 06-18 02:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x20cf…91db | Yes | +195 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 06-11 02:35 |
| Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | +184 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | Yes | +161 | $152 | $152 | 1 | 06-03 06:45 |
| Clear-Symbol 0xbd05…3937 | Yes | +160 | $152 | $152 | 2 | 06-12 11:17 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +151 | $146 | $1,565 | 10 | 07-05 13:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +151 | $6 | $18 | 5 | 07-05 02:04 |
| Menacing-Snuggle 0x3d7d…cbe3 | No | +146 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-14 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf407…9201 | Yes | +117 | $111 | $111 | 2 | 06-12 11:17 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +110 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-28 13:13 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +110 | $7 | $23 | 4 | 06-28 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…2830 | Yes | +108 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-20 02:49 |
| Concerned-Framework 0x265a…8de2 | Yes | +106 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x61c9…caad | Yes | +106 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 13:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +100 | $93 | $736 | 16 | 07-05 02:03 |
| Virtual-Healthcare 0x203b…d116 | Yes | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-11 01:54 |
| Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | +94 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-06 08:45 |
| Adored-Carpeting 0xfb3a…bef0 | No | +85 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:22 |
| Doting-Complement 0x0420…3a51 | Yes | +85 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 06-29 18:01 |
| Sure-Footed-Pseudoscience 0x9f14…7328 | No | +82 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-03 13:16 |
| This-Ability 0x28ca…a5d4 | No | +81 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x26db…6191 | Yes | +80 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-15 07:53 |
| Virtual-Normalization 0x12b3…eb4e | Yes | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-23 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | Yes | +70 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 06-05 11:35 |
| Bony-Prune 0x9bdd…9e8e | No | +67 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 06-19 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1b5…fe69 | Yes | +66 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 06-28 12:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 08:45:10 | Well-Off-Brook 0x6eb2…a21b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xeeb889… |
| 07-06 08:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xeeb889… |
| 07-06 08:45:10 | Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | BUY | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xeeb889… |
| 07-06 08:45:10 | Limp-Fingerling 0x0184…4c30 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0xeeb889… |
| 07-06 08:45:10 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 115 | 93¢ | $107 | 0xeeb889… |
| 07-06 08:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x95d9…edd6 | No | SELL | 243 | 7¢ | $16 | 0xeeb889… |
| 07-06 05:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8830e7… |
| 07-06 05:25:07 | Slippery-Stadium 0x406b…f22b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x8830e7… |
| 07-05 20:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x16c4…1b4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x64591e… |
| 07-05 20:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x64591e… |
| 07-05 13:11:47 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 128 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x3a8b40… |
| 07-05 13:11:47 | Limp-Fingerling 0x0184…4c30 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x3a8b40… |
| 07-05 13:11:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 142 | 93¢ | $132 | 0x3a8b40… |
| 07-05 11:01:58 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 92¢ | $20 | 0xa1fb7f… |
| 07-05 11:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa1fb7f… |
| 07-05 10:55:58 | Limp-Fingerling 0x0184…4c30 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xd35531… |
| 07-05 10:55:58 | Authorized-Spice 0xed47…9d90 | No | SELL | 451 | 7¢ | $32 | 0xd35531… |
| 07-05 10:55:58 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 215 | 93¢ | $201 | 0xd35531… |
| 07-05 10:55:58 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | No | BUY | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0xd35531… |
| 07-05 10:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xd35531… |
| 07-05 05:39:47 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x365b38… |
| 07-05 05:39:47 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | SELL | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x365b38… |
| 07-05 05:39:47 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x365b38… |
| 07-05 02:11:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 169 | 7¢ | $12 | 0x0c6c93… |
| 07-05 02:11:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x0c6c93… |
| 07-05 02:11:31 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 330 | 93¢ | $307 | 0x0c6c93… |
| 07-05 02:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | BUY | 26 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x0c6c93… |
| 07-05 02:11:31 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | BUY | 124 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x0c6c93… |
| 07-05 02:05:26 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xb8d012… |
| 07-05 02:05:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xb8d012… |
| 07-05 02:05:13 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0x8aadc4… |
| 07-05 02:05:13 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1bbea2… |
| 07-05 02:05:13 | (anonymous) 0x52a0…77dd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x1bbea2… |
| 07-05 02:05:13 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0x8aadc4… |
| 07-05 02:05:13 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 92¢ | $156 | 0xa4e9ac… |
| 07-05 02:05:13 | Hopeful-Spirituality 0x204b…6a5c | No | SELL | 170 | 8¢ | $14 | 0xa4e9ac… |
| 07-05 02:04:41 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x6d0b1a… |
| 07-05 02:04:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x6d0b1a… |
| 07-05 02:04:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf55de2… |
| 07-05 02:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x9390…b7af | Yes | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xf55de2… |
| 07-05 02:04:31 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | BUY | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xc0cacc… |
| 07-05 02:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 93¢ | $51 | 0xc0cacc… |
| 07-05 02:04:23 | (anonymous) 0x3a8c…1a40 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x94dbb4… |
| 07-05 02:04:23 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x94dbb4… |
| 07-05 02:04:19 | Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x01ca50… |
| 07-05 02:04:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x01ca50… |
| 07-05 02:04:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb0d3f7… |
| 07-05 02:04:16 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 561 | 6¢ | $32 | 0xb0d3f7… |
| 07-05 02:04:16 | (anonymous) 0x8556…7e42 | Yes | BUY | 548 | 94¢ | $517 | 0xb0d3f7… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf9c9bc… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 292 | 5¢ | $15 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x8556…7e42 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Accurate-Codepage 0x3ad5…d31d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf9c9bc… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 1,323 | 5¢ | $67 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 95¢ | $175 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 320 | 95¢ | $304 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-05 02:03:56 | Deserted-Shopping 0xbcba…223f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x691bb4… |
| 07-04 20:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x9455…edcd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0547b1… |
| 07-04 20:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0547b1… |
| 07-04 20:14:20 | Thrifty-Media 0xb515…57b2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7b2a4b… |
| 07-04 20:14:20 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7b2a4b… |
| 07-04 16:16:46 | (anonymous) 0xc60f…8496 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb5c31e… |
| 07-04 16:16:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb5c31e… |
| 07-04 16:14:55 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc28a5f… |
| 07-04 16:14:55 | Junior-Crewman 0x9aa8…6435 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc28a5f… |
| 07-04 16:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xbbed…0d9b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0c81c7… |
| 07-04 16:14:10 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0c81c7… |
| 07-04 15:52:25 | Funny-Outlay 0x74c1…0f3c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf7690b… |
| 07-04 15:52:25 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf7690b… |
| 07-04 15:47:05 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf2085f… |
| 07-04 15:47:05 | Clear-Cut-Harmonize 0x233b…aadb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf2085f… |
| 07-04 15:35:50 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x83c47d… |
| 07-04 15:35:50 | Prestigious-Savior 0x35fc…ee28 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x83c47d… |
| 07-04 12:59:43 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdc66d6… |
| 07-04 12:59:43 | Adventurous-Sleepiness 0xb90c…ab23 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xdc66d6… |
| 07-04 12:55:58 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf5cd79… |
| 07-04 12:55:58 | Adept-Dock 0x6026…f93a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf5cd79… |
| 07-04 12:54:37 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xebe79f… |
| 07-04 12:54:37 | Rich-Attendant 0x1d53…4549 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xebe79f… |
| 07-04 12:53:38 | Pertinent-Carnival 0x0320…d00f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0237e3… |
| 07-04 12:53:38 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0237e3… |
| 07-04 12:45:56 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdeccfd… |
| 07-04 12:45:56 | Awful-Ebook 0x80be…0a7f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xdeccfd… |
| 07-04 12:40:46 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x39f50c… |
| 07-04 12:40:46 | Best-Bonfire 0x6a17…956c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x39f50c… |
| 07-04 12:08:46 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x448725… |
| 07-04 12:08:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x448725… |
| 07-04 00:11:11 | (anonymous) 0xc233…3d55 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x1a935b… |
| 07-04 00:11:11 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 292 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x1a935b… |
| 07-04 00:11:11 | (anonymous) 0x21c3…5654 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 95¢ | $55 | 0x1a935b… |
| 07-04 00:11:11 | (anonymous) 0x8556…7e42 | Yes | SELL | 537 | 96¢ | $516 | 0x1a935b… |
| 07-04 00:11:11 | Animated-Noodle 0x070a…8961 | No | SELL | 2,000 | 4¢ | $85 | 0x1a935b… |