Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d528…c38935
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.66K
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
37
Trades
14,157
lifetime
Volume
$3.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$239
Open exposure
$69.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-30 12:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
48% 83% $-360
Politics
42% 57% $-1,009
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 854 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10,278 $8,539 86¢ $8.9K +$352 06-17 13:30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5,241 $4,915 100¢ $5.2K +$306 06-26 16:21
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +4,801 $4,496 100¢ $4.8K +$284 06-22 14:16
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +3,224 $2,278 100¢ $3.2K +$936 06-27 23:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -2,976 $-2,936 100¢ $-2972 $-36 06-26 15:36
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +2,939 $2,776 99¢ $2.9K +$125 06-30 01:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,000 $2,597 94¢ $2.8K +$223 06-23 13:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -2,604 $-2,789 100¢ $-2601 +$188 06-19 19:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -2,585 $-2,694 100¢ $-2580 +$115 06-20 13:28
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +2,230 $2,178 99¢ $2.2K +$37 06-08 07:53
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,197 $2,171 100¢ $2.2K +$23 06-29 21:02
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No -2,000 $-1,970 100¢ $-1997 $-27 06-14 22:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +1,895 $1,726 100¢ $1.9K +$168 06-27 12:34
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -1,868 $-1,805 100¢ $-1866 $-62 05-28 13:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1,852 $1,744 100¢ $1.8K +$104 06-26 12:39
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +2,017 $1,773 92¢ $1.8K +$73 06-21 13:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +1,843 $1,823 100¢ $1.8K +$11 06-28 23:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +1,730 $1,729 100¢ $1.7K $-2 06-23 12:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,800 $-1,716 96¢ $-1727 $-11 06-06 20:11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,000 $1,740 86¢ $1.7K $-30 06-23 20:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1,700 $1,612 100¢ $1.7K +$86 06-22 14:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +1,508 $1,370 100¢ $1.5K +$136 06-26 21:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,480 $1,386 100¢ $1.5K +$90 06-24 13:39
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1,408 $1,306 99¢ $1.4K +$87 06-26 21:42
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1,400 $-1,308 90¢ $-1255 +$53 06-12 17:02
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +1,222 $990 98¢ $1.2K +$214 06-21 09:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,936 $-1,191 59¢ $-1142 +$49 06-21 01:18
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +1,131 $1,091 99¢ $1.1K +$30 06-27 16:26
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +1,120 $1,030 99¢ $1.1K +$81 06-22 12:24
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? Yes +1,100 $1,043 100¢ $1.1K +$56 06-22 21:48