Realized P&L
+$102.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.0K
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
2,874
Trades
45,542
lifetime
Volume
$9.77M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$207.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-07 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Politics
52%
65%
+$57,727
Other
41%
71%
+$31,654
Crypto
3%
74%
+$8,003
Tech
2%
83%
+$1,414
Sports
1%
72%
+$2,760
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$1,171
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 1127 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | 411 | $284.3K | 210,285 | 166,500 | +43,785 | Yes | +$1,061 | 10-29 17:36 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 385 | $270.1K | 139,789 | 137,789 | +2,000 | Yes | +$2,268 | 04-26 19:00 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 199 | $209.4K | 167,211 | 152,170 | +15,041 | Yes | +$6,666 | 11-04 01:08 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 389 | $180.9K | 165,981 | 122,422 | +43,559 | open | — | 10-28 18:55 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 199 | $172.9K | 169,763 | 169,763 | +0 | No | +$1,227 | 11-04 03:19 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 433 | $172.9K | 111,345 | 104,345 | +7,000 | open | — | 11-04 09:52 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 176 | $165.6K | 100,500 | 70,500 | +30,000 | No | +$2,024 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 342 | $150.4K | 109,765 | 91,478 | +18,287 | No | +$11,459 | 10-26 00:12 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 266 | $127.1K | 101,033 | 75,848 | +25,185 | No | +$4,392 | 06-03 16:23 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 33 | $122.8K | 64,569 | 64,569 | +0 | open | — | 11-04 10:27 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | 21 | $107.9K | 270,189 | 168,909 | +101,280 | open | — | 10-14 23:41 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | 359 | $98.5K | 72,402 | 72,402 | +0 | No | +$87 | 10-28 01:26 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 275 | $95.4K | 90,000 | 90,000 | +0 | Yes | +$761 | 11-03 09:22 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 246 | $89.9K | 108,963 | 69,428 | +39,535 | Yes | +$6,669 | 10-26 00:11 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 93 | $83.7K | 43,853 | 43,853 | +0 | No | +$547 | 09-26 11:21 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 127 | $80.8K | 42,178 | 40,000 | +2,179 | No | +$246 | 04-26 19:06 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 139 | $78.0K | 73,478 | 11,657 | +61,821 | No | +$1,463 | 07-01 11:23 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 354 | $66.3K | 32,535 | 50,535 | -18,000 | Yes | -$4,664 | 06-30 12:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 224 | $66.2K | 59,953 | 22,847 | +37,107 | Yes | -$2,063 | 04-08 14:40 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 36 | $60.1K | 57,200 | 5,200 | +52,000 | Yes | +$316 | 04-07 22:19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 174 | $54.0K | 34,274 | 33,248 | +1,025 | No | +$534 | 04-30 19:58 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 86 | $53.4K | 32,544 | 28,300 | +4,244 | Yes | +$493 | 07-29 13:42 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 71 | $53.1K | 26,920 | 27,586 | -666 | No | +$452 | 05-21 03:27 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 189 | $49.6K | 27,000 | 27,000 | +0 | open | — | 06-06 20:11 |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | 39 | $49.0K | 64,492 | 62,316 | +2,175 | open | — | 10-11 20:51 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 134 | $47.8K | 47,782 | 28,184 | +19,597 | No | +$915 | 11-04 01:12 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 104 | $47.4K | 28,973 | 24,301 | +4,671 | No | +$418 | 04-30 14:38 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 64 | $46.6K | 41,571 | 41,571 | +0 | Yes | +$622 | 11-04 01:59 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 205 | $44.5K | 41,764 | 13,914 | +27,850 | No | +$337 | 04-30 20:19 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 99 | $43.7K | 22,454 | 23,154 | -700 | No | +$350 | 06-19 19:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||