Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d528…c38935
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$456
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
37
Trades
16,316
lifetime
Volume
$3.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$42.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-20 18:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
50% 83% $-360
Politics
40% 57% $-1,009
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 389 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11,591 $9,474 74¢ $8.5K $-955 07-15 19:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,000 $5,210 86¢ $5.1K $-80 07-19 23:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3,000 $2,820 94¢ $2.8K $-15 07-11 23:08
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +2,144 $1,854 90¢ $1.9K +$66 07-18 12:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,000 $1,655 94¢ $1.9K +$235 07-05 16:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,800 $-1,716 96¢ $-1733 $-17 06-06 20:11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2,011 $1,704 84¢ $1.7K $-5 07-17 14:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2,384 $-1,522 68¢ $-1610 $-87 07-15 18:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,500 $1,280 90¢ $1.3K +$62 07-17 17:57
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,800 $1,156 74¢ $1.3K +$176 07-10 21:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,957 $793 26¢ $1.3K +$520 06-01 18:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,394 $1,286 91¢ $1.3K $-13 07-13 18:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,558 $1,197 76¢ $1.2K $-5 07-18 22:37
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1,076 $-1,024 91¢ $-975 +$48 07-19 11:24
New pandemic in 2026? No -1,000 $-907 94¢ $-935 $-28 07-04 16:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +1,000 $870 86¢ $855 $-15 07-15 22:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,482 $699 52¢ $770 +$72 07-20 19:59
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +747 $604 96¢ $713 +$109 07-06 22:09
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -1,140 $-654 60¢ $-678 $-24 06-28 16:34
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +853 $335 76¢ $648 +$313 07-01 10:38
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes -600 $-510 97¢ $-580 $-70 06-10 23:47
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -579 $-561 98¢ $-569 $-8 06-15 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $658 55¢ $545 $-113 07-07 10:29
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -600 $-510 86¢ $-513 $-3 06-16 15:26
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -496 $-474 95¢ $-471 +$4 07-20 14:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -500 $-415 88¢ $-438 $-22 06-24 21:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +500 $390 86¢ $432 +$42 06-27 05:44
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +617 $325 68¢ $422 +$98 07-20 04:06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -394 $-513 94¢ $-372 +$141 07-18 03:44
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +350 $317 99¢ $345 +$28 06-22 09:24