Realized P&L
+$102.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.0K
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
2,874
Trades
45,542
lifetime
Volume
$9.77M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$207.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-07 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Politics
52% 65% +$57,727
Other
41% 71% +$31,654
Crypto
3% 74% +$8,003
Tech
2% 83% +$1,414
Sports
1% 72% +$2,760
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,171
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +44,600 $33,405 99¢ $44.3K +$10,927 11-07 02:35
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +25,601 $23,004 89¢ $22.8K -$220 10-13 17:52
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +101,280 $20,865 17¢ $17.2K -$3,647 10-13 15:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +21,780 $16,474 78¢ $17.1K +$580 10-28 18:55
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +23,000 $17,330 70¢ $16.2K -$1,115 10-13 16:26
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +9,445 $9,407 100¢ $9.4K +$5 11-05 22:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +10,000 $9,300 91¢ $9.1K -$190 11-06 10:27
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,157 $5,578 98¢ $6.0K +$450 11-06 09:29
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +5,652 $5,400 100¢ $5.6K +$227 11-05 21:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $4,303 99¢ $5.0K +$657 11-05 19:22
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +5,000 $4,786 99¢ $5.0K +$166 11-05 19:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21,780 $4,974 22¢ $4.7K -$248 10-27 16:27
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +4,148 $3,825 95¢ $3.9K +$116 11-06 10:09
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +4,000 $3,831 97¢ $3.9K +$31 11-06 14:11
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +3,700 $3,508 99¢ $3.7K +$164 11-06 12:01
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +25,732 $3,610 14¢ $3.5K -$137 10-11 12:38
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,297 $3,124 99¢ $3.3K +$152 11-06 09:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,160 $1,564 91¢ $2.9K +$1,311 11-05 13:33
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +3,256 $2,289 86¢ $2.8K +$528 10-14 10:07
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +2,783 $2,365 88¢ $2.5K +$97 10-25 23:39
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +2,667 $1,786 79¢ $2.1K +$320 11-04 08:30
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +2,050 $1,898 98¢ $2.0K +$114 10-25 17:40
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? No +2,000 $1,988 100¢ $2.0K +$9 11-05 16:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -2,000 -$2,071 97¢ $-1933 +$138 09-22 13:03
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2,066 $1,918 92¢ $1.9K -$10 11-06 14:11
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +2,100 $1,245 90¢ $1.9K +$635 10-05 15:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,971 $1,404 92¢ $1.8K +$418 09-21 07:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,515 90¢ $1.8K +$275 11-04 09:52
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +1,800 $732 98¢ $1.8K +$1,037 11-06 20:19
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,966 $1,484 88¢ $1.7K +$236 10-08 16:59