Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d528…c38935 Create alert
whale hot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$105.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.3K
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
2,838
Trades
45,080
lifetime
Volume
$9.70M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$159.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-04 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 211 days
Categories
Politics
52% 65% +$57,572
Other
41% 71% +$34,140
Crypto
3% 74% +$8,003
Tech
2% 83% +$1,414
Sports
1% 72% +$2,760
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1,171
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +41,000 $29,856 98¢ $40.4K +$10,529 11-02 06:43
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +25,601 $23,004 89¢ $22.8K -$220 10-13 17:52
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +101,280 $20,865 18¢ $18.7K -$2,128 10-13 15:10
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +23,000 $17,330 70¢ $16.2K -$1,115 10-13 16:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +21,780 $16,474 72¢ $15.7K -$792 10-28 18:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21,780 $4,974 28¢ $6.1K +$1,125 10-27 16:27
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +25,732 $3,610 14¢ $3.5K -$137 10-11 12:38
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +3,256 $2,289 84¢ $2.8K +$462 10-14 10:07
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +2,783 $2,365 88¢ $2.4K +$70 10-25 23:39
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +2,667 $1,786 76¢ $2.0K +$240 11-04 08:30
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +2,050 $1,898 98¢ $2.0K +$115 10-25 17:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,160 $654 92¢ $2.0K +$1,322 11-04 03:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -2,000 -$2,071 96¢ $-1920 +$151 09-22 13:03
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +2,100 $1,245 90¢ $1.9K +$635 10-05 15:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,515 88¢ $1.8K +$255 11-04 09:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,971 $1,404 88¢ $1.7K +$320 09-21 07:57
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,966 $1,484 86¢ $1.7K +$217 10-08 16:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,800 -$1,539 92¢ $-1665 -$126 08-15 07:34
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,072 82¢ $1.6K +$578 11-04 09:38
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +1,500 $443 95¢ $1.4K +$989 10-15 03:38
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +1,300 $755 100¢ $1.3K +$545 11-03 20:35
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes +1,300 $755 100¢ $1.3K +$538 11-03 20:38
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +1,505 $1,219 79¢ $1.2K -$30 10-13 19:12
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1,900 $920 62¢ $1.2K +$258 10-20 21:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,443 $1,301 45¢ $1.1K -$201 11-03 20:39
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +1,469 $1,377 70¢ $1.0K -$356 10-11 05:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,500 $965 68¢ $1.0K +$48 10-25 19:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,000 $997 100¢ $999 +$2 11-04 08:26
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +1,026 $790 93¢ $954 +$164 10-23 19:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,000 -$769 92¢ $-925 -$156 07-31 21:35