Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
open
Total volume
$4,400
$11 in 24h
Trades
294
Unique wallets
65
Liquidity
$2,056
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 08-21 13:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-25.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $11
vs crowd: 25% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $299 | $1.3K | $1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $244 | $441 | $198 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $229 | $446 | $217 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $43 | $178 | $135 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $217 | $157 | +$60 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 6 | $11 | $76 | $65 |
| Below median | 9 | $16 | $185 | $170 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $27 | $48 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $289 | $262 | +$27 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $1 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| unranked | 20 | $245 | $419 | $174 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +1,177 | $1,031 | $1,071 | 6 | 08-21 13:26 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +974 | $191 | $219 | 14 | 06-26 01:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +278 | $43 | $43 | 9 | 07-21 19:33 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +150 | $28 | $28 | 5 | 06-17 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa515…54d5 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-14 20:37 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +93 | $63 | $63 | 3 | 07-08 13:03 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +75 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 07-21 21:44 |
| Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | +60 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-21 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +55 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-21 17:59 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-08 14:30 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +35 | $4 | $8 | 3 | 07-08 12:55 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +35 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 07-08 12:55 |
| Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-31 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xac6d…0fcb | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-21 13:26 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-17 14:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-22 02:11 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +12 | $9 | $18 | 3 | 07-21 14:39 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 05:07 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-03 10:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-08 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-02 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +6 | $0 | $74 | 47 | 07-22 02:11 |
| Overlooked-Approval 0x9aa0…8779 | Yes | +6 | $-1 | $4 | 3 | 06-17 08:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dee…b7d2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 15:53 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +4 | $3 | $83 | 4 | 07-30 15:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 13:26:00 | (anonymous) 0xac6d…0fcb | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0xb35e00… |
| 08-21 13:26:00 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0xb35e00… |
| 08-02 06:26:20 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x4cab51… |
| 08-02 06:26:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x4cab51… |
| 07-31 20:57:44 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x41a6c4… |
| 07-31 20:57:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x41a6c4… |
| 07-30 15:06:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x35e151… |
| 07-30 15:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x35e151… |
| 07-22 20:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe788d9… |
| 07-22 20:59:22 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe788d9… |
| 07-22 02:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x11a6b8… |
| 07-22 02:11:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x11a6b8… |
| 07-22 02:11:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 71 | 89¢ | $63 | 0x11a6b8… |
| 07-22 02:11:15 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x11a6b8… |
| 07-21 21:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb38362… |
| 07-21 21:44:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb38362… |
| 07-21 21:20:51 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8756af… |
| 07-21 21:20:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8756af… |
| 07-21 20:52:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1313d1… |
| 07-21 20:52:48 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1313d1… |
| 07-21 20:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xaf7481… |
| 07-21 20:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xaf7481… |
| 07-21 20:11:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xaf7481… |
| 07-21 20:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xaf7481… |
| 07-21 19:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xf28fcc… |
| 07-21 19:58:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0xf28fcc… |
| 07-21 19:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x340858… |
| 07-21 19:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x340858… |
| 07-21 19:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd58f3f… |
| 07-21 19:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd58f3f… |
| 07-21 19:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x8a62…69b2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6cb9a0… |
| 07-21 19:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6cb9a0… |
| 07-21 19:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x8a62…69b2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xecab1a… |
| 07-21 19:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xecab1a… |
| 07-21 19:53:54 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x3242b6… |
| 07-21 19:53:54 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x3242b6… |
| 07-21 19:47:48 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcd5a9a… |
| 07-21 19:47:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xcd5a9a… |
| 07-21 19:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb83c36… |
| 07-21 19:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb83c36… |
| 07-21 19:35:15 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 59 | 21¢ | $12 | 0x62574a… |
| 07-21 19:35:15 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 59 | 79¢ | $46 | 0x62574a… |
| 07-21 19:33:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x0b762b… |
| 07-21 19:33:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x0b762b… |
| 07-21 19:33:48 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x0b762b… |
| 07-21 19:33:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 88 | 78¢ | $69 | 0x0b762b… |
| 07-21 19:33:48 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 209 | 22¢ | $46 | 0x0b762b… |
| 07-21 18:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 26 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x360286… |
| 07-21 18:42:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 26 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x360286… |
| 07-21 17:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 55 | 72¢ | $40 | 0x33ebc5… |
| 07-21 17:59:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x33ebc5… |
| 07-21 17:59:19 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x33ebc5… |
| 07-21 15:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x27fb03… |
| 07-21 15:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x27fb03… |
| 07-21 15:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbb84de… |
| 07-21 15:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbb84de… |
| 07-21 14:58:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc2b431… |
| 07-21 14:58:04 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc2b431… |
| 07-21 14:45:39 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x56719d… |
| 07-21 14:45:39 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 97 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x56719d… |
| 07-21 14:45:39 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x56719d… |
| 07-21 14:45:39 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x56719d… |
| 07-21 14:45:19 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc03c09… |
| 07-21 14:45:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc03c09… |
| 07-21 14:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8653fc… |
| 07-21 14:43:04 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8653fc… |
| 07-21 14:39:39 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 12 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xd84e99… |
| 07-21 14:39:39 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xd84e99… |
| 07-21 14:39:21 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x47fb9a… |
| 07-21 14:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x47fb9a… |
| 07-21 14:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x7584a8… |
| 07-21 14:39:16 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x7584a8… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 489 | 11¢ | $56 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 147 | 89¢ | $131 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 49 | 88¢ | $43 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 71 | 89¢ | $63 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-21 14:39:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x6b3a5a… |
| 07-15 16:08:40 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x31632e… |
| 07-15 16:08:40 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x31632e… |
| 07-15 05:07:46 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfe0977… |
| 07-15 05:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfe0977… |
| 07-09 09:55:34 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa77a99… |
| 07-09 09:55:34 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa77a99… |
| 07-09 09:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa77a99… |
| 07-08 14:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 88 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x2a550a… |
| 07-08 14:30:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2a550a… |
| 07-08 14:30:38 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2a550a… |
| 07-08 14:30:38 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x2a550a… |
| 07-08 14:23:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6d066c… |
| 07-08 14:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6d066c… |
| 07-08 14:23:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x0341f5… |
| 07-08 14:23:07 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x0341f5… |
| 07-08 13:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf602f8… |
| 07-08 13:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf602f8… |
| 07-08 13:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 41 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xb72506… |