Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
open
Total volume
$2,822
$11 in 24h
Trades
142
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$2,056
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-08 11:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $11
vs crowd: 25% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $235 | $1.1K | $890 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $213 | $301 | $89 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $137 | $218 | $81 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $15 | $202 | $187 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $207 | $157 | +$51 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 4 | $9 | $9 | $0 |
| Below median | 6 | $9 | $44 | $35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $17 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $233 | $233 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 14 | $138 | $324 | $187 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +1,200 | $1,051 | $1,051 | 5 | 07-08 11:10 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +974 | $191 | $219 | 14 | 06-26 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | +593 | $60 | $177 | 8 | 07-08 11:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +150 | $28 | $28 | 5 | 06-17 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa515…54d5 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-14 20:37 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +88 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 07-08 11:10 |
| Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-08 11:10 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-08 11:10 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-08 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-08 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-08 11:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-17 15:07 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-17 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 00:00 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-03 10:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +7 | $0 | $3 | 2 | 07-08 11:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-08 11:10 |
| Overlooked-Approval 0x9aa0…8779 | Yes | +6 | $-1 | $4 | 3 | 06-17 08:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 15:55 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dee…b7d2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 15:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 11:17:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x46bc77… |
| 07-08 11:17:38 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x46bc77… |
| 07-08 11:12:28 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x71d85f… |
| 07-08 11:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0x71d85f… |
| 07-08 11:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xc15715… |
| 07-08 11:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xc15715… |
| 07-08 11:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0x1d2997… |
| 07-08 11:11:14 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x1d2997… |
| 07-08 11:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | SELL | 75 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x8a7a94… |
| 07-08 11:10:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 75 | 82¢ | $61 | 0x8a7a94… |
| 07-08 11:10:46 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x84e777… |
| 07-08 11:10:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x84e777… |
| 07-08 11:10:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc58c5a… |
| 07-08 11:10:31 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc58c5a… |
| 07-08 11:10:31 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc58c5a… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 75 | 87¢ | $65 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 27 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x3cc3…084a | Yes | BUY | 903 | 13¢ | $115 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-08 11:10:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 185 | 88¢ | $163 | 0xc15f4c… |
| 07-06 00:00:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x0f9a4b… |
| 07-06 00:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0f9a4b… |
| 07-04 10:53:52 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa6e1a5… |
| 07-04 10:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa6e1a5… |
| 07-03 21:19:40 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd6fc1e… |
| 07-03 21:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd6fc1e… |
| 07-03 21:19:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1a44df… |
| 07-03 21:19:37 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x1a44df… |
| 07-03 21:19:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x1a44df… |
| 07-01 19:23:23 | (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x86b1d4… |
| 07-01 19:23:23 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x86b1d4… |
| 06-27 17:45:29 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf94198… |
| 06-27 17:45:29 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0xf94198… |
| 06-26 01:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb381e4… |
| 06-26 01:21:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xb381e4… |
| 06-26 01:21:28 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 55 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xb381e4… |
| 06-22 23:11:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xe223e5… |
| 06-22 23:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x80b1…751a | No | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xe223e5… |
| 06-20 19:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x80b1…751a | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x5b547d… |
| 06-20 19:43:13 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x5b547d… |
| 06-20 15:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x044185… |
| 06-20 15:55:29 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x044185… |
| 06-18 15:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x9ad344… |
| 06-18 15:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x0dee…b7d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x9ad344… |
| 06-17 15:07:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x63f41d… |
| 06-17 15:07:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x63f41d… |
| 06-17 15:03:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x6ec474… |
| 06-17 15:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x6ec474… |
| 06-17 14:20:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd1d803… |
| 06-17 14:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xd1d803… |
| 06-17 14:20:13 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 61 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xd1d803… |
| 06-17 14:20:13 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xd1d803… |
| 06-17 14:07:38 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 63 | 59¢ | $37 | 0xe41f34… |
| 06-17 14:07:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0xe41f34… |
| 06-17 14:07:38 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe41f34… |
| 06-17 14:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x8674…0d1e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xe41f34… |
| 06-17 14:07:38 | Insignificant-Forelimb 0x2e1f…8fde | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xe41f34… |
| 06-17 14:07:38 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 18 | 61¢ | $11 | 0xe41f34… |
| 06-17 08:23:20 | Rural-Twist 0x2654…b45f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6d23d3… |
| 06-17 08:23:20 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6d23d3… |
| 06-17 08:23:14 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x046654… |
| 06-17 08:23:14 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x046654… |
| 06-17 08:06:53 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x440402… |
| 06-17 08:06:53 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x440402… |
| 06-17 08:06:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x152795… |
| 06-17 08:06:49 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x152795… |
| 06-17 08:06:46 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xae8e26… |
| 06-17 08:06:46 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xae8e26… |
| 06-17 08:06:38 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x62b31e… |
| 06-17 08:06:38 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x62b31e… |
| 06-17 08:06:32 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x17cf81… |
| 06-17 08:06:32 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x17cf81… |
| 06-17 08:06:23 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 58 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x1c8ee6… |
| 06-17 08:06:23 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 59 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x1c8ee6… |
| 06-17 08:06:23 | Overlooked-Approval 0x9aa0…8779 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1c8ee6… |
| 06-17 08:04:50 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1fb28a… |
| 06-17 08:04:50 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1fb28a… |
| 06-17 08:03:50 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xf1dd9c… |
| 06-17 08:03:50 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xf1dd9c… |
| 06-17 08:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xb03811… |
| 06-17 08:01:49 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xb03811… |
| 06-17 08:01:28 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 800 | 20¢ | $160 | 0x87dd7a… |
| 06-17 08:01:28 | Insignificant-Forelimb 0x2e1f…8fde | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x87dd7a… |
| 06-17 08:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x8674…0d1e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x87dd7a… |
| 06-17 08:01:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 790 | 20¢ | $158 | 0x87dd7a… |
| 06-17 08:00:47 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb4b856… |
| 06-17 08:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb4b856… |
| 06-17 07:58:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x2ca2d8… |
| 06-17 07:58:10 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x2ca2d8… |
| 06-17 07:56:59 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x604508… |
| 06-17 07:56:59 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x604508… |