Virtual-Persimmon-Tights — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.94K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

269

Trades

1,180

lifetime

Volume

$82.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 07-29 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

88% 52% -$2,048

Sports

9% 46% +$146

Politics

2% 7% -$32

Crypto

1% 0% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	+50	$2	4¢	$2	$0	07-16 19:16
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+50	$6	2¢	$1	-$5	07-16 19:09
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	+$1	07-15 18:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Iga Swiatek	+$10	05-25 10:14
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Valentin Vacherot	+$10	05-26 10:26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	8	$1.6K	2,051	2,051	+0	PlayTime	+$23	05-22 09:17
mlb stl cin 2026 05 24	3	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	-$309	07-23 20:48
Games Total: O/U 2.5	10	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$10	05-30 06:07
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	5	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	San Diego Padres	+$10	05-29 13:32
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	5	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$10	05-23 16:24
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Blockx	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	cancelled	-$110	05-26 21:12
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Al Okhdood SC	+$10	05-21 12:55
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda	6	$1.1K	1,347	1,347	+0	Edas Butvilas	-$17	06-03 05:46
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Cagliari Calcio	+$10	05-24 18:53
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	23	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$10	05-30 17:23
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	11	$990	1,000	1,000	+0	Team WE	+$10	06-01 05:07
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	29	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	Team Nemesis	+$10	05-31 07:56
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 total games 3pt5	4	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	-$10	06-12 04:11
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	6	$970	1,000	1,000	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$10	05-27 01:53
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?	2	$930	500	500	+0	No	+$5	06-17 11:13
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	19	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	AS Roma	+$10	05-24 17:12
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$905	1,903	1,903	+0	Gen.G	+$46	05-22 10:22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$900	1,000	1,000	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	$0	05-20 07:00
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5	17	$890	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$10	05-27 17:12
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?	3	$886	500	500	+0	No	+$5	06-11 20:58
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions	8	$857	926	926	+0	Shanghai Sharks	+$9	05-26 06:15
lol me1 ewi 2026 06 10	3	$855	500	500	+0	Misa Esports	+$5	06-10 15:16
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	2	$815	500	500	+0	paiN Gaming Academy	+$5	05-26 07:19
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts first half	2	$795	500	500	+0	No	-$5	06-12 05:46
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	2	$792	500	500	+0	Under	+$2	06-12 06:15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$785	500	500	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$5	05-23 05:49
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	3	$785	500	500	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$5	05-23 05:50
Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs	2	$755	500	500	+0	TDK	+$5	05-29 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 19:40:23	will revoluts valuation hit low 70b by december 31 20260701011444458	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xf4b047…
07-29 19:39:57	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt35 by july 31 20260629184429515	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x39c8ec…
07-29 19:39:44	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x36973f…
07-29 19:39:32	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x3ff060…
07-29 19:39:18	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xd6643d…
07-29 19:38:59	will bytedances valuation hit high 750b by july 31 20260630205251336	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x825dbd…
07-29 19:38:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x07d06d…
07-29 19:38:27	will team falcons make a roster change before september 20260623155348350	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xdf3058…
07-24 03:59:03	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xe3cf7e…
07-24 03:48:18	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x66d0bd…
07-24 03:32:00	will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x93155e…
07-23 20:48:37	mlb stl cin 2026 05 24	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	759	41¢	$311	0x9e431c…
07-23 20:46:15	Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x26c65f…
07-23 20:45:40	Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf14cc1…
07-23 20:44:10	Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x6a26ac…
07-23 20:42:33	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x33fb70…
07-23 20:40:55	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x622936…
07-23 20:40:31	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x035fb1…
07-23 20:40:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xe3a7a9…
07-23 20:39:15	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x99b5c9…
07-23 20:38:45	Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?	No	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x9074f2…
07-23 20:38:18	Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd017f5…
07-23 20:38:06	Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x045ded…
07-23 20:37:45	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x91d763…
07-23 20:37:19	Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x599b74…
07-23 20:35:42	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x41266a…
07-23 20:34:00	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xce23b7…
07-23 20:33:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x4a3233…
07-23 20:33:10	Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x4890ad…
07-23 20:32:37	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xde3559…
07-23 20:32:01	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x6fb987…
07-23 20:30:49	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x5eaec6…
07-23 20:30:25	Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xb823e3…
07-23 20:30:06	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?	No	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x82e3eb…
07-23 20:29:03	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x7d1e1d…
07-23 20:28:34	Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xb8b5e8…
07-23 20:27:52	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x80dc12…
07-23 20:27:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xababe1…
07-23 20:27:22	Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x4270e9…
07-23 20:26:09	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x4336a0…
07-23 20:25:55	Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x024223…
07-23 20:25:28	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xce255b…
07-23 20:25:12	will canvas valuation hit high 43pt5 by july 31 20260629184737584	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xf4156d…
07-23 20:24:01	will russia enter krasnopillya by september 30	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x36f684…
07-23 20:23:25	Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x273c54…
07-23 20:23:04	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xd57aa6…
07-23 20:22:46	Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x8b6849…
07-23 20:22:33	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x4465dd…
07-23 20:21:40	Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x8153c5…
07-23 20:21:22	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x3547dc…
07-23 20:20:21	Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x5df7b7…
07-23 20:19:55	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xdd7a9f…
07-23 20:18:45	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xdebd18…
07-23 20:18:21	Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x65bf79…
07-23 20:17:28	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3e5e7b…
07-23 20:15:51	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x132b63…
07-23 20:14:40	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x55db31…
07-23 20:14:03	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x27f4c4…
07-23 20:12:51	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0xbf1e2c…
07-23 20:12:16	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x88d5b1…
07-23 20:11:43	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x8a0360…
07-23 20:11:15	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x7924fc…
07-23 20:09:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x1e148f…
07-23 20:09:42	FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x738b31…
07-23 19:45:09	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xac9c9d…
07-23 19:44:19	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x1b9f2a…
07-23 19:39:18	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xd205a4…
07-23 19:38:33	Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x74bbbb…
07-23 19:36:46	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xd3966b…
07-23 19:35:49	Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0x842b78…
07-23 19:33:52	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xc07404…
07-23 19:33:04	Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x47184c…
07-23 18:45:42	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xa5b9a9…
07-23 18:41:30	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x1ab10e…
07-23 18:38:06	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xb8193a…
07-23 18:36:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x4c3796…
07-23 18:36:22	will franois hollande advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x7a9501…
07-23 18:24:33	Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2d5b68…
07-23 16:17:48	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xbcb5a7…
07-23 14:08:16	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x42cf6a…
07-23 12:08:21	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x3dd747…
07-23 10:51:13	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x3237d5…
07-23 10:37:31	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe30e62…
07-23 09:36:34	Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x23d044…
07-23 09:33:54	Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc403a4…
07-23 08:25:30	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x33e190…
07-23 08:08:21	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x24232f…
07-23 04:04:51	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xfd5533…
07-23 01:18:13	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xefbad7…
07-23 01:17:30	Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x7632ce…
07-22 21:11:06	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x5f9243…
07-22 16:44:31	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x2750a6…
07-22 13:57:12	Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xfaf756…
07-22 11:17:10	Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xc97d39…
07-22 05:36:16	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x2d2cc9…
07-22 04:34:45	Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x1a8e29…
07-22 04:34:40	Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x16e7e8…
07-22 04:34:30	Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xb3fc51…
07-22 04:32:00	Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7d7ec7…
07-22 03:05:39	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x039abb…