Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?
open
Total volume
$627
$1,319 in 24h
Trades
59
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$7,764
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-11-02
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-20 17:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $13 | $6 | +$7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $32 | $92 | $60 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $50 | $111 | $61 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | — | $119 | $119 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $13 | $83 | $70 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $27 | $9 | +$18 |
| Median | 4 | — | $40 | $40 |
| Below median | 2 | $44 | — | +$44 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 7 | $2 | $190 | $188 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | +151 | $114 | $114 | 7 | 07-12 16:00 |
| Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | +118 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 06-06 04:00 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +82 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 06-21 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6404…f250 | No | +79 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 07-20 17:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +44 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 07-08 21:31 |
| Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-11 18:31 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 10:05 |
| Frequent-Footrest 0x09e7…1fff | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-28 10:05 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-15 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-25 13:06 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +2 | $1 | $17 | 3 | 06-07 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | +2 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 06-25 13:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 17:52:33 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 79 | 80¢ | $64 | 0x075c92… |
| 07-20 17:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x6404…f250 | No | BUY | 79 | 80¢ | $64 | 0x075c92… |
| 07-15 23:20:58 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xfb4ad0… |
| 07-15 23:20:58 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xfb4ad0… |
| 07-12 16:00:16 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x9c83e1… |
| 07-12 16:00:16 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x9c83e1… |
| 07-12 16:00:16 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x9c83e1… |
| 07-12 12:25:49 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x1f9f20… |
| 07-12 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x1f9f20… |
| 07-12 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x1f9f20… |
| 07-11 23:46:50 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0xadf616… |
| 07-11 23:46:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xadf616… |
| 07-11 23:46:44 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x58f910… |
| 07-11 23:46:44 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | SELL | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0x58f910… |
| 07-11 23:46:44 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x58f910… |
| 07-11 23:46:44 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x58f910… |
| 07-11 23:46:44 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x58f910… |
| 07-11 18:31:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x4afd7d… |
| 07-11 18:31:41 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | No | BUY | 25 | 78¢ | $20 | 0x4afd7d… |
| 07-08 21:31:13 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xd3537c… |
| 07-08 21:31:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd3537c… |
| 07-08 21:19:14 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x0cebea… |
| 07-08 21:19:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x0cebea… |
| 06-25 13:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x0d5e88… |
| 06-25 13:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0d5e88… |
| 06-25 13:06:13 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | No | SELL | 15 | 79¢ | $12 | 0x0d5e88… |
| 06-25 13:06:13 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 25 | 74¢ | $19 | 0x0d5e88… |
| 06-22 22:17:28 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x747614… |
| 06-22 22:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x747614… |
| 06-22 22:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x747614… |
| 06-22 22:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x747614… |
| 06-21 22:39:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xee5314… |
| 06-21 22:39:16 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 72 | 77¢ | $55 | 0xee5314… |
| 06-12 19:38:10 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 10 | 65¢ | $6 | 0xdba6f8… |
| 06-12 19:38:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xdba6f8… |
| 06-07 20:13:28 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | No | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x100c09… |
| 06-07 20:13:28 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 24 | 60¢ | $14 | 0x100c09… |
| 06-07 20:13:28 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x100c09… |
| 06-07 20:13:12 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | No | BUY | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x48d877… |
| 06-07 20:13:12 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x48d877… |
| 06-06 04:00:19 | Staid-Rain 0x8d4c…34a1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x71e1ee… |
| 06-06 04:00:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x71e1ee… |
| 06-06 04:00:19 | Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x71e1ee… |
| 05-28 10:05:56 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xe45a59… |
| 05-28 10:05:56 | Frequent-Footrest 0x09e7…1fff | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xe45a59… |
| 05-28 10:05:23 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x04ff30… |
| 05-28 10:05:23 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x04ff30… |
| 05-28 10:05:20 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0xd49ff9… |
| 05-28 10:05:20 | Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xd49ff9… |
| 05-28 10:05:14 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x12b558… |
| 05-28 10:05:14 | Frequent-Footrest 0x09e7…1fff | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x12b558… |
| 05-28 10:05:11 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x7bb417… |
| 05-28 10:05:11 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x7bb417… |
| 05-28 10:05:07 | Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x754045… |
| 05-28 10:05:07 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x754045… |
| 05-28 10:05:06 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 43¢ | $6 | 0x1d3e48… |
| 05-28 10:05:06 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 15 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x1d3e48… |
| 05-28 10:05:02 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x79c8ba… |
| 05-28 10:05:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x79c8ba… |