Realized P&L
-$436
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved
1,689
Trades
20,066
lifetime
Volume
$100.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$738
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-28 02:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
62% 66% -$281
Politics
20% 65% -$40
Crypto
8% 57% -$26
Tech
5% 68% -$79
Sports
5% 56% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 442 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +150 $94 64¢ $97 +$3 10-27 08:27
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +134 $78 54¢ $73 -$5 10-26 21:28
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +100 $74 66¢ $66 -$8 10-26 12:56
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +100 $66 64¢ $64 -$1 10-27 18:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +100 $56 59¢ $59 +$3 10-27 08:29
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +100 $51 54¢ $54 +$2 10-27 08:54
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +50 $43 88¢ $44 +$1 10-22 11:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +100 $43 43¢ $43 $0 10-27 12:45
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +200 $48 19¢ $38 -$10 10-27 23:59
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +100 $47 34¢ $34 -$13 10-27 20:41
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +50 $31 50¢ $25 -$6 10-17 00:37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +100 $21 20¢ $20 -$1 10-27 05:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $40 38¢ $19 -$22 09-28 19:28
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +50 $18 32¢ $16 -$2 10-22 08:39
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +20 $13 75¢ $15 +$2 10-26 09:18
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +40 $23 35¢ $14 -$9 10-13 05:49
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +50 $11 14¢ $7 -$4 10-26 17:32
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $13 14¢ $7 -$6 10-26 12:31
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 -$5 11¢ $-5 $0 10-13 05:53
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 08-15 08:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 95¢ $5 +$2 08-21 14:15
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $0 07-31 18:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +5 $2 78¢ $4 +$2 07-10 00:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +5 $4 71¢ $3 -$1 07-28 18:34
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 08-17 22:49
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 $0 08-23 00:26
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +19 $4 16¢ $3 $0 10-17 15:05
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 10-26 13:20
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 07-13 06:25
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 07-12 21:05