Realized P&L (7d)
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
78.4%
Resolved (7d)
138
Trades (7d)
510
20,336 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.6K
$107.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$739
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 11-01 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Other
63% 65% -$292
Politics
19% 65% -$39
Crypto
8% 57% -$26
Tech
5% 68% -$80
Sports
4% 56% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 442 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +96 $81 84¢ $81 +$0 10-31 11:30
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +100 $85 80¢ $80 -$4 10-31 20:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +150 $94 51¢ $76 -$17 10-27 08:27
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +90 $77 85¢ $76 -$1 11-01 03:55
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +100 $78 75¢ $75 -$3 10-28 22:51
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +100 $55 53¢ $53 -$2 10-30 09:20
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +80 $50 64¢ $51 +$1 10-30 17:46
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +100 $47 41¢ $41 -$6 10-27 20:41
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +200 $48 20¢ $41 -$7 10-27 23:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +80 $44 45¢ $36 -$8 10-29 17:48
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +50 $36 63¢ $32 -$5 10-31 01:13
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $28 21¢ $21 -$8 10-28 09:36
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +50 $27 36¢ $18 -$9 10-30 00:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $13 16¢ $8 -$5 10-26 12:31
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 08-15 08:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 95¢ $5 +$2 08-21 14:15
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 07-31 18:01
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 74¢ $4 +$3 10-31 07:14
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +5 $2 80¢ $4 +$2 07-10 00:34
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +4 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 08-23 00:26
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 08-17 22:49
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 -$1 07-28 18:34
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 -$5 6¢ $-3 +$2 10-13 05:53
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 07-13 06:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3 $2 82¢ $3 +$1 07-21 05:42
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $2 84¢ $3 +$0 07-12 21:05
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$1 07-14 15:19
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 91¢ $2 +$0 08-09 23:22
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +3 $1 76¢ $2 +$1 08-08 12:31
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 08-22 08:13