Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,270
$284 in 24h
Trades
201
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$16,710
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-22 21:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4 | $16 | $12 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $40 | $6 | +$33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $146 | $864 | $717 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $150 | $298 | $147 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $8 | $493 | $485 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $8 | $289 | $281 |
| Median | 8 | $4 | $53 | $49 |
| Below median | 12 | $80 | $29 | +$51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| unranked | 37 | $181 | $320 | $138 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2e0c…8fa1 | Yes | +640 | $76 | $76 | 3 | 07-15 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c07…48d9 | Yes | +489 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-18 21:33 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | +463 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 06-01 03:29 |
| Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | +442 | $374 | $612 | 12 | 07-12 18:58 |
| Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | +310 | $273 | $273 | 3 | 07-21 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2a0…abd4 | Yes | +286 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-13 02:55 |
| Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | +283 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-21 07:33 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +157 | $8 | $36 | 11 | 07-13 19:17 |
| Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | +106 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfeb1…a66d | Yes | +93 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 20:51 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +65 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | +53 | $46 | $157 | 8 | 06-21 07:33 |
| Plastic-Sandal 0xfc70…69bc | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4449…e167 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 17:47 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-13 19:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 21:33 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-25 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d45…02ed | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c9…b24d | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xdad3…dbcb | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 17:32 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-12 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $18 | 5 | 07-22 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xc497…64d6 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4596…4b6c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa61b…83f5 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ddb…655c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 21:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8656…7695 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 07:49 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-22 19:06 |
| Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 00:59 |
| Favorable-Bidder 0xaab6…b6a2 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 05-28 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $32 | 8 | 07-20 01:31 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-22 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $23 | 5 | 07-12 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +5 | $4 | $62 | 5 | 07-22 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $7 | 5 | 06-30 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-23 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x112e…9a71 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 15:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 21:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xeaef8e… |
| 07-22 21:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xeaef8e… |
| 07-22 19:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x8e6d6c… |
| 07-22 19:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xc497…64d6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8e6d6c… |
| 07-22 19:06:06 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x8e6d6c… |
| 07-22 19:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x4596…4b6c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x65a51c… |
| 07-22 19:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x65a51c… |
| 07-22 19:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x65a51c… |
| 07-21 22:18:09 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x594e8b… |
| 07-21 22:18:09 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x594e8b… |
| 07-21 22:18:01 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x56605d… |
| 07-21 22:18:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x56605d… |
| 07-20 01:31:28 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x55a825… |
| 07-20 01:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x55a825… |
| 07-20 01:31:28 | (anonymous) 0xa61b…83f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x55a825… |
| 07-16 00:13:04 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb0a644… |
| 07-16 00:13:04 | (anonymous) 0x8656…7695 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb0a644… |
| 07-15 15:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x112e…9a71 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x29061c… |
| 07-15 15:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x2e0c…8fa1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x29061c… |
| 07-14 21:52:58 | (anonymous) 0x4ddb…655c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe4530b… |
| 07-14 21:52:58 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe4530b… |
| 07-14 17:32:56 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x548222… |
| 07-14 17:32:56 | (anonymous) 0xdad3…dbcb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x548222… |
| 07-14 09:41:38 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 300 | 88¢ | $264 | 0xc86807… |
| 07-14 09:41:38 | (anonymous) 0x2e0c…8fa1 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 12¢ | $36 | 0xc86807… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 29 | 90¢ | $26 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x2e0c…8fa1 | Yes | BUY | 337 | 12¢ | $40 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-13 19:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x80410c… |
| 07-12 20:50:28 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xb63f61… |
| 07-12 20:50:28 | Husky-Reinscription 0x4c8f…8cc2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb63f61… |
| 07-12 20:50:28 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xb63f61… |
| 07-12 20:50:28 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb63f61… |
| 07-12 18:58:07 | (anonymous) 0xac7e…be9c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd89781… |
| 07-12 18:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd89781… |
| 07-12 18:58:07 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xd89781… |
| 07-11 13:02:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x919554… |
| 07-11 13:02:01 | Husky-Reinscription 0x4c8f…8cc2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x919554… |
| 07-11 13:00:46 | Husky-Reinscription 0x4c8f…8cc2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4150e8… |
| 07-11 13:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x4150e8… |
| 07-09 02:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe215ba… |
| 07-09 02:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe215ba… |
| 07-09 02:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe215ba… |
| 07-09 02:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xc519…9251 | No | SELL | 105 | 91¢ | $96 | 0xe215ba… |
| 07-09 02:41:49 | Husky-Reinscription 0x4c8f…8cc2 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xe215ba… |
| 07-09 02:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xe215ba… |
| 07-07 17:24:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xf7651a… |
| 07-07 17:24:38 | (anonymous) 0x27f2…015b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xf7651a… |
| 07-06 18:29:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7a482c… |
| 07-06 18:29:32 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7a482c… |
| 07-06 18:29:32 | (anonymous) 0xc519…9251 | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x7a482c… |
| 07-06 13:24:29 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xebecdb… |
| 07-06 13:24:29 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xebecdb… |
| 07-06 13:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x354f88… |
| 07-06 13:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x354f88… |
| 07-06 13:24:08 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x354f88… |
| 07-05 19:01:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1af180… |
| 07-05 19:01:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b97…f776 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x1af180… |
| 07-05 19:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1af180… |
| 07-05 19:01:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0x1af180… |
| 07-05 02:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xac970b… |
| 07-05 02:32:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xac970b… |
| 07-05 01:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x9a9f1a… |
| 07-05 01:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x9a9f1a… |
| 07-05 01:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x9a9f1a… |
| 07-05 01:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x9a9f1a… |
| 07-03 13:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe73084… |
| 07-03 13:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe73084… |
| 07-03 13:13:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe73084… |
| 07-03 00:00:08 | Deadly-Milestone 0xe737…060d | No | SELL | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xde4046… |
| 07-03 00:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xde4046… |
| 06-30 06:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x65a384… |
| 06-30 06:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 55 | 94¢ | $52 | 0x65a384… |
| 06-30 06:35:49 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x65a384… |
| 06-29 17:47:44 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x60e281… |
| 06-29 17:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x60e281… |
| 06-29 17:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x4449…e167 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x60e281… |
| 06-29 17:38:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf43082… |
| 06-29 17:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x4449…e167 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf43082… |
| 06-28 00:45:28 | (anonymous) 0x5486…970c | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xd87aaf… |
| 06-28 00:45:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd87aaf… |
| 06-26 19:10:01 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x0e22b7… |
| 06-26 19:10:01 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0e22b7… |
| 06-26 03:26:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x414f0a… |
| 06-26 03:26:55 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x414f0a… |
| 06-25 13:01:19 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xadd435… |
| 06-25 13:01:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xadd435… |
| 06-25 12:55:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x465088… |
| 06-25 12:55:25 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x465088… |
| 06-24 00:53:01 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4d86d4… |
| 06-24 00:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4d86d4… |
| 06-24 00:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x23c9…b24d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4d86d4… |
| 06-23 12:58:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6499ec… |
| 06-23 12:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6499ec… |
| 06-23 12:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x6499ec… |
| 06-23 06:24:19 | Voluminous-Cabin 0x12bb…f88a | Yes | SELL | 121 | 7¢ | $8 | 0xb562fe… |