Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,351
$284 in 24h
Trades
128
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$16,710
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-03 00:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $40 | $6 | +$33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $106 | $517 | $411 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $107 | $162 | $55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $8 | $493 | $485 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Median | 5 | $4 | $6 | $2 |
| Below median | 9 | $84 | — | +$84 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| unranked | 23 | $99 | $186 | $87 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | +557 | $484 | $502 | 10 | 06-26 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c07…48d9 | Yes | +489 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-18 21:33 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | +463 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 06-01 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2a0…abd4 | Yes | +286 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-13 02:55 |
| Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | +283 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-21 07:33 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +246 | $19 | $25 | 6 | 06-18 21:33 |
| Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | +106 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfeb1…a66d | Yes | +93 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 20:51 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +65 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 17:21 |
| Husky-Reinscription 0x4c8f…8cc2 | Yes | +56 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | +53 | $46 | $157 | 8 | 06-21 07:33 |
| Plastic-Sandal 0xfc70…69bc | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4449…e167 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 17:47 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-03 00:00 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-25 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 00:40 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +13 | $-2 | $18 | 2 | 06-18 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d45…02ed | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c9…b24d | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 07:49 |
| Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 00:59 |
| Favorable-Bidder 0xaab6…b6a2 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 05-28 23:12 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $7 | 5 | 06-30 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-23 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 15:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 00:00:08 | Deadly-Milestone 0xe737…060d | No | SELL | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xde4046… |
| 07-03 00:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xde4046… |
| 06-30 06:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 55 | 94¢ | $52 | 0x65a384… |
| 06-30 06:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x65a384… |
| 06-30 06:35:49 | Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x65a384… |
| 06-29 17:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x60e281… |
| 06-29 17:47:44 | (anonymous) 0x4449…e167 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x60e281… |
| 06-29 17:47:44 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x60e281… |
| 06-29 17:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x4449…e167 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf43082… |
| 06-29 17:38:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf43082… |
| 06-28 00:45:28 | (anonymous) 0x5486…970c | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xd87aaf… |
| 06-28 00:45:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd87aaf… |
| 06-26 19:10:01 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0e22b7… |
| 06-26 19:10:01 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x0e22b7… |
| 06-26 03:26:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x414f0a… |
| 06-26 03:26:55 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x414f0a… |
| 06-25 13:01:19 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xadd435… |
| 06-25 13:01:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xadd435… |
| 06-25 12:55:25 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x465088… |
| 06-25 12:55:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x465088… |
| 06-24 00:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x23c9…b24d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4d86d4… |
| 06-24 00:53:01 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4d86d4… |
| 06-24 00:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4d86d4… |
| 06-23 12:58:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6499ec… |
| 06-23 12:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x6499ec… |
| 06-23 12:58:49 | (anonymous) 0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6499ec… |
| 06-23 06:24:19 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 106 | 93¢ | $99 | 0xb562fe… |
| 06-23 06:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb562fe… |
| 06-23 06:24:19 | Voluminous-Cabin 0x12bb…f88a | Yes | SELL | 121 | 7¢ | $8 | 0xb562fe… |
| 06-22 19:31:55 | Normal-Locomotive 0xcdae…c02e | Yes | SELL | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x64c886… |
| 06-22 19:31:55 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 42 | 93¢ | $39 | 0x64c886… |
| 06-22 00:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1b08b7… |
| 06-22 00:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1b08b7… |
| 06-21 12:21:47 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x804d92… |
| 06-21 12:21:47 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x804d92… |
| 06-21 11:26:41 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe31426… |
| 06-21 11:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x6d45…02ed | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe31426… |
| 06-21 07:49:20 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcd646b… |
| 06-21 07:49:20 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcd646b… |
| 06-21 07:33:44 | Voluminous-Cabin 0x12bb…f88a | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $13 | 0x0190a4… |
| 06-21 07:33:44 | Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | SELL | 46 | 92¢ | $42 | 0x0190a4… |
| 06-21 07:33:44 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0190a4… |
| 06-21 07:33:44 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0190a4… |
| 06-21 07:33:44 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x0190a4… |
| 06-20 20:51:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x98f4b8… |
| 06-20 20:51:34 | Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | BUY | 73 | 89¢ | $65 | 0x98f4b8… |
| 06-20 20:51:34 | (anonymous) 0xfeb1…a66d | Yes | BUY | 93 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x98f4b8… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x4a80db… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | BUY | 27 | 89¢ | $24 | 0x4a80db… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | Plastic-Sandal 0xfc70…69bc | Yes | BUY | 47 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x4a80db… |
| 06-20 14:19:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8d9d93… |
| 06-20 14:19:34 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x8d9d93… |
| 06-19 15:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x5508f7… |
| 06-19 15:06:22 | Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x5508f7… |
| 06-18 21:33:17 | Close-Stepgrandfather 0x5b72…bedd | Yes | SELL | 819 | 7¢ | $60 | 0x0f513a… |
| 06-18 21:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x6c07…48d9 | Yes | BUY | 489 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x0f513a… |
| 06-18 21:33:17 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x0f513a… |
| 06-18 21:33:17 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x0f513a… |
| 06-18 21:33:17 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0f513a… |
| 06-18 21:33:17 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0f513a… |
| 06-18 17:21:14 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xc58064… |
| 06-18 17:21:14 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 8¢ | $12 | 0xc58064… |
| 06-18 17:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xd8dd…988b | Yes | SELL | 401 | 8¢ | $32 | 0xc58064… |
| 06-18 17:21:14 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc58064… |
| 06-18 17:21:14 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xc58064… |
| 06-18 17:21:14 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 65 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xc58064… |
| 06-18 17:20:38 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa256fd… |
| 06-18 17:20:38 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa256fd… |
| 06-18 17:20:38 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa256fd… |
| 06-18 17:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1e685b… |
| 06-18 17:19:43 | Husky-Reinscription 0x4c8f…8cc2 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x1e685b… |
| 06-18 17:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xd8dd…988b | Yes | SELL | 77 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x1e685b… |
| 06-13 02:55:06 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x024756… |
| 06-13 02:55:06 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | BUY | 87 | 87¢ | $76 | 0x024756… |
| 06-13 02:55:06 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 87 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x024756… |
| 06-13 02:55:06 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x024756… |
| 06-13 02:55:06 | (anonymous) 0xc2a0…abd4 | Yes | BUY | 286 | 12¢ | $35 | 0x024756… |
| 06-11 22:16:22 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xfbdb87… |
| 06-11 22:16:22 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xfbdb87… |
| 06-09 00:59:06 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xa72c2d… |
| 06-09 00:59:06 | Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xa72c2d… |
| 06-08 22:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xbeff…da9f | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x8126e2… |
| 06-08 22:39:25 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x8126e2… |
| 06-08 22:30:39 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xfd24f1… |
| 06-08 22:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…01f6 | Yes | SELL | 328 | 11¢ | $36 | 0xfd24f1… |
| 06-08 22:30:39 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 24 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xfd24f1… |
| 06-08 22:30:39 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | SELL | 259 | 89¢ | $230 | 0xfd24f1… |
| 06-08 18:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x330c…9dac | Yes | SELL | 33 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xd579e1… |
| 06-08 18:45:13 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | SELL | 33 | 89¢ | $29 | 0xd579e1… |
| 06-08 16:06:45 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | SELL | 32 | 89¢ | $28 | 0x92cf6f… |
| 06-08 16:06:45 | Voluminous-Cabin 0x12bb…f88a | Yes | SELL | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x92cf6f… |
| 06-08 05:03:36 | Normal-Locomotive 0xcdae…c02e | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xc11c7a… |
| 06-08 05:03:36 | Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xc11c7a… |
| 06-08 05:03:36 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc11c7a… |
| 06-08 05:03:36 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0xc11c7a… |
| 06-07 08:57:15 | Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x13fcd0… |
| 06-07 08:57:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x13fcd0… |
| 06-07 08:54:55 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x04a740… |
| 06-07 08:54:55 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x04a740… |
| 06-07 02:15:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x7b99f3… |