Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,104
$284 in 24h
Trades
297
Unique wallets
97
Liquidity
$16,710
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-11 22:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $9 | $159 | $151 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $54 | $6 | +$47 |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $354 | $1.1K | $697 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 51 | $110 | $515 | $405 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $12 | $502 | $490 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $28 | $16 | +$12 |
| Median | 11 | $4 | $476 | $472 |
| Below median | 13 | $85 | $42 | +$43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $200 | $195 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $47 | — | +$47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $22 | $134 | $112 |
| unranked | 46 | $323 | $362 | $39 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2e0c…8fa1 | Yes | +1,390 | $207 | $207 | 5 | 08-10 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c07…48d9 | Yes | +489 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-18 21:33 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | +463 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 06-01 03:29 |
| Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | +310 | $273 | $273 | 3 | 07-21 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2a0…abd4 | Yes | +286 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-13 02:55 |
| Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | +225 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 08-03 23:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +166 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 08-01 23:17 |
| Slow-Grouper 0xf93c…475e | Yes | +151 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 08-07 01:25 |
| Active-Methane 0x386d…9bb6 | Yes | +106 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfeb1…a66d | Yes | +93 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 20:51 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +65 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-30 06:35 |
| Old-Fashioned-Enzyme 0xfb9b…5112 | No | +53 | $46 | $157 | 8 | 06-21 07:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +50 | $41 | $225 | 14 | 08-10 06:26 |
| Plastic-Sandal 0xfc70…69bc | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 16:49 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | +37 | $4 | $8 | 3 | 08-04 02:25 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +35 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 08-03 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ed1…cc85 | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-09 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4449…e167 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 17:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +32 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 08-03 01:59 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-13 19:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 08-07 01:25 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 00:40 |
| Fickle-Chord 0x34ed…9948 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-07 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d45…02ed | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c9…b24d | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 00:53 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $21 | 3 | 08-10 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +10 | $8 | $54 | 9 | 08-10 06:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-30 04:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5743…b30e | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-09 23:07 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-30 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a79…1cd5 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 06:58 |
| Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 00:59 |
| Favorable-Bidder 0xaab6…b6a2 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 05-28 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $40 | 11 | 08-07 01:25 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 17:20 |
| Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | +4 | $-21 | $88 | 12 | 08-11 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $7 | 5 | 06-30 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-23 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +4 | $4 | $31 | 7 | 07-31 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x112e…9a71 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 15:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 22:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xc4cc8d… |
| 08-11 22:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc4cc8d… |
| 08-11 22:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xc4cc8d… |
| 08-11 04:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x7a70a6… |
| 08-11 04:28:54 | (anonymous) 0xd4b1…b223 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x7a70a6… |
| 08-11 04:28:54 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7a70a6… |
| 08-10 06:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x79b195… |
| 08-10 06:26:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x79b195… |
| 08-10 06:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x79b195… |
| 08-10 06:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x79b195… |
| 08-10 06:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e0c…8fa1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x79b195… |
| 08-09 23:07:33 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xea9ba5… |
| 08-09 23:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x5743…b30e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xea9ba5… |
| 08-09 21:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xaad506… |
| 08-09 21:32:30 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xaad506… |
| 08-09 21:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x5ed1…cc85 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xaad506… |
| 08-07 17:30:58 | Fickle-Chord 0x34ed…9948 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x476edb… |
| 08-07 17:30:58 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x476edb… |
| 08-07 01:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x2dd234… |
| 08-07 01:25:49 | Slow-Grouper 0xf93c…475e | Yes | BUY | 85 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x2dd234… |
| 08-07 01:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x2dd234… |
| 08-07 01:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2dd234… |
| 08-04 04:36:29 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 430 | 89¢ | $383 | 0xc12cdb… |
| 08-04 04:36:29 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | SELL | 430 | 11¢ | $47 | 0xc12cdb… |
| 08-04 02:25:02 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe1bb30… |
| 08-04 02:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe1bb30… |
| 08-04 02:25:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe1bb30… |
| 08-04 02:25:02 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xe1bb30… |
| 08-03 23:12:09 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0x6bf7c5… |
| 08-03 23:12:09 | Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | BUY | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0x6bf7c5… |
| 08-03 23:11:41 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | No | SELL | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0xd7cba5… |
| 08-03 23:11:41 | Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | BUY | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0xd7cba5… |
| 08-03 01:59:11 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf360d8… |
| 08-03 01:59:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf360d8… |
| 08-03 01:15:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1c114b… |
| 08-03 01:15:26 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1c114b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 42 | 91¢ | $38 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | SELL | 208 | 93¢ | $193 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 7¢ | $13 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-03 01:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x6821…af91 | Yes | SELL | 516 | 8¢ | $39 | 0x2ba10b… |
| 08-02 18:53:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5a9e18… |
| 08-02 18:53:45 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5a9e18… |
| 08-02 06:58:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x18629d… |
| 08-02 06:58:14 | (anonymous) 0x0a79…1cd5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x18629d… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | (anonymous) 0x2e0c…8fa1 | Yes | BUY | 710 | 18¢ | $125 | 0x97c708… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x97c708… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x97c708… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 20¢ | $16 | 0x97c708… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x97c708… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | SELL | 119 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x97c708… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 166 | 81¢ | $134 | 0x97c708… |
| 08-01 23:17:45 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | Yes | SELL | 222 | 13¢ | $29 | 0x97c708… |
| 07-31 18:01:47 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xbcc7ea… |
| 07-31 18:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xbcc7ea… |
| 07-31 18:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xbcc7ea… |
| 07-31 18:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xbcc7ea… |
| 07-31 18:01:47 | Slow-Grouper 0xf93c…475e | Yes | BUY | 66 | 12¢ | $8 | 0xbcc7ea… |
| 07-31 18:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0xbcc7ea… |
| 07-30 22:46:33 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf38df0… |
| 07-30 22:46:33 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf38df0… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xeb2660… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | (anonymous) 0xc497…64d6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x39031e… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x39031e… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc28c28… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x39031e… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | (anonymous) 0x8656…7695 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xeb2660… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x39031e… |
| 07-30 22:03:35 | (anonymous) 0xa61b…83f5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc28c28… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0xdad3…dbcb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf4b199… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xd9ce10… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xf4b199… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd9ce10… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x4596…4b6c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd9ce10… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x4ddb…655c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2d9bfe… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x2d9bfe… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xf4b199… |
| 07-30 22:03:33 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xf4b199… |
| 07-30 04:13:57 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x1ba722… |
| 07-30 04:13:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x1ba722… |
| 07-30 03:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6a1be3… |
| 07-30 03:33:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6a1be3… |
| 07-28 19:47:11 | (anonymous) 0x4596…4b6c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0a15fe… |
| 07-28 19:47:11 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x0a15fe… |
| 07-28 19:45:58 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xb470fe… |
| 07-28 19:45:58 | (anonymous) 0x4596…4b6c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb470fe… |
| 07-28 19:45:58 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb470fe… |
| 07-22 21:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xeaef8e… |
| 07-22 21:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xeaef8e… |
| 07-22 19:06:06 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x8e6d6c… |
| 07-22 19:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xc497…64d6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8e6d6c… |