(anonymous) 0xe215f8…2c1c22
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
73
lifetime
Volume
$85
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$38
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-09 22:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48% — —
Politics
29% — —
Sports
17% — —
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +6 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 06-08 16:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +6 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 06-09 20:40
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +7 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-09 22:40
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 06-09 20:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +11 $2 14¢ $1 $-0 06-09 16:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-09 20:40
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? Yes +13 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-08 16:11
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15 $2 10¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 06-09 20:40
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +13 $2 11¢ $1 $-0 06-09 22:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $2 10¢ $1 $-0 06-09 20:40
Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election? No +8 $2 18¢ $1 $-0 06-10 04:40
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +25 $2 6¢ $1 $-0 06-09 16:40
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? Yes +5 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 06-08 16:12
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +11 $2 12¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:40
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? Yes +44 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 06-08 16:12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:40
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 $-0 06-09 22:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-08 15:12
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-08 16:11
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +39 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:40
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +48 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-08 16:12
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +46 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-08 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-08 15:11
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-08 16:12
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +39 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-08 16:11
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 06-08 16:12
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? Yes +10 $1 7¢ $1 $-0 06-08 16:12