(anonymous) 0xe215f8…2c1c22 Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$353
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
19.1%
Resolved
812
Trades
1,231
lifetime
Volume
$1.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$86
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 08-11 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
67% 12% -$158
Politics
21% 11% -$95
Sports
10% 14% -$77
Tech
1% 0% -$14
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$9
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $2 40¢ $10 +$9 06-09 14:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47 $2 16¢ $7 +$6 06-09 14:40
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 70¢ $6 +$4 07-14 16:40
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +6 $1 90¢ $5 +$4 06-16 20:40
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $1 98¢ $5 +$3 07-15 16:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +5 $1 98¢ $5 +$3 07-17 14:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $1 96¢ $5 +$3 06-24 20:40
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +6 $1 78¢ $5 +$3 07-23 08:40
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? Yes +5 $2 92¢ $5 +$3 06-18 10:40
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +5 $1 67¢ $3 +$2 06-23 12:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 59¢ $3 +$1 06-09 18:40
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6 $1 32¢ $2 +$0 06-10 00:40
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +52 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 06-09 14:17
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +8 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +9 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 07-10 02:40
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 06-09 14:17
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 06-22 00:40
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +8 $1 21¢ $2 +$0 06-15 22:40
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +5 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 06-15 22:40
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +68 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 06-09 14:17
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes +8 $2 18¢ $1 $0 07-28 10:40
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +15 $1 9¢ $1 $0 06-18 14:40
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 Yes +10 $2 13¢ $1 $0 07-08 06:40
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? Yes +30 $2 4¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6 $2 19¢ $1 $0 06-09 14:40
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $2 4¢ $1 $0 06-15 22:40
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +9 $2 12¢ $1 $0 06-24 10:40
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 07-07 22:40
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +21 $1 5¢ $1 $0 06-18 16:40
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? Yes +8 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-01 14:40