(anonymous) 0xe215f8…2c1c22
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
548
lifetime
Volume
$801
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$68
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-20 18:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62% — —
Sports
20% — —
Politics
15% — —
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +5 $1 92¢ $5 +$3 06-16 12:40
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes +8 $2 56¢ $5 +$3 06-24 08:40
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? Yes +45 $1 8¢ $4 +$2 06-21 04:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +17 $2 22¢ $4 +$2 07-02 06:40
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? Yes +19 $2 17¢ $3 +$2 07-05 14:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $1 60¢ $3 +$2 06-24 20:40
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? Yes +17 $2 16¢ $3 +$1 07-12 14:40
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? Yes +15 $2 18¢ $3 +$1 07-09 18:40
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +28 $2 8¢ $2 +$1 06-11 06:40
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$1 07-08 08:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +30 $2 7¢ $2 +$1 07-04 04:40
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +14 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 06-30 20:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 06-16 16:40
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +5 $1 39¢ $2 +$1 06-24 08:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 06-15 20:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +8 $1 24¢ $2 +$0 06-26 04:40
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +39 $1 5¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:40
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 06-22 00:40
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $1 9¢ $2 +$0 06-22 22:40
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +22 $1 8¢ $2 +$0 06-26 00:40
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +14 $2 13¢ $2 +$0 06-12 08:40
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 07-07 22:40
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +10 $1 17¢ $2 +$0 06-16 04:40
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 21¢ $2 +$0 07-14 16:40
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +7 $1 24¢ $2 +$0 06-18 12:40
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Something +19 $1 9¢ $2 +$0 07-01 02:40
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +6 $2 26¢ $2 +$0 07-17 00:40
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $1 18¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:40
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes +41 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 06-16 08:40
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? Yes +7 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 07-14 18:40