(anonymous) 0xe215f8…2c1c22
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
346
lifetime
Volume
$496
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$107
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 06-30 12:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60% — —
Sports
20% — —
Politics
16% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $2 100¢ $50 +$48 06-22 16:40
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +5 $1 95¢ $5 +$3 06-16 12:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5 $1 70¢ $4 +$2 06-16 16:40
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +50 $2 7¢ $3 +$2 06-16 06:40
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes +8 $2 39¢ $3 +$2 06-24 08:40
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +5 $1 56¢ $3 +$1 06-24 08:40
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +5 $1 42¢ $2 +$1 06-16 06:40
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 41¢ $2 +$1 06-30 06:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +6 $2 34¢ $2 +$1 06-15 20:40
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 06-16 20:40
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $1 9¢ $2 +$0 06-22 22:40
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes +43 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 06-16 06:40
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +8 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 06-16 08:40
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +28 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 06-11 06:40
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $2 27¢ $2 +$0 06-26 08:40
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 06-30 10:40
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +5 $2 31¢ $2 +$0 06-11 02:40
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +10 $1 15¢ $2 +$0 06-16 04:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +6 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 06-09 20:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +26 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 06-28 08:40
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes +14 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 06-14 04:40
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes +52 $2 3¢ $1 $-0 06-18 16:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 06-24 20:40
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +11 $2 13¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:40
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes +22 $2 7¢ $1 $-0 06-16 06:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 29¢ $1 $-0 06-18 20:40
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $2 8¢ $1 $-0 06-30 10:40
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +6 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 06-30 02:40
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +45 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-10 22:40
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? Yes +7 $2 20¢ $1 $-0 06-19 22:40