Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,339
$2,053 in 24h
Trades
91
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$11,034
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 03:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $246
vs crowd: 16% YES on $846)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $11 | $272 | $261 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $43 | $24 | +$19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $72 | $95 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $7 | $322 | $315 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $1 | $245 | $244 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $30 | $27 | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 7 | $2 | $34 | $32 |
| Below median | 7 | $3 | $357 | $354 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 10 | $66 | $50 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0130…274c | Yes | +343 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-24 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +319 | $265 | $265 | 31 | 06-24 01:30 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +219 | $154 | $336 | 3 | 05-30 02:39 |
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | No | +111 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-12 01:41 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | +76 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-05 20:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +37 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 07-04 03:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +18 | $4 | $15 | 5 | 06-25 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +13 | $12 | $25 | 3 | 06-26 17:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +9 | $8 | $27 | 9 | 06-29 23:44 |
| Innocent-Facility 0xf20b…ae3c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-26 17:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-28 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 07:15 |
| Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 06-11 13:53 |
| Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a05…7a7b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 04:33 |
| Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 21:39 |
| Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 01:31 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $14 | 3 | 06-24 01:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 03:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | No | SELL | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x0867c5… |
| 07-04 03:41:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x0867c5… |
| 07-04 03:40:29 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | SELL | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x6eaba3… |
| 07-04 03:40:29 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x6eaba3… |
| 07-04 03:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | SELL | 23 | 67¢ | $15 | 0x0de56e… |
| 07-04 03:40:26 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 23 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x0de56e… |
| 06-29 23:44:19 | (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x1340e8… |
| 06-29 23:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x0b82…8e90 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x1340e8… |
| 06-29 23:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x1340e8… |
| 06-28 00:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xf2ca60… |
| 06-28 00:25:34 | Unacceptable-Ironclad 0x6784…7565 | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xf2ca60… |
| 06-26 17:38:16 | Innocent-Facility 0xf20b…ae3c | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x2ac5ba… |
| 06-26 17:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x2ac5ba… |
| 06-25 23:48:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x393a5c… |
| 06-25 23:48:35 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x393a5c… |
| 06-25 21:42:29 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x3ebc8a… |
| 06-25 21:42:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x329c7d… |
| 06-25 21:42:29 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x329c7d… |
| 06-25 21:42:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3ebc8a… |
| 06-25 21:41:56 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x337b7e… |
| 06-25 21:41:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x337b7e… |
| 06-25 21:36:29 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xdd2cbc… |
| 06-25 21:36:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xdd2cbc… |
| 06-25 21:21:43 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0x474495… |
| 06-25 21:21:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x474495… |
| 06-24 07:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | BUY | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0xd748c0… |
| 06-24 07:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xd748c0… |
| 06-24 07:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd748c0… |
| 06-24 07:14:38 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x4e4268… |
| 06-24 07:14:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x4e4268… |
| 06-24 04:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x0b82…8e90 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x9d30d1… |
| 06-24 04:57:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x9d30d1… |
| 06-24 04:49:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xd7e6b3… |
| 06-24 04:49:50 | (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0xd7e6b3… |
| 06-24 01:31:01 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xa5c4f1… |
| 06-24 01:31:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xa5c4f1… |
| 06-24 01:30:49 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xd06ed0… |
| 06-24 01:30:49 | (anonymous) 0x0130…274c | Yes | BUY | 343 | 17¢ | $59 | 0xd06ed0… |
| 06-24 01:30:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xd06ed0… |
| 06-24 01:30:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xd06ed0… |
| 06-24 01:16:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x8fba24… |
| 06-24 01:16:05 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x8fba24… |
| 06-24 01:16:05 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x8fba24… |
| 06-24 01:16:05 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 72 | 88¢ | $63 | 0x8fba24… |
| 06-22 20:53:56 | Unacceptable-Ironclad 0x6784…7565 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x7961b9… |
| 06-22 20:53:56 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | SELL | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x7961b9… |
| 06-22 20:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x7961b9… |
| 06-19 02:56:14 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xbed2f5… |
| 06-19 02:56:14 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xbed2f5… |
| 06-19 02:55:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbe6adf… |
| 06-19 02:55:38 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xbe6adf… |
| 06-16 10:25:21 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x1ec031… |
| 06-16 10:25:21 | (anonymous) 0x0c5a…d48a | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x1ec031… |
| 06-12 01:41:51 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 74 | 79¢ | $58 | 0xf36710… |
| 06-12 01:41:51 | Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | No | BUY | 111 | 79¢ | $88 | 0xf36710… |
| 06-12 01:41:51 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xf36710… |
| 06-11 22:16:16 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x7d220f… |
| 06-11 22:16:16 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x7d220f… |
| 06-11 22:16:16 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x7d220f… |
| 06-11 13:53:21 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xf10074… |
| 06-11 13:53:21 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xf10074… |
| 06-11 10:47:27 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x7fb3f3… |
| 06-11 10:47:27 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x7fb3f3… |
| 06-10 04:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb3754d… |
| 06-10 04:33:25 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb3754d… |
| 06-05 20:08:30 | (anonymous) 0x2c0a…7aff | Yes | SELL | 107 | 26¢ | $28 | 0xfccd37… |
| 06-05 20:08:30 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 26¢ | $19 | 0xfccd37… |
| 06-05 20:08:30 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xfccd37… |
| 06-05 20:08:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xfccd37… |
| 06-04 21:39:15 | Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xa1c99e… |
| 06-04 21:39:15 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xa1c99e… |
| 05-31 15:16:32 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x9986cc… |
| 05-31 15:16:32 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x9986cc… |
| 05-31 15:16:30 | Pristine-Registry 0xd098…3307 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xe355c0… |
| 05-31 15:16:30 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xcd5342… |
| 05-31 15:16:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xe355c0… |
| 05-31 15:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x9a05…7a7b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xcd5342… |
| 05-31 15:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xe355c0… |
| 05-31 15:16:30 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe355c0… |
| 05-30 02:39:42 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 362 | 71¢ | $257 | 0xeeffb0… |
| 05-30 02:39:42 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 340 | 71¢ | $241 | 0xeeffb0… |
| 05-30 02:39:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xeeffb0… |
| 05-30 01:54:34 | Knobby-Methane 0x5d0f…7d7d | No | SELL | 8 | 67¢ | $6 | 0xf3a508… |
| 05-30 01:54:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xf3a508… |
| 05-29 21:15:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x65585c… |
| 05-29 21:15:04 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x65585c… |
| 05-28 06:12:49 | Previous-Gray 0x6700…67c4 | Yes | SELL | 137 | 28¢ | $38 | 0x31d7ce… |
| 05-28 06:12:49 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 126 | 72¢ | $91 | 0x31d7ce… |
| 05-28 06:12:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x31d7ce… |
| 05-28 02:34:19 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x02c807… |
| 05-28 02:34:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x02c807… |