Realized P&L
+$19.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.8K
Hit rate
94.5%
Resolved
96
Trades
1,202
lifetime
Volume
$324.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$270
Open exposure
$65.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 10-30 02:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
53% 90% +$8,460
Politics
38% 94% +$9,070
Tech
6% 75% +$6
Sports
3% 100% +$1,571
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +13,207 $4,861 84¢ $11.0K +$6,167 08-27 19:18
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +9,687 $2,396 84¢ $8.2K +$5,789 10-19 19:33
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +18,411 $10,122 41¢ $7.5K -$2,647 10-28 10:10
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +4,600 $4,063 99¢ $4.5K +$487 10-22 20:05
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,500 $3,570 46¢ $3.9K +$340 10-01 17:54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +3,825 $2,798 93¢ $3.6K +$759 10-25 19:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +4,004 $2,350 80¢ $3.2K +$833 10-19 19:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +7,599 $4,171 40¢ $3.1K -$1,093 10-28 10:07
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +14,559 $4,805 21¢ $3.1K -$1,747 10-24 14:13
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,480 66¢ $2.7K +$180 10-30 02:10
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +3,157 $2,526 79¢ $2.5K -$32 10-28 15:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,946 $2,245 84¢ $2.5K +$230 10-27 14:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,500 $2,045 94¢ $2.4K +$305 10-08 16:23
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,233 $1,786 79¢ $1.8K -$22 10-28 15:21
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,370 $1,556 66¢ $1.6K +$20 10-20 22:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,098 $254 84¢ $917 +$663 08-27 19:18
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +955 $863 92¢ $881 +$18 10-22 15:58
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,071 $742 5¢ $519 -$223 06-17 17:00
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +460 -$581 98¢ $450 +$1,031 10-19 19:48
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +655 $299 52¢ $337 +$38 10-29 13:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +4,573 $865 6¢ $297 -$568 10-09 01:32
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +545 $252 52¢ $281 +$29 10-29 14:45
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +228 -$559 96¢ $219 +$778 10-29 21:36
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,481 $860 15¢ $215 -$645 08-06 12:55
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +2,584 $502 6¢ $155 -$347 10-21 16:48
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +123 $111 94¢ $115 +$4 08-28 10:46
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes +343 $59 28¢ $94 +$35 06-24 01:30
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +123 $569 6¢ $7 -$561 09-28 22:01
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +5 -$212 97¢ $5 +$216 08-28 02:28
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$716 96¢ $1 +$717 10-16 19:59