Realized P&L
-$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
1,656
Trades
21,589
lifetime
Volume
$65.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$57
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-28 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
61% 50% -$1,093
Politics
24% 65% -$184
Tech
6% 63% +$46
Crypto
5% 50% -$138
Sports
3% 40% -$122
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 786 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $20 11¢ $9 -$11 10-20 00:46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +89 $6 6¢ $5 $0 10-27 20:20
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +80 $6 5¢ $4 -$2 10-23 16:31
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +4 $1 93¢ $4 +$2 08-31 04:01
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +3 -$13 98¢ $3 +$16 09-21 20:22
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +50 $2 6¢ $3 +$1 10-27 15:55
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $1 62¢ $3 +$2 10-01 13:25
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes +50 $2 6¢ $3 +$1 10-27 13:56
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +75 $2 4¢ $3 +$0 10-23 00:49
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +105 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-26 13:03
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +50 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 10-26 04:07
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +40 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 10-23 18:08
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +2 -$5 86¢ $2 +$7 09-30 09:02
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +5 $1 38¢ $2 +$1 10-21 18:52
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +65 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 10-15 06:15
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-26 11:50
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-22 14:51
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +20 -$1 4¢ $1 +$2 10-26 01:21
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +20 -$5 4¢ $1 +$5 10-26 14:49
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +45 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-15 06:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +4 -$1 12¢ $1 +$1 10-02 01:15
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +42 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 10-05 19:51
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +4 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 10-23 14:34
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-16 03:50
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? Yes +5 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 10-21 01:21
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +5 -$8 6¢ $0 +$8 10-05 17:35
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-03 21:46
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 09-29 10:33
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 09-02 15:11
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +5 -$2 4¢ $0 +$2 10-21 10:44