Realized P&L
-$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
1,654
Trades
21,453
lifetime
Volume
$65.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$56
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-27 12:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
61% 50% -$1,090
Politics
24% 65% -$184
Tech
6% 63% +$46
Crypto
5% 50% -$138
Sports
3% 40% -$122
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 786 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $20 12¢ $10 -$11 10-20 00:46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +66 $4 6¢ $4 $0 10-26 19:15
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +4 $1 93¢ $4 +$2 08-31 04:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +70 $2 5¢ $4 +$2 10-27 13:03
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +75 $2 4¢ $3 +$1 10-23 00:49
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +80 $6 4¢ $3 -$2 10-23 16:31
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +3 -$13 99¢ $3 +$16 09-21 20:22
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $1 63¢ $3 +$2 10-01 13:25
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +40 $3 6¢ $3 -$1 10-23 18:08
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +44 $2 6¢ $2 +$1 10-26 16:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +50 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 10-26 04:07
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +2 -$5 87¢ $2 +$7 09-30 09:02
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +5 $1 39¢ $2 +$1 10-21 18:52
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +65 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 10-15 06:15
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +18 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-26 03:01
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-26 11:50
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +20 -$5 4¢ $1 +$6 10-26 14:49
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-22 14:51
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +20 -$1 4¢ $1 +$2 10-26 01:21
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +105 $2 1¢ $1 -$2 10-26 13:03
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +45 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-15 06:12
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +42 $4 1¢ $1 -$4 10-05 19:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +4 -$1 12¢ $0 +$1 10-02 01:15
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +30 $0 2¢ $0 +$1 10-16 03:50
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +4 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 10-23 14:34
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-03 21:46
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? Yes +5 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 10-21 01:21
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +5 -$8 6¢ $0 +$8 10-05 17:35
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 09-29 10:33
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +5 -$2 6¢ $0 +$2 10-21 10:44