Realized P&L (30d)
-$178
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved (30d)
1,034
Trades (30d)
6,751
22,308 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$17.1K
$68.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$93
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-30 13:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
61% 51% -$1,038
Politics
23% 65% -$193
Tech
6% 63% +$46
Crypto
5% 49% -$148
Sports
3% 40% -$121
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 786 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +65 $21 30¢ $20 -$1 10-30 05:55
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $20 11¢ $9 -$11 10-20 00:46
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +55 $4 15¢ $8 +$4 10-29 17:55
will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572 No +90 $16 8¢ $8 -$8 10-29 23:34
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +80 $6 6¢ $5 -$1 10-23 16:31
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $3 8¢ $4 +$1 10-29 19:09
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +4 $1 93¢ $4 +$2 08-31 04:01
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +3 -$13 98¢ $3 +$16 09-21 20:22
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 $0 10-29 23:54
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $1 69¢ $3 +$2 10-01 13:25
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +34 $3 8¢ $3 +$0 10-30 04:35
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +50 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 10-28 23:41
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 -$1 8¢ $2 +$3 10-30 14:12
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +5 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 10-21 18:52
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +53 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-30 07:30
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +2 -$5 83¢ $2 +$7 09-30 09:02
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +60 -$6 3¢ $2 +$7 10-29 22:33
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +65 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 10-15 06:15
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$0 10-30 05:59
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-30 11:59
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +105 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-26 13:03
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +24 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-28 20:53
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +20 -$1 4¢ $1 +$2 10-26 01:21
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 7¢ $1 +$0 10-30 08:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +4 -$1 16¢ $1 +$1 10-02 01:15
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +45 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-15 06:12
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +6 -$1 8¢ $1 +$1 10-30 05:48
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +4 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 10-23 14:34
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-03 21:46
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +5 -$8 7¢ $0 +$8 10-05 17:35