Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,811
$10 in 24h
Trades
142
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$4,156
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-21 17:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $10 | $37 | $27 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $9 | $216 | $206 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $15 | $43 | $28 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $18 | $749 | $732 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $20 | $28 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| Median | 6 | $3 | $50 | $47 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $58 | $58 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $37 | $37 |
| unranked | 24 | $21 | $870 | $849 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc01d…4581 | Yes | +333 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-18 14:40 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +195 | $183 | $183 | 3 | 08-14 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0676…6820 | Yes | +138 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-29 22:32 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 20:52 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa63…1546 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 3 | 07-01 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa43f…9616 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-18 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +81 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-14 06:08 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +60 | $-1 | $21 | 14 | 08-14 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7859…5183 | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 06-18 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc73e…1b1c | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-29 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x7727…366f | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-18 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 08-13 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x0733…7411 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-03 23:47 |
| Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | +46 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 08-14 05:04 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +44 | $-0 | $7 | 5 | 08-14 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +44 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-14 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 08-17 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b68…72c7 | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 07-13 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x703b…2320 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 16:37 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdf1…e491 | No | +29 | $28 | $69 | 4 | 08-05 09:29 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-17 14:21 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-16 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x2759…e9dc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-13 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | +5 | $5 | $94 | 17 | 08-05 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | +5 | $5 | $52 | 22 | 07-12 18:28 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +3 | $-2 | $9 | 2 | 08-14 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 09:10 |
| Acrobatic-Cenotaph 0x323b…c8e6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 04:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 17:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x31ef…1549 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x395888… |
| 08-21 17:44:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x395888… |
| 08-17 14:21:52 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1e6448… |
| 08-17 14:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x1e6448… |
| 08-14 11:20:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3b3798… |
| 08-14 11:20:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x3b3798… |
| 08-14 08:44:36 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x4d5983… |
| 08-14 08:44:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4d5983… |
| 08-14 08:44:30 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf68790… |
| 08-14 08:44:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf68790… |
| 08-14 08:32:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x7112ae… |
| 08-14 08:32:40 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x7112ae… |
| 08-14 06:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe593f6… |
| 08-14 06:10:10 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0xe593f6… |
| 08-14 06:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 81 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x8b06a3… |
| 08-14 06:08:39 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 111 | 94¢ | $104 | 0x8b06a3… |
| 08-14 06:08:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8b06a3… |
| 08-14 05:13:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbf276b… |
| 08-14 05:13:06 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbf276b… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 189 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | BUY | 26 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | (anonymous) 0xf57d…9689 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-14 05:04:46 | Orderly-Venture 0xd48a…6e90 | No | SELL | 427 | 88¢ | $377 | 0x73d0b6… |
| 08-13 13:41:22 | (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xb77081… |
| 08-13 13:41:22 | (anonymous) 0x2759…e9dc | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xb77081… |
| 08-13 13:41:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb77081… |
| 08-13 13:23:42 | (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0xf13fc3… |
| 08-13 13:23:42 | Apt-Sustainment 0x6c4a…bdf8 | No | SELL | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0xf13fc3… |
| 08-05 09:29:00 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x487a2b… |
| 08-05 09:29:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x487a2b… |
| 08-05 09:29:00 | (anonymous) 0xbdf1…e491 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x487a2b… |
| 08-04 08:35:27 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe5ef5b… |
| 08-04 08:35:27 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xe5ef5b… |
| 08-04 08:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x9ce401… |
| 08-04 08:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | SELL | 44 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x9ce401… |
| 08-04 08:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x9ce401… |
| 08-03 23:47:26 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x812145… |
| 08-03 23:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x812145… |
| 08-03 23:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x0733…7411 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x812145… |
| 07-13 12:58:41 | (anonymous) 0x5b68…72c7 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xcf7f31… |
| 07-13 12:58:41 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcf7f31… |
| 07-12 18:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xd07770… |
| 07-12 18:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x5b68…72c7 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xd07770… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xf598fe… |
| 07-09 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xf598fe… |
| 07-09 08:12:52 | Apt-Sustainment 0x6c4a…bdf8 | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x5382d8… |
| 07-09 08:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xdea9…e079 | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x5382d8… |
| 07-09 08:12:52 | (anonymous) 0x965d…82bb | No | SELL | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0x5382d8… |
| 07-01 06:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xaa63…1546 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xbb4b77… |
| 07-01 06:32:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbb4b77… |
| 07-01 05:18:10 | (anonymous) 0xaa63…1546 | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x943ba7… |
| 07-01 05:18:10 | (anonymous) 0xbdf1…e491 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x943ba7… |
| 07-01 05:18:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x943ba7… |
| 06-28 23:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xbdf1…e491 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xfbfa00… |
| 06-28 23:47:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfbfa00… |
| 06-27 21:26:20 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3d9561… |
| 06-27 21:26:20 | Oval-Road 0xc6d2…200b | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x3d9561… |
| 06-27 21:26:20 | (anonymous) 0xbdf1…e491 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3d9561… |
| 06-24 02:20:11 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…88eb | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7b40ac… |
| 06-24 02:20:11 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7b40ac… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x1d33d2… |
| 06-23 19:42:35 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x1d33d2… |
| 06-23 13:14:08 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x4e27c6… |
| 06-23 13:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x4e27c6… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x21b51e… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x21b51e… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xe13690… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xe13690… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xede21f… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xede21f… |
| 06-23 10:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x531c96… |
| 06-23 10:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x531c96… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xbb88bd… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xbb88bd… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x75bdce… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x75bdce… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x965d…82bb | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xadefc4… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xadefc4… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x9c517b… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x9c517b… |
| 06-23 08:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6b8221… |
| 06-23 08:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x965d…82bb | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6b8221… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x420cf6… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x420cf6… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xdbb37e… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x965d…82bb | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xdbb37e… |
| 06-23 02:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xe2a5…ea97 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x39b01a… |
| 06-23 02:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x39b01a… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x965d…82bb | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xa9d8ae… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xa9d8ae… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x965d…82bb | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xeedbd6… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xeedbd6… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xc08c89… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc08c89… |