Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$47
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$37
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 06-18 18:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
91%
Politics
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-18 18:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $-0 06-18 18:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +44 $6 12¢ $5 $-0 06-18 18:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +71 $6 $5 $-0 06-18 18:06
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? Yes +17 $4 25¢ $4 +$1 06-18 18:06
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 $-0 06-18 18:06
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? Yes +192 $3 $3 +$1 06-18 18:06
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? Yes +18 $4 16¢ $3 $-1 06-18 18:06