(anonymous) 0x053ae7…c0043c
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$529
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$36
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 07-12 18:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90% — —
Politics
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +145 $12 7¢ $10 $-2 07-12 18:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +73 $9 10¢ $7 $-2 07-12 18:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 $-0 07-12 18:28
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-12 18:28
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? Yes +30 $9 13¢ $4 $-5 07-12 18:28
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? Yes +29 $13 12¢ $3 $-10 07-12 18:28