Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
open
Total volume
$646,555
$25,091 in 24h
Trades
5,541
Unique wallets
939
Liquidity
$71,687
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 05:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $93.8K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $396.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 38 | $304 | $292.2K | $291.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 47 | $983 | $42.5K | $41.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 173 | $449 | $32.0K | $31.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 681 | $1.1K | $26.5K | $25.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $213 | $93.6K | $93.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 25 | $222 | $84.1K | $83.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $71 | $966 | $895 |
| Median | 151 | $79 | $7.9K | $7.8K |
| Below median | 81 | $122 | $5.4K | $5.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 19 | $937 | $1.5K | $529 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $36 | $223 | $186 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $50 | $5.2K | $5.1K |
| unranked | 614 | $1.1K | $194.4K | $193.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Execution 0x16e2…5f01 | Yes | +92,942 | $579 | $579 | 7 | 06-22 14:43 |
| Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | +85,499 | $85,176 | $85,176 | 157 | 06-29 09:06 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +81,932 | $81,743 | $81,743 | 120 | 06-29 03:22 |
| Bright-Moment 0x97f9…4e4f | No | +62,928 | $62,502 | $62,502 | 55 | 06-21 07:28 |
| Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | +20,193 | $20,172 | $20,172 | 17 | 07-01 05:39 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +18,352 | $18,093 | $18,093 | 9 | 06-06 21:33 |
| Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | +14,561 | $231 | $1,451 | 425 | 06-15 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | +11,741 | $54 | $120 | 124 | 06-23 20:28 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | +9,046 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 06-24 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +8,090 | $8,074 | $8,074 | 84 | 06-27 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x09bb…75b9 | No | +6,338 | $6,238 | $8,043 | 32 | 06-18 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +6,026 | $5,966 | $11,953 | 72 | 06-26 10:34 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +5,994 | $5,924 | $8,912 | 40 | 06-18 09:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +5,961 | $50 | $50 | 7 | 06-09 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1b5…8378 | Yes | +5,000 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-29 13:53 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +4,422 | $4,391 | $5,664 | 61 | 06-17 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c8a…a328 | Yes | +4,195 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-17 15:47 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +4,154 | $25 | $25 | 44 | 06-16 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb1b…69f2 | No | +3,334 | $3,294 | $3,294 | 2 | 06-08 11:58 |
| Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | +3,289 | $3,218 | $16,438 | 20 | 06-06 11:45 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +3,121 | $3,092 | $3,092 | 23 | 06-10 13:57 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-27 16:05 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +2,550 | $3 | $3 | 17 | 06-27 16:05 |
| Firsthand-Macrofauna 0xa4ff…4c16 | Yes | +2,121 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-13 13:01 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +1,924 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 4 | 06-03 07:39 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +1,713 | $1,696 | $1,696 | 211 | 06-19 04:33 |
| Rash-Caddy-Hurdle 0x7138…8c89 | No | +1,703 | $1,682 | $1,967 | 2 | 06-17 12:47 |
| Determined-Emanate 0xa53e…93e6 | Yes | +1,554 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-06 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8545…23be | No | +1,297 | $1,281 | $1,281 | 1 | 06-07 05:51 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +1,175 | $1,173 | $1,173 | 7 | 06-30 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x3298…68b1 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 09:24 |
| Best-Viscose 0xc3e0…4eb7 | Yes | +1,000 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-02 18:44 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 25 | 06-27 16:05 |
| Decent-Drop 0x1d62…d76b | No | +966 | $947 | $10,937 | 88 | 06-28 18:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x19e9…aae5 | Yes | +890 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 23:47 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +800 | $794 | $794 | 23 | 06-16 15:26 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +750 | $743 | $743 | 2 | 06-15 08:57 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +719 | $1 | $178 | 113 | 06-22 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb03a…07eb | No | +715 | $706 | $706 | 1 | 06-06 09:12 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +638 | $1 | $1 | 16 | 06-25 03:46 |
| Wordy-Bark 0xe762…064b | Yes | +630 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-06 21:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +604 | $1 | $1 | 13 | 06-23 05:43 |
| Biodegradable-Surface 0xfa31…7664 | Yes | +600 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-07 03:27 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +600 | $597 | $597 | 3 | 06-22 14:37 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | +485 | $477 | $643 | 3 | 06-01 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xaab6…f915 | No | +470 | $463 | $463 | 1 | 06-04 08:32 |
| Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | +459 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-06 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7669…8390 | Yes | +408 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-23 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f2c…e130 | Yes | +386 | $3 | $3 | 13 | 06-18 12:40 |
| Wee-Reunion 0x9653…02ab | No | +333 | $331 | $331 | 1 | 06-12 00:23 |
| Blissful-Consulting 0x8361…8e6d | Yes | +320 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-10 13:55 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +317 | $314 | $314 | 14 | 06-09 18:58 |
| Frizzy-Corruption 0xbb50…f29e | Yes | +310 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 06-10 14:42 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | +310 | $2 | $32 | 21 | 06-10 18:43 |
| Feline-Gnat 0xbcb1…c579 | No | +307 | $305 | $305 | 1 | 06-11 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa83…18ce | No | +276 | $275 | $275 | 1 | 06-18 20:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x1345…bb51 | No | SELL | 827 | 100¢ | $826 | 0xff2037… |
| 07-01 05:39:07 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 827 | 100¢ | $826 | 0xff2037… |
| 07-01 02:25:29 | Frosty-Address 0x3ec3…125e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x45064e… |
| 07-01 02:25:29 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x45064e… |
| 06-30 15:20:50 | (anonymous) 0x312e…1103 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x061b36… |
| 06-30 15:20:50 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x061b36… |
| 06-30 15:04:11 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x16c808… |
| 06-30 15:04:11 | Vivacious-Shipping 0x9ac8…6c81 | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x16c808… |
| 06-30 14:57:55 | Thrifty-Uniformity 0x2a22…3154 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2acdef… |
| 06-30 14:57:55 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2acdef… |
| 06-30 14:11:28 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4ac7db… |
| 06-30 14:11:28 | (anonymous) 0xf909…af2c | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4ac7db… |
| 06-30 12:40:58 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x098fd4… |
| 06-30 12:40:58 | Faint-Sponsor 0x391e…ae23 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x098fd4… |
| 06-30 12:34:32 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb7f495… |
| 06-30 12:34:32 | (anonymous) 0x1399…84f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb7f495… |
| 06-30 12:30:14 | Noxious-Respite 0x4819…4afe | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf38b82… |
| 06-30 12:30:14 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf38b82… |
| 06-30 12:22:38 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x47a1e0… |
| 06-30 12:22:38 | Cold-Socialism 0xa104…67d4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x47a1e0… |
| 06-30 12:15:08 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x84a521… |
| 06-30 12:15:08 | Greedy-Cultivar 0x8338…2ea3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x84a521… |
| 06-30 12:08:22 | Vicious-Bay 0xeea4…5705 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9f162c… |
| 06-30 12:08:22 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9f162c… |
| 06-30 11:38:58 | Cooked-Poll 0x8304…2611 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0b28e7… |
| 06-30 11:38:58 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0b28e7… |
| 06-30 09:10:35 | Lazy-Vol 0x6784…53cf | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe61c73… |
| 06-30 09:10:35 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe61c73… |
| 06-30 07:39:47 | (anonymous) 0x2cc8…354e | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x688ff2… |
| 06-30 07:39:47 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x688ff2… |
| 06-30 07:36:22 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x574a48… |
| 06-30 07:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xb334…e01f | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x574a48… |
| 06-30 02:26:01 | Rowdy-Nobody 0x6328…36a4 | No | BUY | 19,284 | 100¢ | $19,264 | 0x940e6d… |
| 06-30 02:26:01 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 139 | 100¢ | $139 | 0x940e6d… |
| 06-30 02:26:01 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x940e6d… |
| 06-30 02:26:01 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x940e6d… |
| 06-30 02:26:01 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x940e6d… |
| 06-30 02:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x87fa…7464 | No | SELL | 19,442 | 100¢ | $19,423 | 0x940e6d… |
| 06-30 01:42:46 | Thoughtful-Silkworm 0xb984…5d6b | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdfed03… |
| 06-30 01:42:46 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdfed03… |
| 06-29 23:37:35 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe31583… |
| 06-29 23:37:35 | Reckless-Pickle 0x28cb…4823 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe31583… |
| 06-29 23:37:19 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe4ec56… |
| 06-29 23:37:19 | Yellow-Suppression 0x34a9…85f1 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe4ec56… |
| 06-29 23:34:43 | Impractical-Pulse 0x311e…190e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2f2def… |
| 06-29 23:34:43 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2f2def… |
| 06-29 23:17:11 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdd56e3… |
| 06-29 23:17:11 | Cuddly-Surface 0x2c08…e6f3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdd56e3… |
| 06-29 23:16:02 | Queasy-Millimeter 0x558c…c5da | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb75d44… |
| 06-29 23:16:02 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb75d44… |
| 06-29 23:14:43 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2d2b43… |
| 06-29 23:14:43 | Oval-Herb 0x0653…4de0 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2d2b43… |
| 06-29 23:10:58 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x38cb6b… |
| 06-29 23:10:58 | Magnificent-Lyre 0xc2b6…f42c | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x38cb6b… |
| 06-29 23:07:22 | Humiliating-Patina 0xfc1f…056d | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdc020e… |
| 06-29 23:07:22 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdc020e… |
| 06-29 23:05:07 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7bce67… |
| 06-29 23:05:07 | Flippant-Disclosure 0xcaf5…67b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7bce67… |
| 06-29 23:03:23 | Mediocre-Obligation 0x144a…6f1f | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x00f008… |
| 06-29 23:03:23 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x00f008… |
| 06-29 22:52:34 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xda04d3… |
| 06-29 22:52:34 | Better-Advantage 0x1c70…4556 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xda04d3… |
| 06-29 22:45:44 | Alive-Gigantism 0xe2b5…05c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdc3cd3… |
| 06-29 22:45:44 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdc3cd3… |
| 06-29 22:43:58 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0fd2ae… |
| 06-29 22:43:58 | Talkative-Brood 0x4444…ed4c | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0fd2ae… |
| 06-29 22:42:52 | Another-Cummerbund 0x7674…90b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x27dae5… |
| 06-29 22:42:52 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x27dae5… |
| 06-29 22:39:40 | Infamous-Hierarchy 0xaca1…dad4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x82bc05… |
| 06-29 22:39:40 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x82bc05… |
| 06-29 09:06:28 | Vain-Burn 0x4e52…44e7 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x0cb8ab… |
| 06-29 09:06:28 | Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x0cb8ab… |
| 06-29 08:10:19 | Ethical-Flair 0x4246…85f8 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x33d9ed… |
| 06-29 08:10:19 | Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x33d9ed… |
| 06-29 07:21:28 | Flickering-Lecture 0xbd3e…40b3 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0fe799… |
| 06-29 07:21:28 | Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0fe799… |
| 06-29 05:33:20 | Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x4c44ec… |
| 06-29 05:33:20 | (anonymous) 0xab68…ad2f | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x4c44ec… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 360 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 628 | 100¢ | $627 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Easy-Variation 0x43b4…ec9c | No | SELL | 35,670 | 100¢ | $35,635 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Blind-Rite 0x88ed…6cfb | No | BUY | 11,950 | 100¢ | $11,938 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 22,325 | 100¢ | $22,302 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 03:22:46 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcecbe… |
| 06-29 00:57:49 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0xe0727a… |
| 06-29 00:57:49 | Thankful-Ball 0x7e1b…27bb | No | SELL | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0xe0727a… |
| 06-29 00:29:35 | (anonymous) 0xdd1d…bbf0 | No | SELL | 1,101 | 100¢ | $1,100 | 0x8119cf… |
| 06-29 00:29:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1,101 | 100¢ | $1,100 | 0x8119cf… |
| 06-28 21:02:38 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x8600bd… |
| 06-28 21:02:38 | Sure-Footed-Interest 0x22c2…9d56 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x8600bd… |
| 06-28 20:27:02 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2,995 | 100¢ | $2,992 | 0x6770fc… |
| 06-28 20:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x5582…2b0b | No | SELL | 2,995 | 100¢ | $2,992 | 0x6770fc… |
| 06-28 19:09:38 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x485947… |
| 06-28 19:09:38 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x485947… |
| 06-28 18:45:17 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0xa92814… |
| 06-28 18:45:17 | Decent-Drop 0x1d62…d76b | No | SELL | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0xa92814… |
| 06-28 15:00:43 | (anonymous) 0xac69…fb3e | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xdadeb4… |