Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
open
Total volume
$280,923
$25,091 in 24h
Trades
3,668
Unique wallets
710
Liquidity
$71,687
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-20 06:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $19.4K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $179.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 29 | $292 | $88.6K | $88.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $964 | $35.4K | $34.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 112 | $434 | $21.1K | $20.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 530 | $769 | $31.4K | $30.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $203 | $19.2K | $19.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $218 | $64.3K | $64.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $65 | $918 | $853 |
| Median | 102 | $83 | $6.8K | $6.7K |
| Below median | 72 | $139 | $5.3K | $5.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 14 | $914 | $1.5K | $540 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $35 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $35 | $4.2K | $4.1K |
| unranked | 462 | $766 | $73.3K | $72.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bright-Moment 0x97f9…4e4f | No | +49,255 | $48,900 | $48,900 | 52 | 06-19 12:48 |
| Ultimate-Execution 0x16e2…5f01 | Yes | +32,613 | $319 | $319 | 4 | 06-16 15:26 |
| Conventional-Sesame 0x184e…cf96 | No | +18,352 | $18,093 | $18,093 | 9 | 06-06 21:33 |
| Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | +14,561 | $231 | $1,451 | 425 | 06-15 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +9,026 | $8,959 | $8,959 | 9 | 06-18 19:47 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +7,404 | $7,339 | $7,339 | 52 | 06-20 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x09bb…75b9 | No | +6,338 | $6,238 | $8,043 | 32 | 06-18 19:47 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +5,994 | $5,924 | $8,912 | 40 | 06-18 09:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +5,961 | $50 | $50 | 7 | 06-09 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | +5,825 | $32 | $77 | 106 | 06-20 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1b5…8378 | Yes | +5,000 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-29 13:53 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +4,422 | $4,391 | $5,664 | 61 | 06-17 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c8a…a328 | Yes | +4,195 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-17 15:47 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +4,154 | $25 | $25 | 44 | 06-16 03:30 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | +4,035 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb1b…69f2 | No | +3,334 | $3,294 | $3,294 | 2 | 06-08 11:58 |
| Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | +3,289 | $3,218 | $16,438 | 20 | 06-06 11:45 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +3,121 | $3,092 | $3,092 | 23 | 06-10 13:57 |
| Firsthand-Macrofauna 0xa4ff…4c16 | Yes | +2,121 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-13 13:01 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +1,924 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 4 | 06-03 07:39 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +1,713 | $1,696 | $1,696 | 211 | 06-19 04:33 |
| Rash-Caddy-Hurdle 0x7138…8c89 | No | +1,703 | $1,682 | $1,967 | 2 | 06-17 12:47 |
| Easy-Variation 0x43b4…ec9c | No | +1,688 | $1,656 | $1,656 | 2 | 06-01 14:22 |
| Determined-Emanate 0xa53e…93e6 | Yes | +1,554 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-06 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8545…23be | No | +1,297 | $1,281 | $1,281 | 1 | 06-07 05:51 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +1,000 | $993 | $993 | 2 | 06-18 19:47 |
| Best-Viscose 0xc3e0…4eb7 | Yes | +1,000 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-02 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fe1…6860 | No | +925 | $919 | $919 | 18 | 06-12 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x19e9…aae5 | Yes | +890 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 23:47 |
| Shimmering-Karate 0x9d49…b67e | No | +871 | $862 | $1,046 | 32 | 06-17 15:37 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +800 | $794 | $794 | 23 | 06-16 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b52…49b2 | Yes | +789 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-06 23:15 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +750 | $743 | $743 | 2 | 06-15 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb03a…07eb | No | +715 | $706 | $706 | 1 | 06-06 09:12 |
| Wordy-Bark 0xe762…064b | Yes | +630 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-06 21:13 |
| Biodegradable-Surface 0xfa31…7664 | Yes | +600 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-07 03:27 |
| Rectangular-Fork 0xae10…3fa3 | Yes | +592 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-17 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3730…c2d9 | No | +518 | $510 | $510 | 1 | 06-02 23:07 |
| Sure-Footed-Interest 0x22c2…9d56 | No | +500 | $493 | $533 | 2 | 06-14 18:57 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +500 | $2 | $172 | 107 | 06-18 22:56 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | +485 | $477 | $643 | 3 | 06-01 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xaab6…f915 | No | +470 | $463 | $463 | 1 | 06-04 08:32 |
| Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | +459 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-06 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f2c…e130 | Yes | +386 | $3 | $3 | 13 | 06-18 12:40 |
| Wee-Reunion 0x9653…02ab | No | +333 | $331 | $331 | 1 | 06-12 00:23 |
| Blissful-Consulting 0x8361…8e6d | Yes | +320 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-10 13:55 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +317 | $314 | $314 | 14 | 06-09 18:58 |
| Frizzy-Corruption 0xbb50…f29e | Yes | +310 | $2 | $8 | 2 | 06-10 14:42 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | +310 | $2 | $32 | 21 | 06-10 18:43 |
| Feline-Gnat 0xbcb1…c579 | No | +307 | $305 | $305 | 1 | 06-11 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa83…18ce | No | +276 | $275 | $275 | 1 | 06-18 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c68…e0c8 | No | +260 | $256 | $256 | 1 | 06-04 08:49 |
| Purple-Ignorance 0x2856…fe07 | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 15:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 06:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x77fa6a… |
| 06-20 06:23:29 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77fa6a… |
| 06-20 05:58:14 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa82c19… |
| 06-20 05:58:14 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa82c19… |
| 06-20 05:50:34 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x483e9b… |
| 06-20 05:50:34 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x483e9b… |
| 06-20 05:50:29 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa8d80d… |
| 06-20 05:50:29 | Superior-Epoxy 0x2b4a…7bd0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x669c19… |
| 06-20 05:50:29 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x669c19… |
| 06-20 05:50:29 | (anonymous) 0x6a07…2952 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa8d80d… |
| 06-20 04:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x2df3…58d7 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc03ab2… |
| 06-20 04:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc03ab2… |
| 06-20 04:36:28 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ba03f… |
| 06-20 04:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x6a07…2952 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2ba03f… |
| 06-20 04:15:37 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5f4a9… |
| 06-20 04:15:37 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb5f4a9… |
| 06-20 04:15:35 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb56fd… |
| 06-20 04:15:35 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6cbe22… |
| 06-20 04:15:35 | (anonymous) 0x3d9c…d863 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xbb56fd… |
| 06-20 04:15:35 | Superior-Epoxy 0x2b4a…7bd0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6cbe22… |
| 06-20 04:15:34 | (anonymous) 0xbdd3…8116 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xb8d0b4… |
| 06-20 04:15:34 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xb8d0b4… |
| 06-20 03:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae2593… |
| 06-20 03:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xbdd3…8116 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xae2593… |
| 06-20 03:21:34 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x652bf9… |
| 06-20 03:21:34 | Unpleasant-Facelift 0x9a01…0c8d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x652bf9… |
| 06-20 02:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x67c0a0… |
| 06-20 02:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67c0a0… |
| 06-20 02:57:38 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x40b71e… |
| 06-20 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x3d9c…d863 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x0e51c2… |
| 06-20 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fbe54… |
| 06-20 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e51c2… |
| 06-20 02:57:38 | Classic-Labour 0x7471…cdac | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x7fbe54… |
| 06-20 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xb02a…d4e2 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x40b71e… |
| 06-20 02:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x5056…e750 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x698ea4… |
| 06-20 02:47:25 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x698ea4… |
| 06-20 02:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x3d9c…d863 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc2e52a… |
| 06-20 02:47:25 | Classic-Labour 0x7471…cdac | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xb98c07… |
| 06-20 02:47:25 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb98c07… |
| 06-20 02:47:25 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2e52a… |
| 06-20 02:47:23 | (anonymous) 0x71e4…f46a | No | SELL | 132 | 99¢ | $131 | 0xdac09b… |
| 06-20 02:47:23 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 132 | 99¢ | $131 | 0xdac09b… |
| 06-20 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ffd26… |
| 06-20 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4ffd26… |
| 06-20 02:45:46 | Classic-Labour 0x7471…cdac | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x62319a… |
| 06-20 02:45:46 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62319a… |
| 06-20 02:45:44 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc3764… |
| 06-20 02:45:44 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x126148… |
| 06-20 02:45:44 | (anonymous) 0x3d9c…d863 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xbc3764… |
| 06-20 02:45:44 | Fancy-Pond 0xd9be…6d49 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x126148… |
| 06-20 02:31:56 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bdd7e… |
| 06-20 02:31:56 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2bdd7e… |
| 06-20 02:31:56 | (anonymous) 0xb02a…d4e2 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x2bdd7e… |
| 06-20 02:16:08 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd207fc… |
| 06-20 02:16:08 | Fancy-Pond 0xd9be…6d49 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd207fc… |
| 06-20 02:16:08 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd207fc… |
| 06-20 02:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe16cdd… |
| 06-20 02:16:07 | Willing-Right 0x1752…4d0b | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe16cdd… |
| 06-20 02:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x066e33… |
| 06-20 02:03:05 | Giving-Plumber 0xe9f0…e345 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x066e33… |
| 06-20 02:03:05 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x066e33… |
| 06-20 01:48:44 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x750c58… |
| 06-20 01:48:44 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x750c58… |
| 06-20 01:48:41 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe5d332… |
| 06-20 01:48:41 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe5d332… |
| 06-20 01:27:04 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x769fd4… |
| 06-20 01:27:04 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x769fd4… |
| 06-20 01:19:31 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8a26c7… |
| 06-20 01:19:31 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8a26c7… |
| 06-20 01:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x234205… |
| 06-20 01:19:26 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x234205… |
| 06-20 01:18:49 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xbcd2f5… |
| 06-20 01:18:49 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xbcd2f5… |
| 06-19 22:36:14 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xc85c06… |
| 06-19 22:36:14 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xc85c06… |
| 06-19 22:35:55 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x2129ae… |
| 06-19 22:35:55 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x2129ae… |
| 06-19 22:34:23 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8ac5af… |
| 06-19 22:34:23 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8ac5af… |
| 06-19 22:34:20 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x6c88ff… |
| 06-19 22:34:20 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x190a4c… |
| 06-19 22:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d9c…d863 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x6c88ff… |
| 06-19 22:34:20 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x190a4c… |
| 06-19 22:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x3d8369… |
| 06-19 22:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d8369… |
| 06-19 22:33:50 | Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x3d8369… |
| 06-19 21:48:50 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4299e9… |
| 06-19 21:48:50 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4299e9… |
| 06-19 21:45:19 | (anonymous) 0x1eb6…c733 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd563bd… |
| 06-19 21:45:19 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd563bd… |
| 06-19 21:43:34 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x635332… |
| 06-19 21:43:34 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x635332… |
| 06-19 21:43:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x625fb7… |
| 06-19 21:43:31 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x625fb7… |
| 06-19 21:20:25 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdc367c… |
| 06-19 21:20:25 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc367c… |
| 06-19 21:20:23 | Superior-Epoxy 0x2b4a…7bd0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc1bd4d… |
| 06-19 21:20:23 | (anonymous) 0xdaf5…fd17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1bd4d… |
| 06-19 21:20:22 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9e2f24… |
| 06-19 21:20:22 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9e2f24… |