Worthwhile-Sock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$297

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

411,485

lifetime

Volume

$1.42M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

57% 83% +$768

Other

32% 40% $-3

Sports

7% 0% $-519

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4773 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8,175	$26.5K	131,657	114,901	+16,757	open	—	03-27 14:08
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4,635	$21.6K	83,853	61,336	+22,517	open	—	02-02 14:07
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3,721	$18.9K	40,132	42,765	-2,633	open	—	03-28 00:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3,435	$18.1K	33,018	30,736	+2,283	open	—	01-29 23:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3,439	$16.1K	42,678	42,842	-164	open	—	06-26 09:52
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4,169	$14.8K	60,543	59,842	+701	open	—	06-28 20:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2,494	$14.7K	27,268	23,034	+4,235	open	—	05-28 00:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2,948	$14.4K	25,685	23,556	+2,129	open	—	04-22 09:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3,300	$14.4K	89,975	82,901	+7,074	open	—	05-27 22:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3,183	$13.7K	28,903	25,044	+3,858	open	—	03-28 08:51
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1,714	$13.5K	20,065	29,052	-8,987	open	—	01-29 07:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2,931	$13.2K	53,424	52,256	+1,168	open	—	06-21 11:34
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2,751	$13.2K	28,094	25,267	+2,826	open	—	01-30 01:27
will the us invade iran by march 31	3,793	$13.0K	46,201	45,726	+476	open	—	03-28 01:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3,638	$12.9K	72,119	71,767	+352	open	—	06-28 02:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2,422	$12.3K	22,406	20,067	+2,339	open	—	04-08 00:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2,542	$11.5K	57,085	57,149	-65	open	—	06-28 13:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2,038	$11.4K	28,458	28,910	-452	open	—	06-16 18:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2,762	$11.3K	58,491	58,256	+235	open	—	06-14 07:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2,418	$11.2K	29,743	27,552	+2,191	open	—	05-29 04:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1,623	$10.9K	19,183	16,955	+2,227	open	—	04-12 21:12
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	3,253	$10.8K	60,710	43,840	+16,870	open	—	02-02 14:07
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2,609	$10.7K	46,849	40,369	+6,479	open	—	03-08 21:46
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1,737	$10.5K	11,778	11,729	+49	open	—	03-04 16:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	1,944	$10.4K	14,094	13,696	+398	open	—	06-14 21:23
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3,309	$9.9K	126,146	108,290	+17,856	open	—	02-08 08:32
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	2,424	$9.7K	32,104	25,439	+6,665	open	—	01-18 23:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1,752	$9.7K	12,100	11,442	+658	open	—	07-01 14:23
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1,810	$9.7K	14,447	12,359	+2,088	open	—	01-18 11:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,842	$9.5K	19,734	18,827	+907	open	—	01-30 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 12:35:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x0a31eb…
07-03 11:59:07	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0x9bd582…
07-03 10:39:07	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0xc2076c…
07-03 10:24:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfca8a0…
07-03 07:40:26	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x28a63a…
07-03 04:13:43	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0xeb395b…
07-03 02:03:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0xaaad5f…
07-03 01:03:53	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x1484a5…
07-03 00:33:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x558bd4…
07-02 23:51:34	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xde3482…
07-02 23:36:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa03f5a…
07-02 23:32:47	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xc11b3b…
07-02 21:23:17	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	13	42¢	$5	0xdafe93…
07-02 19:58:29	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x991efd…
07-02 17:49:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x0c564d…
07-02 17:41:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xf7ee2c…
07-02 17:18:43	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xd7d1f5…
07-02 15:54:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x865dbf…
07-02 14:12:49	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x176dff…
07-02 13:55:50	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1b84cd…
07-02 13:33:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xccb91c…
07-02 13:25:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x63b9bf…
07-02 11:58:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xd4668f…
07-02 11:01:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0x7ac4bb…
07-02 10:41:41	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9d4547…
07-02 10:03:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0xc779bc…
07-02 06:52:16	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x489685…
07-02 06:02:59	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbfaf65…
07-02 05:49:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xa6dda8…
07-02 05:11:31	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xa6b069…
07-02 04:51:22	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	84	9¢	$8	0x263f02…
07-02 02:32:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x4d67f7…
07-02 00:05:10	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xce795f…
07-01 23:21:31	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xec7ed8…
07-01 23:21:23	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x24c0be…
07-01 23:11:50	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xcf68eb…
07-01 22:45:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xad4674…
07-01 22:16:28	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x65388a…
07-01 21:27:20	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x34491b…
07-01 21:11:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x72ad19…
07-01 21:00:10	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x6a0c09…
07-01 20:45:26	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xff23c0…
07-01 20:37:01	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x77109a…
07-01 20:20:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xbc5044…
07-01 20:11:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	39	14¢	$5	0x87f29f…
07-01 19:50:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0xffa40e…
07-01 18:38:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x794d1d…
07-01 18:36:14	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x1c13a1…
07-01 18:34:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x80c98b…
07-01 18:25:16	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf046ca…
07-01 18:08:44	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xa01ad6…
07-01 16:35:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x98912b…
07-01 16:34:41	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x867aae…
07-01 15:45:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0x7832d8…
07-01 15:05:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	15¢	$6	0xf61d6a…
07-01 14:23:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$5	0x6ec43e…
07-01 14:22:11	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x4ddede…
07-01 14:20:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd46811…
07-01 14:08:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x0327bd…
07-01 14:01:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x929748…
07-01 13:59:16	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x25a276…
07-01 13:50:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0x21aebd…
07-01 13:08:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	158	1¢	$1	0x6084d0…
07-01 13:02:59	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xdab6ef…
07-01 13:00:31	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xe035a2…
07-01 12:23:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf85735…
07-01 12:22:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xfb4c79…
07-01 12:15:49	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x18de43…
07-01 12:14:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x6d150b…
07-01 12:00:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x43e1e4…
07-01 11:59:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x51870d…
07-01 11:52:16	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	6¢	$3	0x336dbe…
07-01 11:52:07	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x8b9a5a…
07-01 11:49:58	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	235	3¢	$6	0xd91f43…
07-01 11:49:56	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xe0629b…
07-01 11:49:25	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xcf985a…
07-01 11:24:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x2679bc…
07-01 11:19:59	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0xe8ef2d…
07-01 11:16:40	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xb8210a…
07-01 10:51:16	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7dad39…
07-01 10:37:34	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x674aa2…
07-01 10:28:43	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x76305a…
07-01 10:19:25	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x2f9bcf…
07-01 10:14:28	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xceebdf…
07-01 10:07:02	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0xe2db0e…
07-01 10:06:47	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x3e0a8d…
07-01 10:04:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x937949…
07-01 09:51:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x2e585f…
07-01 09:49:02	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x69275e…
07-01 09:43:40	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x118485…
07-01 09:41:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	6¢	$3	0xfc62df…
07-01 09:35:32	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd40c78…
07-01 09:35:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x9899a7…
07-01 09:20:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x52b449…
07-01 09:20:22	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7474c3…
07-01 09:18:56	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x825c6f…
07-01 09:17:16	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x34d4c3…
07-01 09:14:14	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7f782f…
07-01 09:12:07	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xed6dbf…
07-01 09:10:26	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x07e834…