Realized P&L
+$297
Unrealized P&L
+$430
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
20
Trades
354,286
lifetime
Volume
$1.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$2.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
56%
83%
+$768
Other
32%
40%
$-3
Sports
8%
0%
$-519
Tech
2%
—
—
Crypto
2%
100%
+$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk
• peak 8544 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 8,175 | $26.5K | 131,657 | 114,901 | +16,757 | open | — | 03-27 14:08 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 4,635 | $21.6K | 83,853 | 61,336 | +22,517 | open | — | 02-02 14:07 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 3,721 | $18.9K | 40,132 | 42,765 | -2,633 | open | — | 03-28 00:06 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 3,435 | $18.1K | 33,018 | 30,736 | +2,283 | open | — | 01-29 23:47 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 2,494 | $14.7K | 27,268 | 23,034 | +4,235 | open | — | 05-28 00:51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 2,948 | $14.4K | 25,685 | 23,556 | +2,129 | open | — | 04-22 09:05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 3,300 | $14.4K | 89,975 | 82,901 | +7,074 | open | — | 05-27 22:40 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 3,183 | $13.7K | 28,903 | 25,044 | +3,858 | open | — | 03-28 08:51 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 1,714 | $13.5K | 20,065 | 29,052 | -8,987 | open | — | 01-29 07:09 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 2,751 | $13.2K | 28,094 | 25,267 | +2,826 | open | — | 01-30 01:27 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 3,793 | $13.0K | 46,201 | 45,726 | +476 | open | — | 03-28 01:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 2,422 | $12.3K | 22,406 | 20,067 | +2,339 | open | — | 04-08 00:59 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 2,418 | $11.2K | 29,743 | 27,552 | +2,191 | open | — | 05-29 04:56 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 1,623 | $10.9K | 19,183 | 16,955 | +2,227 | open | — | 04-12 21:12 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 3,253 | $10.8K | 60,710 | 43,840 | +16,870 | open | — | 02-02 14:07 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 2,609 | $10.7K | 46,849 | 40,369 | +6,479 | open | — | 03-08 21:46 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 1,737 | $10.5K | 11,778 | 11,729 | +49 | open | — | 03-04 16:27 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 3,309 | $9.9K | 126,146 | 108,290 | +17,856 | open | — | 02-08 08:32 |
| will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643 | 2,424 | $9.7K | 32,104 | 25,439 | +6,665 | open | — | 01-18 23:15 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 1,810 | $9.7K | 14,447 | 12,359 | +2,088 | open | — | 01-18 11:46 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 1,842 | $9.5K | 19,734 | 18,827 | +907 | open | — | 01-30 01:31 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 1,609 | $9.5K | 10,840 | 9,753 | +1,088 | open | — | 04-08 00:58 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 1,235 | $9.2K | 14,573 | 13,175 | +1,398 | open | — | 03-29 05:33 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 2,863 | $8.8K | 66,227 | 73,410 | -7,183 | open | — | 03-10 13:28 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 2,461 | $8.3K | 118,528 | 94,416 | +24,112 | open | — | 01-26 23:27 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | 1,307 | $8.2K | 33,921 | 31,957 | +1,964 | open | — | 05-29 00:54 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 2,133 | $8.1K | 16,157 | 15,549 | +607 | open | — | 04-05 03:56 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 2,052 | $8.0K | 20,965 | 19,614 | +1,351 | open | — | 03-08 20:22 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 2,171 | $7.9K | 35,504 | 29,478 | +6,026 | open | — | 03-24 05:23 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 1,190 | $7.1K | 10,228 | 9,092 | +1,136 | open | — | 02-28 07:30 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 822 | $6.68M | 122,400 | 06-09 23:10 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 768 | $729.8K | 10,576 | 06-09 14:07 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 631 | $1.88M | 149,094 | 06-01 05:34 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 607 | $101.6M | 175,775 | 06-09 23:12 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | 594 | $1.88M | 139,687 | 06-09 23:10 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 579 | $85.4K | 23,326 | 06-09 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | 560 | $60.5K | 38,594 | 06-09 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | 536 | $323.5K | 152,210 | 04-26 14:40 |