US strike on Cuba by December 31?
open
Total volume
$1,099,933
$200,352 in 24h
Trades
39,795
Unique wallets
9,322
Liquidity
$56,662
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 22:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+26.6¢
(top1%: 76% YES on $25.0K
vs crowd: 49% YES on $575.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 44 | $28.7K | $33.0K | $4.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 70 | $12.5K | $27.4K | $14.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 361 | $31.3K | $36.7K | $5.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8,847 | $210.1K | $196.1K | +$14.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 16 | $18.9K | $6.1K | +$12.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 49 | $8.5K | $17.8K | $9.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 43 | $1.5K | $1.7K | $122 |
| Median | 1,358 | $44.5K | $46.0K | $1.5K |
| Below median | 847 | $30.4K | $33.8K | $3.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 27 | $2.1K | $2.1K | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 48 | $4.0K | $24.9K | $20.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 17 | $5.6K | $9.5K | $3.8K |
| unranked | 6,917 | $166.8K | $151.4K | +$15.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +13,352 | $5,906 | $7,637 | 184 | 06-09 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7a9…62d4 | Yes | +10,439 | $5,270 | $5,270 | 1 | 05-30 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb47…0eca | Yes | +9,949 | $4,521 | $4,521 | 3 | 06-06 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8,877 | $4,185 | $4,185 | 1,143 | 06-09 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8,854 | $4,682 | $4,682 | 1,132 | 06-09 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x71e1…45f0 | Yes | +8,163 | $4,272 | $4,272 | 50 | 05-31 12:36 |
| Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | +8,000 | $4,702 | $10,908 | 134 | 06-09 22:18 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +7,161 | $3,516 | $3,516 | 89 | 06-01 09:45 |
| Any-Adviser 0x00d1…c8a4 | No | +7,000 | $3,469 | $3,469 | 23 | 05-30 14:29 |
| Wicked-Implication 0xceca…3f67 | No | +6,792 | $3,900 | $3,900 | 5 | 06-09 14:24 |
| Cloudy-Leaker 0x0a26…1851 | No | +5,430 | $2,994 | $14,166 | 21 | 06-07 19:37 |
| Narrow-Prune 0x77a1…de3d | No | +4,707 | $2,903 | $2,903 | 4 | 06-08 16:00 |
| Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | +4,706 | $2,068 | $13,093 | 325 | 06-09 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x59f1…a693 | No | +4,543 | $2,712 | $2,712 | 3 | 06-06 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc91…31eb | No | +3,509 | $1,979 | $1,979 | 1 | 06-06 08:16 |
| Real-Teaching 0x80a0…5708 | Yes | +3,000 | $1,170 | $1,170 | 2 | 06-07 13:15 |
| Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe738…df65 | No | +2,387 | $786 | $4,179 | 60 | 06-09 20:18 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +2,291 | $1,108 | $2,220 | 55 | 06-06 18:37 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +2,217 | $1,022 | $1,022 | 107 | 06-08 00:51 |
| Cheerful-Visit 0x8a4e…1ba4 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-28 08:11 |
| Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | +2,000 | $1,060 | $1,060 | 2 | 06-04 05:50 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +1,733 | $889 | $889 | 80 | 06-09 22:30 |
| Vapid-Workshop 0x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | +1,595 | $678 | $678 | 14 | 06-06 14:35 |
| Linear-Sidestream 0x77b7…f268 | Yes | +1,544 | $772 | $772 | 3 | 05-28 06:42 |
| Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | +1,359 | $620 | $620 | 16 | 06-01 23:48 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +1,277 | $727 | $2,931 | 102 | 06-09 22:44 |
| Oval-Vibrissae-Lounge 0x2cce…d56f | Yes | +1,000 | $450 | $450 | 16 | 06-06 08:44 |
| Unhappy-Rule 0xe4c1…f022 | Yes | +1,000 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-28 15:18 |
| Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | +1,000 | $480 | $480 | 3 | 06-02 06:51 |
| Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021 | No | +980 | $610 | $630 | 2 | 06-09 01:35 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +939 | $425 | $425 | 8 | 06-06 15:52 |
| Partial-Macadamia 0xbd38…99d4 | Yes | +900 | $342 | $342 | 6 | 06-07 02:44 |
| Stunning-Palace 0x999f…addb | Yes | +861 | $353 | $353 | 10 | 06-06 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x10c9…1696 | No | +840 | $504 | $504 | 1 | 06-07 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | No | +817 | $498 | $498 | 1 | 06-08 00:47 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +752 | $382 | $1,153 | 29 | 06-07 22:51 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | +700 | $282 | $282 | 21 | 06-08 13:52 |
| Criminal-Message 0x5d5d…a37e | Yes | +693 | $360 | $360 | 1 | 05-31 02:09 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +670 | $323 | $691 | 63 | 06-06 16:35 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +637 | $349 | $1,739 | 32 | 06-07 19:37 |
| Silky-Rack 0xa9cf…59a4 | Yes | +600 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-28 12:58 |
| Profitable-Map 0xd27d…fa96 | Yes | +600 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-30 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | +597 | $316 | $316 | 1 | 05-31 12:08 |
| Earnest-Twitter 0x7164…7ff7 | Yes | +566 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-29 21:01 |
| Boiling-Framework 0xf368…17b4 | Yes | +557 | $256 | $256 | 28 | 06-09 18:46 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | Yes | +555 | $255 | $255 | 6 | 06-02 21:18 |
| Thin-Interject 0x100a…0919 | Yes | +511 | $292 | $3,009 | 20 | 06-05 10:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf83…97d7 | Yes | +502 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-08 05:12 |
| Boiling-Framework 0xf368…17b4 | No | +484 | $258 | $258 | 24 | 06-06 13:16 |
| Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf | No | +453 | $249 | $249 | 7 | 06-05 11:18 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +446 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-04 19:31 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | No | +441 | $216 | $216 | 88 | 05-31 06:46 |
| Faraway-Hardcover 0x8c57…f939 | No | +433 | $251 | $251 | 1 | 06-06 14:55 |
| Wild-Babushka 0x5ebf…a29b | No | +428 | $261 | $261 | 2 | 06-09 22:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 22:44:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 36 | 62¢ | $22 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 38¢ | $152 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x1835…3bd3 | No | SELL | 68 | 62¢ | $42 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | Giddy-Providence 0x1a1e…ced7 | No | SELL | 83 | 62¢ | $51 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x5cb4…ee2a | No | SELL | 51 | 62¢ | $32 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | Ideal-Anger 0x1ef1…a151 | No | SELL | 58 | 62¢ | $36 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 12 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:44:28 | Husky-Wall 0x0bdd…b829 | No | SELL | 69 | 62¢ | $43 | 0x796b9c… |
| 06-09 22:31:28 | Motherly-Uplift 0x5a12…af7f | No | BUY | 21 | 62¢ | $13 | 0x0dcc01… |
| 06-09 22:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x3323…a426 | No | SELL | 14 | 62¢ | $9 | 0x0dcc01… |
| 06-09 22:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x506931… |
| 06-09 22:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x3323…a426 | No | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x506931… |
| 06-09 22:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x5cb4…ee2a | No | SELL | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x0dcc01… |
| 06-09 22:31:28 | General-Townhouse 0x068e…9b9e | No | BUY | 13 | 61¢ | $8 | 0x506931… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Fitting-Inhibitor 0x980c…6457 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 39¢ | $28 | 0x7f87ab… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Motherly-Uplift 0x5a12…af7f | No | BUY | 24 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x61ae34… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Wretched-Contributor 0x90e8…5eaf | No | BUY | 23 | 61¢ | $14 | 0x61ae34… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 16 | 39¢ | $6 | 0x951880… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | General-Townhouse 0x068e…9b9e | No | BUY | 19 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x7f87ab… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | General-Townhouse 0x068e…9b9e | No | BUY | 42 | 61¢ | $26 | 0x3131d8… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x951880… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Wretched-Contributor 0x90e8…5eaf | No | BUY | 38 | 61¢ | $23 | 0x951880… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x951880… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Well-To-Do-Classic 0x7ce7…a2ba | No | BUY | 53 | 61¢ | $32 | 0x7f87ab… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Bowed-Dhow 0xa797…84a2 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 39¢ | $16 | 0x3131d8… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Parallel-Logo 0xe4b7…aa28 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 39¢ | $28 | 0x951880… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | Some-Itinerary 0x85cc…4e3e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 39¢ | $18 | 0x61ae34… |
| 06-09 22:30:48 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x951880… |
| 06-09 22:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x0e83…2a20 | No | BUY | 12 | 62¢ | $7 | 0x38b0bb… |
| 06-09 22:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x3323…a426 | No | SELL | 12 | 62¢ | $7 | 0x38b0bb… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x67f7…1aaf | No | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0xb50e01… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x0e83…2a20 | No | BUY | 67 | 61¢ | $41 | 0x66699d… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x26f4…cad1 | No | BUY | 52 | 61¢ | $32 | 0xaf3e2d… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x67f7…1aaf | No | BUY | 39 | 61¢ | $24 | 0xaf3e2d… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0xb81c…8fcc | Yes | BUY | 91 | 39¢ | $35 | 0x66699d… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x66699d… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x68bc…a30e | Yes | BUY | 91 | 39¢ | $35 | 0xaf3e2d… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x26f4…cad1 | No | BUY | 13 | 61¢ | $8 | 0x66699d… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x61f5…ab3c | Yes | BUY | 87 | 39¢ | $34 | 0xb50e01… |
| 06-09 22:26:19 | (anonymous) 0xe39b…e64d | No | BUY | 71 | 61¢ | $43 | 0xb50e01… |
| 06-09 22:24:01 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 21 | 61¢ | $13 | 0xc23f49… |
| 06-09 22:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x3323…a426 | No | SELL | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xc23f49… |
| 06-09 22:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xc23f49… |
| 06-09 22:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x4bb3…6e74 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 38¢ | $26 | 0xc23f49… |
| 06-09 22:24:01 | (anonymous) 0xb23e…7494 | No | SELL | 35 | 62¢ | $22 | 0xc23f49… |
| 06-09 22:18:57 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 101 | 61¢ | $62 | 0x876c3e… |
| 06-09 22:18:57 | Poor-Sea 0x7803…9e91 | No | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x876c3e… |
| 06-09 22:18:57 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 141 | 61¢ | $86 | 0x876c3e… |
| 06-09 22:18:57 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 350 | 39¢ | $136 | 0x876c3e… |
| 06-09 22:18:57 | Growling-Retrospective 0x936a…7a5a | No | SELL | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x876c3e… |
| 06-09 22:15:39 | (anonymous) 0x2bbc…75cf | Yes | SELL | 36 | 39¢ | $14 | 0x14f5e3… |
| 06-09 22:15:39 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 36 | 61¢ | $22 | 0xf06dad… |
| 06-09 22:15:39 | (anonymous) 0x63b4…93d6 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 39¢ | $14 | 0xf06dad… |
| 06-09 22:15:39 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 36 | 61¢ | $22 | 0x14f5e3… |
| 06-09 22:15:39 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 36 | 61¢ | $22 | 0xaf83e7… |
| 06-09 22:15:39 | (anonymous) 0x2e7d…e813 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 39¢ | $14 | 0xaf83e7… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Poor-Sea 0x7803…9e91 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x639b…6b17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 734 | 61¢ | $448 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Wild-Babushka 0x5ebf…a29b | No | BUY | 82 | 61¢ | $50 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | BUY | 300 | 61¢ | $183 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Growling-Retrospective 0x936a…7a5a | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Little-Heartwood 0x81c9…4a47 | No | BUY | 25 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 122 | 61¢ | $74 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 22:08:15 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x6f5a01… |
| 06-09 21:56:54 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x4b6127… |
| 06-09 21:56:54 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 650 | 39¢ | $253 | 0x4b6127… |
| 06-09 21:56:54 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 61¢ | $610 | 0x4b6127… |
| 06-09 21:56:54 | Wild-Babushka 0x5ebf…a29b | No | BUY | 345 | 61¢ | $211 | 0x4b6127… |
| 06-09 21:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xb23e…7494 | No | SELL | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0xafc8dd… |
| 06-09 21:55:52 | Vapid-Still 0xc7e5…9256 | No | BUY | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0xafc8dd… |
| 06-09 21:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x15ea…e20c | No | SELL | 13 | 62¢ | $8 | 0x9f5a2f… |
| 06-09 21:47:04 | Medium-Chandelier 0x0a20…dd2f | Yes | SELL | 38 | 38¢ | $14 | 0x9f5a2f… |
| 06-09 21:47:04 | (anonymous) 0xb23e…7494 | No | SELL | 25 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x9f5a2f… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | Overcooked-Lumber 0x10d1…00e1 | No | SELL | 86 | 62¢ | $53 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 38¢ | $152 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x15ea…e20c | No | SELL | 56 | 62¢ | $35 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | Extroverted-Oleo 0x3e9b…545c | No | SELL | 34 | 62¢ | $21 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x2d87…c564 | No | SELL | 78 | 62¢ | $48 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 38¢ | $17 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xeaf3…3fb9 | No | SELL | 67 | 62¢ | $42 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xdcb6…a6bf | No | SELL | 35 | 62¢ | $22 | 0x1c25bc… |
| 06-09 21:46:39 | Instructive-Patience 0x63b4…ee12 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xf0b88a… |
| 06-09 21:46:39 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xf0b88a… |
| 06-09 21:32:28 | Instructive-Patience 0x63b4…ee12 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x158209… |
| 06-09 21:32:28 | Extroverted-Oleo 0x3e9b…545c | No | SELL | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x158209… |
| 06-09 21:18:27 | (anonymous) 0xce83…c804 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 38¢ | $27 | 0x435a3c… |
| 06-09 21:18:27 | Extroverted-Oleo 0x3e9b…545c | No | SELL | 72 | 62¢ | $45 | 0x435a3c… |
| 06-09 20:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x97cd…4e9e | No | BUY | 82 | 62¢ | $51 | 0x42ac0c… |
| 06-09 20:45:34 | (anonymous) 0xd1a7…2d4d | No | SELL | 57 | 62¢ | $35 | 0x42ac0c… |
| 06-09 20:45:34 | (anonymous) 0xfac4…2d4b | No | SELL | 25 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x42ac0c… |
| 06-09 20:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x08e1…5b69 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 38¢ | $16 | 0x3de147… |
| 06-09 20:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x70ef…efb7 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 38¢ | $16 | 0x3de147… |
| 06-09 20:44:54 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 40 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xa56490… |
| 06-09 20:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x12fd…73b5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0xa56490… |