Realized P&L
-$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$191
Hit rate
47.2%
Resolved
972
Trades
7,359
lifetime
Volume
$627.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$32.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-29 10:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
65% 53% -$5,887
Politics
24% 55% -$494
Sports
4% 48% -$1,136
Crypto
4% 83% +$230
Tech
3% 48% -$232
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$159
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,002 $3,378 82¢ $3.3K -$76 10-23 01:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,390 $2,236 92¢ $2.2K -$26 10-25 22:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,455 $1,962 84¢ $2.1K +$112 10-23 09:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,019 $1,712 97¢ $2.0K +$246 10-23 01:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,221 $1,968 86¢ $1.9K -$58 10-23 05:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,670 $1,511 90¢ $1.5K +$1 10-26 23:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,488 $1,328 90¢ $1.3K +$19 10-23 03:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,948 $1,288 68¢ $1.3K +$46 10-23 01:05
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +1,139 $1,031 94¢ $1.1K +$36 10-23 18:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,190 $1,035 88¢ $1.0K +$6 10-26 22:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,603 $1,185 64¢ $1.0K -$159 10-26 15:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,740 $1,381 56¢ $966 -$415 10-29 00:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +871 $701 98¢ $855 +$154 10-23 04:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +862 $757 97¢ $834 +$77 10-19 14:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $754 69¢ $791 +$37 10-23 01:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +801 $472 97¢ $776 +$303 10-23 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +2,611 $763 30¢ $770 +$7 10-24 18:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,169 $735 64¢ $742 +$7 10-23 01:05
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,011 $849 72¢ $733 -$116 10-23 01:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +1,222 $751 60¢ $728 -$23 10-23 02:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +811 $735 90¢ $726 -$9 10-22 19:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,014 $645 68¢ $685 +$40 10-23 11:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +994 $657 67¢ $666 +$9 10-23 03:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +753 $663 86¢ $651 -$11 10-23 01:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,022 $681 64¢ $649 -$32 10-23 02:18
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +883 $631 72¢ $640 +$9 10-23 02:18
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +657 $552 94¢ $615 +$62 10-27 09:41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,628 $993 38¢ $611 -$382 10-24 23:20
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +666 $592 87¢ $579 -$13 10-23 05:18
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +816 $617 70¢ $575 -$42 10-23 03:16