Realized P&L
-$7.74K
Unrealized P&L
-$503
Hit rate
47.0%
Resolved
952
Trades
7,292
lifetime
Volume
$620.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$33.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-27 23:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
65% 53% -$6,319
Politics
24% 55% -$494
Sports
4% 49% -$1,083
Crypto
4% 83% +$230
Tech
3% 48% -$232
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$159
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,002 $3,378 82¢ $3.3K -$116 10-23 01:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,390 $2,236 92¢ $2.2K -$50 10-25 22:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +2,455 $1,962 84¢ $2.0K +$88 10-23 09:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,221 $1,968 86¢ $1.9K -$47 10-23 05:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,019 $1,712 94¢ $1.9K +$176 10-23 01:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,561 $1,417 96¢ $1.5K +$87 10-27 03:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,670 $1,511 90¢ $1.5K -$8 10-26 23:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,704 $1,882 50¢ $1.4K -$517 10-26 15:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,948 $1,288 68¢ $1.3K +$27 10-23 01:05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,488 $1,328 88¢ $1.3K -$26 10-23 03:16
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +1,139 $1,031 94¢ $1.1K +$44 10-23 18:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,603 $1,185 66¢ $1.1K -$119 10-26 15:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,190 $1,035 86¢ $1.0K -$6 10-26 22:39
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +862 $757 97¢ $832 +$75 10-19 14:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +871 $701 95¢ $830 +$128 10-23 04:16
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,011 $849 80¢ $804 -$45 10-23 01:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +1,222 $751 65¢ $792 +$41 10-23 02:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $754 68¢ $774 +$20 10-23 01:05
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +801 $472 94¢ $757 +$285 10-23 07:34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +2,611 $763 28¢ $731 -$32 10-24 18:35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,169 $735 62¢ $731 -$5 10-23 01:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +811 $735 90¢ $726 -$9 10-22 19:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,628 $993 44¢ $725 -$268 10-24 23:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +990 $879 71¢ $703 -$176 10-27 16:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,014 $645 66¢ $675 +$30 10-23 11:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +994 $657 67¢ $666 +$9 10-23 03:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +753 $663 86¢ $648 -$15 10-23 01:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,022 $681 62¢ $639 -$43 10-23 02:18
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +723 $640 86¢ $625 -$14 10-26 23:38
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +883 $631 70¢ $614 -$17 10-23 02:18