Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$592
Trades
26
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$4,200
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 18:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $1 | $46 | $45 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | $211 | $209 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $18 | $17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $28 | $27 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $211 | $211 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +219 | $207 | $207 | 3 | 06-18 09:48 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 18:32 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 18:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-28 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 06-26 19:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 18:32:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-06 18:32:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-06 18:32:02 | (anonymous) 0xc6d9…3a6e | Yes | SELL | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-06 18:32:02 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | SELL | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-03 14:34:47 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4afb76… |
| 07-03 14:34:47 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4afb76… |
| 06-26 19:03:10 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x6307e4… |
| 06-26 19:03:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6307e4… |
| 06-26 19:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6307e4… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | SELL | 74 | 96¢ | $71 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 138 | 95¢ | $132 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-09 15:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0x3c4523… |
| 06-09 15:33:58 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0x3c4523… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 21 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x36baa7… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x36baa7… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 16 | 92¢ | $15 | 0x36baa7… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xa15c41… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xa15c41… |
| 05-30 01:50:38 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x9971a7… |
| 05-30 01:50:38 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9971a7… |
| 05-30 01:50:38 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9971a7… |
| 05-28 07:49:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x52fccb… |
| 05-28 07:49:35 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x52fccb… |