Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,011
Trades
50
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$4,200
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-05 21:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $112 | $107 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $100 | $28 | +$72 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $3 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $55 | $53 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $101 | $56 | +$45 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 8 | $2 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +1,924 | $1,817 | $1,817 | 6 | 07-31 21:24 |
| Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | +1,813 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-31 21:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 08-05 21:01 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-05 21:01 |
| Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 19:52 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 5 | 08-05 19:52 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +29 | $27 | $86 | 4 | 08-01 09:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-05 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 06-26 19:03 |
| Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-01 09:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 21:01:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc21eb3… |
| 08-05 21:01:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $19 | 0xc21eb3… |
| 08-05 20:03:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x45d6cd… |
| 08-05 20:03:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x45d6cd… |
| 08-05 19:52:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x90a014… |
| 08-05 19:52:08 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x90a014… |
| 08-05 19:23:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xcfad44… |
| 08-05 19:23:36 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xcfad44… |
| 08-01 09:50:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x01d125… |
| 08-01 09:50:21 | Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x01d125… |
| 07-31 21:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x41158b… |
| 07-31 21:24:02 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x41158b… |
| 07-31 21:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 205 | 94¢ | $193 | 0x41158b… |
| 07-31 21:24:02 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | BUY | 1,813 | 6¢ | $100 | 0x41158b… |
| 07-31 21:24:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x41158b… |
| 07-31 21:24:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x41158b… |
| 07-29 15:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xccb3…c2e4 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56afa7… |
| 07-29 15:39:09 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x56afa7… |
| 07-27 17:02:09 | (anonymous) 0xccb3…c2e4 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x13a59d… |
| 07-27 17:02:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x13a59d… |
| 07-25 13:35:57 | (anonymous) 0x16c4…cfc3 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x4d5295… |
| 07-25 13:35:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4d5295… |
| 07-11 19:52:34 | Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0c20e8… |
| 07-11 19:52:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0c20e8… |
| 07-06 18:32:02 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | SELL | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-06 18:32:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-06 18:32:02 | (anonymous) 0xc6d9…3a6e | Yes | SELL | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-06 18:32:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xee4333… |
| 07-03 14:34:47 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4afb76… |
| 07-03 14:34:47 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4afb76… |
| 06-26 19:03:10 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x6307e4… |
| 06-26 19:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6307e4… |
| 06-26 19:03:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6307e4… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 138 | 95¢ | $132 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-18 09:48:10 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | SELL | 74 | 96¢ | $71 | 0x8d1bbf… |
| 06-09 15:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0x3c4523… |
| 06-09 15:33:58 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0x3c4523… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x36baa7… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 16 | 92¢ | $15 | 0x36baa7… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 21 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x36baa7… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xa15c41… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xa15c41… |
| 05-30 01:50:38 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x9971a7… |
| 05-30 01:50:38 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9971a7… |
| 05-30 01:50:38 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9971a7… |
| 05-28 07:49:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x52fccb… |
| 05-28 07:49:35 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x52fccb… |