Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef3a…8ef04e
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
37,534
lifetime
Volume
$30.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$149
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
55% 67% $-2
Sports
15% 20% $-3
Crypto
15% 100% +$5
Politics
14% 50% $-40
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 $-17 54¢ $-17 $-0 06-05 23:09
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? No -17 $-10 76¢ $-13 $-3 07-08 16:35
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $11 86¢ $12 +$1 06-25 08:43
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No -9 $-7 92¢ $-8 $-1 06-09 19:03
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -86 $-9 9¢ $-8 +$0 06-24 23:44
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -62 $-4 11¢ $-7 $-2 06-26 19:10
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -289 $-6 2¢ $-7 $-1 06-26 22:29
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -56 $-12 10¢ $-6 +$6 07-16 10:06
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 22:27
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-4 86¢ $-5 $-1 06-15 16:23
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No -9 $-2 55¢ $-5 $-3 05-31 15:34
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 12:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 23:40
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +134 $7 3¢ $4 $-3 06-25 22:17
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-3 80¢ $-4 $-1 06-26 06:55
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? No +5 $3 68¢ $4 +$0 07-13 00:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes -35 $-6 10¢ $-3 +$3 06-24 13:31
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -71 $-3 4¢ $-3 $-0 06-29 10:16
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -4 $-4 84¢ $-3 +$1 06-24 13:31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes -9 $-2 32¢ $-3 $-0 06-30 20:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? Yes -18 $-3 15¢ $-3 +$1 06-25 08:18
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -41 $-2 6¢ $-2 $-1 06-25 22:55
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Yes +57 $5 4¢ $2 $-2 07-19 03:27
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -58 $-3 4¢ $-2 +$1 07-15 10:45
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -47 $-1 5¢ $-2 $-1 06-24 14:38
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $-1 10¢ $-2 $-1 06-29 11:39
Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 22¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 14:01
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +14 $-1 16¢ $2 +$3 06-09 02:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? Yes -45 $-3 4¢ $-2 +$1 07-19 17:21
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -6 $-2 31¢ $-2 +$0 05-28 21:28