Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef3a…8ef04e
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
37,454
lifetime
Volume
$30.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$170
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 67% $-2
Sports
15% 20% $-3
Crypto
15% 100% +$5
Politics
14% 50% $-40
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 504 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -21 $-6 100¢ $-21 $-15 06-25 10:55
Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 $-17 56¢ $-18 $-1 06-05 23:09
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $11 89¢ $13 +$2 06-25 08:43
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -86 $-9 10¢ $-9 $-0 06-24 23:44
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No -9 $-7 92¢ $-8 $-1 06-09 19:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? No -11 $-6 66¢ $-7 $-1 06-28 23:49
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +134 $7 5¢ $7 +$0 06-25 22:17
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-4 93¢ $-6 $-1 06-15 16:23
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 06-03 23:46
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 89¢ $-6 $-0 06-05 22:27
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -62 $-4 8¢ $-5 $-0 06-26 19:10
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -33 $-1 15¢ $-5 $-4 06-26 06:43
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -71 $-3 7¢ $-5 $-2 06-29 10:16
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 05-31 12:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 23:40
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +14 $-1 32¢ $4 +$6 06-09 02:17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes -35 $-6 12¢ $-4 +$2 06-24 13:31
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -289 $-6 1¢ $-4 +$2 06-26 22:29
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -47 $-1 8¢ $-4 $-2 06-24 14:38
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? No +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$1 06-07 19:00
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-3 70¢ $-4 $-0 06-26 06:55
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No -9 $-2 38¢ $-3 $-1 05-31 15:34
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -4 $-4 84¢ $-3 +$1 06-24 13:31
Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 30¢ $-3 $-1 06-25 14:01
Sam Altman in jail by June 30? Yes +68 $-1 4¢ $3 +$4 06-30 16:24
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Yes +94 $7 3¢ $3 $-4 06-24 19:46
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? Yes -18 $-3 15¢ $-3 +$1 06-25 08:18
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $-1 16¢ $3 +$3 06-25 19:36
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $-3 11¢ $-2 +$1 06-25 15:15
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? Yes -11 $-2 21¢ $-2 $-0 06-24 14:44