Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
open
Total volume
$79,590
$1,230 in 24h
Trades
2,530
Unique wallets
827
Liquidity
$19,751
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-17 23:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.3¢
(top1%: 9% YES on $896
vs crowd: 5% YES on $46.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $68 | $7.4K | $7.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $620 | $6.8K | $6.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 62 | $219 | $9.7K | $9.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 731 | $1.3K | $20.4K | $19.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $80 | $816 | $735 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $39 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $188 | $1.4K | $1.2K |
| Median | 136 | $665 | $2.9K | $2.3K |
| Below median | 58 | $128 | $2.0K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $45 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $26 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | — | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| unranked | 590 | $1.0K | $22.0K | $21.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious-Plaster 0x2889…9226 | Yes | +10,326 | $607 | $607 | 7 | 07-08 09:34 |
| Scarce-Passage 0xb357…ff05 | No | +3,271 | $3,101 | $3,101 | 4 | 07-08 09:34 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +2,086 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 7 | 07-19 23:31 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +1,765 | $79 | $79 | 11 | 08-09 06:35 |
| Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | +1,200 | $1,157 | $1,157 | 4 | 08-10 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c8c…41a0 | No | +1,023 | $979 | $979 | 1 | 07-20 09:24 |
| Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | +1,000 | $965 | $965 | 3 | 08-10 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +877 | $806 | $1,194 | 14 | 08-05 19:11 |
| Common-Attribute 0xfd76…6c23 | No | +655 | $621 | $621 | 2 | 07-19 14:14 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +610 | $557 | $736 | 6 | 07-06 17:50 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +409 | $382 | $3,445 | 4 | 08-10 07:40 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +409 | $18 | $22 | 25 | 07-20 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc572…66fd | No | +280 | $263 | $263 | 1 | 07-01 10:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb0f…b652 | No | +240 | $230 | $230 | 1 | 06-03 10:30 |
| Immaculate-Comb-Swamp 0x2d5f…9c36 | No | +200 | $188 | $188 | 2 | 07-08 09:34 |
| Speedy-Excellence 0x0c3c…5eea | No | +179 | $169 | $169 | 3 | 07-01 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x70b5…6216 | Yes | +149 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | +109 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 08-10 07:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a2f…0a6b | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-01 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f4…5467 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-14 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x913b…4ce6 | Yes | +91 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-30 06:46 |
| Wide-Thorn 0xa703…6a73 | No | +78 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 07-30 14:56 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +66 | $63 | $63 | 6 | 07-15 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | +59 | $57 | $57 | 8 | 08-10 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b72…b1c8 | No | +59 | $56 | $136 | 11 | 06-30 14:45 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +59 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-01 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-30 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x40d2…2dfb | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 08-10 07:40 |
| Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | +47 | $45 | $45 | 5 | 07-12 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf70…b821 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 9 | 07-24 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | +37 | $35 | $67 | 7 | 08-17 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c52…4634 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb4f…d5a9 | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9570…961b | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x96fe…1f41 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6db…d208 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb60e…2679 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x08a5…bc55 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x91af…1e9f | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x334c…1cbd | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe9e…43c3 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xadd9…84f0 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5bd…5285 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a8f…35b1 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3ab…89f7 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ca6…4aed | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9e2…4e5a | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbddc…3b70 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe97…087a | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb1d…b70b | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 06:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa42…7bcd | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x778f…366c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 06-03 10:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 23:23:27 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x368b45… |
| 08-17 23:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xba1b…6e84 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x368b45… |
| 08-17 23:23:13 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf28d85… |
| 08-17 23:23:13 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf28d85… |
| 08-14 11:34:39 | (anonymous) 0xba1b…6e84 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb8f52c… |
| 08-14 11:34:39 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb8f52c… |
| 08-14 11:34:31 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbab357… |
| 08-14 11:34:31 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbab357… |
| 08-14 10:50:04 | (anonymous) 0xf9e4…ce9d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x802f86… |
| 08-14 10:50:04 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x802f86… |
| 08-13 18:11:22 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x62b140… |
| 08-13 18:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x62b140… |
| 08-13 18:11:15 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcfa183… |
| 08-13 18:11:15 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcfa183… |
| 08-10 21:27:10 | Klutzy-Commitment 0x2998…b425 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xd3e97f… |
| 08-10 21:27:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xd3e97f… |
| 08-10 07:43:15 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | SELL | 109 | 96¢ | $104 | 0x0cd10b… |
| 08-10 07:43:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 109 | 96¢ | $104 | 0x0cd10b… |
| 08-10 07:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x11fbcd… |
| 08-10 07:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x40d2…2dfb | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0x11fbcd… |
| 08-10 07:40:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x11fbcd… |
| 08-10 07:40:55 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | SELL | 86 | 96¢ | $83 | 0x11fbcd… |
| 08-10 07:40:25 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 1,588 | 96¢ | $1,532 | 0xe58ea4… |
| 08-10 07:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe58ea4… |
| 08-10 07:40:25 | Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | BUY | 581 | 96¢ | $560 | 0xe58ea4… |
| 08-10 07:40:25 | Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | BUY | 500 | 96¢ | $482 | 0xe58ea4… |
| 08-09 13:15:36 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x20dcbc… |
| 08-09 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x20dcbc… |
| 08-09 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0xbff0…d930 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x20dcbc… |
| 08-09 13:15:36 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x20dcbc… |
| 08-09 06:35:04 | Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | BUY | 443 | 96¢ | $427 | 0x967b2a… |
| 08-09 06:35:04 | Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | BUY | 443 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x967b2a… |
| 08-09 03:09:25 | Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8084c6… |
| 08-09 03:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xa6e0…280f | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8084c6… |
| 08-08 18:57:42 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $96 | 0x5df2ce… |
| 08-08 18:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x5df2ce… |
| 08-08 14:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a8b…4a07 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x62547f… |
| 08-08 14:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x62547f… |
| 08-08 13:56:45 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6fe689… |
| 08-08 13:56:45 | (anonymous) 0xa816…c93d | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x6fe689… |
| 08-08 11:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc19ca7… |
| 08-08 11:49:40 | (anonymous) 0xf073…0749 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc19ca7… |
| 08-07 21:07:15 | (anonymous) 0xc2c1…0060 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x516f3c… |
| 08-07 21:07:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x516f3c… |
| 08-07 15:55:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x09e6e4… |
| 08-07 15:55:51 | (anonymous) 0x3ab0…d3c2 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x09e6e4… |
| 08-07 02:45:09 | Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | BUY | 308 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xe48544… |
| 08-07 02:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe48544… |
| 08-07 02:45:09 | Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | BUY | 170 | 96¢ | $164 | 0xe48544… |
| 08-07 02:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x976a70… |
| 08-07 02:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x73c0…308d | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x976a70… |
| 08-06 18:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd36767… |
| 08-06 18:23:27 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xd36767… |
| 08-06 18:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd36767… |
| 08-06 16:25:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x43a243… |
| 08-06 16:25:56 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x43a243… |
| 08-06 16:25:56 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | SELL | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x43a243… |
| 08-06 16:04:17 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | SELL | 102 | 97¢ | $99 | 0x1d6eb8… |
| 08-06 16:04:17 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1d6eb8… |
| 08-06 16:04:17 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1d6eb8… |
| 08-06 16:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1d6eb8… |
| 08-06 14:00:56 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1dce19… |
| 08-06 14:00:56 | (anonymous) 0x790c…d4ff | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1dce19… |
| 08-06 14:00:56 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1dce19… |
| 08-06 14:00:23 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb58032… |
| 08-06 14:00:23 | Known-Temperature 0x2dae…63e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb58032… |
| 08-06 13:55:23 | (anonymous) 0x190e…c6e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9f8d5a… |
| 08-06 13:55:23 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9f8d5a… |
| 08-06 09:58:59 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x543dcb… |
| 08-06 09:58:59 | Amused-Canvas 0x44d3…4148 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x543dcb… |
| 08-06 09:58:29 | Messy-Culture 0xe700…80b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4fa2f6… |
| 08-06 09:58:29 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4fa2f6… |
| 08-06 04:47:27 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc56521… |
| 08-06 04:47:27 | (anonymous) 0x4756…bf7c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc56521… |
| 08-05 19:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | SELL | 87 | 97¢ | $84 | 0xb72467… |
| 08-05 19:11:12 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | BUY | 310 | 97¢ | $300 | 0xb72467… |
| 08-05 19:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x4573…0c60 | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xb72467… |
| 08-05 19:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb72467… |
| 08-05 19:11:12 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb72467… |
| 08-05 19:11:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xb72467… |
| 08-05 19:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xa053…cf80 | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xb72467… |
| 08-05 08:11:29 | (anonymous) 0xf45b…6cda | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x40cbc9… |
| 08-05 08:11:29 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x40cbc9… |
| 08-05 08:11:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x40cbc9… |
| 08-05 06:52:51 | (anonymous) 0x8000…c4ef | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xe87207… |
| 08-05 06:52:51 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe87207… |
| 08-05 04:36:30 | Gracious-Geology 0xac5c…4e8e | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x627935… |
| 08-05 04:36:30 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x627935… |
| 08-05 03:12:15 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xa9e711… |
| 08-05 03:12:15 | Grimy-Enterprise 0xec33…3718 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xa9e711… |
| 08-05 01:40:21 | (anonymous) 0x89f4…ced1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x313190… |
| 08-05 01:40:21 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x313190… |
| 08-04 20:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x0fe0…9c67 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd40027… |
| 08-04 20:21:18 | Knobby-Exasperation 0x1114…de8c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd40027… |
| 08-04 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xef5f…7334 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x96c7c2… |
| 08-04 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x6bbb…92eb | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x96c7c2… |
| 08-04 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x96c7c2… |
| 08-04 11:14:08 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d536f… |
| 08-04 11:14:08 | Anxious-Ruby 0x12ed…dd32 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8d536f… |
| 08-04 11:14:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x8d536f… |