Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
94.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
869
lifetime
Volume
$1.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$253
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
83% 50% +$1
Other
17% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +67 $56 88¢ $59 +$3 07-02 13:09
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +48 $41 86¢ $42 +$1 06-27 15:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 $-37 86¢ $-33 +$4 07-01 03:26
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -20 $-18 90¢ $-18 $-0 06-28 15:25
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -22 $-23 76¢ $-17 +$7 07-02 02:12
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +18 $14 84¢ $15 +$1 06-29 19:52
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 +$0 07-02 10:54
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$1 07-02 02:17
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -9 $-8 90¢ $-8 $-0 05-31 05:28
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -8 $-7 96¢ $-8 $-0 06-02 05:34
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +6 $6 95¢ $6 +$0 07-02 16:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-11 22:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 02:29
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 06-20 09:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -6 $-6 76¢ $-5 +$1 06-30 16:18
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-5 20¢ $-4 +$2 06-29 21:52
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-3 38¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 13:07