Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
94.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
972
lifetime
Volume
$2.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$650
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
78% 50% +$1
Other
22% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +323 $283 88¢ $286 +$3 07-15 11:30
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +64 $57 97¢ $62 +$5 07-12 08:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -57 $-54 89¢ $-51 +$3 07-04 05:16
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +47 $45 96¢ $45 $-0 07-12 12:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -42 $-40 82¢ $-34 +$6 07-21 08:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +36 $28 92¢ $33 +$5 07-08 17:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -40 $-32 76¢ $-31 +$2 07-04 15:27
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -14 $-13 88¢ $-12 +$0 07-20 21:53
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 07-05 12:15
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 07-06 12:12
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +11 $9 93¢ $11 +$2 07-02 02:17
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 07-14 10:26
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -9 $-8 93¢ $-9 $-0 05-31 05:28
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -8 $-7 95¢ $-8 $-0 06-02 05:34
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 07-15 16:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-11 22:48
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 +$0 07-04 23:03
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 07-05 20:59
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-20 09:44
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$2 07-20 09:43
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 07-15 14:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-3 38¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 13:07
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-5 12¢ $-2 +$3 06-29 21:52