Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,936
$20 in 24h
Trades
95
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$14,834
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-08 14:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.9¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $572
vs crowd: 11% YES on $825)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $2 | $568 | $565 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $78 | $56 | +$22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | $12 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $9 | $97 | $88 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $48 | $525 | $477 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $31 | $26 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $22 | $80 | $58 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 11 | $12 | $97 | $85 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +732 | $48 | $48 | 14 | 06-08 14:03 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +567 | $525 | $525 | 3 | 06-01 03:20 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +58 | $4 | $7 | 5 | 06-06 18:27 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +46 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-03 21:57 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +32 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-08 10:45 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $7 | 4 | 06-01 03:20 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 03:15 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-01 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 06-08 10:45 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 06-01 03:21 |
| Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | +2 | $2 | $44 | 2 | 05-29 15:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 14:04:21 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0b124a… |
| 06-08 14:04:21 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x0b124a… |
| 06-08 14:03:40 | Favorite-Veneer 0x8b92…1761 | Yes | SELL | 122 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x4cfbd8… |
| 06-08 14:03:40 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4cfbd8… |
| 06-08 14:03:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 102 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x4cfbd8… |
| 06-08 10:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa2c5f7… |
| 06-08 10:48:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa2c5f7… |
| 06-08 10:45:09 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9fa16e… |
| 06-08 10:45:09 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9fa16e… |
| 06-08 10:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9fa16e… |
| 06-08 10:44:12 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x85259d… |
| 06-08 10:44:12 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x85259d… |
| 06-08 10:44:01 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x380209… |
| 06-08 10:44:01 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x380209… |
| 06-08 10:44:01 | Favorite-Veneer 0x8b92…1761 | Yes | SELL | 147 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x380209… |
| 06-08 10:44:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 107 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x380209… |
| 06-07 22:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xed40c3… |
| 06-07 22:24:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xed40c3… |
| 06-06 18:27:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xc0d688… |
| 06-06 18:27:09 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc0d688… |
| 06-06 18:27:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 77 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xc0d688… |
| 06-06 06:41:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3b10de… |
| 06-06 06:41:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3b10de… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 390 | 94¢ | $367 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | Favorite-Veneer 0x8b92…1761 | Yes | SELL | 701 | 6¢ | $44 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 122 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-06 06:08:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x7b0967… |
| 06-04 21:16:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xade27c… |
| 06-04 21:16:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xade27c… |
| 06-04 21:16:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xce9557… |
| 06-04 21:16:07 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xce9557… |
| 06-04 21:16:07 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 71 | 94¢ | $66 | 0xce9557… |
| 06-04 21:15:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 156 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x93ec7f… |
| 06-04 21:15:36 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x93ec7f… |
| 06-04 21:15:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x93ec7f… |
| 06-04 21:15:36 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x93ec7f… |
| 06-04 21:15:36 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x93ec7f… |
| 06-03 21:57:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 46 | 93¢ | $43 | 0xa6d022… |
| 06-03 21:57:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 46 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xa6d022… |
| 06-01 13:02:54 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x594105… |
| 06-01 13:02:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x594105… |
| 06-01 06:22:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x81cbfd… |
| 06-01 06:22:34 | Composed-Engineering 0x4919…33a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x8ce85c… |
| 06-01 06:22:34 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x81cbfd… |
| 06-01 06:22:34 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8ce85c… |
| 06-01 03:24:02 | Composed-Engineering 0x4919…33a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x078592… |
| 06-01 03:24:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x078592… |
| 06-01 03:21:59 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd710b3… |
| 06-01 03:21:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd710b3… |
| 06-01 03:21:19 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9d4cc8… |
| 06-01 03:21:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9d4cc8… |
| 06-01 03:20:27 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xae9cae… |
| 06-01 03:20:27 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xae9cae… |
| 06-01 03:20:07 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 152 | 93¢ | $141 | 0xf1d703… |
| 06-01 03:20:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 122 | 7¢ | $9 | 0xf1d703… |
| 06-01 03:20:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf1d703… |
| 06-01 03:20:02 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 259 | 93¢ | $240 | 0x2290a0… |
| 06-01 03:20:02 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 87 | 92¢ | $80 | 0x2290a0… |
| 06-01 03:20:02 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2290a0… |
| 06-01 03:20:02 | Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | SELL | 142 | 93¢ | $132 | 0x2290a0… |
| 06-01 03:15:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0c229d… |
| 06-01 03:15:55 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 156 | 92¢ | $143 | 0x0c229d… |
| 06-01 03:15:55 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0c229d… |
| 06-01 03:15:55 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0x0c229d… |
| 06-01 03:15:55 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0c229d… |
| 06-01 03:15:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 21 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x0c229d… |
| 05-30 19:06:33 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x3aa5e8… |
| 05-30 19:06:33 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x3aa5e8… |
| 05-30 19:05:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4425c7… |
| 05-30 19:05:04 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4425c7… |
| 05-30 19:05:04 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x4425c7… |
| 05-30 19:05:04 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 112 | 91¢ | $102 | 0x4425c7… |
| 05-30 19:05:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x4425c7… |
| 05-30 19:05:04 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4425c7… |
| 05-29 15:58:12 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x25fcfa… |
| 05-29 15:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x25fcfa… |
| 05-29 15:58:12 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x25fcfa… |
| 05-29 15:57:30 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | SELL | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0xcba7d8… |
| 05-29 15:57:30 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xcba7d8… |
| 05-29 15:57:30 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcba7d8… |
| 05-29 15:56:34 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x98fbe7… |
| 05-29 15:56:34 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x98fbe7… |
| 05-29 15:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x98fbe7… |
| 05-29 15:53:44 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x219922… |
| 05-29 15:53:44 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x360ee3… |
| 05-29 15:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x360ee3… |
| 05-29 15:53:44 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x219922… |
| 05-29 15:52:31 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xa42821… |
| 05-29 15:52:31 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xe2c198… |
| 05-29 15:52:31 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe2c198… |
| 05-29 15:52:31 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa42821… |