Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
10,787
lifetime
Volume
$269.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$687
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
62% 45% $-21
Politics
22% 56% $-6
Sports
8% 29% +$1
Tech
5%
Crypto
3% 80% +$2
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $186 93¢ $185 $-1 06-09 17:48
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +162 $147 88¢ $143 $-4 06-10 00:00
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +75 $73 96¢ $72 $-1 06-09 18:10
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No +75 $68 90¢ $67 $-0 06-09 19:58
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No -50 $-43 93¢ $-47 $-3 05-30 00:00
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? No +50 $48 92¢ $46 $-2 06-02 05:38
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +50 $48 72¢ $36 $-13 06-10 04:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes -40 $-36 80¢ $-32 +$4 06-02 22:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +30 $29 90¢ $27 $-2 06-08 23:30
WHOOP IPO before 2027? No +33 $33 63¢ $21 $-12 06-08 22:46
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-09 13:55
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? No +37 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 23:09