Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$148
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
13,639
lifetime
Volume
$379.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
57% 45% $-21
Politics
20% 56% $-6
Sports
12% 29% +$1
Tech
7%
Crypto
3% 80% +$2
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +200 $197 96¢ $193 $-4 07-20 16:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 $-0 07-19 21:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +100 $69 68¢ $68 $-1 07-19 23:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +100 $75 67¢ $67 $-8 07-20 14:02
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? No +75 $71 84¢ $63 $-8 07-07 09:58
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No +51 $50 97¢ $49 $-1 07-15 16:15
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? No +50 $50 98¢ $49 $-1 06-30 23:04
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +51 $50 91¢ $47 $-3 07-20 14:06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 $46 86¢ $44 $-2 07-19 13:53
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +45 $43 96¢ $43 +$0 07-20 08:46
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes +50 $44 84¢ $42 $-2 07-19 23:37
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +45 $41 88¢ $39 $-2 07-19 16:20
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +50 $45 78¢ $39 $-6 07-20 21:51
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -50 $3 70¢ $-35 $-38 07-06 11:37
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $4 64¢ $-32 $-36 07-06 11:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $35 32¢ $32 $-4 07-20 13:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $35 30¢ $30 $-5 07-19 11:50
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +200 $48 14¢ $27 $-21 07-02 19:18
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +35 $27 76¢ $27 $-1 07-20 12:50
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +30 $26 78¢ $23 $-2 07-20 19:09
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -20 $-16 84¢ $-17 $-0 06-17 12:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +100 $13 12¢ $12 $-0 07-19 16:55
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $10 89¢ $9 $-1 07-20 00:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +200 $9 $7 $-2 07-20 17:39
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $5 18¢ $6 +$0 07-19 23:59
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -60 $-4 $-5 $-1 07-05 02:03
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -30 $-5 10¢ $-3 +$2 07-12 00:38
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $4 $3 $-1 07-20 09:08
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +51 $2 $2 +$0 07-20 15:04
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $4 $2 $-2 07-18 04:51