Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$74
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
11,792
lifetime
Volume
$318.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
56% 45% $-21
Politics
22% 56% $-6
Sports
12% 29% +$1
Tech
6%
Crypto
3% 80% +$2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +200 $194 96¢ $192 $-2 06-25 00:00
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +100 $96 96¢ $96 $-1 06-30 13:25
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -100 $-90 95¢ $-95 $-4 06-27 06:13
Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +75 $72 97¢ $73 +$1 06-29 23:43
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +75 $72 94¢ $70 $-1 06-30 00:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +110 $67 60¢ $66 $-1 06-29 02:10
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +65 $63 96¢ $62 $-0 06-27 12:00
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +60 $58 97¢ $58 +$0 06-30 11:22
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +70 $59 75¢ $52 $-7 06-27 00:00
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No -50 $-43 100¢ $-50 $-6 05-30 00:00
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-49 97¢ $-49 +$0 06-20 21:18
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -50 $-46 94¢ $-47 $-1 06-29 12:00
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +47 $46 90¢ $43 $-3 06-30 12:00
Will Cardi B perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +33 $32 97¢ $32 $-0 06-30 00:06
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +200 $48 15¢ $29 $-19 06-17 12:59
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 57¢ $28 $-7 06-29 00:12
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -20 $-16 88¢ $-18 $-1 06-17 12:00
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No +20 $16 72¢ $14 $-1 06-29 15:18
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +25 $8 30¢ $8 $-0 06-30 12:00
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -30 $-4 16¢ $-5 $-1 06-29 10:47
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +10 $14 41¢ $4 $-10 06-19 12:56
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +72 $3 $3 +$0 06-30 14:48
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +92 $4 $3 $-1 06-28 00:00
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +60 $2 $1 $-1 06-30 07:36
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +47 $3 $1 $-1 06-30 13:06
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +17 $3 $1 $-2 06-30 13:51
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +100 $2 $1 $-1 06-29 17:44
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 06-30 11:18
Will Top Esports make a roster change before July? Yes +100 $4 $0 $-4 06-25 22:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $-2 86¢ $0 +$2 06-12 14:55