Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$13,119
Trades
375
Unique wallets
106
Liquidity
$1,435
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-26 20:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+29.4¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 70% YES on $8.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $1.2K | $1.7K | $541 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 29 | $3.3K | $414 | +$2.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 37 | $962 | $406 | +$556 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $615 | $91 | +$525 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2.6K | $19 | +$2.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $253 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $87 | $22 | +$65 |
| Median | 14 | $71 | $68 | +$4 |
| Below median | 17 | $133 | $92 | +$41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $174 | $220 | $45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $839 | $129 | +$710 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $980 | — | +$980 |
| unranked | 34 | $965 | $163 | +$802 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impish-Revenge 0x744c…e37f | No | +3,359 | $853 | $2,207 | 3 | 07-14 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6441…139e | Yes | +1,423 | $784 | $784 | 6 | 07-19 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | Yes | +1,100 | $713 | $713 | 1 | 06-30 03:18 |
| dima23000 0xce71…d5f6 | No | +634 | $171 | $171 | 3 | 07-13 18:44 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | No | +450 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | +225 | $-41 | $443 | 21 | 07-19 14:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +168 | $63 | $86 | 10 | 07-26 20:17 |
| Original-Mama 0xca89…b94a | Yes | +159 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 07-14 19:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +153 | $63 | $138 | 7 | 07-18 10:45 |
| Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | +125 | $59 | $571 | 18 | 07-18 16:14 |
| Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | +120 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 05-31 15:36 |
| Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823d…2db3 | Yes | +102 | $64 | $278 | 6 | 07-13 18:44 |
| Celebrated-Guitar 0x63e5…ff32 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 09:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +92 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 17:52 |
| Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | +81 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-02 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf44b…14b0 | Yes | +76 | $18 | $42 | 2 | 07-19 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +70 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-14 15:49 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 17:52 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +62 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 07-04 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f1f…6740 | Yes | +59 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +55 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-30 11:00 |
| Prestigious-Jot-Humor 0x0573…877b | No | +55 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-07 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc4…cb44 | Yes | +50 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-14 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x04c3…095a | Yes | +45 | $34 | $129 | 7 | 06-30 06:14 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +42 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-14 15:49 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $13 | $79 | 8 | 07-17 23:48 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-31 15:36 |
| Wavy-Pine 0x2f70…b854 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-06 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x68d9…041d | Yes | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-19 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2800…c9d2 | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $11 | 3 | 07-19 14:54 |
| Grimy-Preserves 0xd277…f4bc | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-24 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xdef1…3783 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 01:18 |
| Hasty-Behaviour 0xc101…e6d1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $1 | $16 | 6 | 07-19 15:00 |
| Delicious-Infinite 0x0174…2150 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 01:18 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-05 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $44 | 11 | 07-18 11:49 |
| Woozy-Leptocephalus 0x8582…eb1d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 21:56 |
| Trained-Competence 0xf79d…4e37 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 06:06 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $16 | 4 | 07-19 14:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:17:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x90c3cb… |
| 07-26 20:17:43 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…4bf9 | No | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x90c3cb… |
| 07-25 13:10:42 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x05cef4… |
| 07-25 13:10:42 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…4bf9 | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x05cef4… |
| 07-24 07:30:07 | Grimy-Preserves 0xd277…f4bc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x532d06… |
| 07-24 07:30:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x532d06… |
| 07-21 17:51:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 44¢ | $7 | 0xe3c228… |
| 07-21 17:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x9c3a…9935 | No | SELL | 16 | 44¢ | $7 | 0xe3c228… |
| 07-19 18:06:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xe58f9e… |
| 07-19 18:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x68d9…041d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xe58f9e… |
| 07-19 15:00:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xdfdca1… |
| 07-19 15:00:01 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 157 | 41¢ | $64 | 0xdfdca1… |
| 07-19 15:00:01 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 29 | 59¢ | $17 | 0xdfdca1… |
| 07-19 15:00:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xdfdca1… |
| 07-19 15:00:01 | (anonymous) 0x6441…139e | Yes | BUY | 112 | 41¢ | $46 | 0xdfdca1… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 63¢ | $18 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 60¢ | $93 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | (anonymous) 0xf44b…14b0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 29 | 41¢ | $12 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-19 14:54:27 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 52¢ | $16 | 0x8de510… |
| 07-18 16:14:15 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 130 | 50¢ | $65 | 0x9f34b6… |
| 07-18 16:14:15 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x9f34b6… |
| 07-18 16:14:15 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 141 | 50¢ | $71 | 0x9f34b6… |
| 07-18 16:14:15 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x9f34b6… |
| 07-18 15:08:46 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 70 | 50¢ | $35 | 0x9f0e05… |
| 07-18 15:08:46 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 50¢ | $35 | 0x9f0e05… |
| 07-18 15:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc682a5… |
| 07-18 15:08:40 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xc682a5… |
| 07-18 15:08:36 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x31fb28… |
| 07-18 15:08:36 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x31fb28… |
| 07-18 11:49:25 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xe5a8cb… |
| 07-18 11:49:25 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xe5a8cb… |
| 07-18 10:45:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x5f9fab… |
| 07-18 10:45:28 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x5f9fab… |
| 07-18 10:44:34 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 78 | 54¢ | $42 | 0xb1292f… |
| 07-18 10:44:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 54¢ | $42 | 0xb1292f… |
| 07-18 10:42:51 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x5544a1… |
| 07-18 10:42:51 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x5544a1… |
| 07-18 09:37:03 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | BUY | 31 | 58¢ | $18 | 0xc2bebe… |
| 07-18 09:37:03 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 36 | 58¢ | $21 | 0xc2bebe… |
| 07-18 09:37:01 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 36 | 58¢ | $21 | 0xdecfbf… |
| 07-18 09:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 36 | 58¢ | $21 | 0xdecfbf… |
| 07-18 09:31:06 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 36 | 57¢ | $21 | 0xa81c55… |
| 07-18 09:31:06 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | BUY | 31 | 57¢ | $18 | 0xa81c55… |
| 07-18 09:31:04 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x8e2804… |
| 07-18 09:31:04 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 36 | 58¢ | $21 | 0x8e2804… |
| 07-18 09:31:04 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 41 | 58¢ | $24 | 0x8e2804… |
| 07-17 23:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 58¢ | $6 | 0xf0fcd5… |
| 07-17 23:48:15 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 62 | 58¢ | $36 | 0xf0fcd5… |
| 07-17 23:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xf0fcd5… |
| 07-17 23:48:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xf0fcd5… |
| 07-17 23:48:15 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 15 | 42¢ | $6 | 0xf0fcd5… |
| 07-17 12:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 47¢ | $23 | 0xfe79ca… |
| 07-17 12:23:46 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 41 | 53¢ | $22 | 0xfe79ca… |
| 07-17 12:23:46 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | No | SELL | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0xfe79ca… |
| 07-17 12:23:24 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x472b67… |
| 07-17 12:23:24 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x472b67… |
| 07-17 07:51:18 | (anonymous) 0xf57d…9689 | No | SELL | 7 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xad33c2… |
| 07-17 07:51:18 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xad33c2… |
| 07-17 07:24:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 40 | 46¢ | $18 | 0xfd621c… |
| 07-17 07:24:25 | Oddball-Casement 0x4656…93af | Yes | SELL | 40 | 54¢ | $22 | 0xfd621c… |
| 07-16 16:22:05 | Juvenile-Income 0xf600…81a9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xc00bd7… |
| 07-16 16:22:05 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xc00bd7… |
| 07-16 15:50:19 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xa45620… |
| 07-16 15:50:19 | Juvenile-Income 0xf600…81a9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xa45620… |
| 07-16 15:50:14 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 52¢ | $6 | 0xdd2450… |
| 07-16 15:50:14 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | SELL | 11 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xdd2450… |
| 07-16 13:14:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 32 | 37¢ | $12 | 0x7579bd… |
| 07-16 13:14:02 | All-Milestone 0x5a60…2a67 | No | SELL | 168 | 37¢ | $62 | 0x7579bd… |
| 07-16 13:14:02 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 63¢ | $11 | 0x7579bd… |
| 07-16 13:09:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 32 | 37¢ | $12 | 0xd0233c… |
| 07-16 13:09:02 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xd0233c… |
| 07-16 13:09:02 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xd0233c… |
| 07-16 13:09:02 | Adolescent-Guilty 0xa84f…bc44 | No | SELL | 105 | 37¢ | $39 | 0xd0233c… |
| 07-16 13:09:02 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 63¢ | $36 | 0xd0233c… |
| 07-16 13:02:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x75e693… |
| 07-16 13:02:34 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x75e693… |
| 07-16 13:02:34 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x75e693… |
| 07-16 13:02:34 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 58 | 37¢ | $21 | 0x75e693… |
| 07-16 13:02:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 32 | 37¢ | $12 | 0x75e693… |
| 07-16 07:53:19 | Oddball-Casement 0x4656…93af | Yes | BUY | 40 | 53¢ | $21 | 0xc73005… |
| 07-16 07:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 53¢ | $21 | 0xc73005… |
| 07-14 22:22:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xfbfc74… |
| 07-14 22:22:17 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xfbfc74… |
| 07-14 22:21:38 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | SELL | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x7c0598… |
| 07-14 22:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x3cc4…cb44 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x7c0598… |
| 07-14 19:24:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 65 | 45¢ | $29 | 0xd31657… |
| 07-14 19:24:17 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $17 | 0xd31657… |
| 07-14 19:24:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 55¢ | $31 | 0xd31657… |
| 07-14 19:24:17 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | No | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xd31657… |
| 07-14 19:24:17 | Original-Mama 0xca89…b94a | Yes | BUY | 159 | 55¢ | $87 | 0xd31657… |
| 07-14 17:58:59 | (anonymous) 0xf44b…14b0 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 31¢ | $30 | 0x5dd57d… |
| 07-14 17:58:59 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x5dd57d… |
| 07-14 17:58:59 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 31¢ | $20 | 0x5dd57d… |
| 07-14 16:10:31 | (anonymous) 0xdad0…37b9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xabae81… |