Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$7,176
Trades
181
Unique wallets
80
Liquidity
$1,435
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
28¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 19:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.7¢
(top1%: 62% YES on $4.1K
vs crowd: 64% YES on $6.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $915 | $1.6K | $690 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $220 | $370 | $149 |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $2.8K | $299 | +$2.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $270 | $86 | +$183 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2.6K | $1.5K | +$1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $97 | $317 | $220 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $40 | $14 | +$26 |
| Median | 8 | $27 | $39 | $13 |
| Below median | 11 | $45 | $66 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $114 | $120 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $135 | $81 | +$54 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $858 | — | +$858 |
| unranked | 26 | $313 | $174 | +$139 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impish-Revenge 0x744c…e37f | No | +4,165 | $1,530 | $1,530 | 2 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Pleased-Lettuce-Coral 0x4f7d…3db0 | Yes | +4,048 | $2,551 | $2,551 | 3 | 06-27 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | Yes | +1,100 | $713 | $713 | 1 | 06-30 03:18 |
| Relieved-Temperature 0x8262…edde | No | +612 | $185 | $185 | 2 | 06-30 06:12 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | No | +450 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| dima23000 0xce71…d5f6 | No | +331 | $71 | $71 | 2 | 05-31 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6441…139e | Yes | +161 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 05-31 15:36 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +122 | $94 | $113 | 3 | 07-06 11:16 |
| Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | +120 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 05-31 15:36 |
| Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823d…2db3 | Yes | +107 | $75 | $146 | 3 | 06-25 01:06 |
| Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | +107 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-30 11:00 |
| Celebrated-Guitar 0x63e5…ff32 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 09:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +92 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 17:52 |
| Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | +81 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-02 21:31 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 17:52 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +62 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 07-04 23:01 |
| Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | +60 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-30 03:18 |
| Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | +60 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-30 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f1f…6740 | Yes | +59 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | +58 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-09 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +55 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-30 11:00 |
| Prestigious-Jot-Humor 0x0573…877b | No | +55 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-07 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b02…843c | No | +52 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-30 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x04c3…095a | Yes | +45 | $34 | $129 | 7 | 06-30 06:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $9 | $32 | 5 | 07-01 00:30 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +33 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-30 03:27 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-31 15:36 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $6 | $22 | 4 | 07-06 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1614…fdc0 | No | +28 | $13 | $19 | 3 | 06-24 16:24 |
| Wavy-Pine 0x2f70…b854 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-06 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +26 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-06 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c3a…9935 | No | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-25 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2800…c9d2 | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| All-Milestone 0x5a60…2a67 | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 01:18 |
| Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-30 03:18 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +7 | $3 | $18 | 2 | 07-05 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xdef1…3783 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 01:18 |
| Delicious-Infinite 0x0174…2150 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 01:18 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-05 00:24 |
| Hasty-Behaviour 0xc101…e6d1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | +4 | $3 | $13 | 3 | 07-05 17:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 17:18 |
| Woozy-Leptocephalus 0x8582…eb1d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 21:56 |
| Trained-Competence 0xf79d…4e37 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 06:06 |
| Jaded-Alpaca 0x1c60…fcf2 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 05:42 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $11 | 2 | 06-02 17:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 19:54:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 26 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xe5d5e3… |
| 07-06 19:54:55 | Wavy-Pine 0x2f70…b854 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xe5d5e3… |
| 07-06 17:18:19 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x28261a… |
| 07-06 17:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x3e30…cbde | Yes | SELL | 16 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x28261a… |
| 07-06 17:18:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x28261a… |
| 07-06 11:16:49 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | SELL | 60 | 24¢ | $15 | 0xa9f59f… |
| 07-06 11:16:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa9f59f… |
| 07-06 11:16:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0xa9f59f… |
| 07-06 11:16:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xa9f59f… |
| 07-06 11:16:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa9f59f… |
| 07-06 11:16:49 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xa9f59f… |
| 07-06 11:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xa9f59f… |
| 07-06 06:20:19 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x5ed219… |
| 07-06 06:20:19 | Pointed-Flow 0x52ca…2453 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x5ed219… |
| 07-05 17:38:04 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x7198ab… |
| 07-05 17:38:04 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x7198ab… |
| 07-05 17:26:53 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 71¢ | $9 | 0xde3be2… |
| 07-05 17:26:53 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xde3be2… |
| 07-05 17:26:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xafdf8c… |
| 07-05 17:26:49 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xafdf8c… |
| 07-05 17:26:49 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xafdf8c… |
| 07-05 15:02:26 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 23 | 32¢ | $7 | 0x469a9e… |
| 07-05 15:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 23 | 68¢ | $16 | 0x469a9e… |
| 07-05 14:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 67¢ | $15 | 0x7a0f69… |
| 07-05 14:04:31 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 67¢ | $33 | 0x7a0f69… |
| 07-05 14:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x7a0f69… |
| 07-05 14:04:31 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x7a0f69… |
| 07-05 14:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x7a0f69… |
| 07-05 14:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x7a0f69… |
| 07-05 14:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x7a0f69… |
| 07-05 12:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x7f8665… |
| 07-05 12:24:08 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x7f8665… |
| 07-05 00:24:05 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xe19944… |
| 07-05 00:24:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 33¢ | $8 | 0xe19944… |
| 07-05 00:24:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0xe19944… |
| 07-05 00:21:28 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0xdc1547… |
| 07-05 00:21:28 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0xdc1547… |
| 07-05 00:21:28 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xdc1547… |
| 07-05 00:21:28 | Impish-Revenge 0x744c…e37f | No | BUY | 111 | 27¢ | $30 | 0xdc1547… |
| 07-05 00:21:28 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0xdc1547… |
| 07-05 00:21:28 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | Yes | BUY | 11 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xdc1547… |
| 07-04 23:01:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xdc34f5… |
| 07-04 23:01:02 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xdc34f5… |
| 07-02 21:31:04 | (anonymous) 0xf2b3…47b6 | No | SELL | 81 | 24¢ | $19 | 0x926c2d… |
| 07-02 21:31:04 | Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | BUY | 81 | 24¢ | $19 | 0x926c2d… |
| 07-01 00:30:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x896a80… |
| 07-01 00:30:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x896a80… |
| 07-01 00:30:59 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0x896a80… |
| 06-30 16:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x3ad528… |
| 06-30 16:34:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x3ad528… |
| 06-30 16:34:53 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x3ad528… |
| 06-30 16:34:53 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x3ad528… |
| 06-30 11:00:26 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | BUY | 55 | 26¢ | $14 | 0x67fbc5… |
| 06-30 11:00:26 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 74¢ | $41 | 0x67fbc5… |
| 06-30 10:59:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b02…843c | No | BUY | 45 | 26¢ | $12 | 0xc29f1b… |
| 06-30 10:59:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 74¢ | $34 | 0xc29f1b… |
| 06-30 10:59:55 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | BUY | 45 | 26¢ | $12 | 0xc1049c… |
| 06-30 10:59:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xc1049c… |
| 06-30 10:59:55 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc1049c… |
| 06-30 10:59:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x371f3c… |
| 06-30 10:59:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b02…843c | No | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x371f3c… |
| 06-30 10:59:25 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc69e8b… |
| 06-30 10:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xc69e8b… |
| 06-30 06:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x3e30…cbde | Yes | BUY | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x416c48… |
| 06-30 06:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x04c3…095a | Yes | SELL | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x416c48… |
| 06-30 06:12:22 | Relieved-Temperature 0x8262…edde | No | BUY | 212 | 21¢ | $45 | 0xfdf448… |
| 06-30 06:12:22 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xfdf448… |
| 06-30 06:12:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 78¢ | $70 | 0xfdf448… |
| 06-30 06:12:22 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 14 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xfdf448… |
| 06-30 06:12:22 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xfdf448… |
| 06-30 06:12:22 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xfdf448… |
| 06-30 06:12:22 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 33 | 21¢ | $7 | 0xfdf448… |
| 06-30 05:46:56 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x017b50… |
| 06-30 05:46:56 | (anonymous) 0x04c3…095a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x017b50… |
| 06-30 03:31:04 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x584ca1… |
| 06-30 03:31:04 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x584ca1… |
| 06-30 03:31:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 44 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x584ca1… |
| 06-30 03:31:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 77¢ | $37 | 0x584ca1… |
| 06-30 03:27:17 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 33 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xafcf44… |
| 06-30 03:27:17 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 26 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xafcf44… |
| 06-30 03:27:17 | (anonymous) 0x04c3…095a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xafcf44… |
| 06-30 03:27:17 | Damp-Thigh 0x2d78…f923 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xafcf44… |
| 06-30 03:27:17 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xafcf44… |
| 06-30 03:27:17 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xafcf44… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Relieved-Temperature 0x8262…edde | No | BUY | 400 | 35¢ | $140 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 30 | 37¢ | $11 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | Yes | BUY | 1,100 | 65¢ | $713 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 37¢ | $11 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x8fb969… |
| 06-30 03:18:29 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0x8fb969… |