Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$30,965
Trades
559
Unique wallets
137
Liquidity
$1,435
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-18 00:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-33.9¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $8.4K
vs crowd: 64% YES on $25.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $1.4K | $6.1K | $4.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 37 | $4.0K | $1.3K | +$2.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 48 | $1.7K | $1.3K | +$386 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $9.0K | $296 | +$8.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $2.6K | $5.9K | $3.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $348 | $551 | $202 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $159 | $48 | +$111 |
| Median | 17 | $83 | $446 | $363 |
| Below median | 24 | $548 | $330 | +$219 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $151 | $151 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $844 | $179 | +$665 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $1.1K | $40 | +$1.0K |
| unranked | 56 | $10.5K | $1.4K | +$9.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x4cbc…edf7 | Yes | +13,371 | $8,191 | $8,191 | 12 | 08-18 00:50 |
| Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | +9,326 | $3,713 | $3,713 | 2 | 08-16 13:35 |
| Impish-Revenge 0x744c…e37f | No | +4,959 | $1,392 | $2,746 | 5 | 08-03 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6441…139e | Yes | +1,423 | $784 | $784 | 6 | 07-19 15:00 |
| Altruistic-Apse 0x4a5c…321d | Yes | +1,041 | $657 | $657 | 4 | 08-01 20:34 |
| Unsteady-Rice 0x22d3…c969 | No | +1,000 | $399 | $399 | 1 | 08-07 10:35 |
| Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | +821 | $262 | $305 | 5 | 08-14 17:33 |
| Studious-Revelation 0x0268…28b9 | No | +805 | $267 | $267 | 1 | 08-03 14:24 |
| dima23000 0xce71…d5f6 | No | +634 | $171 | $171 | 3 | 07-13 18:44 |
| Willing-Purchase 0xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | +600 | $364 | $364 | 2 | 08-16 13:35 |
| Relieved-Temperature 0x8262…edde | No | +500 | $34 | $707 | 6 | 08-01 20:34 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | No | +450 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| Growing-Heating 0x27fb…84b8 | No | +393 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 08-01 06:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +319 | $159 | $233 | 14 | 08-17 03:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f5f…b2f0 | Yes | +315 | $206 | $206 | 4 | 08-07 10:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +292 | $101 | $123 | 14 | 08-05 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | Yes | +256 | $136 | $1,290 | 6 | 08-05 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb82…4bf9 | No | +217 | $95 | $105 | 5 | 08-17 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | Yes | +160 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 08-14 17:33 |
| Original-Mama 0xca89…b94a | Yes | +159 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 07-14 19:24 |
| Creepy-Bottle 0x9431…61dc | No | +145 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 08-01 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8081…6d62 | No | +120 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-13 14:15 |
| Inexperienced-Tail 0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | +120 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 05-31 15:36 |
| Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823d…2db3 | Yes | +110 | $58 | $476 | 11 | 08-16 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2575…e7e6 | No | +100 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 08-01 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | Yes | +100 | $61 | $61 | 8 | 08-14 17:33 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +92 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 17:52 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +90 | $79 | $255 | 9 | 08-06 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf44b…14b0 | Yes | +76 | $18 | $42 | 2 | 07-19 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +70 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-14 15:49 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 17:52 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +60 | $28 | $207 | 17 | 08-17 03:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f1f…6740 | Yes | +59 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +55 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-30 11:00 |
| Prestigious-Jot-Humor 0x0573…877b | No | +55 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-07 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc4…cb44 | Yes | +50 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-14 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x04c3…095a | Yes | +45 | $34 | $129 | 7 | 06-30 06:14 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +42 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-14 15:49 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-31 15:36 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +29 | $-13 | $112 | 6 | 08-01 05:17 |
| Wavy-Pine 0x2f70…b854 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-06 19:54 |
| Short-Cloves 0xd104…7c02 | No | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-15 18:37 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +23 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 08-17 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e54…8902 | No | +23 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 08-17 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2800…c9d2 | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x68d9…041d | Yes | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-19 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x33c4…85c2 | No | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-14 17:34 |
| Grimy-Preserves 0xd277…f4bc | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-24 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +10 | $5 | $36 | 10 | 08-17 03:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | +8 | $5 | $48 | 12 | 08-13 14:15 |
| Essential-Postage 0x8c5c…6b4a | Yes | +7 | $5 | $11 | 4 | 08-16 13:35 |
| Trained-Competence 0xf79d…4e37 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 06:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 00:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x4cbc…edf7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0xa70be6… |
| 08-18 00:50:39 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0xa70be6… |
| 08-17 23:00:09 | Modest-Incandescence 0xe47c…642a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x8bf94d… |
| 08-17 23:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x4cbc…edf7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x8bf94d… |
| 08-17 09:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x5e54…8902 | No | BUY | 11 | 44¢ | $5 | 0x8cfda6… |
| 08-17 09:25:52 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x8cfda6… |
| 08-17 09:23:48 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xd32f37… |
| 08-17 09:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x5e54…8902 | No | BUY | 11 | 44¢ | $5 | 0xd32f37… |
| 08-17 03:27:21 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | No | SELL | 54 | 44¢ | $24 | 0x10eedb… |
| 08-17 03:27:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…4bf9 | No | BUY | 57 | 44¢ | $25 | 0x10eedb… |
| 08-17 03:27:21 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | SELL | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x10eedb… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xfc5a3a… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x253fbb… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 56¢ | $42 | 0xfc5a3a… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…4bf9 | No | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x253fbb… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 56¢ | $34 | 0xfc5a3a… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xfc5a3a… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xfc5a3a… |
| 08-17 03:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…4bf9 | No | BUY | 154 | 44¢ | $67 | 0xfc5a3a… |
| 08-16 13:52:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xfa7877… |
| 08-16 13:52:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xfa7877… |
| 08-16 13:35:07 | Willing-Purchase 0xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | BUY | 575 | 61¢ | $349 | 0xedfef3… |
| 08-16 13:35:07 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0xedfef3… |
| 08-16 13:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x4cbc…edf7 | Yes | BUY | 8,575 | 60¢ | $5,145 | 0xedfef3… |
| 08-16 13:35:07 | Essential-Postage 0x8c5c…6b4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xedfef3… |
| 08-16 13:35:07 | Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823d…2db3 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0xedfef3… |
| 08-16 13:35:07 | Rowdy-Innocent 0xdd5c…0c2a | No | BUY | 9,245 | 40¢ | $3,694 | 0xedfef3… |
| 08-15 18:37:10 | Short-Cloves 0xd104…7c02 | No | BUY | 25 | 39¢ | $10 | 0x35593e… |
| 08-15 18:37:10 | Willing-Purchase 0xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x35593e… |
| 08-14 17:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x33c4…85c2 | No | BUY | 16 | 39¢ | $6 | 0xdc51ee… |
| 08-14 17:34:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $9 | 0xdc51ee… |
| 08-14 17:33:48 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 155 | 39¢ | $61 | 0x403ebd… |
| 08-14 17:33:48 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 61¢ | $24 | 0x403ebd… |
| 08-14 17:33:48 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x403ebd… |
| 08-13 14:15:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x5bc5ad… |
| 08-13 14:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x8c52…eb4e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x5bc5ad… |
| 08-13 14:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x5bc5ad… |
| 08-13 14:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 61¢ | $24 | 0x5bc5ad… |
| 08-13 14:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x8081…6d62 | No | BUY | 120 | 39¢ | $47 | 0x5bc5ad… |
| 08-10 18:16:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x4487a9… |
| 08-10 18:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x4487a9… |
| 08-10 18:16:42 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x3680eb… |
| 08-10 18:16:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x3680eb… |
| 08-10 06:49:34 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xa5e6d2… |
| 08-10 06:49:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xa5e6d2… |
| 08-07 10:36:22 | Essential-Postage 0x8c5c…6b4a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x0fc29e… |
| 08-07 10:36:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x0fc29e… |
| 08-07 10:36:01 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 4 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xecfd54… |
| 08-07 10:36:01 | (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | BUY | 4 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xecfd54… |
| 08-07 10:35:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x1d39ce… |
| 08-07 10:35:58 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x1d39ce… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 78 | 40¢ | $31 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823d…2db3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | Essential-Postage 0x8c5c…6b4a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x4cbc…edf7 | Yes | BUY | 687 | 60¢ | $412 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | Unsteady-Rice 0x22d3…c969 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 40¢ | $399 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-07 10:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x4f5f…b2f0 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 60¢ | $48 | 0xc29320… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 70¢ | $63 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $15 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 222 | 29¢ | $65 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 21 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-06 13:38:18 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x4dfd69… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | Celebrated-Guitar 0x63e5…ff32 | No | SELL | 458 | 28¢ | $129 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823d…2db3 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 72¢ | $21 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | (anonymous) 0x6138…97a0 | Yes | SELL | 294 | 72¢ | $211 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 18:15:29 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x38164e… |
| 08-05 13:49:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x8df966… |
| 08-05 13:49:05 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | No | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x8df966… |
| 08-04 21:59:11 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | BUY | 443 | 33¢ | $145 | 0x7d07a1… |
| 08-04 21:59:11 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x7d07a1… |
| 08-04 21:59:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 43 | 30¢ | $13 | 0x7d07a1… |
| 08-04 21:59:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x7d07a1… |
| 08-04 21:59:11 | (anonymous) 0x4f5f…b2f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0x7d07a1… |
| 08-04 21:59:11 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x7d07a1… |
| 08-04 21:59:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 120 | 33¢ | $40 | 0x7d07a1… |
| 08-03 14:24:39 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 43 | 28¢ | $12 | 0x631048… |
| 08-03 14:24:39 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x631048… |
| 08-03 14:24:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 64 | 28¢ | $18 | 0x631048… |
| 08-03 14:24:35 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 86 | 28¢ | $24 | 0x606bec… |
| 08-03 14:24:35 | Quick-Witted-Certificate 0x823d…2db3 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 73¢ | $62 | 0x606bec… |
| 08-03 14:24:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x6e8e0a… |
| 08-03 14:24:27 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x6e8e0a… |
| 08-03 14:24:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x6e8e0a… |
| 08-03 14:24:26 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xda5cab… |
| 08-03 14:24:26 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 150 | 33¢ | $50 | 0xda5cab… |
| 08-03 14:24:26 | (anonymous) 0x4cbc…edf7 | Yes | BUY | 2,074 | 67¢ | $1,386 | 0xda5cab… |
| 08-03 14:24:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xda5cab… |