Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,476
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$309
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-10 00:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
28%
Crypto
11%
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$0 06-08 01:40
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +15 $14 94¢ $14 $-0 06-04 11:44
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 93¢ $14 $-0 06-04 09:28
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +15 $14 87¢ $13 $-1 06-09 09:16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +18 $15 70¢ $13 $-3 06-06 10:53
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +16 $11 74¢ $12 +$1 06-08 03:58
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +13 $11 88¢ $11 +$0 06-08 23:00
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 06-09 08:52
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +15 $10 71¢ $11 +$0 06-08 01:43
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-08 14:57
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-08 20:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-08 09:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-04 20:04
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-09 23:57
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-04 09:26
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 06-10 03:27
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 06-09 01:19
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-09 20:33
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $-0 06-08 07:31
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-09 09:29
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-09 00:15
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 92¢ $9 $-0 06-09 18:22
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 06-08 08:57
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$1 06-08 13:14
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 06-09 15:15
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-08 15:48
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +18 $9 52¢ $9 $-0 06-10 02:21
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +10 $7 89¢ $9 +$2 06-09 17:13
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +13 $8 66¢ $9 +$1 06-08 17:55
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-09 09:14