Tired-Acoustics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

963

Trades

19,822

lifetime

Volume

$114.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$291

30 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 10-30 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

55% 83% +$49

Politics

31% 77% -$98

Crypto

8% 79% -$29

Tech

5% 81% +$3

Sports

1% 50% -$10

Pop-Culture

1% 67% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	+18	$17	96¢	$17	+$1	10-15 21:01
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	No	+15	$13	95¢	$14	+$2	09-28 08:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	No	+15	$13	90¢	$14	+$0	09-18 23:01
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+20	$13	64¢	$13	+$0	10-30 00:23
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	+10	$9	95¢	$10	+$0	10-16 08:19
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+15	$12	63¢	$9	-$3	09-08 06:54
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	+10	$8	95¢	$9	+$1	10-27 07:31
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	+10	$8	95¢	$9	+$1	10-22 21:32
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	+10	$8	94¢	$9	+$1	10-21 12:23
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+10	$6	94¢	$9	+$3	10-25 08:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+15	$13	62¢	$9	-$4	07-30 22:26
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	+10	$8	92¢	$9	+$2	10-28 00:59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	+10	$9	92¢	$9	+$0	10-29 17:54
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	92¢	$9	+$0	10-28 12:23
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	91¢	$9	+$0	10-26 19:05
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	90¢	$9	$0	09-08 09:29
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	+12	$11	75¢	$9	-$2	06-20 14:12
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	90¢	$9	$0	10-12 09:41
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	+10	$6	90¢	$9	+$3	10-29 17:54
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	+10	$8	89¢	$9	+$1	10-28 19:48
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	+10	$9	89¢	$9	+$0	10-24 08:11
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	+10	$8	88¢	$9	+$0	10-23 10:17
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	+9	$9	97¢	$9	$0	09-21 11:09
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	+10	$9	88¢	$9	+$0	10-29 13:12
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	+10	$8	87¢	$9	+$1	10-30 02:37
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	+10	$8	86¢	$9	+$0	09-09 21:53
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+20	$9	42¢	$8	$0	10-29 20:06
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	+10	$8	83¢	$8	+$1	10-29 19:06
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+10	$7	82¢	$8	+$1	10-18 18:57
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$8	82¢	$8	+$0	10-26 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	173	$722	488	488	+0	No	+$9	06-23 01:11
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	53	$457	242	242	+0	No	+$1	09-29 12:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	62	$408	271	271	+0	No	+$4	08-11 19:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	55	$404	255	255	+0	No	+$8	06-16 09:19
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	65	$395	253	253	+0	open	—	10-21 01:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	89	$391	290	290	+0	No	+$6	06-19 20:48
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	57	$391	245	245	+0	open	—	10-04 04:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	54	$390	225	225	+0	No	+$5	06-11 18:18
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	64	$387	222	222	+0	No	+$9	06-23 15:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	75	$373	252	252	+0	No	+$6	06-19 11:33
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	49	$357	212	212	+0	open	—	10-16 13:22
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	58	$326	248	248	+0	No	+$6	10-04 22:03
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	50	$313	220	220	+0	No	+$4	08-04 01:34
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	43	$310	185	185	+0	No	+$5	09-30 20:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	55	$308	230	218	+12	Yes	+$3	06-20 13:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	76	$303	293	293	+0	open	—	10-28 19:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	64	$294	257	257	+0	open	—	10-04 15:10
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	69	$293	200	200	+0	Yes	+$8	06-23 17:47
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	46	$293	185	185	+0	No	+$6	09-12 06:13
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	52	$288	199	199	+0	No	+$4	08-17 21:41
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	42	$281	186	186	+0	No	+$7	06-20 13:28
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	40	$276	159	159	+0	No	+$2	06-22 02:47
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	37	$275	179	169	+10	Yes	-$6	06-16 18:41
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	52	$274	219	219	+0	Yes	+$3	06-22 11:32
AI bubble burst in 2026?	51	$274	166	166	+0	open	—	10-18 21:04
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	40	$269	162	152	+10	Yes	-$3	06-20 06:28
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	54	$266	189	189	+0	No	-$3	06-23 15:02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	36	$258	152	152	+0	No	+$7	06-19 15:25
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	37	$257	164	164	+0	open	—	10-23 17:07
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	47	$257	168	168	+0	No	+$2	06-17 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:34:18	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe0912b…
10-30 06:24:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xe33007…
10-30 06:19:37	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x5e4896…
10-30 06:11:55	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x1dcd40…
10-30 06:11:12	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35717d…
10-30 06:09:45	Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x3d0a18…
10-30 06:08:03	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xed6fbd…
10-30 06:04:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x65ea21…
10-30 06:02:19	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x6d3243…
10-30 05:57:48	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0e8700…
10-30 05:55:43	Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7ad3af…
10-30 05:49:09	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x55ee87…
10-30 05:43:15	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x78a7cc…
10-30 05:41:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc0ced2…
10-30 05:30:42	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x57071d…
10-30 05:01:15	Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xdd72b0…
10-30 04:55:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x0a183d…
10-30 04:48:27	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x9adaaa…
10-30 04:48:15	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x8eca51…
10-30 04:44:15	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xdb34cd…
10-30 04:43:21	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x44ea93…
10-30 04:42:16	Will Jynxzi win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9c80c8…
10-30 04:41:33	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x4ff103…
10-30 04:38:30	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x347bf3…
10-30 04:36:12	Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xc87582…
10-30 04:35:52	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x05811b…
10-30 04:32:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xaee07d…
10-30 04:32:36	Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x8328a4…
10-30 04:28:37	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x1c3ed3…
10-30 04:25:18	Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb277a0…
10-30 04:24:01	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x2f22ac…
10-30 04:12:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x2dbda4…
10-30 03:37:06	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa134ae…
10-30 03:29:22	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xbf57fc…
10-30 03:24:00	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb13289…
10-30 03:17:21	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x8dcdca…
10-30 03:16:34	Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x80847c…
10-30 03:10:55	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x089f73…
10-30 02:37:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x402191…
10-30 02:37:21	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbf4140…
10-30 02:36:58	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x82145f…
10-30 02:33:07	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xd2e8a1…
10-30 02:28:49	Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x3a2977…
10-30 02:24:34	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x8c6542…
10-30 02:17:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe39a0a…
10-30 02:14:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x7265c1…
10-30 02:10:52	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x48286d…
10-30 02:09:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x450a41…
10-30 02:02:27	Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x48244d…
10-30 01:36:34	Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x620c70…
10-30 01:33:33	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xde75b0…
10-30 01:25:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x6b9be8…
10-30 01:25:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x57987d…
10-30 01:25:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x48f96d…
10-30 01:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xd48ea6…
10-30 01:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x4c4b21…
10-30 01:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xb2bcfe…
10-30 01:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xac22ae…
10-30 01:14:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x3361a2…
10-30 00:59:12	Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc4f577…
10-30 00:57:10	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xc64aed…
10-30 00:53:46	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x18845a…
10-30 00:37:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x09060d…
10-30 00:31:03	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x1da21f…
10-30 00:27:43	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x0890dc…
10-30 00:27:30	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x30bcd7…
10-30 00:27:16	Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb39953…
10-30 00:26:48	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4e20ab…
10-30 00:26:39	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x5cc980…
10-30 00:26:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9a860c…
10-30 00:26:27	Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9df580…
10-30 00:26:06	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x94bbef…
10-30 00:26:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x54c6a4…
10-30 00:26:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0bcede…
10-30 00:25:45	Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xdd5f9c…
10-30 00:23:28	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5444b1…
10-30 00:15:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x5437f0…
10-30 00:15:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x8b4a9e…
10-30 00:12:25	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x3d0933…
10-30 00:07:04	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc4f8ea…
10-29 23:52:52	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0xdb8fe2…
10-29 23:47:48	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe3b5b0…
10-29 23:42:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x57e507…
10-29 23:41:49	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xb11199…
10-29 23:40:01	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x53203f…
10-29 23:33:43	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7c9b05…
10-29 23:30:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x85be69…
10-29 23:29:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbf36a2…
10-29 23:28:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf031c2…
10-29 23:27:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x44ddcf…
10-29 23:26:25	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xc6eed0…
10-29 23:26:22	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb3b43f…
10-29 23:18:24	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x858dda…
10-29 23:15:46	Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x236210…
10-29 23:11:19	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xe75225…
10-29 23:11:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xfdf940…
10-29 23:08:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x639454…
10-29 23:08:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x7fb777…
10-29 23:06:30	Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x9090a6…
10-29 23:03:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe840c6…