Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
open
Total volume
$4,470
$147 in 24h
Trades
497
Unique wallets
137
Liquidity
$1,897
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-28 15:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+59.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $506
vs crowd: 40% YES on $3.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $28 | $121 | $92 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $635 | $838 | $203 |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $144 | $343 | $199 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 93 | $572 | $738 | $166 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $506 | — | +$506 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $209 | $209 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $458 | $458 |
| Median | 15 | $8 | $80 | $72 |
| Below median | 21 | $32 | $235 | $203 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $31 | $112 | $81 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $37 | $163 | $125 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $124 | $219 | $94 |
| unranked | 77 | $642 | $565 | +$77 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | +706 | $458 | $458 | 6 | 07-02 20:58 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +404 | $100 | $911 | 216 | 07-28 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0726…369c | Yes | +326 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-11 23:28 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +312 | $110 | $110 | 3 | 07-02 20:58 |
| Trained-Gauntlet 0x3c51…af7e | No | +217 | $143 | $143 | 9 | 07-01 08:57 |
| Unfit-Chow 0xbd90…8c0b | Yes | +200 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-01 14:52 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +166 | $121 | $121 | 4 | 07-28 07:29 |
| Pleased-Cart 0xb436…bb3c | No | +166 | $112 | $112 | 5 | 06-01 14:52 |
| Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | +163 | $125 | $125 | 4 | 07-26 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9276…37a3 | No | +140 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb497…fa28 | Yes | +116 | $35 | $45 | 4 | 06-20 02:59 |
| Frightened-Glimpse 0x932b…a773 | Yes | +110 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 06-12 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e23…1d79 | Yes | +100 | $32 | $90 | 4 | 06-29 06:56 |
| Royal-Instruction 0x16ee…da09 | No | +100 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-27 22:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +90 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 06-20 12:39 |
| Drab-Mathematics 0xf3d4…88de | Yes | +87 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-19 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xed9f…553a | Yes | +85 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-29 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd489…1278 | No | +75 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-01 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cd…c997 | Yes | +65 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-27 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf746…acec | No | +65 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-02 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-22 15:30 |
| Snappy-Purse 0x3ddd…d6c7 | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-29 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa437…97c4 | No | +55 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 06-29 06:25 |
| Wordy-Transport 0x4eb5…7588 | No | +54 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-02 03:58 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | +50 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 07-25 06:33 |
| Live-Piglet 0x3e4c…877f | Yes | +46 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 08:57 |
| Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | +45 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 07-22 21:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +41 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-11 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6411…f456 | No | +40 | $27 | $73 | 2 | 06-29 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-20 12:39 |
| Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 00:03 |
| Willing-Push 0xa5d3…3c28 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-21 07:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x19f1…99e1 | No | +30 | $20 | $60 | 2 | 06-30 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cc9…553a | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-30 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa77e…4123 | No | +30 | $20 | $47 | 2 | 06-29 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aeb…0189 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 06:53 |
| Sharp-Astrakhan 0x5645…5d21 | No | +29 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9248…7ea3 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 00:53 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-10 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-17 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2141…7fa2 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-13 11:43 |
| Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-01 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-28 14:37 |
| Incredible-Pricing 0x2c1b…980d | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-22 06:48 |
| Sugary-Castle 0xfc99…bc5e | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 18:06 |
| Limited-Beating 0x610c…3def | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:56 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +15 | $12 | $197 | 27 | 06-12 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x30d5…2ce3 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 13:48 |
| Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-27 00:17 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0a2…c6b6 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e74…360f | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 14:37 |
| Offbeat-Zoo 0xfe3b…025b | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 04:04 |
| Active-Earth 0x770d…567a | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc29d…776d | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 16:23 |
| Icky-Puma 0x6806…3a05 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf247…bb02 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 07:56 |
| Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-14 02:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 15:19:52 | Solid-Magnitude 0x030e…6f8b | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xaca0cb… |
| 07-28 15:19:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xaca0cb… |
| 07-28 07:30:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x863975… |
| 07-28 07:30:34 | (anonymous) 0xa0dd…5527 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x863975… |
| 07-28 07:29:57 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x744227… |
| 07-28 07:29:57 | (anonymous) 0xa0dd…5527 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x744227… |
| 07-27 23:04:00 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x5541ed… |
| 07-27 23:04:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x5541ed… |
| 07-27 16:21:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x9713e3… |
| 07-27 16:21:24 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 48 | 77¢ | $37 | 0x9713e3… |
| 07-27 16:21:24 | (anonymous) 0xf0cd…c997 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 23¢ | $15 | 0x9713e3… |
| 07-27 16:01:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x91c5bd… |
| 07-27 16:01:09 | (anonymous) 0x8e8d…5764 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x91c5bd… |
| 07-27 00:17:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x22c58b… |
| 07-27 00:17:43 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x22c58b… |
| 07-26 13:48:45 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x692dbd… |
| 07-26 13:48:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x692dbd… |
| 07-26 13:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x30d5…2ce3 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x692dbd… |
| 07-26 12:20:31 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x6a6c87… |
| 07-26 12:20:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x6a6c87… |
| 07-26 12:20:31 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x6a6c87… |
| 07-26 11:53:49 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x639874… |
| 07-26 11:53:49 | Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | BUY | 33 | 77¢ | $25 | 0x639874… |
| 07-25 06:33:46 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xf3911e… |
| 07-25 06:33:46 | Mad-Total 0xe976…71e8 | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xf3911e… |
| 07-25 04:59:15 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0xb4dec3… |
| 07-25 04:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0xb4dec3… |
| 07-25 04:04:28 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xfdfa09… |
| 07-25 04:04:28 | Active-Earth 0x770d…567a | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xfdfa09… |
| 07-24 16:30:55 | Flustered-Clearing 0x9e72…5a40 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x28dfea… |
| 07-24 16:30:55 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x28dfea… |
| 07-24 05:34:10 | Mad-Total 0xe976…71e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xd57b85… |
| 07-24 05:34:10 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xd57b85… |
| 07-23 22:09:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x97d369… |
| 07-23 22:09:34 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 19 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x97d369… |
| 07-23 19:58:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xd917f6… |
| 07-23 19:58:25 | (anonymous) 0x977c…a86f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xd917f6… |
| 07-23 09:12:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 24¢ | $8 | 0x40e25c… |
| 07-23 09:12:03 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 35 | 76¢ | $27 | 0x40e25c… |
| 07-22 21:43:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x23e94b… |
| 07-22 21:43:00 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x23e94b… |
| 07-22 15:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x72a0…322c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8649db… |
| 07-22 15:06:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8649db… |
| 07-22 10:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x0aec…883f | No | SELL | 27 | 75¢ | $21 | 0xa05103… |
| 07-22 10:58:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xa05103… |
| 07-22 08:47:55 | Gummy-Sack 0xff47…d81f | Yes | SELL | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x2790a5… |
| 07-22 08:47:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x2790a5… |
| 07-22 06:48:36 | Incredible-Pricing 0x2c1b…980d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xcbbd96… |
| 07-22 06:48:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xcbbd96… |
| 07-20 13:07:01 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x2cfc59… |
| 07-20 13:07:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x2cfc59… |
| 07-18 08:39:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd6ae3e… |
| 07-18 08:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x9a89…c696 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd6ae3e… |
| 07-17 19:10:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x1ee230… |
| 07-17 19:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x1ee230… |
| 07-14 15:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0x5f9b1c… |
| 07-14 15:24:43 | Insubstantial-Trench 0xdbce…c781 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x5f9b1c… |
| 07-13 11:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x2141…7fa2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x4df406… |
| 07-13 11:43:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x4df406… |
| 07-12 19:05:13 | Insubstantial-Trench 0xdbce…c781 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x4d8003… |
| 07-12 19:05:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x4d8003… |
| 07-12 13:58:58 | Scientific-Sailor 0x4b4b…b054 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x73f606… |
| 07-12 13:58:58 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x73f606… |
| 07-12 08:42:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xac1587… |
| 07-12 08:42:46 | (anonymous) 0xf361…783a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xac1587… |
| 07-12 06:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 35 | 79¢ | $27 | 0x357795… |
| 07-12 06:39:32 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 21¢ | $7 | 0x357795… |
| 07-10 17:45:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x6321f1… |
| 07-10 17:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0x6321f1… |
| 07-10 17:45:22 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 26 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x6321f1… |
| 07-10 17:18:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x44ac08… |
| 07-10 17:18:22 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0x44ac08… |
| 07-10 17:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xa4fd2d… |
| 07-10 17:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa4fd2d… |
| 07-10 17:01:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xa4fd2d… |
| 07-10 17:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8c398f… |
| 07-10 17:00:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8c398f… |
| 07-10 17:00:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x51ce1a… |
| 07-10 17:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x51ce1a… |
| 07-10 17:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xc82940… |
| 07-10 17:00:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xc82940… |
| 07-10 17:00:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0481f9… |
| 07-10 17:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0481f9… |
| 07-10 17:00:26 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x20a736… |
| 07-10 17:00:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x20a736… |
| 07-10 17:00:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8e88d0… |
| 07-10 17:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x8e88d0… |
| 07-10 17:00:13 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x1b6d80… |
| 07-10 17:00:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x1b6d80… |
| 07-10 16:50:32 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x308fd8… |
| 07-10 16:50:32 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x308fd8… |
| 07-10 16:50:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x308fd8… |
| 07-10 16:50:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x615fb3… |
| 07-10 16:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x615fb3… |
| 07-10 16:50:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xb1de3b… |
| 07-10 16:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0xb1de3b… |
| 07-10 16:50:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb1de3b… |
| 07-10 16:47:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bfb…dea1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x4ace42… |
| 07-10 16:47:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x4ace42… |
| 07-10 16:47:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x84151e… |