Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
open
Total volume
$9,673
$147 in 24h
Trades
654
Unique wallets
187
Liquidity
$1,897
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-17 12:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+57.4¢
(top1%: 89% YES on $649
vs crowd: 31% YES on $7.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $342 | $443 | $101 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $791 | $982 | $191 |
| 🐟 Fish | 42 | $361 | $2.7K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 108 | $724 | $717 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $577 | $72 | +$505 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $10 | $209 | $199 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $482 | $481 |
| Median | 19 | $32 | $80 | $47 |
| Below median | 30 | $99 | $336 | $238 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $145 | $341 | $196 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $128 | $268 | $140 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $379 | $379 | +$0 |
| unranked | 100 | $848 | $2.7K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5ccc…edb7 | No | +2,428 | $1,898 | $1,898 | 1 | 08-07 01:18 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +483 | $111 | $1,040 | 243 | 08-13 05:22 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +392 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 08-07 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0726…369c | Yes | +326 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-11 23:28 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +312 | $110 | $110 | 3 | 07-02 20:58 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +300 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 08-01 20:58 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +299 | $229 | $229 | 2 | 08-01 20:58 |
| Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | +256 | $89 | $827 | 15 | 08-08 12:50 |
| Trained-Gauntlet 0x3c51…af7e | No | +217 | $143 | $143 | 9 | 07-01 08:57 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +209 | $155 | $155 | 8 | 08-01 00:26 |
| Unfit-Chow 0xbd90…8c0b | Yes | +200 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-01 14:52 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +167 | $38 | $53 | 3 | 08-17 12:23 |
| Pleased-Cart 0xb436…bb3c | No | +166 | $112 | $112 | 5 | 06-01 14:52 |
| Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | +163 | $125 | $125 | 4 | 07-26 11:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +158 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 08-07 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9276…37a3 | No | +140 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 18:51 |
| Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | +133 | $29 | $29 | 8 | 08-15 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb497…fa28 | Yes | +116 | $35 | $45 | 4 | 06-20 02:59 |
| Frightened-Glimpse 0x932b…a773 | Yes | +110 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 06-12 00:20 |
| Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 08-07 01:18 |
| Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 08-07 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e23…1d79 | Yes | +100 | $32 | $90 | 4 | 06-29 06:56 |
| Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 08-07 01:18 |
| Royal-Instruction 0x16ee…da09 | No | +100 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-27 22:34 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +93 | $24 | $176 | 6 | 08-09 17:27 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +90 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 06-20 12:39 |
| Drab-Mathematics 0xf3d4…88de | Yes | +87 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-19 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xed9f…553a | Yes | +85 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-29 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd489…1278 | No | +75 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-01 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f5…a1ad | Yes | +68 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 08-10 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cd…c997 | Yes | +65 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-27 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf746…acec | No | +65 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-02 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-22 15:30 |
| Snappy-Purse 0x3ddd…d6c7 | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-29 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa437…97c4 | No | +55 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 06-29 06:25 |
| Wordy-Transport 0x4eb5…7588 | No | +54 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-02 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cf9…3cb1 | Yes | +53 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-07 19:23 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +52 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-07 01:18 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 08-07 01:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 08-01 00:26 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | +50 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 07-25 06:33 |
| Live-Piglet 0x3e4c…877f | Yes | +46 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 08:57 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +43 | $33 | $168 | 3 | 08-07 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +42 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 08-07 01:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +41 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-11 23:23 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +40 | $11 | $32 | 4 | 08-15 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6411…f456 | No | +40 | $27 | $73 | 2 | 06-29 06:24 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +36 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 08-08 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-20 12:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +31 | $3 | $16 | 4 | 08-07 01:18 |
| Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-07 01:18 |
| Willing-Push 0xa5d3…3c28 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-21 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa77e…4123 | No | +30 | $20 | $47 | 2 | 06-29 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x19f1…99e1 | No | +30 | $20 | $60 | 2 | 06-30 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cc9…553a | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-30 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 08-08 16:11 |
| Sharp-Astrakhan 0x5645…5d21 | No | +29 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 00:10 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-10 17:45 |
| Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-01 23:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 12:23:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xc4e09a… |
| 08-17 12:23:48 | Solid-Magnitude 0x030e…6f8b | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xc4e09a… |
| 08-17 01:06:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x36d50a… |
| 08-17 01:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x4fae…1ab6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x36d50a… |
| 08-15 15:30:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xb56f39… |
| 08-15 15:30:30 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 58 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xb56f39… |
| 08-15 15:28:09 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9a385a… |
| 08-15 15:28:09 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9a385a… |
| 08-15 15:28:09 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x9a385a… |
| 08-14 11:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x51a1…2335 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x60a699… |
| 08-14 11:39:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x60a699… |
| 08-14 11:39:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x60a699… |
| 08-14 11:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x740d…f262 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x60a699… |
| 08-13 05:22:18 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xabef32… |
| 08-13 05:22:18 | (anonymous) 0x81d1…15de | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xabef32… |
| 08-13 05:22:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xabef32… |
| 08-11 06:12:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x825682… |
| 08-11 06:12:48 | Zany-Blush 0x0a9d…9de8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x825682… |
| 08-11 05:18:24 | Wretched-Debtor 0x339e…be97 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xac98d1… |
| 08-11 05:18:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xac98d1… |
| 08-10 01:22:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x88eff8… |
| 08-10 01:22:12 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x88eff8… |
| 08-10 01:22:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3f5…a1ad | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x88eff8… |
| 08-09 17:27:06 | Woozy-Appointment 0x213f…160c | No | SELL | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x253f02… |
| 08-09 17:27:06 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x253f02… |
| 08-08 16:26:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xd47fa4… |
| 08-08 16:26:46 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xd47fa4… |
| 08-08 16:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x9010e2… |
| 08-08 16:17:07 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x9010e2… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 254 | 21¢ | $53 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | No | SELL | 480 | 80¢ | $382 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 28 | 81¢ | $23 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 16:11:52 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x32b806… |
| 08-08 12:50:42 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 25 | 82¢ | $21 | 0x1a7d0d… |
| 08-08 12:50:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x1a7d0d… |
| 08-08 12:50:42 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x1a7d0d… |
| 08-08 06:50:34 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x4e8e78… |
| 08-08 06:50:34 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x4e8e78… |
| 08-08 03:50:52 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x3092b2… |
| 08-08 03:50:52 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x3092b2… |
| 08-07 19:23:24 | (anonymous) 0x3cf9…3cb1 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x4ce013… |
| 08-07 19:23:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x4ce013… |
| 08-07 19:23:24 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x4ce013… |
| 08-07 19:23:24 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x4ce013… |
| 08-07 07:34:36 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x96a38f… |
| 08-07 07:34:36 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x96a38f… |
| 08-07 07:34:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xcb83a1… |
| 08-07 07:34:10 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 68 | 82¢ | $56 | 0xcb83a1… |
| 08-07 07:34:10 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 88 | 82¢ | $72 | 0xcb83a1… |
| 08-07 01:57:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x236380… |
| 08-07 01:57:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x236380… |
| 08-07 01:57:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x236380… |
| 08-07 01:57:10 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $9 | 0x236380… |
| 08-07 01:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xec36c0… |
| 08-07 01:27:07 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xec36c0… |
| 08-07 01:27:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0xec36c0… |
| 08-07 01:20:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xa65769… |
| 08-07 01:20:30 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xa65769… |
| 08-07 01:20:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xa778a0… |
| 08-07 01:20:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xa778a0… |
| 08-07 01:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xa778a0… |
| 08-07 01:20:28 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xa778a0… |
| 08-07 01:19:22 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 88 | 83¢ | $73 | 0x156d35… |
| 08-07 01:19:22 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 88 | 17¢ | $15 | 0x156d35… |
| 08-07 01:19:21 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x5274ef… |
| 08-07 01:19:21 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x5274ef… |
| 08-07 01:18:55 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x366b08… |
| 08-07 01:18:55 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x366b08… |
| 08-07 01:18:46 | Far-Flung-Warmup 0x7c11…99a1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0x2ff917… |
| 08-07 01:18:46 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x2ff917… |
| 08-07 01:18:40 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xa28d7d… |
| 08-07 01:18:40 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xa28d7d… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Far-Flung-Warmup 0x7c11…99a1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 22¢ | $22 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | BUY | 52 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 23¢ | $25 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x5ee0b3… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x5ccc…edb7 | No | BUY | 2,428 | 78¢ | $1,898 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 207 | 22¢ | $45 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 22¢ | $19 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 456 | 22¢ | $100 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 70 | 78¢ | $55 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 392 | 21¢ | $82 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x21fdd0… |
| 08-07 01:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x21fdd0… |