Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,786
$147 in 24h
Trades
352
Unique wallets
107
Liquidity
$1,897
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 09:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+59.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $409
vs crowd: 41% YES on $2.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $23 | $121 | $97 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $529 | $681 | $152 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $29 | $356 | $327 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 71 | $614 | $590 | +$24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $409 | — | +$409 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $171 | $171 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $458 | $458 |
| Median | 9 | $8 | $32 | $24 |
| Below median | 17 | $29 | $229 | $200 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $31 | $112 | $81 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $26 | $52 | $26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $121 | $148 | $27 |
| unranked | 61 | $571 | $546 | +$25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | +706 | $458 | $458 | 6 | 07-02 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0726…369c | Yes | +326 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-11 23:28 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +312 | $110 | $110 | 3 | 07-02 20:58 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +248 | $65 | $753 | 155 | 07-08 09:26 |
| Trained-Gauntlet 0x3c51…af7e | No | +217 | $143 | $143 | 9 | 07-01 08:57 |
| Unfit-Chow 0xbd90…8c0b | Yes | +200 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-01 14:52 |
| Pleased-Cart 0xb436…bb3c | No | +166 | $112 | $112 | 5 | 06-01 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9276…37a3 | No | +140 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb497…fa28 | Yes | +116 | $35 | $45 | 4 | 06-20 02:59 |
| Frightened-Glimpse 0x932b…a773 | Yes | +110 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 06-12 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e23…1d79 | Yes | +100 | $32 | $90 | 4 | 06-29 06:56 |
| Royal-Instruction 0x16ee…da09 | No | +100 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-27 22:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +90 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 06-20 12:39 |
| Drab-Mathematics 0xf3d4…88de | Yes | +87 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-19 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xed9f…553a | Yes | +85 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-29 06:56 |
| Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | Yes | +84 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-11 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd489…1278 | No | +75 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-01 02:38 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +74 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-03 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +68 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-20 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf746…acec | No | +65 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-02 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-22 15:30 |
| Snappy-Purse 0x3ddd…d6c7 | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-29 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa437…97c4 | No | +55 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 06-29 06:25 |
| Wordy-Transport 0x4eb5…7588 | No | +54 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-02 03:58 |
| Live-Piglet 0x3e4c…877f | Yes | +46 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 08:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +41 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-11 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6411…f456 | No | +40 | $27 | $73 | 2 | 06-29 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-20 12:39 |
| Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 00:03 |
| Willing-Push 0xa5d3…3c28 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-21 07:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 00:20 |
| Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-08 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cc9…553a | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-30 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa77e…4123 | No | +30 | $20 | $47 | 2 | 06-29 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x19f1…99e1 | No | +30 | $20 | $60 | 2 | 06-30 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aeb…0189 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 06:53 |
| Sharp-Astrakhan 0x5645…5d21 | No | +29 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9248…7ea3 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 00:53 |
| Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-01 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-28 14:37 |
| Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-04 00:47 |
| Sugary-Castle 0xfc99…bc5e | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 18:06 |
| Limited-Beating 0x610c…3def | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:56 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +15 | $12 | $197 | 27 | 06-12 20:45 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d6b…e23c | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-27 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0a2…c6b6 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e74…360f | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 14:37 |
| Offbeat-Zoo 0xfe3b…025b | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 13:52 |
| Icky-Puma 0x6806…3a05 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc29d…776d | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf247…bb02 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 07:56 |
| Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-14 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3e…de30 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc6f…d5e6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 16:40 |
| High-Bronchitis 0xedf9…43ab | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x57cb…b667 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 17:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 09:26:19 | Cooperative-Tweezers 0xcef9…706b | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x22f82d… |
| 07-08 09:26:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x22f82d… |
| 07-07 23:33:52 | Snoopy-Incarnation 0xb9bc…45d8 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x159944… |
| 07-07 23:33:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x159944… |
| 07-07 20:56:55 | Frozen-Pancake 0xf8dc…66a6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x38ad12… |
| 07-07 20:56:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x38ad12… |
| 07-07 17:28:44 | (anonymous) 0x57cb…b667 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xf5bf51… |
| 07-07 17:28:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xf5bf51… |
| 07-07 05:17:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x4fc581… |
| 07-07 05:17:40 | Traumatic-Dragon 0xa0cf…3a3a | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x4fc581… |
| 07-06 00:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x2b1dae… |
| 07-06 00:50:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x2b1dae… |
| 07-04 00:47:55 | Mundane-Score 0x278b…43bf | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x9a6c6b… |
| 07-04 00:47:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x9a6c6b… |
| 07-03 12:50:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x80e88d… |
| 07-03 12:50:28 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 74 | 69¢ | $51 | 0x80e88d… |
| 07-03 12:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x80e88d… |
| 07-02 21:20:20 | (anonymous) 0xe0a2…c6b6 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xe8f0de… |
| 07-02 21:20:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xe8f0de… |
| 07-02 20:58:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xb198ef… |
| 07-02 20:58:35 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 33¢ | $41 | 0xb198ef… |
| 07-02 20:58:35 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xb198ef… |
| 07-02 20:58:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 33¢ | $8 | 0xb198ef… |
| 07-02 20:58:35 | Impartial-Sailboat 0x11f3…d859 | No | BUY | 245 | 66¢ | $163 | 0xb198ef… |
| 07-02 20:58:35 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xb198ef… |
| 07-02 03:58:23 | Wordy-Transport 0x4eb5…7588 | No | BUY | 54 | 64¢ | $35 | 0xca40d5… |
| 07-02 03:58:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 36¢ | $13 | 0xca40d5… |
| 07-02 03:58:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xca40d5… |
| 07-01 23:41:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 13 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x965bba… |
| 07-01 23:41:38 | Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x965bba… |
| 07-01 23:41:38 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x965bba… |
| 07-01 08:57:44 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 37¢ | $43 | 0x4bc6ec… |
| 07-01 08:57:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x4bc6ec… |
| 07-01 08:57:44 | Trained-Gauntlet 0x3c51…af7e | No | BUY | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0x4bc6ec… |
| 07-01 08:57:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0x4bc6ec… |
| 07-01 08:57:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 37¢ | $13 | 0x4bc6ec… |
| 07-01 08:57:38 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x3e0200… |
| 07-01 08:57:38 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 36¢ | $26 | 0x3e0200… |
| 07-01 08:57:38 | Trained-Gauntlet 0x3c51…af7e | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x3e0200… |
| 07-01 08:57:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x3e0200… |
| 07-01 03:03:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xfa8834… |
| 07-01 03:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x093f…2d65 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xfa8834… |
| 06-30 21:57:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x21a766… |
| 06-30 21:57:10 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x21a766… |
| 06-30 21:57:10 | (anonymous) 0xc1d1…c4b9 | No | SELL | 14 | 65¢ | $9 | 0x21a766… |
| 06-30 21:57:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x21a766… |
| 06-30 06:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x19f1…99e1 | No | SELL | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x798b39… |
| 06-30 06:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x6cc9…553a | No | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x798b39… |
| 06-29 06:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e23…1d79 | Yes | SELL | 85 | 34¢ | $29 | 0x352a0a… |
| 06-29 06:56:32 | (anonymous) 0xed9f…553a | Yes | BUY | 85 | 34¢ | $29 | 0x352a0a… |
| 06-29 06:25:35 | (anonymous) 0xa437…97c4 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x5bdacc… |
| 06-29 06:25:35 | (anonymous) 0xa77e…4123 | No | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x5bdacc… |
| 06-29 06:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x6411…f456 | No | SELL | 35 | 66¢ | $23 | 0x7125cd… |
| 06-29 06:24:49 | (anonymous) 0xa437…97c4 | No | BUY | 35 | 66¢ | $23 | 0x7125cd… |
| 06-28 00:53:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x13aee5… |
| 06-28 00:53:23 | (anonymous) 0x9248…7ea3 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x13aee5… |
| 06-27 13:26:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x66dea5… |
| 06-27 13:26:38 | (anonymous) 0x8d6b…e23c | No | BUY | 11 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x66dea5… |
| 06-27 11:47:37 | Cooked-Thermostat 0xa96d…bad7 | No | SELL | 4 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x9b2838… |
| 06-27 11:47:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x9b2838… |
| 06-26 07:34:22 | Fatal-Headquarters 0xa976…c2e7 | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x135fd5… |
| 06-26 07:34:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x135fd5… |
| 06-26 06:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x1aeb…0189 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x8268b1… |
| 06-26 06:53:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x8268b1… |
| 06-25 06:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x6411…f456 | No | BUY | 75 | 67¢ | $50 | 0x9674e2… |
| 06-25 06:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e23…1d79 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 33¢ | $25 | 0x9674e2… |
| 06-25 06:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x19f1…99e1 | No | BUY | 60 | 67¢ | $40 | 0xfa5524… |
| 06-25 06:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x7e23…1d79 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 33¢ | $20 | 0xfa5524… |
| 06-25 06:16:23 | (anonymous) 0xa77e…4123 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0xd30300… |
| 06-25 06:16:23 | (anonymous) 0x7e23…1d79 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0xd30300… |
| 06-24 12:46:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x071e44… |
| 06-24 12:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x8a68…f740 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x071e44… |
| 06-23 16:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x09af…e40a | Yes | SELL | 13 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x6b80f2… |
| 06-23 16:51:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x6b80f2… |
| 06-22 15:30:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x8c248d… |
| 06-22 15:30:07 | (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x8c248d… |
| 06-22 15:30:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x75e923… |
| 06-22 15:30:05 | (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x75e923… |
| 06-22 02:37:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xd9e52f… |
| 06-22 02:37:37 | Fatal-Headquarters 0xa976…c2e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd9e52f… |
| 06-22 00:07:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x582f16… |
| 06-22 00:07:22 | High-Bronchitis 0xedf9…43ab | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x582f16… |
| 06-21 21:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd66595… |
| 06-21 21:32:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd66595… |
| 06-21 20:59:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xb56cfc… |
| 06-21 20:59:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xb56cfc… |
| 06-21 15:54:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x80732f… |
| 06-21 15:54:31 | (anonymous) 0x9a3e…de30 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x80732f… |
| 06-21 07:40:04 | Willing-Push 0xa5d3…3c28 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xf60ff0… |
| 06-21 07:40:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xf60ff0… |
| 06-21 06:50:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x9d8a5b… |
| 06-21 06:50:02 | (anonymous) 0xc461…52ee | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x9d8a5b… |
| 06-20 12:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x861281… |
| 06-20 12:39:38 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x861281… |
| 06-20 12:39:38 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 19 | 71¢ | $13 | 0x861281… |
| 06-20 12:39:38 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 146 | 71¢ | $103 | 0x861281… |
| 06-20 12:39:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 30¢ | $11 | 0x861281… |
| 06-20 12:39:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x861281… |
| 06-20 09:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 49 | 72¢ | $35 | 0xd1116a… |
| 06-20 09:56:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0xd1116a… |