(anonymous) 0x9276d9…dc37a3
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$243
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
34
Trades
138
lifetime
Volume
$4.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$835
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-26 23:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
71% 29% -$3
Politics
28% 33% +$12
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% 0% -$27
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +246 $100 45¢ $112 +$12 10-18 18:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +110 $90 92¢ $102 +$12 06-26 02:58
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,143 $100 1¢ $100 +$0 09-09 15:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +137 $100 70¢ $97 -$3 10-21 17:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +110 $100 84¢ $92 -$8 06-13 12:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +431 $100 18¢ $78 -$22 06-12 18:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +429 $100 17¢ $71 -$29 06-12 18:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +42 $30 79¢ $33 +$3 10-08 19:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +29 $25 94¢ $27 +$2 08-05 07:44
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +169 $25 15¢ $25 $0 08-25 20:00
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +157 $100 11¢ $17 -$83 06-12 19:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +269 $35 6¢ $15 -$20 09-07 19:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +765 $50 2¢ $14 -$36 10-08 19:44
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +357 $10 3¢ $11 +$1 08-25 20:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +80 $20 12¢ $9 -$11 10-08 19:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $7 68¢ $7 +$1 10-24 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +63 $40 12¢ $7 -$33 07-10 14:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +330 $25 2¢ $6 -$19 09-08 22:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +155 -$44 4¢ $6 +$50 10-08 19:44
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +2,235 $60 0¢ $6 -$54 06-12 19:21
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-05 07:44
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +315 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-02 07:42
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +283 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-02 07:42
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +174 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-02 07:43