Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open
Total volume
$1,649,732
$3,931 in 24h
Trades
30,604
Unique wallets
3,798
Liquidity
$313,464
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2028-11-08
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 20:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+26.9¢
(top1%: 64% YES on $263.9K
vs crowd: 37% YES on $979.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 186 | $156.7K | $269.8K | $113.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 278 | $59.7K | $112.0K | $52.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 974 | $116.5K | $176.7K | $60.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,360 | $31.5K | $56.8K | $25.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 154 | $169.1K | $94.8K | +$74.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 218 | $27.3K | $92.0K | $64.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 304 | $6.5K | $26.7K | $20.1K |
| Median | 749 | $3.7K | $23.3K | $19.6K |
| Below median | 1,610 | $25.4K | $103.7K | $78.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 214 | $11.5K | $19.3K | $7.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 186 | $39.0K | $60.1K | $21.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 156 | $56.4K | $175.7K | $119.3K |
| unranked | 207 | $25.3K | $19.6K | +$5.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncomfortable-Special 0xc2de…6781 | Yes | +339,361 | $68,386 | $87,963 | 195 | 09-02 18:15 |
| Cumbersome-Standpoint 0x3920…32b0 | Yes | +285,095 | $28,190 | $28,190 | 59 | 07-22 06:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8217…9299 | Yes | +78,022 | $7,019 | $7,019 | 184 | 06-30 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9df5…61e1 | Yes | +75,441 | $10,078 | $10,078 | 27 | 08-01 17:14 |
| Attentive-Twitter 0xc0df…8dad | Yes | +64,643 | $3,227 | $15,632 | 12 | 10-01 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0d1…e44f | Yes | +50,763 | $10,000 | $10,000 | 2 | 08-14 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c7…bb17 | Yes | +46,763 | $10,000 | $10,000 | 1 | 08-17 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8605…aa83 | Yes | +31,455 | $3,698 | $3,698 | 5 | 07-26 15:34 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | No | +28,652 | $22,441 | $22,441 | 4 | 08-23 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x77a4…402b | Yes | +28,160 | $5,011 | $5,011 | 41 | 10-26 19:17 |
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | +26,346 | $2,023 | $2,023 | 24 | 06-09 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +22,574 | $4,186 | $4,979 | 96 | 10-26 19:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +22,574 | $18,533 | $19,674 | 95 | 10-26 19:16 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +22,418 | $3,828 | $6,459 | 19 | 10-24 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xc109…1ad2 | Yes | +20,073 | $2,298 | $2,298 | 1 | 07-01 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a2b…ae0c | Yes | +19,656 | $3,616 | $3,616 | 286 | 08-28 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a2b…ae0c | No | +19,656 | $16,141 | $16,141 | 200 | 08-29 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d79…ae69 | Yes | +15,917 | $2,915 | $4,083 | 14 | 10-24 03:45 |
| Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | No | +15,887 | $12,567 | $12,567 | 6 | 08-30 11:59 |
| Modest-Meantime 0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | +13,935 | $2,421 | $3,004 | 76 | 10-20 07:31 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | +13,823 | $2,371 | $2,371 | 31 | 10-22 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b86…2dc8 | Yes | +13,285 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 3 | 09-14 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f08…bfa7 | Yes | +13,171 | $2,663 | $2,663 | 104 | 08-28 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f08…bfa7 | No | +13,171 | $10,623 | $11,471 | 104 | 08-29 06:05 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +13,027 | $10,221 | $10,221 | 58 | 08-14 05:52 |
| Rosy-Stepmother 0xe8f6…1905 | Yes | +12,857 | $1,913 | $1,913 | 2 | 08-05 23:12 |
| Superior-Olive 0x0f37…1410 | Yes | +12,392 | $1,512 | $3,024 | 11 | 09-30 22:35 |
| Safe-Zebra 0xa41c…fade | Yes | +11,718 | $2,044 | $2,044 | 9 | 10-11 03:12 |
| Icky-Validity 0x6be0…9ac7 | Yes | +11,431 | $1,074 | $1,112 | 173 | 06-04 01:22 |
| Icky-Validity 0x6be0…9ac7 | No | +11,431 | $10,385 | $10,747 | 114 | 06-04 01:22 |
| Similar-Balloonist 0x7b02…4991 | Yes | +11,148 | $992 | $992 | 1 | 05-24 03:55 |
| Colossal-Belfry 0xde7c…c933 | Yes | +9,783 | $1,640 | $1,640 | 18 | 10-22 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e82…752c | Yes | +9,605 | $1,508 | $1,508 | 1 | 07-07 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d94…ed73 | Yes | +9,449 | $948 | $948 | 4 | 06-29 14:23 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +8,940 | $1,394 | $2,353 | 61 | 10-04 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x369b…ad6d | Yes | +8,684 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 9 | 08-16 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3106…51ec | No | +8,316 | $6,869 | $6,869 | 65 | 10-19 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3106…51ec | Yes | +8,316 | $1,456 | $1,456 | 58 | 10-19 05:25 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +8,080 | $6,612 | $9,805 | 42 | 10-02 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x34cf…b71f | No | +7,922 | $6,374 | $6,374 | 67 | 08-29 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | No | +7,701 | $6,647 | $6,647 | 131 | 08-20 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a22…63b2 | No | +6,936 | $5,753 | $5,753 | 51 | 10-26 03:44 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +6,728 | $5,723 | $7,165 | 48 | 08-22 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd340…dc9c | No | +6,190 | $5,133 | $5,133 | 54 | 10-19 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7f0…bac0 | No | +6,189 | $5,122 | $5,122 | 35 | 10-19 05:02 |
| Reasonable-Paradise 0x4d1b…1419 | No | +6,000 | $5,184 | $5,184 | 61 | 08-01 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b93…dbb5 | No | +5,745 | $4,756 | $4,756 | 40 | 10-19 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd100…3960 | No | +5,498 | $4,573 | $4,573 | 37 | 10-24 22:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:44:29 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x451276… |
| 10-26 20:44:29 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | No | SELL | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x451276… |
| 10-26 20:44:27 | Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x8709e8… |
| 10-26 20:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | No | BUY | 260 | 83¢ | $216 | 0x8709e8… |
| 10-26 20:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x8709e8… |
| 10-26 20:44:27 | Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97 | No | SELL | 360 | 83¢ | $299 | 0x8709e8… |
| 10-26 19:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf0d79c… |
| 10-26 19:17:48 | (anonymous) 0x77a4…402b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf0d79c… |
| 10-26 19:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x77a4…402b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb5cc2a… |
| 10-26 19:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xb5cc2a… |
| 10-26 19:16:51 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xb5cc2a… |
| 10-26 19:16:50 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0xf4a609… |
| 10-26 19:16:50 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xf4a609… |
| 10-26 19:16:50 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf4a609… |
| 10-26 19:16:50 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 220 | 16¢ | $36 | 0x46633b… |
| 10-26 19:16:50 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 148 | 84¢ | $124 | 0x46633b… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x1b3d…d3aa | Yes | BUY | 254 | 17¢ | $43 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xcfb0…0de3 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x4c57…a7de | No | SELL | 199 | 84¢ | $167 | 0x363279… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x14a1…9912 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xebecfc… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xd100…3960 | Yes | BUY | 229 | 17¢ | $39 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 108 | 83¢ | $90 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | BUY | 300 | 17¢ | $51 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 143 | 84¢ | $120 | 0x8395a0… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x6373…75bd | Yes | BUY | 212 | 17¢ | $36 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 170 | 84¢ | $142 | 0x363279… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 519 | 84¢ | $435 | 0x363279… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xa4b2…fdce | Yes | BUY | 272 | 17¢ | $47 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 33 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $41 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | Yes | BUY | 81 | 17¢ | $14 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 519 | 17¢ | $89 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x46dad8… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | BUY | 143 | 84¢ | $120 | 0x8395a0… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x4a22…63b2 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 17¢ | $19 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x46dad8… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0xebecfc… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | SELL | 3,390 | 17¢ | $579 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xa763…bb49 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xa5e920… |
| 10-26 19:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 16¢ | $24 | 0x363279… |
| 10-26 19:16:47 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 39 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xae31d1… |
| 10-26 19:16:47 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 313 | 84¢ | $261 | 0xae31d1… |
| 10-26 19:16:47 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 16¢ | $36 | 0xae31d1… |
| 10-26 19:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x14a1…9912 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xae31d1… |
| 10-26 16:30:38 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 136 | 83¢ | $113 | 0x1548bb… |
| 10-26 16:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x3d60…4741 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 17¢ | $23 | 0x1548bb… |
| 10-26 16:16:06 | (anonymous) 0xfc34…b277 | No | BUY | 21 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x7fa6cb… |
| 10-26 16:16:06 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 21 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x7fa6cb… |
| 10-26 16:04:15 | (anonymous) 0xfc34…b277 | No | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xab06fa… |
| 10-26 16:04:15 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xab06fa… |
| 10-26 11:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x4a22…63b2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf2efe7… |
| 10-26 11:43:47 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | SELL | 132 | 83¢ | $109 | 0xf2efe7… |
| 10-26 11:43:47 | Sane-Shackle 0xdaf9…3d03 | Yes | SELL | 139 | 17¢ | $24 | 0xf2efe7… |
| 10-26 11:31:59 | (anonymous) 0x1b3d…d3aa | Yes | BUY | 252 | 17¢ | $43 | 0xbddcac… |
| 10-26 11:31:59 | (anonymous) 0x4a22…63b2 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 17¢ | $17 | 0xbddcac… |
| 10-26 11:31:59 | Guilty-Screenwriting 0x269a…0837 | No | BUY | 603 | 83¢ | $500 | 0xbddcac… |
| 10-26 11:17:47 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $41 | 0x193cc7… |
| 10-26 11:17:47 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x193cc7… |
| 10-26 09:26:05 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x15a8fe… |
| 10-26 09:26:05 | (anonymous) 0x4a22…63b2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x15a8fe… |
| 10-26 09:26:05 | (anonymous) 0x82c6…1650 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x15a8fe… |
| 10-26 09:24:09 | (anonymous) 0xd6c3…4b06 | Yes | SELL | 528 | 17¢ | $90 | 0xcf8c78… |
| 10-26 09:24:09 | (anonymous) 0xcfb0…0de3 | Yes | BUY | 274 | 17¢ | $47 | 0xcf8c78… |
| 10-26 09:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | Yes | BUY | 254 | 17¢ | $43 | 0xcf8c78… |
| 10-26 09:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xd100…3960 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 17¢ | $11 | 0x9d9387… |
| 10-26 09:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xcfb0…0de3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x9d9387… |
| 10-26 09:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xeb86…780e | Yes | SELL | 73 | 17¢ | $12 | 0x9d9387… |
| 10-26 09:21:32 | (anonymous) 0x6373…75bd | Yes | BUY | 330 | 17¢ | $56 | 0xa16df2… |
| 10-26 09:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xa4b2…fdce | Yes | BUY | 43 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xa16df2… |
| 10-26 09:21:32 | (anonymous) 0x8cc5…2dba | Yes | SELL | 608 | 17¢ | $104 | 0xa16df2… |
| 10-26 09:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xd100…3960 | Yes | BUY | 236 | 17¢ | $40 | 0xa16df2… |
| 10-26 08:43:50 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 121 | 83¢ | $100 | 0x16da01… |
| 10-26 08:43:50 | Untidy-Booster 0xc946…229c | No | SELL | 121 | 83¢ | $100 | 0x16da01… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $41 | 0x479aa8… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x2f7e6d… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 107 | 83¢ | $89 | 0x2f7e6d… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $41 | 0x2f7e6d… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | Untidy-Booster 0xc946…229c | No | BUY | 121 | 83¢ | $100 | 0x2f7e6d… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $41 | 0x2f7e6d… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x479aa8… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0xd6c3…4b06 | Yes | BUY | 528 | 17¢ | $91 | 0x2f7e6d… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x2f7e6d… |
| 10-26 05:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x3c38…1d58 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x4d6cec… |
| 10-26 05:40:24 | (anonymous) 0xa4b2…fdce | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x4d6cec… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | SELL | 49 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x4a22…63b2 | No | BUY | 226 | 83¢ | $187 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x4076…8e2a | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 17¢ | $172 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x1b3d…d3aa | No | BUY | 107 | 83¢ | $89 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | No | BUY | 126 | 83¢ | $105 | 0x245a87… |
| 10-26 03:19:18 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | No | BUY | 17 | 83¢ | $14 | 0xb6b2f2… |
| 10-26 03:19:18 | (anonymous) 0x83c4…ac70 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb6b2f2… |
| 10-26 03:18:47 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | No | BUY | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0xe73be0… |