Realized P&L
+$7.88K
Unrealized P&L
+$715
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
12,895
Trades
68,111
lifetime
Volume
$430.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$8.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-27 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
75% 69% +$6,341
Politics
14% 76% +$221
Sports
7% 59% +$930
Crypto
3% 76% +$124
Tech
1% 73% +$267
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 2027 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,229 $883 88¢ $1.1K +$204 10-23 09:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +998 $899 92¢ $913 +$14 10-26 11:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +643 $443 92¢ $592 +$149 10-27 09:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +625 $530 84¢ $522 -$8 10-27 10:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +579 $427 88¢ $513 +$86 10-26 20:14
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India India +402 $397 100¢ $402 +$5 10-27 09:46
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +365 $341 97¢ $354 +$14 10-17 01:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +359 $310 94¢ $336 +$26 10-26 17:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +304 $277 100¢ $303 +$26 10-24 14:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +406 $284 72¢ $294 +$10 10-27 06:51
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +362 $304 76¢ $277 -$27 10-26 13:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +324 $154 85¢ $276 +$122 10-27 09:53
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +304 $249 80¢ $244 -$5 10-18 10:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +217 $159 96¢ $208 +$49 10-26 13:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +266 $205 74¢ $198 -$7 10-21 03:50
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026 No +195 $167 100¢ $194 +$27 09-28 09:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +203 $175 94¢ $190 +$15 09-27 13:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +192 $159 96¢ $184 +$26 10-17 01:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +194 $143 92¢ $180 +$37 10-27 07:13
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +192 $169 86¢ $165 -$5 10-21 05:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +174 $165 94¢ $162 -$2 10-21 12:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +247 $158 66¢ $162 +$4 10-24 11:34
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +540 $210 30¢ $159 -$50 10-27 04:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +412 $171 36¢ $146 -$25 10-27 06:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +164 $126 89¢ $146 +$19 09-21 12:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +163 $142 88¢ $143 +$0 10-23 17:50
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +183 $138 74¢ $136 -$1 10-27 10:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +205 $126 66¢ $136 +$10 10-26 20:53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +246 $127 54¢ $134 +$7 10-26 17:07
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +141 $130 90¢ $128 -$3 10-17 01:55