Realized P&L
+$7.77K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.14K
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
12,955
Trades
68,724
lifetime
Volume
$434.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$9.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-27 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
75% 69% +$6,227
Politics
14% 76% +$218
Sports
7% 59% +$930
Crypto
3% 76% +$125
Tech
1% 73% +$267
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 2027 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,229 $883 88¢ $1.1K +$198 10-23 09:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +998 $899 92¢ $913 +$14 10-26 11:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +723 $518 95¢ $687 +$169 10-27 19:17
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +633 $242 86¢ $541 +$299 10-27 20:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +647 $548 82¢ $534 -$14 10-27 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +579 $427 88¢ $513 +$86 10-26 20:14
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +365 $341 97¢ $355 +$14 10-17 01:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +559 $393 62¢ $349 -$44 10-27 22:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +359 $310 94¢ $338 +$28 10-26 17:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +325 $155 94¢ $307 +$151 10-27 10:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +304 $277 99¢ $302 +$25 10-24 14:07
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +380 $318 77¢ $293 -$25 10-27 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +304 $249 80¢ $244 -$5 10-18 10:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +260 $99 86¢ $225 +$126 10-27 19:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +217 $159 98¢ $212 +$52 10-26 13:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +203 $175 96¢ $194 +$19 09-27 13:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +192 $159 96¢ $184 +$25 10-17 01:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +194 $143 94¢ $184 +$41 10-27 07:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +272 $172 68¢ $183 +$12 10-27 21:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +275 $211 64¢ $175 -$36 10-27 19:48
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026 No +170 $142 100¢ $169 +$27 10-27 14:53
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +192 $169 86¢ $165 -$5 10-21 05:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +174 $165 94¢ $164 -$1 10-21 12:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +247 $158 66¢ $162 +$4 10-24 11:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +178 $155 86¢ $154 -$1 10-27 11:01
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +164 $126 89¢ $146 +$19 09-21 12:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +412 $171 34¢ $142 -$29 10-27 06:54
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +159 $150 87¢ $139 -$11 10-27 22:03
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +183 $138 74¢ $136 -$1 10-27 10:30
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +246 $127 54¢ $133 +$6 10-26 17:07