Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,918,570
$36,636 in 24h
Trades
13,040
Unique wallets
2,877
Liquidity
$424,529
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-12 05:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.1¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $578.7K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $1.65M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 102 | $22.2K | $1.11M | $1.09M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 219 | $32.8K | $221.0K | $188.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 449 | $52.1K | $144.4K | $92.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,107 | $10.6K | $50.4K | $39.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 38 | $17.7K | $561.0K | $543.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 82 | $10.1K | $90.8K | $80.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 80 | $641 | $199.6K | $199.0K |
| Median | 345 | $711 | $26.0K | $25.3K |
| Below median | 323 | $2.4K | $37.6K | $35.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 66 | $1.4K | $8.6K | $7.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 88 | $10.0K | $69.1K | $59.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 56 | $7.5K | $159.8K | $152.3K |
| unranked | 1,799 | $67.1K | $378.2K | $311.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Ecliptic 0x768c…015d | Yes | +241,679 | $24,168 | $24,168 | 41 | 06-23 14:03 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | +125,351 | $111,270 | $848,545 | 1,017 | 07-08 15:36 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +116,000 | $104,300 | $104,300 | 84 | 06-27 09:43 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | +81,277 | $9,143 | $9,143 | 118 | 07-06 20:31 |
| Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | +79,336 | $8,975 | $8,975 | 80 | 07-04 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cd4…5b25 | No | +40,484 | $36,760 | $36,760 | 5 | 06-25 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3020…58f9 | Yes | +38,492 | $3,711 | $3,711 | 7 | 07-09 14:01 |
| Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | +35,426 | $32,038 | $49,092 | 24 | 07-08 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | +35,000 | $32,050 | $32,050 | 8 | 07-08 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b56…3f6b | No | +30,000 | $27,100 | $27,100 | 2 | 06-17 11:04 |
| Wary-Wisteria-Birdcage 0xa8d1…f57e | Yes | +27,029 | $2,062 | $2,062 | 4 | 07-08 06:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f4e…2e3e | Yes | +25,477 | $3,938 | $7,924 | 2 | 06-10 21:49 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +23,000 | $21,620 | $21,620 | 12 | 07-06 06:33 |
| Firm-Schooner 0x4f0e…8775 | No | +21,897 | $19,842 | $19,842 | 5 | 07-01 18:36 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +20,188 | $1,963 | $1,963 | 18 | 06-19 16:48 |
| Blushing-Yin 0x6606…1338 | No | +20,000 | $18,600 | $18,600 | 2 | 07-07 18:24 |
| Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | +20,000 | $18,000 | $18,000 | 110 | 06-30 18:31 |
| Lone-Glutamate 0xc682…17bb | No | +19,905 | $18,219 | $25,474 | 37 | 07-10 11:00 |
| Diligent-Brocolli 0x66d7…5b7b | Yes | +19,814 | $2,676 | $2,676 | 2 | 06-04 07:17 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +18,556 | $16,552 | $16,552 | 78 | 07-11 23:07 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +17,929 | $16,296 | $16,296 | 6 | 07-03 11:02 |
| Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | No | +16,868 | $15,181 | $15,181 | 47 | 07-09 15:11 |
| Sick-Regulator 0x5685…62e2 | No | +16,531 | $15,098 | $15,098 | 5 | 07-02 18:32 |
| Whimsical-Pawnshop 0x92ff…94ce | No | +15,057 | $13,702 | $13,713 | 6 | 07-01 18:38 |
| Bleak-Full 0x6d9f…9790 | No | +15,000 | $13,650 | $13,650 | 1 | 06-21 22:51 |
| Semen-Demon 0xf440…2747 | Yes | +12,283 | $1,674 | $4,526 | 8 | 06-01 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb273…aa63 | Yes | +11,859 | $1,262 | $1,262 | 2 | 07-10 10:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f6b…a4ea | No | +11,153 | $9,578 | $9,578 | 2 | 06-10 21:08 |
| Flashy-Bid 0xc408…4675 | No | +10,000 | $9,100 | $9,100 | 9 | 07-09 01:55 |
| Kooky-Atom 0x47aa…a209 | No | +9,591 | $8,728 | $8,728 | 2 | 07-01 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | +9,248 | $1,060 | $1,060 | 2 | 07-02 17:57 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +9,040 | $8,185 | $11,243 | 26 | 07-11 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe665…7d42 | No | +8,907 | $8,016 | $8,016 | 63 | 07-02 14:57 |
| Quizzical-Manicure 0xfd88…12b8 | Yes | +8,654 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 3 | 06-15 17:34 |
| Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | +7,942 | $497 | $1,217 | 9 | 07-11 23:07 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +7,817 | $7,096 | $7,284 | 27 | 07-08 23:11 |
| First-Prison 0x8a1e…bd03 | Yes | +7,769 | $732 | $868 | 8 | 07-11 22:45 |
| Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | +7,653 | $612 | $1,078 | 8 | 07-10 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9485…0918 | No | +7,000 | $6,330 | $6,330 | 3 | 06-16 07:21 |
| Unaware-Doubling 0x124b…8a69 | Yes | +6,590 | $659 | $659 | 1 | 06-28 03:54 |
| Repulsive-Shackle 0xc550…272d | No | +6,500 | $5,925 | $5,925 | 6 | 07-09 12:37 |
| Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | Yes | +6,463 | $517 | $552 | 36 | 07-09 07:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e09…7eba | Yes | +6,185 | $784 | $1,614 | 3 | 06-13 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x465a…ca63 | No | +6,000 | $5,520 | $5,520 | 1 | 07-11 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bb2…c07b | No | +5,614 | $4,940 | $4,940 | 2 | 06-13 03:14 |
| Cheerful-Nucleotidase 0x8df9…468c | Yes | +5,500 | $480 | $480 | 26 | 07-08 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa684…a33f | No | +5,000 | $4,550 | $4,550 | 1 | 06-29 15:10 |
| Bad-Screwdriver 0xea66…bb43 | No | +4,846 | $4,400 | $4,400 | 2 | 07-09 12:37 |
| Tasty-Particle 0x9a66…9bc0 | Yes | +4,790 | $575 | $575 | 2 | 06-13 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa83e…ee22 | No | +4,751 | $4,018 | $4,482 | 16 | 07-11 23:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 05:10:10 | Bewitched-Flugelhorn 0xf751…5f64 | Yes | BUY | 322 | 9¢ | $29 | 0x8b3b02… |
| 07-12 05:10:10 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 322 | 91¢ | $293 | 0x8b3b02… |
| 07-12 05:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x3f4f…8fa9 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x55a20b… |
| 07-12 05:09:59 | Oddball-Jasmine 0x16c9…6af4 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x55a20b… |
| 07-12 05:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x9ea2…d14e | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x55a20b… |
| 07-12 05:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x55a20b… |
| 07-12 04:11:49 | Rigid-Wit 0x5df7…780d | Yes | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x35efcd… |
| 07-12 04:11:49 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x35efcd… |
| 07-12 04:11:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 103 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x35efcd… |
| 07-12 00:05:32 | (anonymous) 0x9646…6ba2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x20db1f… |
| 07-12 00:05:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x20db1f… |
| 07-11 23:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x8bd8…9a86 | No | SELL | 83 | 91¢ | $76 | 0x924e30… |
| 07-11 23:50:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 83 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x924e30… |
| 07-11 23:42:53 | Rundown-Coral 0x5eef…27f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd698d1… |
| 07-11 23:42:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd698d1… |
| 07-11 23:29:44 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x2b346f… |
| 07-11 23:29:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2b346f… |
| 07-11 23:22:40 | Obedient-Dimension 0x2ce3…966b | Yes | BUY | 257 | 8¢ | $21 | 0xd3eb84… |
| 07-11 23:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0xb50209… |
| 07-11 23:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xb50209… |
| 07-11 23:22:40 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 159 | 92¢ | $146 | 0xb50209… |
| 07-11 23:22:40 | Obedient-Dimension 0x2ce3…966b | Yes | BUY | 296 | 8¢ | $24 | 0xb50209… |
| 07-11 23:22:40 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 257 | 8¢ | $21 | 0xd3eb84… |
| 07-11 23:07:52 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x150686… |
| 07-11 23:07:52 | (anonymous) 0xa83e…ee22 | No | SELL | 12 | 93¢ | $12 | 0x150686… |
| 07-11 23:07:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b1c…5fe8 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x150686… |
| 07-11 23:07:37 | Authorized-Employee 0x1440…2eb0 | Yes | BUY | 312 | 8¢ | $25 | 0x391a4d… |
| 07-11 23:07:37 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x391a4d… |
| 07-11 23:07:37 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 412 | 8¢ | $33 | 0x391a4d… |
| 07-11 23:07:26 | (anonymous) 0x2bf3…ae28 | No | BUY | 38 | 93¢ | $35 | 0xec246f… |
| 07-11 23:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xa83e…ee22 | No | SELL | 38 | 93¢ | $35 | 0xec246f… |
| 07-11 23:07:25 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5164fa… |
| 07-11 23:07:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x95a693… |
| 07-11 23:07:25 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x95a693… |
| 07-11 23:07:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5164fa… |
| 07-11 23:07:19 | (anonymous) 0xa83e…ee22 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd0d381… |
| 07-11 23:07:19 | (anonymous) 0x91ad…b29e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2f4162… |
| 07-11 23:07:19 | (anonymous) 0xa83e…ee22 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2f4162… |
| 07-11 23:07:19 | (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd0d381… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | BUY | 774 | 8¢ | $62 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0c6…894d | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xb154…61e3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x2bbf…e804 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71f…ba3d | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xab13…e137 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x4620…d01e | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Thrifty-Sponsorship 0x45ce…ef95 | No | BUY | 400 | 92¢ | $368 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Rusty-Background 0xfbe8…fac5 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | BUY | 483 | 92¢ | $444 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b16…fb51 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xd3bb…a823 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xec5d…5404 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x11f6…276d | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Inconsequential-Tambour 0x6026…ad50 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x9fa3…9abb | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x2343…504b | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x779a…ee72 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xee15…8889 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x33c4…c826 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Wrathful-Town 0x01c1…7a52 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x498a…bef3 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xf384…3717 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x465a…ca63 | No | BUY | 6,000 | 92¢ | $5,520 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x74c8…b398 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 18 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xba8c…faa5 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x9a90…d33f | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xaa84…22a2 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x3902…33f7 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x181f…e516 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x10df…fa26 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x95c2…24b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x0693…f9f9 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x119e…5269 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Variable-Beauty 0x70bc…a453 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 519 | 92¢ | $477 | 0x333d1a… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x3db5…3efe | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x4fbc…7a53 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x47ea…68f8 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xf861…dfec | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x521c…a35f | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 400 | 92¢ | $368 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x9bde…ca9e | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x80f5…3776 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x31e4…08c3 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xe6f0…0b31 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x2ee9…d4a9 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x3f4f…8fa9 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x951b…51f7 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x502a…0b60 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xce6f…89dd | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Carefree-Activist 0x05ed…bf70 | No | BUY | 500 | 92¢ | $460 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | BUY | 9,937 | 8¢ | $795 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x652e…e744 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 999 | 92¢ | $919 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x8295…56b2 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xecfe…e480 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xb820…fb6c | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:07:14 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 67 | 92¢ | $61 | 0x927ee6… |
| 07-11 23:01:07 | (anonymous) 0xa83e…ee22 | No | SELL | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0x1fe1a5… |