(anonymous) 0x1241d8…45d325
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Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
17
Trades
7,215
lifetime
Volume
$9.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$94
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 06-30 22:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
64% — —
Other
23% 44% $-11
Sports
12% 50% $-11
Politics
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $-0 06-30 10:07
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $-0 06-30 22:03
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +14 $14 96¢ $14 $-0 07-01 03:51
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $6 86¢ $6 $-0 06-27 21:58
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-20 06:35
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-30 10:40
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $5 +$0 06-18 19:57
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 06-26 16:23
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 21:28
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 21:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-30 08:11
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 07-01 02:53
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $-0 07-01 02:09
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:35
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-28 09:44
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 11:59
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 05:48
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-24 06:54
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 22:56
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 06-22 12:03
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-30 03:59
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-27 19:22
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-19 14:39
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-22 16:29
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-22 17:07
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-19 14:44
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-30 14:45