(anonymous) 0x1241d8…45d325
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Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
17
Trades
8,384
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$57
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-21 11:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
54% — —
Other
27% 44% $-11
Sports
10% 50% $-11
Politics
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +12 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 07-11 10:54
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $9 95¢ $9 $-0 07-17 12:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 07-21 11:15
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-20 09:11
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 07-17 05:36
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 21:55
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-18 21:28
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 07-12 13:37
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 07-08 07:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +12 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 07-03 11:14
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 14:15
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-22 17:07
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 07-14 07:24
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 05:48
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-24 06:54
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-16 15:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-20 05:56
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-20 00:15
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 +$0 07-17 17:41
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 07-17 06:59
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-21 03:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 $1 88¢ $0 $-1 07-02 00:34