Realized P&L
-$1.52K
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
33.9%
Resolved
1,100
Trades
11,681
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$37
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 09-28 13:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Crypto
37% 30% -$893
Other
35% 52% -$169
Politics
20% 48% -$16
Sports
8% 47% -$441
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -9 -$8 88¢ $-8 +$0 04-28 20:26
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 08-07 19:31
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 09-23 23:07
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 08-05 05:54
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 08-16 01:15
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-24 15:02
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 08-03 23:40
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 09-22 12:24
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-09 09:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -1 $0 91¢ $-1 -$1 07-02 00:34
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 08-16 05:23
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 09-04 13:18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 09-21 01:47
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-25 08:37
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 08-31 18:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 09-12 16:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $0 06-26 02:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +12 $1 4¢ $1 $0 07-03 11:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $0 $0 09-02 22:42
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-05 11:18
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-06 23:53
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $2 82¢ $0 -$2 07-04 09:16