Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$2,420
Trades
93
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$14,270
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
5¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-27 08:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $168
vs crowd: 96% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $75 | $2 | +$73 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $301 | $36 | +$265 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $976 | $12 | +$964 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $2 | $12 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $168 | — | +$168 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $555 | $2 | +$553 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 6 | $235 | $16 | +$219 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $130 | $1 | +$130 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $152 | $29 | +$123 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $74 | — | +$74 |
| unranked | 4 | $39 | $10 | +$30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | +600 | $555 | $555 | 2 | 06-13 21:48 |
| Notable-Genetics 0xb5f6…adc3 | Yes | +183 | $168 | $168 | 1 | 06-15 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3366…b03c | No | +133 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-22 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +125 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 21:48 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +80 | $74 | $74 | 5 | 06-22 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ad8…4340 | No | +80 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-18 18:09 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +65 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-15 09:38 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | +56 | $50 | $95 | 3 | 06-11 22:51 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 08:15 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +23 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-27 08:48 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-24 20:38 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-18 18:09 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7fc2…ed58 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 08:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:48:20 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9599f7… |
| 06-27 08:48:20 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9599f7… |
| 06-27 08:03:32 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x154e8d… |
| 06-27 08:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x7fc2…ed58 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x154e8d… |
| 06-25 12:57:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4259a0… |
| 06-25 12:57:05 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4259a0… |
| 06-24 20:38:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb09cc6… |
| 06-24 20:38:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb09cc6… |
| 06-24 20:38:08 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb09cc6… |
| 06-24 06:30:14 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf30b43… |
| 06-24 06:30:14 | (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf30b43… |
| 06-22 14:22:47 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 94¢ | $125 | 0xa0e0a3… |
| 06-22 14:22:47 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xa0e0a3… |
| 06-22 14:22:47 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xa0e0a3… |
| 06-22 14:22:47 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 92 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xa0e0a3… |
| 06-22 11:48:44 | (anonymous) 0x3366…b03c | No | BUY | 133 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x9b2b1b… |
| 06-22 11:48:44 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 94¢ | $125 | 0x9b2b1b… |
| 06-22 10:39:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2358a4… |
| 06-22 10:39:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2358a4… |
| 06-22 10:39:28 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x375013… |
| 06-22 10:39:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x375013… |
| 06-21 19:57:19 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x04319a… |
| 06-21 19:57:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x04319a… |
| 06-21 08:14:26 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x45c779… |
| 06-21 08:14:26 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x45c779… |
| 06-21 08:13:31 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x89a6b8… |
| 06-21 08:13:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x89a6b8… |
| 06-18 23:58:35 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x51241a… |
| 06-18 23:58:35 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x51241a… |
| 06-18 18:09:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb3572b… |
| 06-18 18:09:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xb3572b… |
| 06-18 18:09:07 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb3572b… |
| 06-18 18:09:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x78c635… |
| 06-18 18:09:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x78c635… |
| 06-18 18:09:02 | (anonymous) 0x9ad8…4340 | No | BUY | 80 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x78c635… |
| 06-18 18:09:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x78c635… |
| 06-18 18:09:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x78c635… |
| 06-15 09:38:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x62ce0f… |
| 06-15 09:38:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x62ce0f… |
| 06-15 08:17:15 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf55846… |
| 06-15 08:17:15 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf55846… |
| 06-15 08:17:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf55846… |
| 06-15 08:17:03 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 88 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x480e92… |
| 06-15 08:17:03 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x480e92… |
| 06-15 08:17:03 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 46 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x480e92… |
| 06-15 08:17:03 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x480e92… |
| 06-15 08:17:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x480e92… |
| 06-15 08:15:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3ed2e2… |
| 06-15 08:15:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3ed2e2… |
| 06-15 08:15:54 | Notable-Genetics 0xb5f6…adc3 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 92¢ | $168 | 0x848343… |
| 06-15 08:15:54 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x848343… |
| 06-15 08:15:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x848343… |
| 06-15 08:15:54 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | SELL | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x848343… |
| 06-15 08:15:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x848343… |
| 06-15 08:15:54 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 88 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x848343… |
| 06-13 21:48:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9b29f9… |
| 06-13 21:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x9b29f9… |
| 06-13 21:48:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9b29f9… |
| 06-13 21:48:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9b29f9… |
| 06-13 21:48:13 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x9b29f9… |
| 06-13 21:48:13 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 92¢ | $276 | 0x9b29f9… |
| 06-13 21:48:13 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x9b29f9… |
| 06-12 21:47:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xf68aa2… |
| 06-12 21:47:49 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xf68aa2… |
| 06-12 21:47:49 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf68aa2… |
| 06-12 11:17:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3f3c2b… |
| 06-12 11:17:06 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x3f3c2b… |
| 06-11 22:51:33 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 91¢ | $43 | 0x682260… |
| 06-11 22:51:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x682260… |
| 06-11 22:51:33 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x682260… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x1683b7… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x1683b7… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x1683b7… |
| 06-11 16:15:43 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xfe25ff… |
| 06-11 16:15:43 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0xfe25ff… |
| 06-11 16:15:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfe25ff… |
| 06-11 16:15:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xdca463… |
| 06-11 16:15:42 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xdca463… |
| 06-11 16:15:06 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 215 | 92¢ | $198 | 0x3a45d4… |
| 06-11 16:15:06 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x3a45d4… |
| 06-11 16:15:06 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 92¢ | $50 | 0x3a45d4… |
| 06-11 16:15:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3a45d4… |
| 06-11 16:15:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3a45d4… |
| 06-11 16:15:06 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3a45d4… |
| 06-11 16:15:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 92¢ | $74 | 0x3a45d4… |
| 06-03 18:34:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x5732d4… |
| 06-03 18:34:10 | Animated-Precedent 0x4e94…41b6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x5732d4… |
| 05-31 01:04:29 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 93¢ | $279 | 0x6f3734… |
| 05-31 01:04:29 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 93¢ | $23 | 0x6f3734… |
| 05-31 01:04:29 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 276 | 93¢ | $256 | 0x6f3734… |
| 05-29 21:57:23 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 92¢ | $45 | 0x1dec3b… |
| 05-29 21:57:23 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1dec3b… |
| 05-29 21:57:23 | Winged-Weapon 0xd515…2c54 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 92¢ | $45 | 0x1dec3b… |