Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
434
lifetime
Volume
$1.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$28
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 07-19 21:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68%
Politics
17%
Sports
13%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 07-09 19:12
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 07-08 19:58
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-19 18:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-08 18:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-08 09:50
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +8 $1 20¢ $2 +$0 07-14 10:29
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-27 08:03
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +5 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 07-10 15:41