Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$4,362
$251,507 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$772,042
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $722 | $118 | +$604 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 27 | $705 | $118 | +$587 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abandoned-Trace 0x8b71…c33e | Yes | +6,597 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 05-05 06:10 |
| Ajar-Acquaintance 0x2d1b…f055 | Yes | +800 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-05 07:51 |
| Honorable-Executive 0xd421…191c | Yes | +467 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-05 05:29 |
| Remorseful-Hygienic 0x1223…d424 | Yes | +396 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Careless-Meridian 0x3284…1813 | Yes | +240 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-05 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc298…8c51 | Yes | +200 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 17:42 |
| High-Level-Opponent 0x8ea0…28ed | Yes | +173 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-05 05:20 |
| Stupendous-Glory 0xd294…778e | Yes | +155 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-04 22:09 |
| Amused-Vaulting 0x35ba…82f9 | Yes | +133 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 15:37 |
| Marvelous-Regionalism-Handmaiden 0x60ad…f332 | Yes | +133 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 06:20 |
| Passionate-Gaffe 0x7f30…ecc5 | Yes | +93 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 19:53 |
| Bitter-Tile 0x7f08…e9ee | Yes | +80 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 02:45 |
| Decent-Beginner 0xb8a4…0de2 | Yes | +67 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 06:25 |
| Vivacious-Floor 0x290e…57fd | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 19:58 |
| Brilliant-Worship 0x892e…7c3f | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:10 |
| Monstrous-Pilot 0xa568…69f1 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 02:09 |
| Well-Groomed-Proctor 0xab0f…9900 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:15 |
| Brilliant-Speculation 0xba7a…8e9d | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 08:26 |
| Organic-Gap 0x9797…1289 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:36 |
| Handy-Past 0x6e56…996e | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:55:12 | Rich-Truth 0xd254…9858 | Yes | SELL | 275 | 7¢ | $20 | 0x60436f… |
| 05-05 19:58:20 | Vivacious-Floor 0x290e…57fd | No | BUY | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x14e8aa… |
| 05-05 19:53:00 | Passionate-Gaffe 0x7f30…ecc5 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x19da27… |
| 05-05 18:44:02 | Distinct-Zombie 0x826a…b27c | Yes | SELL | 114 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x64d1fa… |
| 05-05 18:36:42 | Organic-Gap 0x9797…1289 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x35087a… |
| 05-05 18:15:00 | Well-Groomed-Proctor 0xab0f…9900 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2b982b… |
| 05-05 17:42:34 | (anonymous) 0xc298…8c51 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 8¢ | $15 | 0x6f5aca… |
| 05-05 17:29:52 | Scrawny-Tear 0xde63…248b | No | SELL | 67 | 92¢ | $62 | 0xdb10cf… |
| 05-05 16:47:40 | Glaring-Significance 0x05a6…7991 | No | SELL | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0xfa7c4f… |
| 05-05 16:39:30 | Remorseful-Hygienic 0x1223…d424 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x6fe750… |
| 05-05 15:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xca27…8ad5 | No | SELL | 3,242 | 92¢ | $2,999 | 0x0c1ad5… |
| 05-05 15:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xca27…8ad5 | Yes | SELL | 3,242 | 7¢ | $240 | 0x1efd3c… |
| 05-05 15:42:26 | Remorseful-Hygienic 0x1223…d424 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xedb37c… |
| 05-05 15:37:14 | Amused-Vaulting 0x35ba…82f9 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x46e961… |
| 05-05 14:24:40 | Remorseful-Hygienic 0x1223…d424 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3dd212… |
| 05-05 13:26:56 | Remorseful-Hygienic 0x1223…d424 | Yes | BUY | 275 | 8¢ | $21 | 0xe920ac… |
| 05-05 12:41:56 | Stale-Breakpoint 0x37e4…755b | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x59e4d5… |
| 05-05 12:41:50 | Stale-Breakpoint 0x37e4…755b | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x75d4a1… |
| 05-05 11:40:24 | Glaring-Significance 0x05a6…7991 | No | BUY | 60 | 93¢ | $55 | 0xf73363… |
| 05-05 11:16:46 | Wooden-Prostanoid 0x6ac5…c28d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xca2d67… |
| 05-05 11:10:16 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x1a9e89… |
| 05-05 10:26:16 | Careless-Meridian 0x3284…1813 | Yes | BUY | 240 | 8¢ | $18 | 0x67bcc0… |
| 05-05 09:06:14 | Lavish-Woman 0x0df6…ec67 | Yes | SELL | 1,449 | 7¢ | $107 | 0x53d414… |
| 05-05 09:05:06 | Buttery-Grace 0xdcf5…e9dc | Yes | SELL | 85 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x081d39… |
| 05-05 08:26:04 | Brilliant-Speculation 0xba7a…8e9d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd8ad7c… |
| 05-05 08:10:20 | Brilliant-Worship 0x892e…7c3f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xdd70ac… |
| 05-05 07:51:00 | Ajar-Acquaintance 0x2d1b…f055 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 8¢ | $60 | 0x7bb860… |
| 05-05 06:25:34 | Decent-Beginner 0xb8a4…0de2 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xeba1df… |
| 05-05 06:20:12 | Marvelous-Regionalism-Handmaiden 0x60ad…f332 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x628285… |
| 05-05 06:10:38 | Abandoned-Trace 0x8b71…c33e | Yes | BUY | 6,597 | 8¢ | $495 | 0x249da8… |
| 05-05 05:29:52 | Honorable-Executive 0xd421…191c | Yes | BUY | 467 | 7¢ | $35 | 0xec95bf… |
| 05-05 05:20:26 | High-Level-Opponent 0x8ea0…28ed | Yes | BUY | 173 | 7¢ | $13 | 0x94f8c6… |
| 05-05 03:20:06 | Clear-Cut-Embassy 0xcad4…51c6 | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x8e7d19… |
| 05-05 02:45:04 | Bitter-Tile 0x7f08…e9ee | Yes | BUY | 80 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xe4f2bf… |
| 05-05 02:09:42 | Monstrous-Pilot 0xa568…69f1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e628d… |
| 05-04 22:09:34 | Stupendous-Glory 0xd294…778e | Yes | BUY | 155 | 7¢ | $12 | 0x49d732… |
| 05-04 21:39:42 | Handy-Past 0x6e56…996e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x52fd4c… |