Bitter-Tile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$16

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-02 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

51% 56% +$7

Crypto

25% 94% +$26

Sports

17% 25% -$16

Politics

8% 71% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$7	74¢	$9	+$2	11-02 09:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$5	88¢	$5	+$0	11-02 09:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	06-05 09:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$1	95¢	$0	+$1	08-24 09:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-16	-$4	2¢	$-0	+$4	07-21 08:35
is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	06-29 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$79	43	40	+3	No	+$0	03-21 02:40
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$76	37	40	-3	No	$0	03-09 15:55
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	8	$70	47	46	+1	Yes	+$3	10-10 02:30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$68	300	229	+71	No	+$5	07-13 01:28
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	03-18 01:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$52	27	26	+1	No	+$0	04-10 03:47
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	4	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$1	03-29 09:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	$0	06-29 07:17
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$41	22	22	+0	No	$0	06-29 06:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	$0	06-29 07:12
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	06-29 07:18
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	$0	06-29 06:58
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$3	06-19 07:04
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-21 02:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$38	22	23	-1	open	—	06-05 09:13
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	3	$37	30	24	+6	Yes	+$3	09-09 01:15
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$35	200	200	+0	No	$0	06-12 11:05
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	4	$33	17	16	+0	No	+$0	03-14 00:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	7	$32	55	55	+0	open	—	10-10 02:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$32	20	19	+1	No	-$1	04-16 07:58
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$31	40	0	+40	No	+$9	03-29 09:40
will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	4	$31	16	15	+1	No	+$0	03-18 01:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$30	116	110	+5	Yes	-$1	07-17 03:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$30	26	12	+14	No	+$5	05-21 01:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$2	08-31 02:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	06-29 07:13
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-21 02:11
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	03-29 09:27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	$0	06-19 07:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	3	$28	16	15	+0	No	+$1	08-24 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 09:38:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x566229…
11-02 09:37:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x31647a…
10-10 02:31:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x46eb89…
10-10 02:30:39	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x210353…
10-10 02:29:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xecfac1…
09-23 04:19:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$12	0x511a9b…
09-16 01:53:10	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0xd5c08c…
09-09 01:19:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3a941b…
09-09 01:16:51	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x60fcd0…
09-09 01:15:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	69¢	$9	0xb593f9…
09-04 06:36:25	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x88e72f…
09-04 06:16:22	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x828c8f…
09-04 06:15:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xaa79da…
09-04 06:15:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x8d64c2…
09-01 18:39:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x4c2423…
08-31 02:40:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xd97b10…
08-31 02:38:27	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x3fda2e…
08-31 02:38:13	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x699307…
08-31 02:37:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x219c8e…
08-24 15:53:45	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xb244db…
08-24 09:32:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xdae28d…
08-24 09:31:28	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe170b8…
08-24 09:30:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5622a3…
08-24 09:30:33	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x6a1053…
08-18 03:46:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$5	0xb46138…
08-18 03:46:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x90b26e…
08-18 03:45:55	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xf85ec8…
08-18 03:45:27	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xf6a2f5…
08-12 09:03:31	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xd15959…
08-08 00:19:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0xf9af08…
08-08 00:16:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x0f4acd…
08-08 00:16:19	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xb06a7a…
08-03 08:47:23	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x174f14…
08-03 08:46:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xd19c95…
08-03 08:45:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x747b45…
07-27 01:44:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xb3e8bb…
07-27 01:43:25	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x9aa48d…
07-21 08:37:25	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x62b32f…
07-21 08:35:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x064e7a…
07-17 03:26:36	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xcc3cbc…
07-17 03:25:16	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0x067a35…
07-17 03:24:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xaf6290…
07-17 03:24:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x95d9f7…
07-17 03:23:39	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x502b62…
07-17 03:23:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x06a132…
07-13 02:00:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0xdb358a…
07-13 01:59:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x51ca92…
07-13 01:30:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xde6bfc…
07-13 01:29:53	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x867e20…
07-13 01:29:16	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x4ffcd7…
07-13 01:28:52	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x8ba422…
07-13 01:28:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x607ebf…
07-13 01:28:04	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	110	22¢	$24	0x69a65c…
06-29 07:20:43	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xdfc609…
06-29 07:20:11	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	180	10¢	$19	0xefbcb4…
06-29 07:18:58	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x33bacb…
06-29 07:18:08	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x7ae676…
06-29 07:17:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xacd3c1…
06-29 07:14:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x956a89…
06-29 07:13:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbcb63c…
06-29 07:12:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xdbbe00…
06-29 07:11:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x14effd…
06-29 06:58:01	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xbad51a…
06-29 06:57:02	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf3ab87…
06-29 06:56:40	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0xa04c2f…
06-29 06:55:05	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xf9e655…
06-29 06:54:46	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xef1a84…
06-29 06:54:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	110	11¢	$12	0x82e4af…
06-19 07:10:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	110	14¢	$15	0x39556d…
06-19 07:09:32	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x82c951…
06-19 07:08:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x170042…
06-19 07:08:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcfce99…
06-19 07:07:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xdbe783…
06-19 07:06:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd13e58…
06-19 07:05:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x4d7f76…
06-19 07:05:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x27b9db…
06-19 07:04:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0bb8a…
06-19 07:04:22	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x67e7e8…
06-19 07:03:23	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xccc96c…
06-19 07:02:46	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x95ede8…
06-19 07:02:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x64cd56…
06-12 11:08:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x0299a6…
06-12 11:07:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x218bac…
06-12 11:05:42	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xf52857…
06-12 11:05:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xc586ad…
06-12 11:04:54	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x8e08ef…
06-12 11:03:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x69ccba…
06-12 11:01:39	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$6	0x96641c…
06-12 11:00:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x1693be…
06-05 09:28:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x98205c…
06-05 09:27:57	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x7ce395…
06-05 09:27:36	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0x6b39d0…
06-05 09:14:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x677c55…
06-05 09:13:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xc0337a…
06-05 09:13:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xe57942…
05-30 23:36:10	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x33d7eb…
05-30 04:57:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd57e69…
05-21 01:44:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0xf7376b…
05-21 01:43:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4abfd8…
05-21 01:43:23	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x240aac…