Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$1,066
$29,289 in 24h
Trades
62
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$1,633,191
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 23:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $352 | $156 | +$196 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 27 | $325 | $156 | +$169 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arid-Finding 0x6f57…503d | Yes | +2,800 | $241 | $241 | 1 | 05-05 10:21 |
| Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | +500 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-05 13:25 |
| Unlucky-Frog-Will 0x45a8…82e1 | Yes | +302 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-05 09:16 |
| Pleased-Capital 0xcfb5…21ba | Yes | +117 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 16:02 |
| Teeming-Yurt 0x2cea…084d | Yes | +113 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +70 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 17:37 |
| Unimportant-Wellbeing 0x08f1…e52b | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-04 21:59 |
| Oblong-Agreement 0xcc32…4b88 | No | +59 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-05 18:52 |
| Monumental-Autoimmunity 0x6315…5a08 | Yes | +58 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 02:20 |
| Gaseous-Rage 0x02fc…ccee | Yes | +58 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 21:50 |
| Dry-Ectoderm 0xdb12…1e26 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-05 05:20 |
| Long-Term-Laptop 0x2065…2be5 | Yes | +47 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Jam-Packed-Excursion 0x31a8…140e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x7595…fc54 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 00:25 |
| Muffled-Person 0x56c6…0ea4 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:24 |
| Zigzag-Material-Knowhow 0x1dc2…b336 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Jaded-Temple 0xedb6…298b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 23:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 23:10:04 | Jaded-Temple 0xedb6…298b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x1b6682… |
| 05-05 21:50:04 | Gaseous-Rage 0x02fc…ccee | Yes | BUY | 58 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x543877… |
| 05-05 20:14:12 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | BUY | 48 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xdc0c0f… |
| 05-05 19:53:00 | Ill-Fated-Priority 0xef53…f599 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2df479… |
| 05-05 19:44:44 | Mammoth-Merchant 0xf075…d1c3 | No | SELL | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xa61ff5… |
| 05-05 19:02:52 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4bba44… |
| 05-05 18:52:56 | Oblong-Agreement 0xcc32…4b88 | No | BUY | 59 | 92¢ | $54 | 0x7e12fe… |
| 05-05 18:36:12 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5e26c8… |
| 05-05 18:36:04 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8023e5… |
| 05-05 18:36:02 | Dreary-Naming 0x406e…436a | No | SELL | 42 | 91¢ | $39 | 0x1542a2… |
| 05-05 18:24:28 | Tiny-Nonbeliever 0x316e…c796 | Yes | SELL | 331 | 8¢ | $28 | 0xb10d24… |
| 05-05 18:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x4c5c…f81b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x218941… |
| 05-05 18:17:56 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x143a1d… |
| 05-05 17:37:48 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xec8191… |
| 05-05 17:37:30 | Magnificent-Plywood 0x3f3d…b972 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x90ed4b… |
| 05-05 17:24:50 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbc5b90… |
| 05-05 17:22:30 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1b7185… |
| 05-05 17:09:50 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa6015d… |
| 05-05 17:09:38 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x27bdbf… |
| 05-05 17:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x2be0…6dee | Yes | SELL | 1,696 | 8¢ | $144 | 0x8c84e6… |
| 05-05 16:39:52 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7fc415… |
| 05-05 16:39:28 | Zigzag-Material-Knowhow 0x1dc2…b336 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdb2e35… |
| 05-05 16:27:48 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x94416a… |
| 05-05 16:24:56 | Muffled-Person 0x56c6…0ea4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x86acfa… |
| 05-05 16:19:48 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xcaeb4f… |
| 05-05 16:02:30 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2a779f… |
| 05-05 16:02:28 | Ill-Fated-Priority 0xef53…f599 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x737e45… |
| 05-05 16:02:28 | Pleased-Capital 0xcfb5…21ba | Yes | BUY | 117 | 9¢ | $10 | 0xec98b8… |
| 05-05 15:52:30 | Authorized-Key 0xd3e6…bf4a | Yes | SELL | 405 | 8¢ | $34 | 0x25aa9c… |
| 05-05 15:17:26 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa1eedd… |
| 05-05 13:52:08 | Jam-Packed-Excursion 0x31a8…140e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x72befd… |
| 05-05 13:25:34 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x141bc2… |
| 05-05 13:25:34 | Ill-Fated-Priority 0xef53…f599 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xab64af… |
| 05-05 12:01:54 | Pesky-Clasp 0xe688…2d24 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xffcf0a… |
| 05-05 10:21:20 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 244 | 8¢ | $21 | 0x6bafe3… |
| 05-05 10:21:10 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | SELL | 93 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x0ac9a0… |
| 05-05 10:21:08 | Ill-Fated-Priority 0xef53…f599 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf9f2ce… |
| 05-05 10:21:08 | Arid-Finding 0x6f57…503d | Yes | BUY | 2,800 | 9¢ | $241 | 0xc67aaf… |
| 05-05 09:16:22 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfed293… |
| 05-05 09:16:20 | Ill-Fated-Priority 0xef53…f599 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9a52f4… |
| 05-05 09:16:20 | Unlucky-Frog-Will 0x45a8…82e1 | Yes | BUY | 302 | 9¢ | $26 | 0xa71fd4… |
| 05-05 08:10:18 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x940770… |
| 05-05 07:04:58 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf3e896… |
| 05-05 06:45:38 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe2e48e… |
| 05-05 06:25:44 | (anonymous) 0xe1a4…1446 | Yes | SELL | 2,274 | 8¢ | $193 | 0x32edcf… |
| 05-05 05:25:38 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x682d45… |
| 05-05 05:20:00 | Dry-Ectoderm 0xdb12…1e26 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x937d5b… |
| 05-05 05:09:56 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc9e293… |
| 05-05 04:20:16 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcfb3ab… |
| 05-05 04:20:00 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x455ffc… |
| 05-05 04:19:58 | Teeming-Yurt 0x2cea…084d | Yes | BUY | 113 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x453f35… |
| 05-05 04:19:58 | Ill-Fated-Priority 0xef53…f599 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x53f240… |
| 05-05 02:20:18 | Monumental-Autoimmunity 0x6315…5a08 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x05e6e9… |
| 05-05 01:34:36 | Intelligent-Reprocessing 0x1583…dead | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x965d9b… |
| 05-05 01:25:06 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x042e5d… |
| 05-05 01:25:04 | Light-Formation 0x03ce…fa72 | No | SELL | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0xb8e140… |
| 05-05 00:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x7595…fc54 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x36db54… |
| 05-04 21:59:50 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfc8197… |
| 05-04 21:59:46 | Unimportant-Wellbeing 0x08f1…e52b | No | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0xd7a44e… |
| 05-04 21:39:28 | Constant-Bog 0xf948…0931 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x489e07… |
| 05-04 20:49:48 | Vivacious-Currant 0xf664…c89b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4af9e3… |
| 05-04 20:49:46 | Long-Term-Laptop 0x2065…2be5 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xaf6e6f… |