Ill-Fated-Priority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,879

lifetime

Volume

$9.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-16 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 83% +$18

Sports

28% — —

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	4	$154	59	105	-46	open	—	04-12 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$153	133	74	+59	open	—	06-27 16:10
ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	7	$134	157	114	+43	open	—	07-25 13:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	14	$127	99	99	+0	open	—	08-04 14:34
wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	17	$120	176	107	+69	open	—	07-21 22:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	18	$113	116	67	+50	open	—	02-02 22:20
atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	9	$100	214	0	+214	open	—	08-16 02:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	03-15 00:18
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	7	$99	98	43	+56	open	—	05-16 22:11
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	4	$99	292	0	+292	open	—	06-05 16:37
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	12	$97	154	80	+74	open	—	02-25 02:14
will trump say sucker or soccer during inter miami events on thursday	5	$81	90	0	+90	open	—	03-05 16:00
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	5	$74	55	28	+27	Yes	+$2	05-11 14:09
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	7	$74	54	54	+0	open	—	05-14 15:29
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$74	78	34	+45	open	—	05-16 23:01
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$71	84	0	+84	open	—	05-14 02:23
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$71	94	33	+61	open	—	05-16 22:57
atp bonzi norrie 2026 01 18	9	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	01-18 11:04
will trump say alien during the 2026 state of the union address	7	$69	88	0	+88	open	—	02-24 17:04
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$69	101	101	-0	open	—	03-01 18:29
will trump say hell 8 times during miami address	4	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	03-09 22:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	14	$67	57	64	-7	open	—	06-14 12:39
highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 8corbelow	10	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	02-09 23:41
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	3	$64	124	122	+2	open	—	05-21 12:32
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	5	$61	34	35	-1	open	—	06-08 10:50
highest temperature in wellington on february 10 2026 18c	12	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	02-09 19:51
efa new bor 2026 01 10 new	5	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	01-10 16:51
nhl chi nsh 2026 01 10	2	$54	39	39	+0	open	—	01-11 06:11
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	2	$54	57	0	+57	open	—	02-25 04:00
lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 spread away 2pt5	5	$54	60	27	+33	open	—	03-03 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 02:52:22	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xf73f20…
08-16 02:50:58	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4a00f9…
08-16 02:50:28	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xb2a792…
08-16 02:44:18	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0x123e59…
08-16 02:44:16	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xd44c27…
08-16 02:43:51	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x78e8e1…
08-16 02:43:45	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x56c755…
08-16 02:40:12	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	29	46¢	$14	0xfe498f…
08-16 02:40:12	atp ribeiro paulson 2026 08 16	Andrew Paulson	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x7a212a…
08-04 19:38:45	wta tararud anisimo 2026 08 04	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xa55da5…
08-04 19:10:33	atp jodar moutet 2026 08 06	Corentin Moutet	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xd76c95…
08-04 14:34:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x0532b0…
08-04 14:29:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x2bbac5…
08-04 13:42:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x1b5497…
08-04 13:42:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x7b910c…
08-03 14:52:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x9fbc2b…
08-03 14:49:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x90ed41…
08-02 17:17:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x40fcf4…
08-02 02:08:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	37	91¢	$33	0x9799ce…
08-01 13:40:02	wta volynet stephen 2026 08 01	Sloane Stephens	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x0df212…
07-27 19:28:55	wta jones paquet 2026 07 28	Chloe Paquet	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x4f9373…
07-27 13:12:12	wta jones paquet 2026 07 28	Chloe Paquet	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x4d47a9…
07-26 16:49:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x0c01ba…
07-26 16:47:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xbd6e0b…
07-26 16:47:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x711da4…
07-26 16:46:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x4dd5e6…
07-26 16:45:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xc433be…
07-25 13:23:22	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Islam Dulatov	SELL	48	51¢	$25	0x2e8e77…
07-25 13:17:00	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Islam Dulatov	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xa267da…
07-25 13:04:55	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Wellington Turman	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0xec9ba6…
07-25 13:00:45	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Wellington Turman	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0xff41e0…
07-25 12:00:01	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Wellington Turman	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x320f0d…
07-25 11:35:49	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Wellington Turman	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x5c10b4…
07-25 11:31:09	ufc wel isl2 2026 07 25	Wellington Turman	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xed1f74…
07-23 23:38:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xaeff95…
07-21 22:26:16	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf5458d…
07-20 15:06:01	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	SELL	107	45¢	$48	0xca1cf9…
07-20 10:05:28	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x79c57a…
07-20 10:05:28	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x5472f1…
07-19 22:59:13	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x1d8424…
07-19 21:51:49	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x2f911e…
07-19 20:12:49	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xa5a10a…
07-19 20:11:37	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x05ae4a…
07-19 19:47:18	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x91135c…
07-19 19:29:18	wta kawa badosa 2026 07 21	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x746cbb…
07-07 22:25:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5e56dd…
07-07 15:42:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd773f7…
07-07 14:05:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xbe1c73…
07-06 21:34:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x7d7cf6…
07-06 21:33:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe24f13…
07-06 21:33:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xd9ac30…
07-05 19:04:35	atp hurkacz struff 2026 07 05	Jan-Lennard Struff	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0xbcc8d9…
07-05 18:58:17	atp hurkacz struff 2026 07 05	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x4d5c57…
06-29 21:11:35	will paraguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120749	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x816dd8…
06-29 21:11:34	will paraguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120749	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x500025…
06-29 18:18:08	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xa6abff…
06-29 18:17:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x34ea81…
06-29 18:17:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x3c1b40…
06-28 12:45:29	wta ruzic raducan 2026 06 29	Antonia Ruzic	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xa0b918…
06-28 12:45:28	wta ruzic raducan 2026 06 29	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	64	40¢	$25	0x6eb2a4…
06-28 01:07:41	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	35	59¢	$21	0x9008ea…
06-28 00:00:01	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x8d4cc9…
06-27 16:10:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x67559a…
06-27 13:18:05	wta ruzic raducan 2026 06 29	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xd40c56…
06-27 12:56:07	wta ruzic raducan 2026 06 29	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xff1318…
06-24 23:40:02	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5178f8…
06-24 23:26:13	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x08da57…
06-24 23:14:43	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xc81256…
06-24 22:52:35	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9f359f…
06-24 16:06:32	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb057aa…
06-21 12:25:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xf2a247…
06-17 20:58:13	will croatia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134512	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xe16faf…
06-16 19:27:29	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x606c5d…
06-16 02:10:00	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	27	76¢	$21	0x1e16be…
06-16 02:09:51	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x94708e…
06-16 02:09:48	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x905df7…
06-16 02:09:48	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x56c9e2…
06-16 02:09:45	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x2fa776…
06-16 02:09:37	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x6b9733…
06-16 02:09:37	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x64a8e1…
06-16 02:09:16	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x4eb314…
06-16 01:14:15	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd05155…
06-15 23:17:16	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0xe2c091…
06-15 23:17:16	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0x941559…
06-15 17:39:54	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x800bbf…
06-15 17:39:46	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	36	64¢	$24	0x2d252a…
06-14 12:39:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xef0201…
06-14 12:39:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xc5bee6…
06-14 12:39:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5da06c…
06-14 12:39:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x568b8a…
06-14 12:39:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x89c6c7…
06-14 12:39:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x8c6cf8…
06-14 12:39:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x40bc88…
06-14 00:02:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xcb2c7c…
06-13 23:41:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x386acf…
06-13 23:39:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xab78d8…
06-13 17:07:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x0c232f…
06-13 17:07:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x63f2cf…
06-13 02:04:57	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x4a562e…
06-13 01:55:55	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xd63207…