Light-Formation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-01 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

47% — —

Sports

40% — —

Other

12% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No		-22	$-20	95¢	$-20	$-0	06-01 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	46	$9.7K	12,710	12,710	+0	open	—	01-24 13:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	14	$3.4K	1,745	1,745	-0	open	—	01-24 12:25
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	14	$2.9K	5,149	5,149	+0	open	—	01-24 13:19
btc updown 15m 1769478300	4	$1.5K	998	989	+9	open	—	01-27 01:53
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	4	$1.1K	1,837	1,837	+0	open	—	01-26 11:13
btc updown 15m 1769484600	4	$836	624	616	+8	open	—	01-27 03:37
btc updown 15m 1769483700	2	$756	387	387	+0	open	—	01-27 03:28
btc updown 15m 1769434200	2	$678	580	571	+9	open	—	01-26 13:32
btc updown 15m 1769175900	5	$659	600	593	+8	open	—	01-23 14:01
btc updown 15m 1769430600	2	$550	282	282	+0	open	—	01-26 12:42
btc updown 15m 1769423400	2	$507	492	484	+8	open	—	01-26 10:36
btc updown 15m 1769417100	2	$501	395	390	+6	open	—	01-26 08:52
btc updown 15m 1769218200	2	$492	265	264	+0	open	—	01-24 01:42
btc updown 15m 1769214600	2	$472	254	254	+1	open	—	01-24 00:43
btc updown 15m 1769179500	3	$454	350	335	+15	open	—	01-23 14:53
btc updown 15m 1769407200	3	$453	548	541	+7	open	—	01-26 06:05
btc updown 15m 1769933700	6	$440	1,498	1,492	+5	open	—	02-01 08:28
btc updown 15m 1769178600	3	$430	323	292	+31	open	—	01-23 14:34
btc updown 15m 1769261400	4	$386	530	283	+247	open	—	01-24 13:39
btc updown 15m 1769431500	2	$382	206	206	+0	open	—	01-26 12:59
btc updown 15m 1769316300	4	$376	276	272	+4	open	—	01-25 04:57
btc updown 15m 1769935500	2	$340	597	592	+6	open	—	02-01 08:47
btc updown 15m 1769341500	5	$337	200	189	+11	open	—	01-25 12:01
btc updown 15m 1769175000	4	$306	392	386	+6	open	—	01-23 13:41
btc updown 15m 1769934600	3	$300	406	401	+5	open	—	02-01 08:35
btc updown 15m 1769263200	5	$277	777	771	+6	open	—	01-24 14:12
btc updown 15m 1769405400	4	$252	131	130	+0	open	—	01-26 05:46
btc updown 15m 1769256000	1	$248	262	0	+262	open	—	01-24 12:12
btc updown 15m 1769260500	3	$233	279	49	+230	open	—	01-24 13:29
btc updown 15m 1769351400	1	$216	221	0	+221	open	—	01-25 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 06:36:09	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x4c126f…
05-22 02:28:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x831834…
05-22 02:28:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xcc3e07…
05-21 02:05:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf09a24…
05-21 02:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x465ac7…
05-21 02:04:48	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x210ef2…
05-20 04:45:01	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6554f…
05-20 04:44:16	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x901669…
05-20 04:44:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xca7d71…
05-20 02:37:00	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x465529…
05-20 02:36:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2b9cba…
05-20 02:36:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8fba8b…
05-20 02:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1373f2…
05-20 02:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0e301d…
05-20 02:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfae9fd…
05-20 02:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd9f7f9…
05-20 02:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf091d5…
05-20 02:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7683a6…
05-20 02:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4aff67…
05-20 02:18:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd918f7…
05-19 00:37:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x8229e4…
05-18 04:50:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x371a46…
05-07 07:26:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3aedf3…
05-07 07:26:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x7a492a…
05-05 01:25:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x786fe6…
05-05 01:25:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe021fa…
05-05 01:24:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd066ff…
05-01 00:35:18	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xd752de…
05-01 00:25:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x78bb5b…
05-01 00:24:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$48	0x0ce16e…
04-28 13:08:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x1adcb8…
04-28 03:01:56	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x616ec4…
04-28 03:01:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x795132…
04-25 03:09:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xbe6019…
04-25 03:09:24	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xdf5779…
04-22 00:52:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x71955a…
04-22 00:51:40	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7c85b4…
04-22 00:51:32	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x2245ca…
04-22 00:51:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x735555…
04-18 09:52:32	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xee8161…
04-18 09:52:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1fa9bc…
04-18 09:52:08	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33a416…
04-18 09:51:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2a3e4a…
04-17 00:30:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc95373…
04-17 00:30:00	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xfa251d…
04-14 09:24:51	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x0d0410…
04-12 02:21:53	btc updown 5m 1775960400	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xad4b6a…
04-12 02:20:49	btc updown 5m 1775960400	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf213d4…
04-12 02:20:39	btc updown 5m 1775960400	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xf13033…
04-12 02:20:19	btc updown 5m 1775960400	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x14fea9…
04-09 12:12:33	btc updown 5m 1775736600	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x2a7778…
04-09 12:10:37	btc updown 5m 1775736600	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x19adb7…
04-06 11:05:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb5559c…
04-05 01:35:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x069a56…
04-05 01:35:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xbb9962…
04-04 08:44:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1f8ac7…
04-04 08:43:27	btc updown 5m 1775292000	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xdf7c45…
04-04 08:40:47	btc updown 5m 1775292000	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x69dd45…
04-04 08:39:27	btc updown 5m 1775291700	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xb90453…
04-04 08:36:47	btc updown 5m 1775291700	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf3b8d0…
04-04 08:31:39	btc updown 5m 1775291400	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x555d40…
04-04 08:30:49	btc updown 5m 1775291400	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x40099a…
04-01 13:01:09	nba ind chi 2026 04 01	Pacers	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2710f1…
04-01 13:00:51	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Heat	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xac07cc…
04-01 12:59:15	nba atl orl 2026 04 01	Magic	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa99516…
03-30 08:59:48	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	Heat	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xcd5171…
03-27 23:46:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xf23a81…
03-26 00:49:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x6b80bd…
03-23 10:36:53	btc updown 5m 1774262100	Down	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x729e72…
03-23 10:35:51	btc updown 5m 1774262100	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1d8944…
03-23 10:30:59	btc updown 5m 1774261800	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x8915f2…
03-23 10:30:27	btc updown 5m 1774261800	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe13083…
03-23 10:29:53	btc updown 5m 1774261500	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x262a7e…
03-23 10:29:23	btc updown 5m 1774261500	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb61002…
03-23 10:28:15	btc updown 5m 1774261500	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x51e5b7…
03-23 10:25:31	btc updown 5m 1774261500	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x424d17…
03-23 10:23:09	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0x2ca273…
03-23 00:28:47	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x93725b…
03-23 00:28:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x2b458b…
03-21 13:48:25	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	97¢	$35	0x427a67…
03-21 13:47:27	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	37	97¢	$35	0x14ba93…
03-20 00:16:43	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0x3557a0…
03-20 00:16:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xb2256a…
03-18 23:36:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x5b6d75…
03-18 23:36:35	nba lac nop 2026 03 18	Clippers	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9ffbd1…
03-18 23:36:09	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x13b74f…
03-16 10:54:07	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x88086d…
03-14 03:00:35	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xfd9b4c…
03-14 01:15:21	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x12745f…
03-12 09:52:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x77c55b…
03-04 11:10:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x92836d…
03-04 11:10:17	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 4	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x6f3a3a…
03-04 11:10:05	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 4	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x108bd4…
02-10 09:38:11	nba dal phx 2026 02 10	Mavericks	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x87e597…
02-09 04:23:27	nba uta mia 2026 02 09	Jazz	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2f353e…
02-09 04:22:59	btc updown 15m 1770610500	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x203b2b…
02-01 09:04:30	btc updown 15m 1769936400	Down	BUY	965	19¢	$183	0x93a78a…
02-01 08:47:30	btc updown 15m 1769935500	Up	SELL	592	31¢	$185	0xf89052…
02-01 08:46:38	btc updown 15m 1769935500	Up	BUY	597	26¢	$155	0xc8485b…
02-01 08:35:22	btc updown 15m 1769934600	Up	SELL	27	57¢	$15	0x6f1f8d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe9cb…d096	95	$587.2K	12,151	05-01 02:14
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	84	$52.3K	5,336	03-23 10:39
Dangerous-Literate 0xd31a…5f51	80	$776	304	05-20 02:31
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	79	$166.1K	16,235	04-04 08:33
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	79	$122.6K	13,983	04-12 02:23
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	78	$124.7K	8,205	03-23 10:39
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	78	$1.62K	341	04-04 08:44
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	77	$120.8K	10,020	03-23 10:37