Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$5,943
$152,799 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$872,312
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $956 | $956 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $256 | $724 | $468 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $956 | $956 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $19 | $19 |
| unranked | 25 | $255 | $705 | $450 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ideal-Flow 0xc7ee…fe5d | Yes | +11,364 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 05-05 16:32 |
| Amusing-Substitution 0x5c7a…1a97 | No | +766 | $750 | $1,162 | 3 | 05-05 18:33 |
| Woozy-String 0x8710…a8b9 | No | +288 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 05-04 21:39 |
| Tiny-Polyp 0x81b1…2f4c | Yes | +158 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 05:25 |
| Close-Purr 0x4fad…74d1 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-05 09:40 |
| Emotional-Painter 0x9da5…358e | No | +89 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-04 23:09 |
| Dull-Fact 0xfd17…8f28 | No | +75 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 05-05 18:21 |
| Even-Orchard 0x9b09…b3ad | No | +72 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-05 16:04 |
| Discrete-Sonar 0xe8f3…008f | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-05 20:34 |
| False-Airman 0xd651…bff1 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 10:25 |
| Half-Frost 0xf531…ba86 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-04 22:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b8c…be57 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 20:24 |
| Flat-Pelt 0xf006…bb6c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 18:44 |
| Quarrelsome-Provision 0xb7b5…ede7 | No | +7 | $7 | $32 | 5 | 05-05 21:54 |
| Polished-World 0xa432…5082 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 04:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:54:50 | Quarrelsome-Provision 0xb7b5…ede7 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1e22ea… |
| 05-05 21:54:26 | Quarrelsome-Provision 0xb7b5…ede7 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xa31e71… |
| 05-05 21:45:12 | Unfolded-Interpretation 0x3c9d…acf3 | No | SELL | 72 | 98¢ | $70 | 0x29f8f3… |
| 05-05 21:20:08 | Quarrelsome-Provision 0xb7b5…ede7 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xdcd2f0… |
| 05-05 20:34:52 | Discrete-Sonar 0xe8f3…008f | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x2e16d7… |
| 05-05 20:24:42 | (anonymous) 0x0b8c…be57 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x49a587… |
| 05-05 20:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x831a…d93d | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xc9edba… |
| 05-05 19:48:06 | Quarrelsome-Provision 0xb7b5…ede7 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd4090c… |
| 05-05 19:27:44 | (anonymous) 0x831a…d93d | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x112b49… |
| 05-05 18:44:00 | Flat-Pelt 0xf006…bb6c | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7a2b64… |
| 05-05 18:33:08 | Amusing-Substitution 0x5c7a…1a97 | No | SELL | 211 | 98¢ | $206 | 0xdeb090… |
| 05-05 18:28:02 | Oily-Confusion 0x60df…30da | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1d699a… |
| 05-05 18:24:46 | Amusing-Substitution 0x5c7a…1a97 | No | BUY | 488 | 98¢ | $478 | 0xb1fa5c… |
| 05-05 18:21:14 | Dull-Fact 0xfd17…8f28 | No | BUY | 75 | 98¢ | $73 | 0x89092e… |
| 05-05 18:18:02 | (anonymous) 0x4c5c…f81b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7190f2… |
| 05-05 18:14:14 | Amusing-Substitution 0x5c7a…1a97 | No | BUY | 489 | 98¢ | $479 | 0x05ed9a… |
| 05-05 17:52:52 | Quarrelsome-Provision 0xb7b5…ede7 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa463c9… |
| 05-05 17:39:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb99…401a | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9dd850… |
| 05-05 17:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb99…401a | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3723f6… |
| 05-05 16:32:28 | Ideal-Flow 0xc7ee…fe5d | Yes | BUY | 11,364 | 2¢ | $250 | 0x41a7db… |
| 05-05 16:04:48 | Even-Orchard 0x9b09…b3ad | No | BUY | 72 | 98¢ | $70 | 0x66d575… |
| 05-05 15:54:40 | (anonymous) 0xca27…8ad5 | No | SELL | 3,269 | 98¢ | $3,197 | 0x4a4195… |
| 05-05 15:54:40 | (anonymous) 0xca27…8ad5 | Yes | SELL | 3,269 | 2¢ | $69 | 0xe36893… |
| 05-05 10:45:22 | Constant-Deck 0xfe82…d27b | No | SELL | 91 | 98¢ | $89 | 0x9a8d89… |
| 05-05 10:31:12 | Flawless-Suffocation 0x5e53…941a | No | SELL | 72 | 98¢ | $70 | 0x080272… |
| 05-05 10:25:26 | False-Airman 0xd651…bff1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x770783… |
| 05-05 09:40:22 | Close-Purr 0x4fad…74d1 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xa973ce… |
| 05-05 05:40:50 | Muddy-Hobby 0x8295…f68b | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed749b… |
| 05-05 05:25:12 | Tiny-Polyp 0x81b1…2f4c | Yes | BUY | 158 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x355c23… |
| 05-05 04:45:02 | Polished-World 0xa432…5082 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xedce91… |
| 05-05 03:55:28 | Rundown-Rage 0x0ccb…bd45 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x76b4aa… |
| 05-05 03:50:04 | Noisy-Stitch 0x9884…3aa9 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xb7b294… |
| 05-05 02:19:38 | Hard-To-Find-Signet 0xfcae…554b | No | SELL | 88 | 98¢ | $86 | 0x9b8eda… |
| 05-04 23:14:46 | Forked-Ticket 0x7a61…9145 | No | SELL | 67 | 98¢ | $65 | 0x0dd5ba… |
| 05-04 23:09:46 | Emotional-Painter 0x9da5…358e | No | BUY | 89 | 98¢ | $87 | 0x656471… |
| 05-04 22:49:42 | Half-Frost 0xf531…ba86 | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x5d3140… |
| 05-04 21:39:30 | Woozy-String 0x8710…a8b9 | No | BUY | 288 | 98¢ | $282 | 0x3cd426… |
| 05-04 20:02:24 | Striking-Substitution 0xa1a1…0845 | No | SELL | 62 | 98¢ | $61 | 0x814970… |