Oily-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,933

lifetime

Volume

$57.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-05 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 100% +$8

Other

3% 0% $-10

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771256400	74	$762	776	400	+376	open	—	02-16 15:45
btc updown 5m 1771256100	60	$703	654	402	+252	open	—	02-16 15:40
btc updown 15m 1771254900	57	$579	541	327	+214	open	—	02-16 15:30
btc updown 15m 1770512400	9	$545	642	247	+396	open	—	02-08 01:13
btc updown 5m 1771256700	76	$536	643	272	+371	open	—	02-16 15:50
btc updown 15m 1771182900	57	$504	555	255	+300	open	—	02-15 19:28
btc updown 15m 1771250400	66	$498	525	252	+273	open	—	02-16 14:15
btc updown 15m 1771251300	57	$496	475	298	+177	open	—	02-16 14:29
btc updown 15m 1771247700	50	$496	471	281	+190	open	—	02-16 13:29
btc updown 15m 1771248600	32	$458	487	231	+256	open	—	02-16 13:43
btc updown 15m 1771246800	59	$455	446	283	+163	open	—	02-16 13:13
btc updown 5m 1771252500	54	$430	446	223	+223	open	—	02-16 14:39
btc updown 15m 1771253100	34	$429	330	280	+50	open	—	02-16 14:59
btc updown 15m 1770510600	10	$416	550	300	+250	open	—	02-08 00:42
btc updown 15m 1771249500	37	$408	401	224	+177	open	—	02-16 14:00
btc updown 15m 1771192800	53	$392	390	210	+180	open	—	02-15 22:14
btc updown 15m 1771193700	57	$373	446	180	+266	open	—	02-15 22:28
btc updown 15m 1771182000	52	$370	322	218	+104	open	—	02-15 19:13
btc updown 15m 1771185600	46	$368	360	195	+165	open	—	02-15 20:14
btc updown 15m 1771184700	50	$368	435	180	+255	open	—	02-15 19:59
btc updown 5m 1771247700	32	$367	340	214	+126	open	—	02-16 13:19
btc updown 15m 1770501600	10	$366	553	539	+14	open	—	02-07 22:15
btc updown 15m 1771180200	60	$357	381	180	+201	open	—	02-15 18:42
btc updown 15m 1771194600	35	$355	372	178	+193	open	—	02-15 22:45
btc updown 15m 1771190100	36	$334	360	150	+210	open	—	02-15 21:30
btc updown 5m 1771247100	60	$332	365	171	+194	open	—	02-16 13:08
btc updown 15m 1768666500	5	$320	270	267	+3	open	—	01-17 16:25
btc updown 15m 1771281900	24	$304	289	172	+117	open	—	02-16 23:00
btc updown 5m 1771250400	35	$303	314	157	+157	open	—	02-16 14:06
btc updown 15m 1770511500	18	$298	789	507	+282	open	—	02-08 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:35:10	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x1efcaa…
05-05 18:34:10	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3b87cc…
05-05 18:29:46	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x776ff2…
05-05 18:25:22	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x60a4aa…
05-05 18:23:34	Will "Epstein" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0x6569eb…
05-05 12:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xce0d94…
05-05 12:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2d2777…
05-05 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x45e7d0…
05-05 12:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x19f843…
05-04 14:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9b6c17…
05-03 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x3f0d38…
05-03 21:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd98ef8…
05-03 21:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x92c989…
05-02 17:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xa6e133…
05-02 17:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x57a759…
05-02 17:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x4284ea…
05-02 17:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c29ea…
05-01 03:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe94759…
04-28 04:01:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x44540d…
04-28 02:27:00	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x9299c5…
04-28 02:19:26	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x8b4b4e…
04-28 01:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5fe3d1…
04-28 01:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x91654a…
04-28 01:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x81ef50…
04-28 01:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe91120…
04-28 01:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x59dc67…
04-28 01:23:50	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbac967…
04-27 15:20:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x640132…
04-27 11:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x1f9897…
04-27 11:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x9b19f0…
04-27 08:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x4acd0d…
04-27 08:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x057d7e…
04-27 06:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6a266d…
04-27 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf5e302…
04-27 06:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xee8029…
04-27 06:38:16	Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0xa45aab…
04-27 05:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb88fd9…
04-27 05:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x646246…
04-27 05:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x9eaa68…
04-27 05:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x680ba7…
04-27 05:34:14	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x5bb560…
04-27 05:31:32	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x1c27db…
04-27 05:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x6a6930…
04-27 05:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x2ac82f…
04-27 05:23:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xee0f33…
04-27 05:21:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x02eb84…
04-27 05:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xaf3f5b…
04-27 05:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x137052…
04-27 05:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x6319df…
04-27 05:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xcedcc0…
04-27 05:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x5ce23d…
04-27 05:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x39ddcd…
04-27 05:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x4df126…
04-27 05:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x700382…
04-27 05:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x5b1199…
04-27 05:02:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x881b90…
04-27 05:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x5cabec…
04-27 04:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x332c1b…
04-27 04:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa77321…
04-27 04:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xcb9cc5…
04-27 04:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8620d6…
04-27 04:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xd01849…
04-27 04:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe96eea…
04-27 04:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xf8bf46…
04-27 04:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8e567e…
04-27 04:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf4ea1d…
04-27 04:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xacdf42…
04-27 04:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x2a8c7f…
04-27 03:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x048930…
04-27 03:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x839d65…
04-27 03:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1584de…
04-27 03:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x94512b…
04-27 03:36:06	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x94a2f7…
04-27 03:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x227c80…
04-27 03:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x73e838…
04-27 03:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x48297b…
04-27 03:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x05a6ed…
04-27 03:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$4	0xa38aed…
04-27 03:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x138f22…
04-27 03:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xac2d6c…
04-27 03:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x68ff78…
04-27 03:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x3070c1…
04-27 03:07:32	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x0237f4…
04-27 02:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb7044f…
04-27 02:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x35fa4d…
04-27 02:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xfd5473…
04-27 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa346aa…
04-27 02:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x48bad5…
04-27 02:35:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xac1574…
04-27 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xb5c594…
04-27 02:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x33a5fd…
04-27 02:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x43c294…
04-27 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0x5beb9e…
04-27 02:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x205089…
04-27 02:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xbd148a…
04-27 02:18:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x0afc53…
04-27 02:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb69d66…
04-27 02:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x48558a…
04-27 02:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xbe1710…
04-27 02:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc4d7f6…