Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$177,660

Trades

25,298

Unique wallets

1,736

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-16

First seen

2026-02-15

last 02-16 15:33

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Discrete-Meatloaf +3,717 Rubbery-Chiffonier +2,900 (anon) +2,887 (anon) +2,623 (anon) +2,592 (anon) +2,307 (anon) +2,300 (anon) +2,255

NO holders

(anon) +12,506 Discrete-Meatloaf +5,042 Same-Occupation +4,591 (anon) +3,289 (anon) +3,257 (anon) +2,705 (anon) +2,578 (anon) +2,550

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -1.2¢ (top1%: 38% YES on $78.7K vs crowd: 39% YES on $152.9K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	143	$34.2K	$60.0K	$25.8K
🐬 Dolphin	341	$15.4K	$20.8K	$5.4K
🐟 Fish	687	$7.4K	$9.4K	$2.0K
🦐 Shrimp	565	$2.6K	$3.2K	$634

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	148	$29.7K	$49.0K	$19.2K
🏆 Top 5%	213	$3.9K	$7.2K	$3.3K
✅ Top 10%	123	$919	$1.1K	$137
Median	118	$398	$659	$262
Below median	527	$2.7K	$3.9K	$1.3K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	276	$2.8K	$5.6K	$2.8K
🔻 Bottom 5%	258	$9.1K	$12.2K	$3.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	73	$10.0K	$13.8K	$3.7K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Down	+12,506	$12,339	$12,339	2	02-16 15:29
Discrete-Meatloaf 0xa073…a3ba	Down	+5,042	$2,435	$2,435	475	02-16 15:27
Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827	Down	+4,591	$4,545	$4,545	67	02-16 15:32
Discrete-Meatloaf 0xa073…a3ba	Up	+3,717	$1,746	$1,746	398	02-16 15:27
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+3,289	$1,613	$3,278	245	02-16 15:28
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+3,257	$1,812	$2,899	142	02-16 15:26
Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964	Up	+2,900	$36	$36	3	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+2,887	$1,383	$1,383	215	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x7319…72d5	Down	+2,705	$1,262	$1,384	592	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x7319…72d5	Up	+2,623	$1,357	$1,498	521	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x8e9c…ed64	Up	+2,592	$1,246	$1,246	40	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+2,578	$1,335	$1,335	153	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x8e9c…ed64	Down	+2,550	$1,283	$1,283	50	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+2,396	$1,302	$1,302	66	02-16 15:27
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+2,307	$1,160	$3,172	366	02-16 15:28
(anonymous) 0x9871…36eb	Up	+2,300	$1,201	$1,201	26	02-16 15:15
(anonymous) 0xb2c2…32bc	Up	+2,255	$1,194	$1,194	125	02-16 15:26
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+2,231	$1,148	$1,148	242	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Down	+2,225	$1,052	$1,052	14	02-16 15:28
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Up	+2,225	$1,163	$1,163	14	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x81ef…f719	Up	+2,052	$198	$198	44	02-16 15:30
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+1,944	$918	$918	258	02-16 15:29
Honored-Dolman 0x054b…afd5	Up	+1,926	$1,101	$1,101	1	02-16 15:16
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Up	+1,813	$895	$1,081	284	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+1,784	$1,110	$2,250	117	02-16 15:26
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Up	+1,767	$912	$912	52	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x0fe5…f6cf	Down	+1,728	$758	$758	315	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x6c44…3ae5	Up	+1,716	$846	$846	60	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Up	+1,709	$687	$687	89	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xf542…88e6	Up	+1,703	$914	$914	178	02-16 15:28
(anonymous) 0xf542…88e6	Down	+1,696	$831	$831	194	02-16 15:28
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Down	+1,660	$931	$931	94	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x6c44…3ae5	Down	+1,650	$798	$798	38	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x7ddc…4127	Up	+1,600	$825	$825	15	02-16 15:15
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+1,579	$849	$1,183	275	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x0fe5…f6cf	Up	+1,451	$759	$759	317	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Up	+1,438	$665	$665	122	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Down	+1,425	$773	$773	92	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	Down	+1,406	$805	$805	64	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	Up	+1,400	$18	$18	11	02-16 15:29
Rundown-Brilliant 0xaf8b…15f1	Up	+1,335	$17	$17	5	02-16 15:29
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	Up	+1,300	$17	$17	15	02-16 15:29
Bite-Sized-Clerk 0x39fd…849e	Up	+1,298	$597	$597	1	02-16 15:27
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	Up	+1,291	$606	$606	32	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xc320…d764	Up	+1,261	$568	$568	91	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Down	+1,237	$585	$585	143	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Down	+1,237	$580	$580	201	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xd37e…773a	Up	+1,236	$16	$16	10	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Down	+1,234	$620	$620	26	02-16 15:28
(anonymous) 0xc320…d764	Down	+1,230	$569	$569	78	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Up	+1,192	$589	$589	120	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	Down	+1,178	$570	$570	260	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Up	+1,174	$575	$575	118	02-16 15:28
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	Down	+1,057	$570	$570	40	02-16 15:29
Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44	Down	+1,010	$1,000	$1,000	1	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x420b…3e0a	Down	+1,000	$980	$980	1	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Down	+1,000	$990	$990	1	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x9a91…26ae	Down	+999	$989	$989	1	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Down	+978	$476	$476	95	02-16 15:29
(anonymous) 0x1355…9fda	Down	+959	$435	$435	64	02-16 15:26