Knowledgeable-Socialism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

3,471

Trades

16,439

lifetime

Volume

$5.90M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$359

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-21 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 94% +$56,300

Other

4% 69% -$791

Politics

1% 62% +$66

Sports

0% 100% +$175

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No		+11	$11	99¢	$11	$0	10-27 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	963	$347.6K	982,426	960,502	+21,924	Up	-$7,922	02-02 16:32
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-13 13:00 UTC	35	$153.4K	95,104	88,800	+6,304	Up	+$1,079	02-13 16:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-17 09:00 UTC	61	$153.3K	93,860	83,361	+10,499	Down	+$3,986	02-17 12:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 17:00 UTC	47	$144.1K	96,271	93,662	+2,609	Up	+$5,704	02-16 20:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-17 13:00 UTC	51	$137.3K	105,218	98,218	+7,000	Down	+$2,174	02-17 16:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-08 13:00 UTC	94	$136.5K	150,191	150,191	+0	Down	+$8,601	02-08 16:08
bitcoin up or down on february 4	368	$110.1K	92,116	78,509	+13,606	Down	+$11,176	02-04 13:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-08 01:00 UTC	96	$87.5K	82,311	82,311	+0	Up	+$5,182	02-08 04:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-15 09:00 UTC	37	$84.7K	79,437	79,385	+52	Down	+$3,934	02-15 12:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 13:00 UTC	11	$82.8K	43,632	43,632	+0	Down	+$1,088	02-16 15:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-17 17:00 UTC	53	$71.2K	61,422	61,422	+0	Up	+$1,681	02-17 19:18
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-13 17:00 UTC	49	$66.5K	73,880	73,880	+0	Down	+$898	02-13 19:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-14 09:00 UTC	24	$61.3K	52,238	52,238	+0	Down	+$2,590	02-14 10:43
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC	44	$59.8K	33,365	31,805	+1,560	Down	+$1,169	03-22 19:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 16:00 UTC	35	$55.0K	36,386	36,386	+0	Down	+$4,250	04-14 19:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 17:00 UTC	42	$54.6K	69,005	69,005	+0	Up	+$1,933	02-09 19:46
bitcoin up or down on january 15	79	$52.8K	54,365	49,450	+4,915	Down	+$54,198	01-14 17:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-02 21:00 UTC	36	$52.6K	34,270	34,270	+0	Down	+$837	03-03 00:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-15 13:00 UTC	34	$52.6K	58,291	67,799	-9,508	Down	-$1,965	02-15 14:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-24 21:00 UTC	13	$51.2K	29,550	29,550	+0	Down	+$1,259	02-24 23:47
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-20 09:00 UTC	48	$50.3K	27,023	26,721	+302	Down	+$800	02-20 12:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-16 21:00 UTC	34	$46.5K	33,866	33,866	+0	Up	+$1,680	02-16 23:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 16:00 UTC	65	$46.3K	36,398	34,175	+2,223	Down	+$2,877	03-28 19:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-03 13:00 UTC	58	$39.8K	36,431	36,431	+0	Up	+$1,726	03-03 15:20
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-22 20:00 UTC	76	$37.9K	32,140	31,847	+294	Down	+$2,819	03-23 00:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-03 01:00 UTC	52	$37.3K	28,065	28,065	+0	Down	+$826	03-03 02:43
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 12:00 UTC	16	$36.3K	19,089	19,089	+0	Up	+$1,599	04-14 15:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC	71	$35.6K	28,623	26,829	+1,794	Down	+$659	02-21 20:33
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-25 08:00 UTC	18	$35.1K	19,529	19,376	+153	Up	+$1,401	03-25 11:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-14 13:00 UTC	19	$35.1K	31,851	31,851	+0	Up	+$2,139	02-14 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:25:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9b1a3b…
09-21 02:12:14	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,684	99¢	$2,650	0xbe4e9a…
09-21 02:11:56	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,145	99¢	$2,117	0x551ae6…
09-20 20:04:34	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,094	99¢	$2,071	0x6663a0…
09-20 19:15:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,094	96¢	$2,006	0xa88358…
09-20 18:42:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,211	94¢	$2,078	0x4d6756…
09-20 17:17:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb33c76…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	79	91¢	$72	0xe1f1c3…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd51844…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	133	91¢	$121	0xa1a3fc…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x9b6e31…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	205	91¢	$187	0x754019…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x68425e…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x54870c…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	250	91¢	$227	0x4b1ffa…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4601cb…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x253e34…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	294	91¢	$268	0x18d1b7…
09-20 15:35:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x0da969…
09-20 15:35:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x5d9aa6…
09-20 15:35:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x153529…
09-20 15:35:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x398456…
09-20 15:35:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x123650…
09-20 15:34:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd5eb9a…
09-20 15:34:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	146	91¢	$132	0x07ad13…
09-20 15:24:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,400	91¢	$2,184	0x65ad74…
09-20 13:31:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,814	88¢	$1,597	0xf2d750…
09-20 13:31:55	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0xe06f2c…
09-20 13:31:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x81a3e5…
09-20 13:31:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	183	88¢	$161	0x9d202b…
09-20 12:20:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	129	85¢	$110	0x9781e4…
09-20 12:17:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,655	82¢	$1,357	0xea454f…
09-20 12:16:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x2b5067…
09-20 12:15:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	317	82¢	$260	0xde2cd4…
09-20 12:14:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	139	82¢	$114	0xed456b…
09-20 12:13:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	383	82¢	$314	0x82ab24…
09-20 12:12:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,300	82¢	$1,066	0x3dc0f3…
09-20 12:11:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x86f9d4…
08-04 19:53:32	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x896b16…
07-22 17:12:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2,728	100¢	$2,723	0xd5d682…
07-20 00:15:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	570	99¢	$566	0x62488f…
07-20 00:03:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,050	98¢	$1,028	0x766fb7…
07-19 23:58:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x27e57d…
07-19 23:58:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,099	98¢	$1,076	0x50b3b9…
07-19 19:20:22	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x8f3de0…
07-15 20:56:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,388	95¢	$1,319	0x005ef6…
07-15 20:54:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xaefc9f…
07-15 20:54:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,631	96¢	$1,565	0x5ff5f9…
07-15 20:54:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,359	96¢	$1,305	0xde4bad…
07-15 20:54:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	404	96¢	$386	0xe7f569…
07-15 20:54:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	378	95¢	$360	0x3405bc…
07-15 12:59:17	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	SELL	1,041	90¢	$934	0x7427c9…
07-15 12:58:59	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	SELL	2,509	90¢	$2,266	0xad79a8…
07-15 12:58:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xce21cf…
07-14 20:35:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	500	91¢	$454	0xb81fad…
07-14 20:34:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x78fc5b…
07-14 15:58:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	200	88¢	$177	0x3575b0…
07-14 15:57:37	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	490	89¢	$435	0x7e160e…
07-14 15:56:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	2,436	100¢	$2,434	0xb62bf3…
07-14 15:54:05	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	905	89¢	$804	0x8926ed…
07-14 15:53:13	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$885	0x415c9d…
07-14 15:52:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	965	87¢	$840	0x684767…
07-14 15:39:50	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x50991e…
07-14 15:39:40	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6e60ed…
07-13 19:24:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	56	51¢	$28	0xfd8c88…
07-13 19:24:28	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x987c8b…
07-13 19:24:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xd33cf7…
07-13 19:24:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	541	94¢	$511	0x726cae…
07-13 19:23:35	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9f8a49…
07-13 19:23:32	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	995	51¢	$507	0x1d2f72…
07-13 19:20:31	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	70	53¢	$37	0x0708b7…
07-13 19:18:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x3a4ce2…
07-13 18:44:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	499	95¢	$473	0xd2a7d1…
07-13 18:43:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	240	94¢	$226	0x84b753…
07-13 18:42:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,138	51¢	$580	0x26c31b…
07-13 18:42:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5fb9aa…
07-13 18:40:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3bb019…
07-13 18:39:17	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	250	94¢	$236	0x0b974b…
07-13 18:37:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xb99124…
07-13 18:37:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	501	95¢	$474	0xdc8274…
07-13 18:36:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	283	94¢	$267	0x8797c4…
07-13 18:35:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc24437…
07-13 18:35:08	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,185	94¢	$1,113	0x370d7c…
07-13 14:04:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	350	80¢	$281	0x7526aa…
07-13 13:59:37	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	247	76¢	$187	0x0a1da3…
07-13 11:27:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,100	95¢	$1,041	0x8a90cb…
07-13 11:27:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7da03f…
07-13 11:26:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0x34b6f7…
07-12 16:48:19	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x4a486b…
07-12 16:19:59	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xda5af0…
07-12 16:19:16	Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd3527f…
07-12 15:53:43	Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	SELL	2,556	100¢	$2,553	0xdccaf1…
07-12 13:23:11	Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x4ca8de…
07-12 13:23:10	Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	286	96¢	$275	0x74a603…
07-12 13:22:40	Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	1,850	97¢	$1,800	0xc1abde…
07-12 13:22:04	Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	1,800	95¢	$1,710	0xa9fcb6…
07-12 12:54:59	Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	575	97¢	$559	0x4258c8…
07-12 12:54:55	Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0x8bbf8d…
07-12 12:52:26	Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	305	97¢	$296	0x349b3b…
07-12 12:51:31	Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-12?	Yes	BUY	1,556	97¢	$1,516	0x35fe02…