Realized P&L
-$30.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$453
Hit rate
73.4%
Resolved
17,676
Trades
332,571
lifetime
Volume
$3.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.83K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 00:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Crypto
77% 73% -$34,759
Other
22% 79% +$1,826
Sports
0% 90% +$2,383
Politics
0% 82% +$270
Tech
0% 67% -$45
Pop-Culture
0% 85% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -617 -$477 96¢ $-593 -$115 07-09 16:12
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -407 -$205 100¢ $-407 -$201 06-06 08:55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -359 -$243 97¢ $-348 -$105 05-31 06:02
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -166 -$101 91¢ $-151 -$50 08-11 16:00
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -150 -$100 84¢ $-125 -$25 08-11 15:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -167 -$87 68¢ $-114 -$27 11-01 00:41
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -66 -$55 100¢ $-66 -$11 08-11 16:01
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes -169 -$21 12¢ $-20 +$1 08-11 15:59
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes -133 -$25 6¢ $-7 +$18 08-11 15:59
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -213 -$38 1¢ $-1 +$37 05-31 06:02
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -428 -$5 0¢ $-1 +$4 05-31 06:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -166 -$12 0¢ $-0 +$11 05-31 06:02
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -240 -$7 0¢ $-0 +$7 05-31 06:02
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -214 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-31 06:03
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -156 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-31 06:03
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -20 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$2 08-11 16:01