Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$296,932
$1,687 in 24h
Trades
3,418
Unique wallets
654
Liquidity
$10,188
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-08-02
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 21:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.6¢
(top1%: 98% YES on $51.0K
vs crowd: 96% YES on $237.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 40 | $166.5K | $1.8K | +$164.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 84 | $41.3K | $2.6K | +$38.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 126 | $17.2K | $1.3K | +$15.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 404 | $4.0K | $2.7K | +$1.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 24 | $50.0K | $972 | +$49.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 42 | $98.3K | $1.3K | +$96.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 36 | $5.0K | $299 | +$4.7K |
| Median | 54 | $12.0K | $178 | +$11.8K |
| Below median | 111 | $1.1K | $949 | +$178 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 29 | $105 | $574 | $468 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 37 | $19.2K | $942 | +$18.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $10.5K | $690 | +$9.8K |
| unranked | 308 | $32.9K | $2.5K | +$30.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | Yes | +89,475 | $88,711 | $88,711 | 107 | 06-15 07:11 |
| United-Field 0x5f17…519e | Yes | +29,533 | $28,491 | $28,491 | 8 | 06-08 06:37 |
| Incomparable-Surprise 0x0482…6b0a | No | +20,565 | $390 | $390 | 3 | 06-14 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6f3…cf8e | No | +16,923 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 06-13 07:42 |
| Unsteady-Quinoa 0x3328…e6b8 | Yes | +15,000 | $14,577 | $14,577 | 1 | 06-02 18:46 |
| Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | No | +11,847 | $240 | $804 | 34 | 06-10 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x454e…62b9 | Yes | +11,747 | $11,590 | $11,590 | 17 | 06-14 21:11 |
| Somber-Merit 0x10e1…aa05 | No | +10,000 | $108 | $155 | 5 | 06-09 22:46 |
| Relieved-Framework-Restructuring 0xf295…9646 | No | +8,912 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-15 07:51 |
| Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | +7,676 | $49 | $49 | 9 | 06-15 20:39 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | +7,300 | $7,233 | $7,233 | 13 | 06-15 20:10 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | +4,736 | $4,514 | $4,514 | 5 | 06-08 02:15 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +4,305 | $79 | $165 | 58 | 06-15 20:39 |
| Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | +4,258 | $58 | $58 | 7 | 06-11 20:14 |
| Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | +3,697 | $3,584 | $3,584 | 9 | 06-08 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xda37…fa9e | No | +3,685 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-08 18:40 |
| Profuse-Swine-Design 0x97cb…c910 | No | +3,659 | $94 | $304 | 7 | 06-09 22:46 |
| Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | +3,518 | $-10 | $51 | 136 | 06-15 20:10 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | Yes | +3,328 | $3,265 | $3,265 | 6 | 06-11 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1955…b54c | Yes | +3,273 | $3,175 | $3,175 | 6 | 06-02 12:33 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +3,128 | $86 | $779 | 90 | 06-12 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0bc…0d48 | No | +2,701 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2b…44b2 | No | +2,664 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-07 06:42 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +2,601 | $101 | $138 | 21 | 06-13 18:13 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +2,442 | $143 | $143 | 17 | 06-01 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2065…66de | No | +2,428 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 06-10 10:07 |
| Clear-Monster 0x3241…2cc5 | No | +2,234 | $175 | $175 | 3 | 06-01 02:28 |
| Hollow-Ingredient 0x3b51…e49e | No | +2,105 | $54 | $54 | 14 | 06-11 16:22 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | +2,061 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-07 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x99d1…d5c1 | No | +2,000 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-06 17:17 |
| Damaged-Bacon 0xf49c…9786 | No | +2,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-01 08:03 |
| Even-Hide 0x8930…9ac8 | No | +1,878 | $84 | $84 | 12 | 06-10 16:10 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | +1,877 | $1,861 | $1,861 | 9 | 06-14 16:11 |
| Unwritten-Quiet 0x4baf…5fdf | Yes | +1,772 | $1,759 | $1,759 | 4 | 06-14 01:10 |
| Offbeat-Android 0x39a0…e241 | No | +1,654 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 17:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x78d2…b978 | No | +1,548 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-09 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbd4…0c2b | No | +1,520 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 20:09 |
| Dry-Chromolithograph 0xb1fe…423a | No | +1,500 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 06-08 11:01 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | +1,490 | $-1 | $10 | 16 | 06-15 20:52 |
| Equatorial-Textual 0x54a7…881b | Yes | +1,473 | $1,214 | $16,443 | 49 | 06-14 02:29 |
| Tart-Fringe 0x03f7…c0cc | No | +1,375 | $25 | $29 | 6 | 06-12 18:17 |
| Astonishing-Foreigner 0x45b7…2ddc | No | +1,316 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 19:09 |
| Mountainous-Bob 0xc011…0a62 | Yes | +1,201 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 2 | 06-15 18:22 |
| Sad-Molasses 0x62bc…5053 | Yes | +1,024 | $963 | $963 | 4 | 06-08 05:37 |
| Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | +1,012 | $947 | $947 | 2 | 06-08 10:20 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +812 | $797 | $797 | 17 | 06-12 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x45d3…eda0 | Yes | +804 | $784 | $823 | 24 | 06-15 07:51 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | +750 | $720 | $1,206 | 4 | 06-05 20:31 |
| Untidy-Examination 0xfb48…6ad1 | Yes | +718 | $686 | $686 | 8 | 06-11 00:21 |
| Noxious-Success 0x8dd8…9a1c | Yes | +705 | $671 | $671 | 23 | 06-08 02:15 |
| Fat-Matrix 0x5869…071d | Yes | +610 | $556 | $556 | 2 | 06-01 13:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +520 | $497 | $497 | 23 | 06-12 06:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 21:17:27 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 995 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x85d01b… |
| 06-15 21:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x5e83…3bb7 | No | BUY | 995 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x85d01b… |
| 06-15 20:52:57 | (anonymous) 0x59f6…64ee | No | SELL | 169 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a71d5… |
| 06-15 20:52:57 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 169 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a71d5… |
| 06-15 20:48:42 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6db447… |
| 06-15 20:48:42 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 583 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6db447… |
| 06-15 20:48:42 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 402 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6db447… |
| 06-15 20:48:42 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6db447… |
| 06-15 20:48:42 | Worldly-Parsley 0xcacc…2eac | No | SELL | 1,041 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6db447… |
| 06-15 20:47:34 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c0e28… |
| 06-15 20:47:34 | Worldly-Parsley 0xcacc…2eac | No | SELL | 808 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8b424a… |
| 06-15 20:47:34 | Worldly-Parsley 0xcacc…2eac | No | SELL | 255 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c0e28… |
| 06-15 20:47:34 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 598 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8b424a… |
| 06-15 20:47:34 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8b424a… |
| 06-15 20:47:34 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9c0e28… |
| 06-15 20:39:03 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd811c2… |
| 06-15 20:39:03 | Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd811c2… |
| 06-15 20:37:28 | Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x55bbb4… |
| 06-15 20:37:28 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x55bbb4… |
| 06-15 20:30:13 | Breakable-Socks 0x5ed3…fcf8 | No | SELL | 1,994 | 1¢ | $20 | 0x01bd42… |
| 06-15 20:30:13 | Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | BUY | 294 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x01bd42… |
| 06-15 20:21:31 | Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa7f38d… |
| 06-15 20:21:31 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa7f38d… |
| 06-15 20:18:49 | Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc7d194… |
| 06-15 20:18:49 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc7d194… |
| 06-15 20:10:22 | Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2fff58… |
| 06-15 20:10:22 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 99¢ | $81 | 0x2fff58… |
| 06-15 20:10:10 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $499 | 0x14daea… |
| 06-15 20:10:10 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 2,590 | 99¢ | $2,575 | 0x14daea… |
| 06-15 20:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14daea… |
| 06-15 20:10:10 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14daea… |
| 06-15 20:10:10 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 840 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x14daea… |
| 06-15 20:10:10 | Querulous-Contractor 0xf021…e900 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $23 | 0x14daea… |
| 06-15 20:10:10 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14daea… |
| 06-15 19:57:33 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2ff1a… |
| 06-15 19:57:33 | (anonymous) 0x56d9…2ef0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd2ff1a… |
| 06-15 19:22:00 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b33e9… |
| 06-15 19:22:00 | Mundane-Zebrafish 0x6cc6…d66a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5b33e9… |
| 06-15 19:00:49 | Poised-Barn 0x792d…af4d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x635846… |
| 06-15 19:00:49 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x635846… |
| 06-15 18:22:00 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 901 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd845b7… |
| 06-15 18:22:00 | Mountainous-Bob 0xc011…0a62 | Yes | BUY | 901 | 100¢ | $900 | 0xd845b7… |
| 06-15 18:01:42 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x628444… |
| 06-15 18:01:42 | Mountainous-Bob 0xc011…0a62 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x628444… |
| 06-15 18:01:42 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | BUY | 229 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x628444… |
| 06-15 17:06:36 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x397a4b… |
| 06-15 17:06:36 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | No | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x397a4b… |
| 06-15 16:19:07 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | BUY | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedb3c0… |
| 06-15 16:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | No | SELL | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedb3c0… |
| 06-15 14:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x0898…53b3 | No | BUY | 344 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1ec100… |
| 06-15 14:11:39 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 328 | 99¢ | $326 | 0x1ec100… |
| 06-15 14:11:39 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ec100… |
| 06-15 14:03:34 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | Yes | SELL | 584 | 100¢ | $583 | 0x4472bf… |
| 06-15 14:03:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 448 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4472bf… |
| 06-15 14:03:34 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 136 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4472bf… |
| 06-15 12:50:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 153 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa36aab… |
| 06-15 12:50:52 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 153 | 100¢ | $153 | 0xa36aab… |
| 06-15 12:36:21 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414e27… |
| 06-15 12:36:21 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414e27… |
| 06-15 12:32:21 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4ac71f… |
| 06-15 12:32:21 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ac71f… |
| 06-15 12:32:21 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | Yes | SELL | 549 | 100¢ | $547 | 0x4ac71f… |
| 06-15 12:32:21 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ac71f… |
| 06-15 12:32:21 | (anonymous) 0x0ee5…6c2e | No | SELL | 2,424 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x4ac71f… |
| 06-15 12:32:21 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 847 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4ac71f… |
| 06-15 11:47:06 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x90bdb0… |
| 06-15 11:47:06 | Euphoric-Outrigger 0x57bf…2e88 | No | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90bdb0… |
| 06-15 07:51:15 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb522e8… |
| 06-15 07:51:15 | Relieved-Framework-Restructuring 0xf295…9646 | No | BUY | 3,077 | 0¢ | $10 | 0xb522e8… |
| 06-15 07:51:15 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb522e8… |
| 06-15 07:51:15 | (anonymous) 0x45d3…eda0 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $156 | 0xb522e8… |
| 06-15 07:51:15 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 900 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xb522e8… |
| 06-15 07:51:15 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb522e8… |
| 06-15 07:11:21 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdf5299… |
| 06-15 07:11:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 1,111 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdf5299… |
| 06-15 07:11:21 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 4,942 | 100¢ | $4,937 | 0xdf5299… |
| 06-15 07:11:21 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | Yes | BUY | 8,053 | 100¢ | $8,044 | 0xdf5299… |
| 06-15 07:11:21 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdf5299… |
| 06-15 06:47:18 | Adolescent-Guilty 0xa84f…bc44 | No | SELL | 6,335 | 0¢ | $6 | 0x5e1b0a… |
| 06-15 06:47:18 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 6,335 | 100¢ | $6,329 | 0x5e1b0a… |
| 06-15 06:19:18 | (anonymous) 0xc5c1…0e00 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc9eb5e… |
| 06-15 06:19:18 | (anonymous) 0x8741…5b0a | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc9eb5e… |
| 06-15 06:03:28 | Lasting-Permafrost 0xa2d2…36b6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x94ea1d… |
| 06-15 06:03:28 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94ea1d… |
| 06-15 06:03:24 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11b4c0… |
| 06-15 06:03:24 | Quixotic-Average 0xbbef…9838 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x11b4c0… |
| 06-15 06:03:00 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4792e8… |
| 06-15 06:03:00 | Masculine-Fledgling 0xa4e3…4c6f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4792e8… |
| 06-15 06:00:46 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69089c… |
| 06-15 06:00:46 | Watery-Whale 0x71ba…07a1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x69089c… |
| 06-15 05:58:55 | Rowdy-Novel 0xb2b9…86b4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x92c444… |
| 06-15 05:58:55 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x92c444… |
| 06-15 05:58:30 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb92ea7… |
| 06-15 05:58:30 | Wavy-Barracks 0xadd4…51da | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb92ea7… |
| 06-15 05:58:12 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaaa711… |
| 06-15 05:58:12 | Shimmering-Mare 0x2ae7…2419 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaaa711… |
| 06-15 05:56:39 | Unfolded-Meme 0x7b05…9f01 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x37d5e9… |
| 06-15 05:56:39 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37d5e9… |
| 06-15 05:52:36 | Lasting-Permafrost 0xa2d2…36b6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x35dc9f… |
| 06-15 05:52:36 | Grizzled-Clavier 0x44f3…975c | No | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35dc9f… |