Equatorial-Textual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

33,559

lifetime

Volume

$14.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$418

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

56% 70% $-2,015

Other

39% 100% +$433

Crypto

4% 100% +$75

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	481	$269.6K	156,813	165,366	-8,552	open	—	04-27 10:42
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	442	$245.9K	143,169	145,554	-2,384	open	—	04-01 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	237	$148.7K	89,493	94,253	-4,760	open	—	08-07 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	221	$136.4K	77,850	78,119	-269	open	—	07-04 14:33
iran leadership change by march 31	369	$135.5K	77,668	79,984	-2,315	open	—	03-31 07:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	127	$133.6K	73,088	76,294	-3,205	open	—	03-03 00:41
will the us invade iran by march 31	191	$132.8K	77,173	70,275	+6,898	open	—	03-31 16:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	95	$131.8K	70,436	70,436	+0	open	—	08-08 21:16
Iran leadership change by May 31?	242	$129.4K	71,181	72,395	-1,214	open	—	05-24 04:03
Iran leadership change by April 30?	186	$125.7K	67,853	69,043	-1,190	open	—	04-30 07:49
netanyahu out by march 31 854	124	$115.6K	66,218	55,593	+10,625	open	—	03-17 16:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	185	$111.1K	63,489	58,674	+4,815	open	—	03-12 16:49
Will the US strike Iran next?	48	$106.3K	68,126	38,580	+29,546	open	—	02-04 22:35
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	158	$104.1K	55,949	55,671	+278	open	—	03-03 20:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	188	$102.7K	62,553	60,863	+1,690	open	—	05-20 14:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	112	$100.6K	51,539	52,098	-560	open	—	05-10 21:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	239	$99.2K	56,051	56,051	+0	open	—	07-25 18:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	200	$98.8K	56,762	56,208	+554	open	—	05-24 17:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	91	$94.3K	51,453	51,453	+0	open	—	08-08 06:03
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	192	$92.3K	48,263	48,547	-285	open	—	04-26 22:09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	107	$91.5K	50,245	51,369	-1,124	open	—	05-24 22:52
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	137	$90.6K	51,324	42,900	+8,424	open	—	03-14 22:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	80	$89.5K	54,355	48,296	+6,059	open	—	02-27 18:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	274	$89.0K	66,797	52,550	+14,248	open	—	04-20 23:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	96	$86.7K	45,494	45,494	+0	open	—	04-13 15:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	27	$83.0K	41,585	41,585	+0	open	—	02-03 16:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	223	$79.4K	72,066	76,480	-4,414	open	—	03-14 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	104	$76.6K	42,160	44,014	-1,854	open	—	05-26 15:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	170	$76.2K	40,284	41,584	-1,300	open	—	03-31 00:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	181	$73.1K	47,747	47,754	-8	open	—	07-30 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 23:59:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x29ad81…
08-12 23:55:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	1,500	74¢	$1,110	0x3427df…
08-12 23:55:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x83309c…
08-12 23:47:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xd330ee…
08-12 23:47:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xd1d729…
08-12 23:46:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xfd06a8…
08-12 23:45:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xf55d4b…
08-12 23:45:07	will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2026 20260812202203300	No	BUY	900	83¢	$747	0x9d75ab…
08-12 23:38:09	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xa711b8…
08-12 23:37:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x65413d…
08-12 23:37:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x067087…
08-12 23:35:43	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	162	98¢	$159	0xd18364…
08-12 23:35:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xe41d19…
08-12 23:35:15	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x2ccfd4…
08-12 23:34:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x295238…
08-12 23:34:42	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	205	96¢	$196	0x791456…
08-12 23:33:57	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,298	96¢	$1,252	0x89afb5…
08-12 23:30:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xd13c1f…
08-12 23:17:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	321	98¢	$316	0x4f9062…
08-12 22:48:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6ec4b7…
08-12 22:32:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x99fb85…
08-12 22:31:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x5714b3…
08-12 22:30:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xa96882…
08-12 22:30:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x39a2f7…
08-12 22:30:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x5ea8c7…
08-12 22:30:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9608c9…
08-12 22:28:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x9d649a…
08-12 22:28:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x3c890c…
08-12 22:28:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x0b49a3…
08-12 21:41:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x87db6e…
08-12 21:32:42	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x9ce35b…
08-12 21:30:57	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	157	97¢	$153	0x26c199…
08-12 21:28:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	1,265	91¢	$1,151	0x2c546e…
08-12 21:26:18	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	89¢	$118	0xc9d3db…
08-12 21:23:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x3913d3…
08-12 21:22:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	305	74¢	$226	0x199837…
08-12 20:31:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xbaa170…
08-12 20:29:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb49ec0…
08-12 20:27:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	SELL	1,479	70¢	$1,035	0x0881f9…
08-12 20:07:49	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x78c45a…
08-12 20:01:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x461473…
08-12 19:49:45	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	1,162	94¢	$1,092	0x450ab4…
08-12 19:19:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	656	98¢	$642	0x2135d9…
08-12 18:48:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xe8fb52…
08-12 18:45:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x1adc1f…
08-12 18:42:55	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	222	93¢	$207	0x01d289…
08-12 18:42:46	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0x759fd4…
08-12 18:42:33	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xe66bec…
08-12 18:42:28	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xf90278…
08-12 18:42:28	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x8c796a…
08-12 18:42:28	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x486787…
08-12 18:42:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	484	93¢	$450	0xab2907…
08-12 18:42:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xe1455c…
08-12 18:42:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0xa7ce44…
08-12 18:42:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	16	93¢	$14	0x359f97…
08-12 18:41:49	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x046d24…
08-12 18:39:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	970	75¢	$728	0x5cf0d1…
08-12 18:38:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xe946e1…
08-12 18:31:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xe1daf5…
08-12 18:16:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf84c54…
08-12 18:14:36	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	2,459	93¢	$2,287	0x628633…
08-12 18:10:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0xebfd43…
08-12 18:09:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	106	75¢	$79	0x2008e2…
08-12 18:05:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	4,000	90¢	$3,600	0xc10826…
08-12 17:06:52	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x24c710…
08-12 15:51:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	1,587	92¢	$1,460	0x63dc91…
08-12 15:45:19	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x748160…
08-12 15:45:16	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf39253…
08-12 15:44:48	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x5c8cd7…
08-12 15:44:30	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x8e5630…
08-12 15:44:19	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x15b501…
08-12 15:43:49	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xcb4f08…
08-12 15:43:21	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf08dfd…
08-12 15:43:13	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd35783…
08-12 15:43:12	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xf38802…
08-12 15:42:54	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xb2c76f…
08-12 15:42:42	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd9abea…
08-12 15:42:27	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6aa8c7…
08-12 15:42:24	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xa7356b…
08-12 15:42:10	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2182d2…
08-12 15:41:55	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xbd5f8e…
08-12 15:41:28	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xb7bc9c…
08-12 15:41:28	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0b7a63…
08-12 15:41:01	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xbc0c55…
08-12 15:40:54	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	409	100¢	$409	0xf20e5f…
08-12 15:40:43	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0fb2d6…
08-12 15:40:39	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3040a6…
08-12 15:40:16	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf8c147…
08-12 15:40:15	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x76b2e8…
08-12 15:40:07	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xefa681…
08-12 15:40:03	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	1,046	100¢	$1,045	0x50a462…
08-12 15:34:37	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x27eaa5…
08-12 15:33:25	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x1044a0…
08-12 15:21:57	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	550	100¢	$547	0x9e55ea…
08-12 15:21:10	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	450	99¢	$447	0xa34d48…
08-12 15:16:37	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x3cd0b0…
08-12 15:13:46	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x514019…
08-12 15:13:07	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x3d5b9a…
08-12 15:11:01	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5aeb18…
08-12 15:08:00	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc90194…