Voluminous-Lava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

438,380

Trades

958,501

lifetime

Volume

$194.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$82

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 301 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 2% +$5,208

Other

40% 4% +$3,116

Sports

4% 4% +$1,173

Politics

2% 7% +$1,139

Tech

0% 13% +$222

Pop-Culture

0% 4% -$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 5378 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	-20	-$5	98¢	$-20	-$14	05-06 04:47
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-20	-$6	93¢	$-19	-$13	05-06 04:47
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+50	$8	14¢	$7	-$1	10-11 06:39
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+20	$5	22¢	$4	$0	10-10 10:04
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-100	-$2	4¢	$-4	-$2	05-06 04:47
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	-5	$0	71¢	$-4	-$3	09-11 01:58
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+25	$4	14¢	$3	$0	10-10 10:04
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	-100	-$2	2¢	$-2	+$0	05-06 04:47
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-100	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	05-06 04:48
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-21	-$1	6¢	$-1	-$1	09-11 01:58
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-6	$0	20¢	$-1	-$1	06-04 13:19
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-100	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$0	05-06 04:48
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+10	$1	12¢	$1	$0	10-16 20:28
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-20	-$1	6¢	$-1	$0	09-11 01:58
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-100	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$0	05-06 04:48
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-100	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	05-06 04:48
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 27	Yes	+1	$0	100¢	$1	+$1	10-21 21:52
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	-100	-$2	1¢	$-1	+$2	05-06 04:47
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	No	+1	$0	93¢	$1	+$1	07-31 08:47
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-100	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$0	05-06 04:48
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	+3	$0	26¢	$1	+$1	06-08 05:14
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-15	-$1	4¢	$-1	+$0	09-11 01:58
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-10	$0	6¢	$-1	$0	09-11 01:58
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-10	$0	6¢	$-1	-$1	09-11 02:01
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	+10	$0	6¢	$1	+$0	10-25 03:34
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-100	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$1	05-06 04:48
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	-88	-$1	1¢	$-0	+$0	05-06 04:48
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-21	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-11 01:58
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-10	$0	4¢	$-0	$0	09-11 02:01
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-10	$0	4¢	$-0	$0	05-06 04:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	2	$394	465	465	+0	No	-$6	02-11 12:30
highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 76 77f	29	$317	215	254	-39	Yes	+$151	03-15 05:17
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$286	389	389	+0	Yes	+$165	07-16 10:05
epl mac che 2026 01 04 mac	3	$266	217	217	+0	No	+$6	01-04 15:39
highest temperature in munich on march 16 2026 10c	19	$246	215	218	-3	Yes	+$187	03-16 18:59
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	2	$224	282	282	+0	Yes	+$24	02-05 13:12
fl1 met lil 2026 02 06 lil	2	$210	178	178	+0	No	+$10	02-06 13:15
bun wol dor 2026 02 07 dor	2	$204	179	179	+0	Yes	+$4	02-07 13:21
epl mun ful 2026 02 01 mun	2	$202	164	164	+0	Yes	+$2	02-01 13:10
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$201	104	104	+0	Yes	+$1	02-15 17:16
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 draw	2	$184	383	383	+0	No	-$16	03-14 04:02
lal rea bet 2026 01 04 total 3pt5	2	$175	143	143	+0	Over	+$15	01-04 15:37
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$160	500	500	+0	No	+$0	01-19 15:58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$159	427	421	+6	No	-$7	05-30 18:14
highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 48 49f	76	$135	13,295	0	+13,295	No	-$135	03-14 18:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	17	$117	126	126	+0	Yes	+$113	03-26 06:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	29	$111	8,118	8,118	-0	No	-$14	09-11 14:49
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	1	$110	164	0	+164	Yes	+$54	02-19 05:53
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	2	$104	67	67	+0	Yes	+$4	01-02 15:55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$101	897	0	+897	No	-$101	07-02 03:56
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	2	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	+$99	03-14 09:47
highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 54 55f	2	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	+$99	03-15 05:17
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	2	$100	100	100	+0	No	+$98	03-15 05:19
ucl asm1 psg 2026 02 17 psg	1	$100	154	0	+154	Yes	+$54	02-14 07:20
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	3	$92	200	100	+100	No	+$88	02-19 22:27
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	3	$87	95	88	+8	Yes	+$85	03-25 09:26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$83	633	633	+0	No	-$35	07-12 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	33	$77	160	0	+160	Up	-$27	05-25 13:44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$77	899	0	+899	No	-$77	06-01 14:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$75	100	100	+0	Yes	+$73	03-25 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:14:22	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfc7298…
10-28 05:09:49	Will Anthropic IPO on November 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x14b2b5…
10-28 05:01:10	where will it rain on october 28 2026 boston ma	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdcbff1…
10-28 05:00:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3a82c6…
10-28 05:00:01	HYPE Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc2a7a0…
10-28 04:59:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9485f1…
10-28 04:57:40	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x98c4d7…
10-28 04:57:38	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb94021…
10-28 04:55:53	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe072ae…
10-28 04:55:53	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0246a2…
10-28 04:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa6b733…
10-28 04:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe26081…
10-28 04:47:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa882db…
10-28 04:34:10	Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xafa609…
10-28 04:29:50	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 13+ innings?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbcfc1c…
10-28 04:29:01	Will the Brewers win the 2026 World Series 4-0?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1b8d61…
10-28 04:28:40	Will there be 2+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7d5412…
10-28 04:25:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 28?	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x89d6e2…
10-28 04:14:13	Will Jackson Chourio lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xea6a38…
10-28 04:14:13	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x574066…
10-28 04:11:25	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd1c50c…
10-28 04:00:02	HYPE Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc88d25…
10-28 03:59:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc60e5f…
10-28 03:57:05	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 12+ innings?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7a4d1e…
10-28 03:55:04	ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1eb10d…
10-28 03:51:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x53b58a…
10-28 03:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xed15e2…
10-28 03:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa3c884…
10-28 03:50:05	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1d71a7…
10-28 03:50:04	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7d7989…
10-28 03:50:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c1275…
10-28 03:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf65aca…
10-28 03:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8255e5…
10-28 03:43:48	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xaa8b84…
10-28 03:43:33	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd6bd4e…
10-28 03:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xb75186…
10-28 03:40:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x04796a…
10-28 03:39:54	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x70e11e…
10-28 03:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc86f7e…
10-28 03:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa86e73…
10-28 03:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2da55…
10-28 03:38:48	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x38415f…
10-28 03:38:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x68807f…
10-28 03:33:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfc4ec…
10-28 03:32:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $70 end of October?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2794f5…
10-28 03:32:09	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $35 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x608fce…
10-28 03:31:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa1e927…
10-28 03:31:34	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x30a108…
10-28 03:30:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x667240…
10-28 03:29:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3b3869…
10-28 03:28:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3e60da…
10-28 03:28:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x255e3d…
10-28 03:26:19	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x795233…
10-28 03:01:41	will nvda reach 240 by october 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x25ad50…
10-28 03:01:32	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $372 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x43d848…
10-28 03:01:14	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xab1e2e…
10-28 03:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe870ac…
10-28 03:00:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf404e…
10-28 02:59:05	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xebb9ff…
10-28 02:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x01fb52…
10-28 02:58:39	HYPE Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa175c1…
10-28 02:56:44	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6743f5…
10-28 02:56:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9d2369…
10-28 02:56:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5436dc…
10-28 02:53:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4ebd88…
10-28 02:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeda8c2…
10-28 02:51:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $372 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6ef9d8…
10-28 02:50:51	will rklb reach 70 by october 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1563d0…
10-28 02:48:59	where will it rain on october 28 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9b8d2e…
10-28 02:48:54	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3df31d…
10-28 02:48:42	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8035b8…
10-28 02:35:27	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe37231…
10-28 02:33:53	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc12e9b…
10-28 02:30:05	will xagusd dip to 54 by october 26 2026 from october 27	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x058f5b…
10-28 02:30:03	will xagusd dip to 54 in october 2026 from october 27	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe22c42…
10-28 02:18:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeb040b…
10-28 02:13:57	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa95728…
10-28 02:03:11	Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5187ee…
10-28 02:00:32	Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcd2e88…
10-28 02:00:23	Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x78db40…
10-28 01:59:54	HYPE Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1e396c…
10-28 01:59:41	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1a7f69…
10-28 01:59:35	Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x405c57…
10-28 01:59:20	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcbee35…
10-28 01:58:51	Will Maura Higgins be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0993b4…
10-28 01:58:00	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xefb55f…
10-28 01:57:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9c3eb4…
10-28 01:56:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe80533…
10-28 01:55:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x18b39e…
10-28 01:55:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0c18c8…
10-28 01:54:59	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x351ca3…
10-28 01:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x10e223…
10-28 01:53:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7f5466…
10-28 01:50:42	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x921d56…
10-28 01:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa12791…
10-28 01:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5b4f0b…
10-28 01:49:42	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x52e1d5…
10-28 01:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4aa754…
10-28 01:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7c61b5…
10-28 01:42:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe21887…