Realized P&L
-$14.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.70K
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
70
Trades
21,149
lifetime
Volume
$4.91M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$232
Open exposure
$47.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
49%
58%
$-1,936
Other
46%
49%
$-12,376
Crypto
5%
100%
+$22
Tech
0%
—
—
Sports
0%
0%
$-23
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 567 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 368 | $156.7K | 87,214 | 81,134 | +6,080 | open | — | 04-17 23:38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 152 | $140.0K | 73,059 | 80,220 | -7,161 | open | — | 05-10 22:46 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 172 | $124.0K | 80,657 | 55,589 | +25,069 | open | — | 03-31 20:44 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 235 | $91.6K | 51,462 | 51,638 | -177 | open | — | 05-07 07:46 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 208 | $83.3K | 177,847 | 152,314 | +25,533 | open | — | 05-27 05:57 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 8 | $80.1K | 50,400 | 34,361 | +16,039 | open | — | 06-04 00:34 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 145 | $79.7K | 43,324 | 42,047 | +1,276 | open | — | 03-26 21:22 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 167 | $77.0K | 48,135 | 35,829 | +12,306 | open | — | 04-01 02:18 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 267 | $76.9K | 84,723 | 71,200 | +13,524 | open | — | 05-28 02:18 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15 | 1,215 | $74.5K | 39,374 | 37,307 | +2,067 | open | — | 03-15 15:11 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 79 | $65.5K | 44,575 | 39,575 | +5,000 | open | — | 04-08 22:10 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 143 | $61.0K | 33,862 | 32,859 | +1,003 | open | — | 04-22 23:53 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 71 | $60.2K | 35,234 | 26,625 | +8,609 | open | — | 04-15 00:53 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 104 | $52.6K | 30,980 | 24,561 | +6,419 | open | — | 05-30 13:13 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15 | 61 | $51.9K | 27,886 | 25,160 | +2,726 | open | — | 06-19 14:07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 75 | $51.3K | 25,499 | 27,487 | -1,987 | open | — | 05-12 06:31 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 88 | $50.2K | 26,608 | 27,430 | -821 | open | — | 03-11 01:01 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 31 | $48.6K | 25,205 | 25,205 | +0 | open | — | 03-11 04:03 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 78 | $48.6K | 46,782 | 18,566 | +28,217 | open | — | 04-07 22:55 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 145 | $46.6K | 40,035 | 28,339 | +11,696 | open | — | 05-25 04:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 136 | $46.5K | 37,237 | 22,488 | +14,750 | open | — | 05-13 19:27 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | 124 | $44.4K | 29,072 | 21,651 | +7,422 | open | — | 05-29 15:00 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026 | 65 | $44.1K | 23,795 | 21,199 | +2,596 | open | — | 04-24 14:24 |
| trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219 | 129 | $40.5K | 22,921 | 19,215 | +3,707 | open | — | 06-29 11:27 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 95 | $38.2K | 21,467 | 21,467 | +0 | open | — | 04-30 06:40 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 148 | $37.9K | 20,642 | 19,742 | +900 | open | — | 05-11 02:25 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 95 | $37.5K | 21,100 | 23,622 | -2,522 | open | — | 06-28 00:08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 149 | $36.9K | 21,109 | 22,635 | -1,526 | open | — | 06-28 06:19 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 76 | $35.5K | 23,105 | 14,918 | +8,187 | open | — | 03-14 09:11 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 97 | $34.4K | 26,039 | 18,567 | +7,472 | open | — | 04-28 04:43 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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