Small-Pompom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

30,010

lifetime

Volume

$5.98M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$199

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

48% 58% $-1,936

Other

48% 49% $-12,376

Crypto

4% 100% +$22

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-23

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 723 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	368	$156.7K	87,214	81,134	+6,080	open	—	04-17 23:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	152	$140.0K	73,059	80,220	-7,161	open	—	05-10 22:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	172	$124.0K	80,657	55,589	+25,069	open	—	03-31 20:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	235	$91.6K	51,462	51,638	-177	open	—	05-07 07:46
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	207	$89.1K	55,013	39,240	+15,773	open	—	08-10 06:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	208	$83.3K	177,847	152,314	+25,533	open	—	05-27 05:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$80.1K	50,400	34,361	+16,039	open	—	06-04 00:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	145	$79.7K	43,324	42,047	+1,276	open	—	03-26 21:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	167	$77.0K	48,135	35,829	+12,306	open	—	04-01 02:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	267	$76.9K	84,723	71,200	+13,524	open	—	05-28 02:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1,215	$74.5K	39,374	37,307	+2,067	open	—	03-15 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	202	$68.2K	40,480	44,222	-3,742	open	—	08-08 18:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	79	$65.5K	44,575	39,575	+5,000	open	—	04-08 22:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	143	$61.0K	33,862	32,859	+1,003	open	—	04-22 23:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	71	$60.2K	35,234	26,625	+8,609	open	—	04-15 00:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	164	$58.0K	34,369	25,288	+9,081	open	—	07-29 21:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	195	$53.1K	39,190	35,468	+3,722	open	—	07-28 03:37
Iran leadership change by May 31?	104	$52.6K	30,980	24,561	+6,419	open	—	05-30 13:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	61	$51.9K	27,886	25,160	+2,726	open	—	06-19 14:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	75	$51.3K	25,499	27,487	-1,987	open	—	05-12 06:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	88	$50.2K	26,608	27,430	-821	open	—	03-11 01:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	31	$48.6K	25,205	25,205	+0	open	—	03-11 04:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	78	$48.6K	46,782	18,566	+28,217	open	—	04-07 22:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	145	$46.6K	40,035	28,339	+11,696	open	—	05-25 04:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	136	$46.5K	37,237	22,488	+14,750	open	—	05-13 19:27
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	124	$44.4K	29,072	21,651	+7,422	open	—	05-29 15:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	65	$44.1K	23,795	21,199	+2,596	open	—	04-24 14:24
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	129	$40.5K	22,921	19,215	+3,707	open	—	06-29 11:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	95	$38.2K	21,467	21,467	+0	open	—	04-30 06:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	150	$38.2K	21,109	23,935	-2,826	open	—	06-30 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:11:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0xb0081a…
08-10 04:20:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xd21746…
08-10 04:11:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x770ed3…
08-10 04:06:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x9f2aca…
08-10 03:06:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6c1bbe…
08-10 02:05:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8ab407…
08-10 00:39:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x405b2f…
08-10 00:36:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,968	0x4a677c…
08-09 21:55:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	227	98¢	$223	0xa7ce3c…
08-09 21:12:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x654465…
08-09 20:51:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	773	98¢	$760	0xe12483…
08-09 20:43:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x68f372…
08-09 20:00:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0x1ace5f…
08-09 19:14:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x3db89a…
08-09 18:54:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c2fab…
08-09 18:33:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xc0e345…
08-09 18:27:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$982	0x55826d…
08-09 18:18:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0xae172d…
08-09 17:15:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xce317d…
08-09 17:04:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x3bc91e…
08-09 17:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xe7f42f…
08-09 16:59:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x1d4de8…
08-09 16:27:57	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	BUY	95	91¢	$87	0xd41b0e…
08-09 13:03:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x2cb5b0…
08-09 11:38:22	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0xdfe361…
08-09 11:07:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	720	73¢	$526	0xab6832…
08-09 11:07:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	280	73¢	$204	0xbfe70e…
08-09 11:07:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2,338	100¢	$2,328	0x9725e8…
08-09 09:28:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xe37511…
08-09 08:59:19	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xbba353…
08-09 08:55:55	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x02d68a…
08-09 08:09:12	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe3ef70…
08-09 07:27:57	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbee932…
08-09 07:03:42	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xf0c0e5…
08-09 06:56:16	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xdae81c…
08-09 04:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xa3e8e8…
08-09 04:24:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x6dce34…
08-09 03:28:00	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc643b0…
08-09 01:15:52	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf4d554…
08-09 01:00:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$183	0xc94dbc…
08-09 00:33:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x6b9c44…
08-09 00:15:40	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xe6d48e…
08-08 23:12:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xdcf1f6…
08-08 23:00:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x570d24…
08-08 21:01:45	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x416a77…
08-08 20:16:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0xd3e8f1…
08-08 19:28:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x7643b2…
08-08 19:17:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xb9af23…
08-08 19:06:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xb7d5e0…
08-08 18:37:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x829f0f…
08-08 16:04:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xe207c5…
08-08 15:53:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	192	63¢	$121	0x5d1160…
08-08 15:49:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd9928c…
08-08 15:49:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x867423…
08-08 15:49:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5075e6…
08-08 14:57:46	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	SELL	646	99¢	$639	0xfddf58…
08-08 14:54:58	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf5e354…
08-08 14:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0x114722…
08-08 13:22:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xffab1e…
08-08 12:05:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xb7db71…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x9d6da6…
08-08 08:44:19	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x384be3…
08-08 08:39:40	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x1785e3…
08-08 08:34:12	Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xde4a33…
08-08 06:50:27	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$52	0x8c483e…
08-08 06:37:28	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xc0067a…
08-08 06:30:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xf8f0c5…
08-08 05:18:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xc4d66c…
08-08 04:40:30	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf865cb…
08-08 04:00:01	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	330	23¢	$74	0x5c8f51…
08-08 03:59:10	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc9bfc5…
08-08 01:39:30	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	SELL	197	98¢	$194	0x728046…
08-08 00:43:18	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x678315…
08-08 00:01:52	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf9e09f…
08-08 00:00:46	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x8509db…
08-07 23:29:07	will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by september 30 2026 20260804165426111	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc6cddd…
08-07 22:20:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x2d5d13…
08-07 21:38:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	185	93¢	$173	0x2ee726…
08-07 21:07:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xbdd268…
08-07 19:14:36	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	86	79¢	$68	0xa73bff…
08-07 19:05:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x8c3b35…
08-07 19:03:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	38	75¢	$28	0x35ca34…
08-07 19:01:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	252	75¢	$189	0xc769a1…
08-07 18:02:00	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	195	96¢	$187	0x7014bc…
08-07 17:59:40	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x00ef7c…
08-07 17:44:57	will trump say six seven during friday roundtable 20260805211427286	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xeb2b3b…
08-07 17:33:31	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x42b2ec…
08-07 17:26:25	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xe1ad31…
08-07 16:16:13	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xf2ec96…
08-07 16:16:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x4fab16…
08-07 15:33:52	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x39b173…
08-07 15:32:49	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xaf8fd9…
08-07 15:26:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x793790…
08-07 15:25:55	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x519f0a…
08-07 15:21:22	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x45c903…
08-07 14:57:57	Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x917420…
08-07 14:56:03	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	254	94¢	$239	0x9cc536…
08-07 14:52:40	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x38af8b…
08-07 14:45:45	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x7d1909…
08-07 14:41:34	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd8f65c…