Small-Pompom 0x9d7369…53216b
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.25K
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
70
Trades
25,029
lifetime
Volume
$5.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$62.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
49% 58% $-1,936
Other
47% 49% $-12,376
Crypto
4% 100% +$22
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-23
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 567 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +12,800 $11,542 92¢ $11.7K +$170 07-20 19:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11,340 $10,209 90¢ $10.1K $-60 07-19 22:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10,494 $7,413 55¢ $5.7K $-1,693 07-20 07:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5,457 $4,940 90¢ $4.9K $-56 07-20 14:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,968 $-5,084 76¢ $-4566 +$518 07-18 18:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,733 $3,155 74¢ $3.5K +$324 07-20 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,986 $2,503 99¢ $2.9K +$442 07-18 07:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,540 $1,314 94¢ $1.5K +$142 07-16 19:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -3,842 $-1,688 38¢ $-1441 +$247 07-19 22:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -2,082 $-1,150 64¢ $-1343 $-192 07-08 02:12
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1,456 $1,292 90¢ $1.3K +$23 07-19 00:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,296 $927 78¢ $1.0K +$90 07-07 20:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,086 $1,001 92¢ $1.0K +$3 07-19 13:39
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +979 $944 100¢ $978 +$34 06-21 03:15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,100 $1,006 87¢ $954 $-53 07-18 16:06
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +1,000 $829 92¢ $917 +$88 07-18 23:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,060 $923 86¢ $906 $-17 07-18 13:22
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +940 $474 92¢ $865 +$391 07-17 16:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +999 $724 80¢ $799 +$75 07-03 20:41
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +830 $745 86¢ $710 $-36 07-18 13:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -5,002 $-1,511 14¢ $-675 +$836 06-17 18:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -849 $-889 78¢ $-662 +$227 07-20 17:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +748 $625 88¢ $654 +$29 07-18 15:55
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +612 $606 99¢ $606 +$0 07-20 23:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $582 52¢ $578 $-5 07-16 20:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,300 $913 18¢ $577 $-335 06-26 18:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +538 $509 94¢ $508 $-0 07-20 23:55
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +577 $519 88¢ $508 $-11 07-13 20:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +600 $432 82¢ $495 +$63 06-20 18:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -4,546 $-485 11¢ $-477 +$7 06-21 06:28